TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0663
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0089
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.873253 | -0.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.889376 | -0.21% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0169 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.897663 | -0.25% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0039 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.835883 | -0.21% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0733 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.877557 | -0.27% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0451 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.884492 | -0.27% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0055 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0389 | -0.43% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0257 | -0.42% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0091 | -0.46% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0391 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.982303 | -0.50% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0793 | -0.68% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0658 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1282 | -0.76% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0483 | -0.85% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0275 | -0.80% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0769 | -0.84% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1322 | -0.96% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.1037 | -0.98% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0376 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1546 | -1.23% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.184 | -1.51% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.834234 | -0.80% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.84586 | -0.81% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.870606 | -0.86% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.993363 | -1.13% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1223 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1171 | -1.86% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0576 | -2.57% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0855 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.887031 | -1.68% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2014 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.806566 | -1.54% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1082 | ✗ | 1.00 |