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2022-01-02 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2579
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.0%
in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1744010.173768-0.36%0.142489-18.30%0.0195✗1.095.1M2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.23.1546-1.42%1.98-38.12%0.2063✓1.303.2M2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1955.1088-1.66%4.228-18.61%0.0710✓0.59657k2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,299.0746,363.90-1.98%38,716.88-18.14%0.0200✗1.00744.5M2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.13070.127928-2.12%0.104-20.43%0.0045✓1.06121k2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.197.0348-2.16%5.37-25.31%0.1422✓0.64948k2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,411.9046,368.47-2.20%38,691.90-18.39%0.0134✓0.9710k2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5025-2.25%1.7-33.59%0.1825✓1.024.1M2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.858.648-2.28%6.24-29.49%0.2061✓0.60914k2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2252.1739-2.30%1.525-31.46%0.1310✓1.122.7M2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase3.57643.4927-2.34%2.1518-39.83%0.2741✓1.05798k2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0880.085705-2.61%0.0658-25.23%0.0571✓1.0321k2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.05120.7852-2.63%91.69-26.09%0.0881✓0.943.7M2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.568.328-2.71%6.28-26.64%0.1355✓0.73799k2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0776430.075422-2.86%0.059831-22.94%0.0460✓0.93556k2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4170.404975-2.88%0.255-38.85%0.3177✓0.7243k2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.8821.2195-3.02%17-22.30%0.0319✗1.2769.2M2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash153.06148.2408-3.15%98.97-35.34%0.1492✓1.2710.9M2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum211.43204.7117-3.18%128.16-39.38%0.2432✓1.12210k2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.022330.021615-3.20%0.015173-32.05%0.1093✓1.222.4M2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,828.873,703.25-3.28%2,789.66-27.14%0.0801✓1.01679.6M2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum187.33180.9118-3.43%104.95-43.98%0.3580✓0.938.8M2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.0415.4756-3.52%8.13-49.31%0.4151✓1.143.7M2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.57654.4125-3.58%3.2091-29.88%0.1918✓0.6319k2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.7634.4477-3.67%20.92-41.50%0.2920✓1.0323.6M2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana176.32169.7051-3.75%110.1-37.56%0.2394✓0.97220.6M2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.1830.9516-3.82%25.47-20.85%0.0657✓0.65402k2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057530.055299-3.88%0.04034-29.88%0.1059✓1.0515k2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3114.699-3.99%14.46-5.55%0.1191✗0.681.3M2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.37791.3228-4.00%1.0965-20.42%0.0249✓1.06100.2M2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.2145.1162-4.02%115.11-23.87%0.0344✓1.3340.5M2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17493.0427-4.16%3.0959-2.49%0.2581✗1.203.1M2022-02-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.831.7532-4.19%1.17-36.07%0.0679✓1.681.1M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78453.6242-4.24%4.2589+12.54%0.1389✗-0.11393k2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6671.5954-4.30%0.932-44.09%0.2807✓1.283.5M2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2661.2112-4.33%0.756-40.28%0.2867✓0.922.6M2022-02-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.55871.4908-4.35%0.4327-72.24%1.0651✓0.864.6M2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4117.6074-4.36%11.11-39.65%0.2081✓1.2614.1M2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.3226.1278-4.36%20.15-26.24%0.0205✓1.4024.2M2022-02-01
