2021-12-30 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2758

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.60%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

80.3%

in alpha space · 89.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-18.95%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.94	20.2653	+1.63%	16.24	-18.56%	0.0602	✓	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.048	4.1111	+1.56%	3.009	-25.67%	0.1753	✗	0.65	514k	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,710.02	3,763.05	+1.43%	2,603.74	-29.82%	0.1481	✗	1.05	752.6M	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.13	7.2235	+1.31%	5.16	-27.63%	0.2022	✗	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.403	0.406968	+0.98%	0.251	-37.72%	0.3250	✗	0.75	45k	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1255	0.126271	+0.61%	0.1047	-16.57%	0.0451	✓	1.11	158k	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.37	15.4399	+0.45%	8.22	-46.52%	0.3902	✗	1.14	4.7M	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.71	179.3209	+0.34%	97.51	-45.44%	0.4044	✗	0.97	9.8M	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	431.58	432.8683	+0.30%	299.03	-30.71%	0.1569	✗	1.01	9.8M	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11126	0.111522	+0.24%	0.08979	-19.30%	0.0196	✓	1.12	29k	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.78	24.8078	+0.11%	20.18	-18.56%	0.0948	✓	1.43	24.1M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1856	0.185604	+0.00%	0.11	-40.73%	0.2808	✗	1.15	2.9M	2022-01-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,122.08	47,105.31	-0.04%	38,191.10	-18.95%	0.0004	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.11	10.1038	-0.06%	9.17	-9.30%	0.0612	✗	0.75	1.4M	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.268	0.267437	-0.21%	0.203491	-24.07%	0.0581	✓	1.02	29.6M	2022-01-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171183	0.170778	-0.24%	0.143169	-16.36%	0.0579	✗	1.11	5.5M	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.079	5.066	-0.26%	4.042	-20.42%	0.1007	✓	0.60	798k	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.53	27.4331	-0.35%	18.75	-31.89%	0.1109	✓	1.28	75.5M	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.72	8.6856	-0.39%	6.08	-30.28%	0.1970	✓	0.76	1.1M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.188	0.187239	-0.40%	0.1739	-7.50%	0.0391	✗	0.54	393k	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.46	2.4454	-0.59%	1.72	-30.08%	0.1311	✓	1.05	4.2M	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077853	0.077304	-0.71%	0.060341	-22.49%	0.0485	✓	0.95	607k	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.063	2.0459	-0.83%	1.493	-27.63%	0.0761	✓	1.14	3.2M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.8384	8.7354	-1.17%	5.9616	-32.55%	0.0801	✓	1.44	280k	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.87	8.7562	-1.28%	5.93	-33.15%	0.2616	✓	0.61	1.0M	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	199.64	197.0162	-1.31%	123.06	-38.36%	0.2276	✓	1.16	220k	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022142	0.021843	-1.35%	0.014518	-34.43%	0.1534	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,186.00	46,537.57	-1.37%	38,181.60	-19.08%	0.0073	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.697	4.6324	-1.38%	3.258	-30.64%	0.2048	✓	0.70	1.0M	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01653	0.0163	-1.39%	0.0104	-37.08%	0.1768	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.795409	0.78316	-1.54%	0.565434	-28.91%	0.0913	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.91	2.8642	-1.58%	2.245	-22.85%	0.0590	✓	0.88	65k	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3585	1.3362	-1.64%	1.0603	-21.95%	0.0044	✓	1.08	114.6M	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4868	3.4284	-1.67%	2.3362	-33.00%	0.1606	✓	1.06	819k	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	280.04	275.2806	-1.70%	171.16	-38.88%	0.2408	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.13	5.0353	-1.85%	3.51	-31.58%	0.1066	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.267	1.2436	-1.85%	0.731	-42.30%	0.3314	✓	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	172.52	169.3208	-1.85%	96.25	-44.21%	0.3433	✓	1.05	248.9M	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.81	17.4633	-1.95%	11.16	-37.34%	0.1757	✓	1.29	15.5M	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.624	1.5919	-1.98%	1.364	-16.01%	0.1298	✗	1.35	7.9M	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.06	31.4098	-2.03%	26.24	-18.15%	0.0393	✓	0.67	518k	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7081	4.6116	-2.05%	3.1573	-32.94%	0.1057	✓	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.01	23.509	-2.09%	14.12	-41.19%	0.2876	✓	1.06	1.5M	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.302	8.1287	-2.09%	6.128	-26.19%	0.0165	✓	