XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s4

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0999

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.077895	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.0767	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.075006	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.075318	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.077221	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.081049	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083846	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.07886	-1.74%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0126	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081164	-1.81%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0337	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.079108	-1.72%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0375	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086553	-2.10%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0895	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.085457	-2.13%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0548	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.082895	-2.03%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0172	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.082121	-1.93%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0346	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085901	-1.93%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0373	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088352	-1.61%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0230	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.093067	-1.84%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0720	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.094669	-1.71%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0166	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.093832	-1.91%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0376	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.091956	-1.46%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0463	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.094609	-1.60%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0627	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.093208	-1.74%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0567	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.094289	-1.54%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0850	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.096579	-1.73%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0623	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.103485	-2.46%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1128	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.107831	-3.26%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1265	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.109559	-4.42%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1689	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.107085	-3.40%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1173	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.08944	-0.62%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0761	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095854	-0.54%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0483	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097527	-0.47%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0655	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088415	-0.92%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1217	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091205	-1.06%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1430	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.092717	-1.17%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1530	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086358	-1.21%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.0983	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080497	-0.59%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0441	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081416	-0.57%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0412	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083685	-0.27%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0059	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077846	+0.07%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0566	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080218	+0.20%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0667	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.08284	+0.44%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0574	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084357	+0.32%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0393	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089944	+0.85%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0652	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098472	+0.13%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1259	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.094471	+1.65%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0997	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.092492	+3.25%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0981	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.096433	+3.56%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1316	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.097138	+4.23%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.1115	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.101234	+4.94%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0861	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.085734	+2.95%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0171	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.085573	+3.55%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1148	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.088178	+5.14%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0418	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.08792	+4.55%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0340	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.091264	+5.06%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0098	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.088752	+4.95%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0144	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.094267	+4.50%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0051	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.091436	+4.24%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0611	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.094012	+3.92%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.1081	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.100801	+3.52%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1763	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.104765	+3.07%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.2186	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.096369	+2.83%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.1254	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.104418	+2.77%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.2022	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.089094	+0.25%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.1136	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.080226	-0.23%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0844	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075188	-0.93%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0884	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.07531	-1.01%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0335	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.073967	-1.15%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0087	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.074837	-1.32%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0670	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.075305	-1.38%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0188	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.07429	-1.41%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0272	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.072949	-1.31%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0358	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.077325	-1.53%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0455	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.077481	-1.52%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0314	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.075488	-1.46%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0394	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.074962	-1.48%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0569	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.074865	-1.18%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0653	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074224	-1.14%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0350	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074118	-1.14%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0255	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.076755	-1.46%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0349	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.076249	-1.72%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0208	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.074812	-1.56%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0083	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074194	-1.27%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0253	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.072859	-0.94%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0096	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077054	-1.28%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0155	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.07628	-1.13%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0333	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.082372	-1.41%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0605	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077919	-1.18%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0008	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083954	-1.52%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0592	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082051	-1.44%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0538	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083423	-1.45%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0980	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079998	-1.42%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0174	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083643	-1.48%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0328	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082529	-1.34%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0707	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083828	-1.44%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0277	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079328	-1.33%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0578	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081669	-1.25%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0298	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084207	-1.17%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0011	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085377	-1.18%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0801	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090365	-1.78%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0905	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091344	-1.99%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1194	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087982	-1.70%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0971	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.087257	-1.79%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1024	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089188	-1.88%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0991	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089973	-2.04%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0489	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093218	-2.29%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0906	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089606	-1.42%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0347	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.096388	-2.44%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0733	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.105516	-3.37%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1231	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.103006	-3.42%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1516	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.102917	-3.45%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1407	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.10294	-3.52%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1529	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093166	-2.03%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0169	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089552	-1.37%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0404	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086054	-0.63%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0273	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.100989	-3.73%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0012	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.093602	-2.29%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0458	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.097904	-2.92%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0205	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.100179	-3.40%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0111	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.100958	-3.76%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.0970	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090281	-1.87%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0288	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087187	-1.82%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0911	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083686	-1.37%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3165	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087771	-1.60%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1799	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091519	-2.95%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1995	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.097311	-3.46%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1486	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.094575	-3.30%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1812	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.106821	-5.13%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0714	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.088997	-2.52%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0698	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087858	-2.54%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0220	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087779	-2.03%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0774	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085807	-1.37%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.0998	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081734	-1.05%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2113	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075681	+0.37%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2740	✓	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.062388	+1.94%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5200	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.067442	+2.03%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2112	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.071349	+1.93%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1607	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.070766	+2.11%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.1798	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.067517	+3.08%	0.087	+32.82%	0.1717	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.069256	+3.37%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1188	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.085113	+0.85%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.1165	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.091784	-2.25%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3488	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085648	-0.64%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1453	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.090701	-2.47%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0943	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.087374	-1.94%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0220	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.089202	-1.98%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0386	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.087066	-1.84%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0026	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.092505	-3.14%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1120	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.083861	-1.46%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3329	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.086533	-1.78%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.1886	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.084622	-1.66%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2259	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080128	-1.44%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1801	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.0831	-1.42%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1516	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081104	-1.33%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1341	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.088115	-1.77%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1642	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.085737	-1.68%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0577	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.080393	-1.54%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1108	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.082342	-1.68%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0379	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.082171	-1.71%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0019	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.085076	