DASHDashDash141.99135.6205-4.49%97.23-31.52%0.0861✓1.232.0M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.095594-4.50%0.062-38.06%0.1571✓1.381.6M2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.40892.2989-4.57%1.6048-33.38%0.1509✓1.04100k2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000113340.000108124-4.60%0.00007722-31.87%0.1401✓0.987.4M2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7270.693403-4.62%0.565-22.28%0.0440✓1.245.6M2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084440.080516-4.65%0.0446-47.18%0.3495✓1.2020.9M2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.295.9941-4.70%4.8991-22.11%0.0266✓1.14621k2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6988.288-4.71%5.979-31.26%0.0822✓1.22367k2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1146-4.73%0.7-40.17%0.2650✓1.002.0M2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7111.1498-4.78%6.66-43.13%0.5471✓-0.162.3M2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20550.19565-4.79%0.1425-30.66%0.1404✓0.88556k2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.344.1317-4.80%3.57-17.74%0.0541✗1.001.1M2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.728.2258-4.96%19.58-34.07%0.1123✓1.2772.5M2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.6864-5.04%1.316-25.90%0.0202✓1.346.3M2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38220.3628-5.08%0.2456-35.74%0.1355✓1.273.7M2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos4.67034.4311-5.12%3.7479-19.75%0.0980✗1.334.9M2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0124.7552-5.12%3.337-33.42%0.2060✓0.741.0M2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase65.0661.7105-5.15%39.21-39.73%0.1702✓1.41872k2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1723.9557-5.18%3.125-25.10%0.1024✓0.67514k2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2922730.277118-5.19%0.202028-30.88%0.1138✓1.0125.7M2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration295.23279.8574-5.21%170.69-42.18%0.2770✓1.091.3M2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum9.23638.7553-5.21%6.1797-33.09%0.0775✓1.35273k2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.122510.116047-5.28%0.08902-27.34%0.0484✓1.0826k2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum40.1638.0377-5.28%45.2+12.55%0.3746✗1.0119.4M2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20380.192767-5.41%0.20659+1.37%0.3787✗1.556,6152022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21210.200598-5.42%0.1161-45.26%0.3061✓1.204.9M2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum265.45251.0054-5.44%164.05-38.20%0.2065✓1.0912.6M2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.5533.5996-5.49%20.94-41.10%0.1786✓1.471.1M2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum5.284.9892-5.51%3.49-33.90%0.1243✓1.162.1M2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash447.91422.7621-5.61%287.95-35.71%0.1857✓0.999.4M2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero239.56226.0774-5.63%146.32-38.92%0.2488✓0.933.2M2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.964.6767-5.71%2.88-41.94%0.2846✓1.002.5M2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum39,116.5136,865.97-5.75%25,472.18-34.88%0.2464✓0.6215.7M2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase200.0687188.495-5.78%76.2874-61.87%0.7023✓1.01586k2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.21210.199805-5.80%0.1189-43.94%0.2836✓1.182.4M2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5643.3552-5.86%2.683-24.72%0.0977✗1.602.1M2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.43.1921-6.11%2.53-25.59%0.0366✓0.98995k2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.519.8663-6.12%9.72-7.52%0.1353✗0.751.3M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.654.3645-6.14%3.1868-31.47%0.0545✓1.305.0M2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.498.9012-6.20%5.98-36.99%0.1744✓1.124.1M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.20930.196258-6.23%0.1825-12.80%0.0485✓0.61428k2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.03460.032419-6.30%0.020954-39.44%0.2311✓1.037.8M2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 289.3583.6646-6.36%52.21-41.57%0.2713✓1.005.3M2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.422.8469-6.37%14.66-39.92%0.3031✓0.701.4M2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9230.864186-6.37%0.488-47.13%0.2845✓1.438.1M2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.245.828-6.60%5.37-13.94%0.1493✗1.153.3M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0790.073783-6.60%0.0358-54.68%0.4452✓1.391.7M2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.1272.9202-6.61%2.247-28.14%0.0908✓0.8641k2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum41.0838.3439-6.66%19.38-52.82%0.3233✓1.796.1M2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.1259.4478-6.69%5.958-41.16%0.3340✓0.63310k2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884520.828813-6.71%0.582133-34.48%0.1365✓1.082.8M2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.017670.016479-6.74%0.01018-42.39%0.2435✓1.192.2M2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.783.5213-6.84%2.65-29.89%0.0749✓1.05643k2