XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s4

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

59.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0389

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.079263	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077989	-0.30%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0251	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.076162	-0.23%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0051	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076524	-0.26%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0008	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.07849	-0.22%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0352	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082509	-0.27%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0454	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085415	-0.32%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0198	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.080123	-0.17%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0564	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082497	-0.20%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0024	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080356	-0.17%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0019	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.088088	-0.36%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0542	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.087012	-0.35%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0020	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084365	-0.30%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0278	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083558	-0.22%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0030	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.087378	-0.25%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0142	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.089633	-0.19%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0174	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.094559	-0.26%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0479	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.096085	-0.24%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0004	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.095434	-0.23%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0232	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.093274	-0.05%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0208	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.096036	-0.12%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0223	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094716	-0.15%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0096	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.09569	-0.08%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0071	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.09813	-0.15%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0279	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.105608	-0.45%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0514	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.110478	-0.89%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0415	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.112619	-1.75%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0170	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.10975	-0.99%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0496	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.090048	+0.05%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2077	✓	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.096376	+0.00%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0336	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097965	-0.03%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0092	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.089234	-0.00%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0048	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.092124	-0.07%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0305	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093717	-0.10%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0232	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.087363	-0.06%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0159	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.081062	+0.11%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0715	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081966	+0.11%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0240	✗	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.084037	+0.14%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0241	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077972	+0.23%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0478	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080267	+0.26%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0226	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082772	+0.35%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0343	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084363	+0.32%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0354	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089576	+0.44%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0307	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098586	+0.25%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0969	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093453	+0.55%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0642	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.090277	+0.78%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0551	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093894	+0.83%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0576	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094055	+0.92%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0132	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097332	+0.89%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0106	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083944	+0.80%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0502	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083355	+0.87%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0012	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084633	+0.91%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0003	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084814	+0.86%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0291	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.087538	+0.77%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0294	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.085143	+0.68%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0126	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.09046	+0.28%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0221	✗	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087922	+0.23%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0026	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090542	+0.08%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0408	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097213	-0.16%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0636	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101298	-0.34%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0625	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093145	-0.61%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0749	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.10059	-0.99%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0479	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088667	-0.23%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0428	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.080415	+0.01%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0309	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075858	-0.04%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0389	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.076043	-0.05%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0065	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074777	-0.06%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0202	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075754	-0.11%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0081	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.076264	-0.13%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0066	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.07524	-0.15%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0252	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073844	-0.10%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0199	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.078389	-0.17%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0559	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.078539	-0.18%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0087	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076461	-0.19%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0508	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075927	-0.21%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0104	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075722	-0.04%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0044	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.075063	-0.02%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0054	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074941	-0.04%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0097	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077752	-0.18%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0492	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077342	-0.31%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0067	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075836	-0.22%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0235	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.075101	-0.07%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0056	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073593	+0.06%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0224	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077997	-0.07%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0147	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.077144	-0.01%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0069	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.08344	-0.13%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0795	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078806	-0.06%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0550	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.085043	-0.24%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0396	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.083113	-0.16%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0026	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084518	-0.16%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0198	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.081011	-0.17%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0655	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.08472	-0.21%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0206	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.08353	-0.14%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0255	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084917	-0.16%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0432	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.08031	-0.11%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0459	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082651	-0.06%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0252	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.085194	-0.01%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0495	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086392	-0.01%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0167	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.09178	-0.24%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0407	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092908	-0.31%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0041	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089289	-0.24%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0156	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088619	-0.26%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0426	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090669	-0.25%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0195	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091578	-0.30%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0010	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095076	-0.34%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0579	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090875	-0.03%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0252	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098466	-0.34%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0536	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108395	-0.74%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0766	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.105837	-0.76%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0213	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.105764	-0.78%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0037	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105825	-0.82%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0065	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094835	-0.28%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0929	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090742	-0.06%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0097	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086747	+0.17%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0115	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103958	-0.90%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1472	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.09543	-0.39%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0800	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100316	-0.53%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0363	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.10295	-0.72%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0192	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103929	-0.93%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0085	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.0918	-0.22%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1623	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088601	-0.22%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0763	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084783	-0.08%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0769	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.089097	-0.12%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0658	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093765	-0.57%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0269	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.099976	-0.82%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0761	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.096976	-0.84%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0245	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.109942	-2.36%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0823	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090768	-0.58%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2435	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.089524	-0.69%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0356	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.089195	-0.45%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0032	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.086668	-0.38%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0004	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.082133	-0.57%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0349	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075553	+0.20%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.0898	✓	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.06158	+0.62%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1524	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066537	+0.66%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0779	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.070473	+0.68%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0316	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069787	+0.70%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0088	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.066051	+0.84%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0086	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067602	+0.90%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0273	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.084778	+0.45%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1807	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.093386	-0.55%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0962	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.086328	+0.15%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1429	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092573	-0.46%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0191	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088821	-0.31%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0895	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090702	-0.33%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0141	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.088378	-0.36%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0215	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094595	-0.95%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0615	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084981	-0.14%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1328	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.087859	-0.27%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0019	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085816	-0.27%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0568	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081143	-0.19%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0529	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.084195	-0.13%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0417	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.082125	-0.09%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0008	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.089487	-0.24%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0419	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.087002	