TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1324
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0440
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.831793 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.83158 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.870544 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.878463 | -2.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.820408 | -2.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.860732 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.868001 | -2.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0137 | -2.83% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.2003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0005 | -2.86% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.985248 | -2.82% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.959522 | -2.81% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0653 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0495 | -3.43% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.092 | -3.94% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1974 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0195 | -3.57% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0003 | -3.43% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0451 | -3.76% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0936 | -4.33% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0658 | -4.38% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1085 | -5.17% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1284 | -6.14% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.81518 | -3.06% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.825722 | -3.18% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.846671 | -3.58% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2523 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.954325 | -5.01% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1581 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0617 | -6.74% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0039 | -7.52% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1283 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.848904 | -5.91% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3441 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.772655 | -5.68% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0798 | ✗ | 1.00 |