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2021-12-26 · +30d

lstm_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3011
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+33.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.4%
in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.21%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.754.6788-18.63%1.94-66.26%0.5628✓1.0012.3M2022-01-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.1712.7922-15.67%6.89-54.58%0.6293✓-0.035.1M2022-01-25
GITCOINGITCOIN15.13612.8213-15.29%6.883-54.53%0.6513✓-0.09133k2022-01-25
HIVEHivenative1.76641.5052-14.79%0.8391-52.50%0.1640✓1.328.3M2022-01-25
MANADecentralandEthereum3.8623.3004-14.54%2.1037-45.53%0.1722✓0.888.3M2022-01-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.69181.4522-14.17%0.99943-40.93%0.0585✓0.995.7M2022-01-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.111.3439-13.41%5.54-57.71%0.5503✓0.522.1M2022-01-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022010.019162-12.94%0.00833-62.15%0.5155✓1.0034.3M2022-01-25
LRCLoopringEthereum2.34442.0465-12.71%1.0337-55.91%0.0661✓1.941.8M2022-01-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.192.7948-12.39%1.532-51.97%0.2931✓0.972.2M2022-01-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.730.641248-12.16%0.322-55.89%0.2963✓1.243.0M2022-01-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.755.0565-12.06%3.01-47.65%0.1051✓1.3028.7M2022-01-25
UMAUMAEthereum10.419.1617-11.99%5.92-43.13%0.0922✓1.084.1M2022-01-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.70680.625176-11.55%0.5541-21.60%0.4349✗1.7517.7M2022-01-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5538.6157-11.33%23.69-45.60%0.0532✓1.713.7M2022-01-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.6640.677-10.91%16.59-63.67%0.3137✓1.848.5M2022-01-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3073.8374-10.90%2.615-39.28%0.0660✓1.003.5M2022-01-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.80930.722209-10.76%0.4382-45.85%0.0930✓1.283.8M2022-01-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.037650.033888-9.99%0.020821-44.70%0.1635✓1.0211.0M2022-01-25
SCSiacoinnative0.016680.015021-9.95%0.00946-43.29%0.1664✓0.931.3M2022-01-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.1961.9801-9.83%0.4433-79.81%1.2843✓0.676.7M2022-01-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.33030.298427-9.65%0.1718-47.99%0.1458✓1.285.8M2022-01-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.17051.0616-9.31%0.5734-51.01%0.1419✓1.492.3M2022-01-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33241.2115-9.07%0.79477-40.35%0.1365✗1.761.5M2022-01-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038250.000034819-8.97%0.00002106-44.94%0.1852✓1.002.2M2022-01-25
STORJStorjEthereum2.07121.8871-8.89%1.0136-51.06%0.3988✓0.701.2M2022-01-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.6711.5833-8.58%6.12-51.70%0.7276✓-0.284.5M2022-01-25
RADRadworksEthereum10.619.7051-8.53%4.9-53.82%0.3836✓0.941.6M2022-01-25
XVGVergenative0.019370.017746-8.38%0.00972-49.82%0.2238✓1.192.8M2022-01-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08060.991127-8.28%0.8523-21.13%0.1666✗1.00178k2022-01-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.81796.2676-8.07%4.2137-38.20%0.0201✓1.19764k2022-01-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4690.431284-8.04%0.523+11.51%0.6453✗1.431.1M2022-01-25
LUNATerraTerra 299.7891.8185-7.98%62.78-37.08%0.0626✓1.004.9M2022-01-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.234.8157-7.92%2.37-54.68%0.3914✓1.005.7M2022-01-25
ZENHorizenBase70.364.7507-7.89%34.97-50.26%0.1373✓1.511.3M2022-01-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.281.187-7.27%0.68-46.88%0.2395✓1.002.3M2022-01-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.39071.2899-7.25%0.8103-41.73%0.1328✓1.0522.8M2022-01-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064040.059424-7.21%0.038883-39.28%0.0390✓1.468.7M2022-01-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.42650.39594-7.17%0.2283-46.47%0.1440✓1.285.3M2022-01-25
MINAMina Protocolnative3.813.5371-7.16%2.32-39.11%0.0966✓1.02787k2022-01-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.209680.194724-7.13%0.16966-19.09%0.3745✗1.6122k2022-01-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.07106.8956-7.10%68.08-40.84%0.0926✓1.13127.7M2022-01-25