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.354.0508-6.88%2.1-51.72%0.4568✓1.003.4M2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.21105.3378-6.95%73.37-35.19%0.1521✓1.05121.7M2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67650.628817-7.05%0.4393-35.06%0.1206✓1.1911.4M2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.60576.1358-7.11%6.9364+5.01%0.2788✗0.783.9M2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3832.8589-7.13%26.8-24.25%0.0042✓1.004.1M2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum96.4289.5279-7.15%53.47-44.54%0.3219✓0.976.3M2022-02-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12080.112161-7.15%0.0861-28.73%0.0642✓1.0033.0M2022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94350.875647-7.19%0.5296-43.87%0.1683✓1.6731.1M2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.115310.10694-7.26%0.07836-32.04%0.1826✓0.6455k2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.38360.355052-7.44%0.3087-19.53%0.1454✗1.423.7M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016610.015366-7.49%0.00957-42.38%0.2178✓1.282.2M2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034050.000031498-7.49%0.00002176-36.09%0.1207✓1.241.7M2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092330.08523-7.69%0.05811-37.06%0.0918✓1.453.1M2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum8.938.2413-7.71%4.35-51.29%0.3808✓1.2918.1M2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6420.591881-7.81%0.328-48.91%0.3414✓1.242.2M2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0070.92504-8.14%0.8834-12.27%0.1542✗1.00146k2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016180.014853-8.20%0.01011-37.52%0.1958✓0.94847k2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13680.125465-8.29%0.0822-39.91%0.2078✓1.07315k2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42431.3062-8.29%1.8742+31.59%0.5776✗1.08947k2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37231.2572-8.39%0.8391-38.85%0.2211✓0.9122.3M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048990.044879-8.39%0.03008-38.60%0.2220✓0.898.2M2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7140.653152-8.52%0.4737-33.66%0.0575✓1.322.9M2022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.5432.511-8.52%28.86-18.80%0.0662✓0.9343.4M2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0650840.059513-8.56%0.03834-41.09%0.1699✓1.357.5M2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.92631.7611-8.58%1.1512-40.24%0.2646✓0.80741k2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.0951.9139-8.65%0.9652-53.93%0.3139✓1.851.5M2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.62420.6579-8.69%18.496-18.25%0.2123✗1.6114.9M2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2651.1533-8.83%0.7231-42.84%0.1862✓1.402.0M2022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.024020.02185-9.03%0.00684-71.52%0.9612✓1.0029.5M2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.6436.8946-9.22%26.67-34.38%0.0062✓1.652.8M2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.1410.1101-9.25%5.6-49.73%0.4211✓0.851.2M2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30011.1781-9.39%0.84367-35.11%0.0112✓1.721.3M2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.223.8236-9.39%2.03-51.90%0.3702✓1.3111.9M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02080.018845-9.40%0.01283-38.32%0.2703✓0.5739k2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.7513.3277-9.64%8.06-45.36%0.4978✓0.033.9M2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.055.4564-9.81%3.46-42.81%0.1872✓1.3429.3M2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.8592.5759-9.90%1.837-35.75%0.1370✓1.002.0M2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67391.5064-10.00%0.967-42.23%0.2261✓1.0830.0M2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31190.280576-10.04%0.1885-39.56%0.1411✓1.284.8M2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34012.9984-10.23%2.6803-19.75%0.0752✓0.946.2M2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.39570.354998-10.29%0.2826-28.58%0.0305✓0.99293k2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.55521.3888-10.70%1.1475-26.21%0.0006✓0.954.0M2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN14.89813.3029-10.71%8.052-45.95%0.5086✓-0.03111k2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative1.72491.5096-12.48%0.9549-44.64%0.1880✓1.355.5M2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.9912.123-13.35%6.27-55.18%0.5429✓0.581.3M2022-02-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.75680.501213-33.77%0.5575-26.33%0.3780✓1.36650k2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.