PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s4

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +7d

assessed

162

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0918

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0149

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.580613	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.578802	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.60075	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.614639	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.613085	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.597689	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.633587	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.578346	-2.31%	0.59875	+1.13%	0.0180	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.572584	-2.05%	0.59595	+1.95%	0.0203	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.60933	-2.25%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0178	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.603755	-2.10%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0484	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.660045	-2.61%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0329	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.662099	-2.55%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0640	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.646007	-2.28%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0183	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.629055	-1.88%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0635	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.645965	-1.89%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0887	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.645574	-1.85%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0194	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.723051	-2.43%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1333	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.782966	-3.79%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1278	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.701582	-2.32%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0222	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.727628	-2.59%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0856	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.687338	-2.09%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0527	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.698915	-2.52%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0582	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.664912	-2.23%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0211	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.653671	-2.53%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1133	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.639349	-2.55%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2288	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.606124	-1.87%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1677	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.642713	-2.85%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1478	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.605423	-2.16%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1451	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.56929	-1.83%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2358	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.56882	-1.66%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1959	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.564517	-1.63%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1956	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.504394	-1.59%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2412	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.528549	-1.84%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1352	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.528261	-1.90%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2041	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.504721	-2.05%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1531	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.504891	-2.04%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0881	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.478219	-1.83%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1377	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.488178	-1.73%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1212	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.46667	-1.67%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0722	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.472658	-1.67%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1108	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.47966	-2.12%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0982	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.478191	-2.87%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0756	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.46625	-2.51%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1109	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.431698	-1.46%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1332	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.442118	-1.42%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1203	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.421528	-0.35%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1357	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415323	-0.02%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1588	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.413112	+0.34%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1822	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.413764	+1.24%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1964	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.407753	+0.41%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1559	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.415209	+0.32%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0499	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.415913	+0.82%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0737	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.41903	+0.47%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0005	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.426604	+0.37%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0321	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.422463	+0.56%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0321	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.421483	+1.32%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0344	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.412555	+1.02%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0095	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.421754	+0.41%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0146	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.445138	-0.53%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0747	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.407364	+0.16%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0237	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.393337	+0.19%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0743	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.420043	-0.13%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0013	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.395449	-0.49%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0417	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39365	-1.02%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0216	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.38224	-1.46%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0818	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.364003	-1.22%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1877	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.362838	-1.28%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0954	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.371502	-1.28%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0343	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.365112	-1.11%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1170	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.373699	-1.15%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0499	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.374491	-1.16%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0507	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.386427	-1.33%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0010	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.395139	-1.40%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0714	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.402725	-1.51%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0852	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.387664	-1.32%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0236	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.388029	-1.32%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0455	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.389308	-1.43%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0269	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.388982	-1.37%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0219	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.395577	-1.45%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0080	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.407841	-1.68%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0193	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.431463	-1.98%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0590	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.435535	-2.13%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1107	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.426831	-2.01%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0893	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.44152	-2.16%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1100	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.424863	-2.16%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0757	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.417484	-2.16%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0395	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.392235	-1.56%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0563	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.373642	-1.18%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1682	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.38076	-1.33%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1597	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.38027	-1.34%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1389	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.375353	-1.24%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1850	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361561	-0.71%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1898	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340086	-0.36%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2354	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323816	-0.16%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2113	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.348526	-0.39%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0795	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.364628	-0.52%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0582	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.391008	-0.96%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0150	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.390095	-0.89%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0305	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.384427	-0.73%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0592	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.381543	-0.67%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1170	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.387458	-0.84%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1902	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.411229	-1.08%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1649	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412539	-1.09%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1219	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.409789	-1.06%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0364	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.389511	-0.89%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0087	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.395824	-0.92%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0296	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.410145	-1.05%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0704	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401697	-0.96%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0223	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.3882	-0.72%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0680	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.415855	-1.01%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0008	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.419993	-1.04%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0191	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.4124	-0.95%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0531	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.4124	-0.87%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0381	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.414209	-0.79%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0123	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.449176	-1.24%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1075	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.453547	-1.38%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1544	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.455271	-1.00%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0851	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.426333	-0.34%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0078	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.433654	-0.22%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0431	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.456939	-0.43%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0930	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.497762	-0.85%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1785	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.53472	-1.26%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1678	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.543543	-1.35%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1728	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.550643	-1.41%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1868	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.556398	-1.37%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2682	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.592124	-1.80%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3123	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.54493	-1.26%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1690	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.550205	-1.35%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0892	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.575484	-1.58%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0595	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.573153	-1.60%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0383	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.582989	-1.67%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0428	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.6049	-1.93%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0697	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.546639	-1.26%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0986	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.578101	-1.42%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0541	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.574169	-1.36%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0389	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.59286	-1.63%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0206	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.623653	-1.96%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0735	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.632229	-1.84%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0740	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.634698	-1.87%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0354	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.603276	-1.65%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0844	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.599756	-1.61%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0063	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.594628	-1.80%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0174	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.617475	-2.25%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0389	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.611417	-2.26%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1447	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.604846	-2.14%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1988	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.596647	-2.04%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2057	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.613076	-2.13%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0965	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.6249	-2.21%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.596428	-2.02%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1440	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.604842	-2.03%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1234	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.60506	-1.98%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0785	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.638556	-2.12%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.625561	-2.06%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.646106	-2.13%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0225	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.618952	-2.00%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.565146	-1.70%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0866	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.622934	-1.85%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.70737	-2.05%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1306	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.74602	-2.23%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1153	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.697655	-1.99%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.725084	-2.06%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0492	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.68813	-2.03%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.749673	-2.25%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2182	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.78146	-2.37%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1477	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.878952	-3.50%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1364	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.943646	-5.94%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1804	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.826975	-4.54%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1358	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.619524	-2.01%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1648	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.