-1.87%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0204	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.08724	-1.98%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0145	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.094568	-1.85%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0169	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.092092	-2.24%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0183	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.09401	-2.12%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0688	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.100224	-2.13%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0903	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.104875	-2.31%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1381	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.103565	-2.48%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1302	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.106786	-3.10%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1613	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.103977	-2.46%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0957	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.098732	-1.32%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0130	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.091557	-1.07%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0545	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087419	-1.11%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1297	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.088371	-1.48%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1379	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.089276	-1.46%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1426	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.08948	-1.78%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1773	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089266	-2.12%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1154	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.091184	-2.01%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0022	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.094028	-2.16%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0949	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.096402	-2.03%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1295	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.098981	-1.71%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0965	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097829	-2.32%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0949	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097872	-2.18%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0855	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.099462	-1.57%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0513	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.100411	-1.32%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0319	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.100377	-2.17%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0430	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.102199	-2.30%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0654	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.100922	-2.82%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0934	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.106355	-2.74%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0957	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.123098	-3.38%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2139	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.135283	-3.92%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3509	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.126087	-3.79%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2784	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.129091	-3.66%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2720	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.134468	-3.95%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2788	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.119669	-3.69%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2024	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.131542	-3.77%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2349	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.125388	-3.81%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0609	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.118696	-3.62%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1067	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.120042	-3.74%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0157	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.125088	-4.00%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0254	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.115544	-3.79%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0812	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.116804	-3.98%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0262	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.112742	-3.93%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0767	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.10619	-3.73%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0848	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.110462	-7.25%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0099	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102879	-2.94%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1307	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.091754	-1.18%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2744	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.087462	-1.00%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2720	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.085709	-0.80%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2849	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.087844	-0.91%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2686	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.088557	-0.78%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2064	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.092731	-0.98%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2905	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.099195	-1.30%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1327	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.096572	-1.16%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0089	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.095575	-1.01%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0085	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090166	-0.97%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0018	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091717	-1.06%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0215	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093369	-0.93%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0426	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097845	-1.17%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0197	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.105857	-2.39%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0531	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.114939	-3.05%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.0941	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.119482	-3.49%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1329	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105301	-2.00%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0454	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.107161	-2.80%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.0970	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105677	-2.47%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1053	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.10417	-2.19%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0383	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098527	-1.08%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0746	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098064	-1.10%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1095	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090195	-0.88%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1873	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092217	-0.90%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0057	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094002	-0.84%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0740	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097966	-0.74%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0408	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.115066	-3.27%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0703	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.110834	-2.95%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0567	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.111341	-3.77%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1519	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.102793	-1.73%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1130	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.096615	-1.01%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0423	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.100497	-1.38%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0650	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091252	-0.49%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0282	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.093985	-0.65%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1619	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.101557	-1.78%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0175	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.087117	+0.02%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.1924	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.087107	+0.12%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.0936	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089217	-0.37%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1298	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.095805	-0.93%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0828	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094373	-0.82%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0170	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093145	-0.54%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0044	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092017	-0.36%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0830	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.095805	-0.82%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0211	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.100526	-1.64%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0538	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095447	-0.78%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0392	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.100656	-1.51%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0024	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.09679	-0.52%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0000	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.09248	+0.69%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0036	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.082845	+1.53%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1215	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.082295	+1.54%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1885	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084919	+1.52%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2110	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.084146	+1.87%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1647	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085643	+2.20%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1654	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.085771	+2.41%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1620	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.081211	+2.93%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0315	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.0969	+2.16%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0152	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.097171	+2.18%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0370	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.105511	+1.50%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0336	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.10354	+2.21%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0161	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.108343	+1.92%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0410	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.121424	-1.16%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0511	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.124022	-1.33%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2600	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.139469	-3.81%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0862	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.134079	-3.12%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0420	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.123187	-1.33%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0941	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118263	-0.28%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1148	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.127052	-1.59%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1019	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123005	-1.12%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1388	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121757	-0.89%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1608	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.124773	-0.97%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1554	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.120081	-0.43%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1216	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.131512	-1.71%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0568	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.128985	-1.84%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.0998	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.137552	-2.03%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0876	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.141818	-1.99%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0190	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.140083	-1.90%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0214	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.157308	-2.78%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0442	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.156603	-3.15%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0899	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.148695	-3.00%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1421	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.158833	-3.44%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2638	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.155675	-3.31%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2295	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.163549	-3.34%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2547	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.159871	-3.17%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2348	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.172757	-3.33%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2144	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.201632	-3.62%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2582	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.183256	-3.45%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1157	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.185904	-3.48%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1058	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.19167	-3.59%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1682	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.188144	-3.81%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1217	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.165385	-3.28%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0602	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.156214	-3.09%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0922	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.158531	-3.22%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2189	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.153324	-3.08%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1387	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.150529	-3.13%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2061	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.148539	-2.98%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2602	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136314	-2.46%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3311	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.130136	-2.30%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2553	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.129809	-2.40%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2179	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.126745	-2.43%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2455	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.125085	-2.58%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2513	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.12584	-2.68%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2196	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.133201	-2.77%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1451	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.127453	-2.86%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.1012	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.116125	-2.66%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1174	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.121652	-2.87%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.129337	-3.08%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.131539	-2.74%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0486	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.147017	-2.99%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1337	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.151289	-3.14%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0776	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.143638	-3.21%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.157909	-3.27%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2008	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.