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.3872-7.05%2.35-50.21%0.3067✓1.002.5M2022-01-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.050820.04724-7.05%0.02893-43.07%0.1994✓0.9210.6M2022-01-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.663.4107-6.81%2.6858-26.62%0.1590✗1.253.1M2022-01-25
KCSKuCoinnative22.89821.4299-6.41%16.01-30.08%0.2416✗1.6819.5M2022-01-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.3710.347379-6.37%0.2141-42.29%0.1956✓0.91356k2022-01-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0840.07867-6.35%0.0337-59.88%0.4314✓1.312.1M2022-01-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7279.1236-6.20%6.296-35.27%0.1727✓0.62455k2022-01-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.740557-6.18%0.513-35.01%0.0299✓1.257.3M2022-01-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.1130.106227-5.99%0.0566-49.91%0.1962✓1.362.5M2022-01-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.53101.1173-5.96%50.79-52.77%0.3852✓0.967.9M2022-01-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.5164-5.71%3.79-20.88%0.1422✗1.001.2M2022-01-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.1730.3618-5.62%35.92+11.66%0.4424✗0.8639.4M2022-01-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.9235.7932-5.61%24.07-36.52%0.0647✓1.055.6M2022-01-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.099870.094388-5.49%0.04882-51.12%0.1945✓1.464.8M2022-01-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019580.018549-5.26%0.01209-38.25%0.2419✓0.5946k2022-01-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.240.227398-5.25%0.1133-52.79%0.3085✓1.226.1M2022-01-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,193.3429,556.92-5.25%24,507.83-21.43%0.0215✓0.528.3M2022-01-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.42250.400591-5.19%0.2593-38.63%0.0476✓1.524.4M2022-01-25
SUSHISushiEthereum7.937.5217-5.15%4.54-42.75%0.0657✓1.3815.1M2022-01-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.222.108-5.05%0.81-63.51%0.4114✓1.721.5M2022-01-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9216.0738-5.00%12.48-26.24%0.0346✓0.691.4M2022-01-25
XTZTezosTezos4.86914.6287-4.94%2.9206-40.02%0.0488✓1.305.3M2022-01-25
ZECZcashZcash167.45159.231-4.91%90.46-45.98%0.1486✓1.3111.8M2022-01-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.60791.5313-4.77%0.9223-42.64%0.1660✓1.0731.7M2022-01-25
MOVRMoonriverBase187.2077178.3612-4.73%77.9071-58.38%0.4671✓1.14674k2022-01-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73540.700856-4.70%0.4145-43.64%0.1189✓1.2812.8M2022-01-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.087850.083979-4.41%0.04971-43.41%0.1436✓1.2021.7M2022-01-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14380.137567-4.33%0.0797-44.58%0.2095✓1.06376k2022-01-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058660.056185-4.22%0.03703-36.87%0.0637✓1.1116k2022-01-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08960.085867-4.17%0.0592-33.93%0.0258✓1.0918k2022-01-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.937.3192-4.06%18.99-51.18%0.1969✓1.511.3M2022-01-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2190.210189-4.02%0.1273-41.87%0.2259✓0.87748k2022-01-25
DODODODOEthereum1.0020.962725-3.92%0.502-49.90%0.1839✓1.478.9M2022-01-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8791320.845922-3.78%0.520192-40.83%0.1428✓1.083.2M2022-01-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.0086-3.71%4.28-31.41%0.0159✓1.124.6M2022-01-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9421.87-3.71%1.245-35.89%0.0098✓1.317.9M2022-01-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.2328.891-3.69%5.904-36.05%0.0138✓1.33411k2022-01-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.613.4767-3.69%2.33-35.46%0.0866✓0.991.2M2022-01-25
KSMKusamaHydration322.4310.8134-3.59%173.57-46.16%0.2325✓1.101.5M2022-01-25
FTTFTXEthereum42.5941.0891-3.52%36.46-14.39%0.2160✗1.0620.7M2022-01-25
AAVEAaveEthereum268.05258.6368-3.51%152.06-43.27%0.1908✓1.0711.4M2022-01-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.49282.406-3.48%1.7009-31.77%0.0284✓1.18147k2022-01-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6681.61-3.48%0.852-48.92%0.2224✓1.304.3M2022-01-25
DASHDashDash149.09143.9257-3.46%89.59-39.91%0.0727✓1.262.0M2022-01-25
XECeCashnative0.000121440.000117249-3.45%0.00007213-40.60%0.1718✓0.9911.0M2022-01-25
NANOnanopayBase3.86893.7375-3.40%2.3437-39.42%0.1293✓1.06798k2022-01-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.082.9761-3.37%1.76-42.86%0.1181✓1.283.0M2022-01-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.20110.194416-3.32%0.1006-49.98%0.2978✓1.143.9M2022-01-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93064.7695-3.27%2.8609-41.98%0.2756✓0.7427k2022-01-25