-0.23%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0291	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081484	-0.20%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0535	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083563	-0.22%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0196	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.08342	-0.22%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0134	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086483	-0.25%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0198	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088734	-0.30%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0040	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.096086	-0.27%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0371	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093833	-0.39%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0086	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095683	-0.38%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0072	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.10199	-0.40%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0373	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106868	-0.45%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0342	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105699	-0.47%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0126	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.109399	-0.73%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0382	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.106106	-0.46%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0345	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.099919	-0.13%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0873	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.092497	-0.06%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0703	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.088364	-0.04%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0302	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.089545	-0.17%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0333	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090455	-0.16%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0064	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090865	-0.26%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0101	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090925	-0.30%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0308	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.09284	-0.23%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0274	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095773	-0.34%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0188	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.098053	-0.35%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0017	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.100396	-0.30%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0028	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099681	-0.47%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0078	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099681	-0.37%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0013	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100895	-0.15%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0062	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101712	-0.04%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0078	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.102333	-0.26%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0393	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.104319	-0.27%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0255	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.103402	-0.43%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0276	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108875	-0.43%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0108	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126508	-0.70%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1206	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.139355	-1.03%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1267	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.129874	-0.90%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0745	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.132873	-0.84%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0268	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.138531	-1.05%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0280	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123226	-0.82%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0550	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.135417	-0.94%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0405	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.129086	-0.97%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0556	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.12214	-0.82%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0419	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123579	-0.90%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0174	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.128866	-1.10%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0167	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.118932	-0.97%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0296	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.120321	-1.09%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0013	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.116051	-1.11%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0118	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.109034	-1.15%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0666	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.114554	-3.82%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0392	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.1053	-0.66%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1492	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092754	-0.10%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1358	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.088287	-0.07%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0186	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086395	-0.01%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0054	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.08861	-0.05%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0173	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089275	+0.03%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0063	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093591	-0.06%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0045	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.100315	-0.18%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0163	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097561	-0.14%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0140	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.096468	-0.08%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0197	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090999	-0.06%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0040	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092612	-0.10%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0056	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094215	-0.04%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0167	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098919	-0.08%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0604	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108018	-0.40%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0596	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.117802	-0.63%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0289	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.122723	-0.87%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0160	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107073	-0.35%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1059	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109625	-0.57%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0522	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.10787	-0.44%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0160	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106103	-0.37%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0125	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099528	-0.07%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0610	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.099064	-0.09%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0003	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090971	-0.03%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0544	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.09306	+0.01%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0769	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094822	+0.02%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0100	✓	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098786	+0.09%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0228	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118067	-0.74%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1228	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.11338	-0.72%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0842	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114401	-1.12%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0961	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104304	-0.28%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1147	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097534	-0.07%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0006	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.10173	-0.17%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0140	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091777	+0.08%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0796	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094608	+0.01%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0055	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102992	-0.39%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0739	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.08729	+0.22%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0852	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.087226	+0.26%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0108	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.08962	+0.08%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0356	✓	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096633	-0.07%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0689	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.09511	-0.04%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0172	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093704	+0.06%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0063	✗	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092441	+0.10%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0011	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096587	-0.01%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0224	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101956	-0.24%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0248	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.096195	-0.01%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0592	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101987	-0.21%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0380	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.09737	+0.07%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0286	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.092196	+0.38%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0003	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.082044	+0.54%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1304	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081475	+0.52%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0393	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084083	+0.52%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0098	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083084	+0.59%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0104	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084344	+0.65%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0424	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084332	+0.70%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0204	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.079488	+0.74%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1486	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095459	+0.64%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1396	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.09572	+0.65%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0733	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104528	+0.56%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0047	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101984	+0.67%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0340	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.107	+0.66%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0020	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122901	+0.04%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0160	✓	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.1257	+0.00%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0115	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143585	-0.98%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0067	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.137459	-0.68%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0522	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124804	-0.04%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0810	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118858	+0.22%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0052	✓	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.12891	-0.15%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0188	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.124392	-0.01%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0471	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122924	+0.06%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0116	✓	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.126064	+0.05%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0284	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.12081	+0.17%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0155	✓	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.133562	-0.18%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0052	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.131086	-0.24%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0475	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.139978	-0.30%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0271	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.144349	-0.24%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0182	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.142544	-0.18%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0170	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160946	-0.53%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0887	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.16065	-0.65%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0292	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.152506	-0.52%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0516	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163341	-0.70%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0721	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.16	-0.62%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0142	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168153	-0.62%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0396	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164217	-0.53%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0439	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.17758	-0.63%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0660	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.207393	-0.86%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0925	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.188394	-0.74%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1082	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.191113	-0.77%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0691	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.197054	-0.88%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0476	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.193514	-1.07%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0091	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.169798	-0.70%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1101	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.160191	-0.63%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0512	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.16263	-0.71%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157086	-0.70%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0272	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.154205	-0.77%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0343	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.152115	-0.64%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0206	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.139163	-0.42%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0896	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.132719	-0.36%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132461	-0.41%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129373	-0.41%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.127807	-0.46%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128658	-0.50%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136269	-0.53%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.130462	-0.56%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0463	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118731	-0.48%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0695	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124586	-0.53%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.132646	-0.60%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.134714	-0.40%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.150749	-0.53%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0884	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155255	-0.61%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.14748	-0.62%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.162168	-0.66%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0640	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.