1.27	392k	2022-01-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.96	34.2283	-2.09%	20.29	-41.96%	0.3056	✓	1.03	23.3M	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.04	130.1144	-2.20%	96.55	-27.43%	0.0289	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.89	38.0081	-2.27%	41.73	+7.30%	0.3145	✗	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.863	0.843284	-2.28%	0.508	-41.14%	0.1949	✓	1.48	8.7M	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3222	1.2917	-2.30%	1.7284	+30.72%	0.5182	✗	1.08	1.0M	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.69	1.6502	-2.36%	0.85	-49.70%	0.3015	✓	1.72	1.2M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010959	0.000106973	-2.39%	0.00007692	-29.81%	0.1201	✓	1.00	9.0M	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	225.01	219.6258	-2.39%	153.67	-31.71%	0.1514	✓	0.98	2.9M	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.55	5.4147	-2.44%	5.4	-2.70%	0.2391	✗	1.15	4.3M	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07911	0.077157	-2.47%	0.05052	-36.14%	0.1593	✓	1.26	21.7M	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10085	0.098339	-2.49%	0.0727	-27.91%	0.1661	✓	0.65	74k	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0981	0.095603	-2.55%	0.0636	-35.17%	0.1176	✓	1.38	1.9M	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.533	1.4939	-2.55%	0.924	-39.73%	0.2104	✓	1.29	3.8M	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.94	144.1703	-2.55%	110.84	-25.08%	0.0226	✓	1.36	49.4M	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.9	149.9763	-2.55%	96.39	-37.37%	0.1567	✓	1.36	11.8M	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0828	0.080654	-2.59%	0.0653	-21.14%	0.0172	✓	1.09	18k	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.6988	180.5875	-2.75%	79.3124	-57.29%	0.5789	✓	1.16	648k	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.1771	-2.84%	2.42	-25.99%	0.0621	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.09	2.9974	-3.00%	1.92	-37.86%	0.1717	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6466	0.626655	-3.08%	0.4104	-36.53%	0.1495	✓	1.30	11.8M	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3713	0.359595	-3.15%	0.31	-16.51%	0.1611	✗	1.47	4.4M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.99	32.9096	-3.18%	20.73	-39.01%	0.1400	✓	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0549	0.053134	-3.22%	0.04089	-25.52%	0.0295	✓	1.11	15k	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2007	0.194136	-3.27%	0.1205	-39.96%	0.2878	✓	0.90	655k	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	262.93	254.1588	-3.34%	154.04	-41.41%	0.2637	✓	1.13	11.4M	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.49	118.2415	-3.47%	92.7	-24.32%	0.0408	✓	0.96	3.7M	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3407	4.1873	-3.53%	3.0915	-28.78%	0.0246	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0787	0.075909	-3.55%	0.0362	-54.00%	0.4489	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.45	14.8631	-3.80%	13.15	-14.89%	0.0213	✓	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.208	0.200016	-3.84%	0.121	-41.83%	0.2435	✓	1.23	5.7M	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4417	2.3458	-3.93%	1.6081	-34.14%	0.1372	✓	1.14	147k	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8152	6.5473	-3.93%	6.7736	-0.61%	0.2087	✗	0.83	4.0M	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08851	0.084943	-4.03%	0.06396	-27.74%	0.0217	✓	1.45	4.0M	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.37	0.354956	-4.07%	0.2425	-34.46%	0.1116	✓	1.28	4.3M	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1771	3.0475	-4.08%	2.9824	-6.13%	0.2338	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.03	91.1093	-4.13%	49.58	-47.83%	0.4038	✓	0.97	7.4M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6911	1.6212	-4.13%	0.4988	-70.50%	1.0072	✓	0.82	4.7M	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.19	28.9416	-4.14%	29.1	-3.61%	0.1959	✗	0.91	41.9M	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8078	3.6473	-4.21%	3.4878	-8.40%	0.0703	✓	-0.12	409k	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.57	33.0985	-4.26%	25.34	-26.70%	0.0469	✓	1.05	4.7M	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1317	0.125808	-4.47%	0.0817	-37.97%	0.2068	✓	1.07	344k	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	30,177.90	28,759.13	-4.70%	24,297.65	-19.49%	0.0446	✓	0.59	10.4M	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061787	0.058637	-5.10%	0.039999	-35.26%	0.0837	✓	1.42	7.9M	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01945	0.018455	-5.12%	0.01347	-30.75%	0.1834	✓	0.63	43k	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	101.73	96.4255	-5.21%	71.95	-29.27%	0.0560	✓	1.13	127.7M	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7283	0.689935	-5.27%	0.5251	-27.90%	0.0057	✓	1.27	6.2M	