GTGateEthereum6.75026.5307-3.25%6.2549-7.34%0.2126✗0.814.3M2022-01-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113290.10976-3.12%0.06302-44.37%0.3738✓0.57113k2022-01-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.5123.5888-3.07%90.34-29.15%0.0000✓0.993.2M2022-01-25
SOLSolanaSolana198192.018-3.02%94.76-52.14%0.3822✓1.02255.1M2022-01-25
COMPCompoundEthereum235.5228.4574-2.99%127.15-46.01%0.2362✓1.10236k2022-01-25
BANDBandEthereum5.855.6763-2.97%3.5-40.17%0.1047✓1.192.8M2022-01-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8225.0536-2.97%13.07-49.38%0.3100✓1.072.2M2022-01-25
UNIUniswapEthereum18.6718.1228-2.93%10.59-43.28%0.1185✓1.3214.2M2022-01-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.433.4045-2.89%20.45-40.55%0.2785✓0.67572k2022-01-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.96151.5009-2.86%107.9-30.82%0.1008✗1.3954.4M2022-01-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.34265.1908-2.84%3.0512-42.89%0.1011✓1.355.4M2022-01-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48263.3861-2.77%3.525+1.22%0.0119✓-0.09384k2022-01-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2510.9432-2.73%8.63-23.29%0.0083✓0.771.4M2022-01-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4940.480782-2.68%0.243-50.81%0.4561✓0.7145k2022-01-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.2936.3116-2.62%18.16-51.30%0.3706✓1.0122.1M2022-01-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018690.018203-2.60%0.01045-44.09%0.1592✓1.252.8M2022-01-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39331.3577-2.56%1.6576+18.97%0.5393✗1.071.3M2022-01-25
ADACardanoCardano1.45491.4184-2.51%1.043-28.31%0.0302✗1.06120.2M2022-01-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3171.2855-2.39%0.709-46.17%0.2883✓0.973.4M2022-01-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,987.3049,800.34-2.33%36,572.80-28.27%0.0030✓0.988,5662022-01-25
QTUMQtumQtum9.89829.6763-2.24%5.5513-43.92%0.0992✓1.44285k2022-01-25
XYMSymbolnative0.23940.234171-2.18%0.1597-33.29%0.2340✓0.47392k2022-01-25
XMRMoneroMonero216.57211.973-2.12%144.83-33.13%0.0665✓0.992.7M2022-01-25
CBKCobakEthereum3.2793.212-2.04%2.039-37.82%0.1877✓0.8497k2022-01-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.649.4468-2.00%5.59-42.01%0.3135✓0.67952k2022-01-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0244220.023976-1.83%0.014419-40.96%0.1261✓1.202.3M2022-01-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot31.3430.7928-1.75%18.32-41.54%0.1197✓1.2677.1M2022-01-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4875.4031-1.53%3.801-30.73%0.1464✓0.65798k2022-01-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1900180.187307-1.43%0.142925-24.78%0.0810✗1.115.5M2022-01-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2892.2583-1.34%1.425-37.75%0.1100✓1.103.3M2022-01-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.762.723-1.34%1.59-42.39%0.2152✓1.024.1M2022-01-25
TRXTRONTron0.0815080.080422-1.33%0.055872-31.45%0.0593✓0.96648k2022-01-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,801.7950,145.07-1.29%36,980.00-27.21%0.0130✗1.00744.5M2022-01-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2919870.288214-1.29%0.196794-32.60%0.0632✓1.0034.1M2022-01-25
XEMNEMnative0.14120.139439-1.25%0.0957-32.22%0.0275✓1.10178k2022-01-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.374.3223-1.09%3.073-29.68%0.0768✓0.83719k2022-01-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.49.2996-1.07%5.6-40.43%0.2613✓0.77934k2022-01-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124580.123607-0.78%0.08097-35.01%0.0742✓1.1029k2022-01-25
QNTQuantEthereum194.3192.9803-0.68%103.44-46.76%0.3257✓0.9411.9M2022-01-25
XVSVenusEthereum17.1117.0484-0.36%8.13-52.48%0.3791✓1.144.8M2022-01-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.7226.6418-0.29%20.06-24.93%0.1599✗1.4022.9M2022-01-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash451.86450.7778-0.24%291.7-35.44%0.1101✓1.0211.4M2022-01-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9923.0354+0.20%15.49-32.62%0.0188✓1.3169.7M2022-01-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1134.1261+0.32%2.907-29.32%0.1231✗0.72473k2022-01-25
ETHEthereumEthereum4,065.914,086.62+0.51%2,460.68-39.48%0.1763✗1.04760.7M2022-01-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.968.0123+0.66%4.91-38.32%0.2898✗0.63986k2022-01-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.