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.048	19.8929	-5.49%	17.542	-16.66%	0.2215	✗	1.65	17.5M	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.57	4.3172	-5.53%	3.0631	-32.97%	0.1878	✓	0.74	25k	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3349	0.315602	-5.76%	0.2671	-20.24%	0.0315	✓	0.94	293k	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.329	8.7768	-5.92%	6.001	-35.67%	0.2561	✓	0.59	368k	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.01711	0.016095	-5.93%	0.01002	-41.44%	0.2226	✓	1.20	2.5M	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.58	57.8078	-6.13%	41.64	-32.38%	0.0106	✓	1.51	1.0M	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0654	5.6868	-6.24%	4.851	-20.02%	0.0941	✗	1.20	653k	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04892	0.04584	-6.30%	0.03035	-37.96%	0.2204	✓	0.91	9.1M	2022-01-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.42	4.1368	-6.41%	3.69	-16.52%	0.0958	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2	0.186781	-6.61%	0.18677	-6.62%	0.3343	✗	1.59	9,235	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.3502	-6.68%	2.31	-35.65%	0.1470	✓	1.07	787k	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.755	1.6377	-6.68%	1.154	-34.24%	0.1837	✓	0.79	946k	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.203	1.1215	-6.77%	0.5968	-50.39%	0.3350	✓	1.41	2.3M	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4189	0.390283	-6.83%	0.5693	+35.90%	0.6741	✗	1.41	793k	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2896	0.269737	-6.86%	0.1844	-36.33%	0.1054	✓	1.31	5.6M	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7299	1.6078	-7.06%	0.9693	-43.97%	0.2716	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033799	0.031312	-7.36%	0.022029	-34.82%	0.1318	✓	1.05	8.9M	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.0461	-7.42%	0.66	-41.59%	0.2504	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.33	3.9917	-7.81%	2.34	-45.96%	0.3239	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1947	1.0981	-8.09%	0.84787	-29.03%	0.1172	✗	1.79	1.4M	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4266	1.3104	-8.14%	0.8302	-41.81%	0.2602	✓	0.93	23.6M	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.14	4.7208	-8.16%	2.83	-44.94%	0.3016	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003376	0.000030815	-8.72%	0.00002166	-35.84%	0.0855	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01531	0.013952	-8.87%	0.01015	-33.70%	0.1159	✓	0.96	910k	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.06	35.5555	-8.97%	20.07	-48.62%	0.1881	✓	1.83	6.8M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.84	77.2085	-9.00%	50.93	-39.97%	0.2059	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.643	2.4015	-9.14%	1.758	-33.48%	0.0972	✓	1.02	2.2M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6956	0.631138	-9.27%	0.4637	-33.34%	0.0291	✓	1.33	3.2M	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.9975	1.8124	-9.27%	0.9684	-51.52%	0.2206	✓	1.93	1.5M	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.83	9.8145	-9.38%	5.34	-50.69%	0.4286	✓	0.86	1.3M	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9199	0.83327	-9.42%	0.9037	-1.76%	0.2913	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.04	10.9033	-9.44%	6.65	-44.77%	0.5319	✓	-0.18	3.7M	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.579	3.2397	-9.48%	2.667	-25.48%	0.0156	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.11	4.6237	-9.52%	2.99	-41.49%	0.1566	✓	1.33	28.7M	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.32	36.3694	-9.80%	27.09	-32.81%	0.0573	✓	1.67	3.0M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.569259	-10.21%	0.333	-47.48%	0.2696	✓	1.27	2.8M	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.32	8.3634	-10.26%	6.08	-34.76%	0.0830	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4845	1.3308	-10.35%	1.0479	-29.41%	0.0333	✓	0.98	4.8M	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	10.25	9.1509	-10.72%	4.19	-59.12%	0.5024	✓	1.33	16.5M	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5179	1.3536	-10.83%	0.952	-37.28%	0.0585	✓	1.40	6.4M	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.775	11.3358	-11.27%	7.324	-42.67%	0.4591	✓	-0.11	119k	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.98	10.5194	-12.19%	6.1	-49.08%	0.4252	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2879	2.8846	-12.27%	2.372	-27.86%	0.0031	✓	0.95	7.1M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9403	0.824854	-12.28%	0.6022	-35.96%	0.0415	✓	1.69	29.3M	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02166	0.018664	-13.83%	0.00723	-66.62%	0.7382	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.72	4.0535	-14.12%	2.36	-50.00%	0.3308	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.93	11.0764	-14.34%	7.35	-43.16%	0.4201	✓	-0.05	4.6M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.