PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s4

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1937

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0215

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.58605	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.578562	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.58943	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.587607	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.570358	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.603294	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.54803	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.539422	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.574768	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.566649	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.617223	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.617633	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.601054	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.585765	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.602156	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.599376	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.676419	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.743067	-8.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.653532	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.684867	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.645292	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.660114	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.627172	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.61848	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.603356	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.581885	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.612421	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.586992	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.568848	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.580508	+0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.583967	+1.76%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.1038	✓	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.507109	-1.06%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.1884	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.526013	-2.31%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1830	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.524066	-2.68%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1801	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.479005	-7.04%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2173	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.47888	-7.09%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2774	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.461907	-5.18%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2151	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.488089	-1.74%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1635	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.464567	-2.11%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2632	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.473986	-1.40%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2413	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.484667	-1.10%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3049	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.482702	-1.95%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3129	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.4835	+1.10%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.2925	✓	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.446407	+1.90%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3484	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.45778	+2.07%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3467	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.434717	+2.77%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.3903	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.42853	+3.16%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5200	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.427178	+3.76%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6146	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.432694	+5.87%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.4910	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.419759	+3.36%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5513	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.431117	+4.16%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4619	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.438068	+6.19%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.4767	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.443837	+6.42%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4050	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.457337	+7.60%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.3651	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.455599	+8.45%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.3426	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.458225	+10.15%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.2839	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.450537	+10.32%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.3664	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.464711	+10.63%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.2653	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.497299	+11.13%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1369	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.447287	+9.98%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2344	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.428515	+9.15%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.2674	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.459328	+9.21%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1032	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.412246	+3.74%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2570	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396152	-0.39%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.2892	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.377957	-2.56%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.2993	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.359951	-2.32%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3435	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.357013	-2.87%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.2945	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.366108	-2.71%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2827	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.36034	-2.40%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2531	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.369712	-2.21%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2462	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.370404	-2.24%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2590	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.382117	-2.43%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2244	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.391418	-2.33%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1624	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.39955	-2.29%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0545	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.384921	-2.02%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1118	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.385181	-2.04%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0636	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.384785	-2.57%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0370	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.38443	-2.53%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0194	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.38935	-3.00%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0087	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.397853	-4.09%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0300	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.414718	-5.79%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0521	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.415503	-6.63%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0574	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.411145	-5.61%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0332	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.425259	-5.76%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0386	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.414001	-4.66%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0081	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.407959	-4.39%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0013	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.38519	-3.33%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0373	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.369841	-2.18%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0997	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.376053	-2.55%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1414	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.377707	-2.01%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0438	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.374709	-1.41%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0182	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.359995	-1.14%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1224	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.337936	-0.99%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1427	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.3205	-1.19%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2059	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.345987	-1.12%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1143	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.362988	-0.97%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0160	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.388073	-1.70%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0506	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.387678	-1.50%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0271	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.383421	-0.99%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0313	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.381184	-0.76%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0024	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.385799	-1.27%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0229	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.410666	-1.21%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0467	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412398	-1.13%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0292	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.410265	-0.95%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0059	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.390333	-0.68%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0013	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.399009	-0.12%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0228	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.414774	+0.07%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0517	✗	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.406501	+0.22%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0320	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390058	-0.24%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0274	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.415239	-1.16%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0023	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.419247	-1.21%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0456	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.412438	-0.94%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0723	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414432	-0.38%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0418	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417969	+0.11%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0600	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.455501	+0.15%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0531	✗	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.46102	+0.24%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0837	✗	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457833	-0.44%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1445	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.425122	-0.63%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1240	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.43086	-0.86%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1162	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.453027	-1.28%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1639	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.493877	-1.63%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2605	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.530518	-2.04%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3731	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.538682	-2.24%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4517	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.545387	-2.35%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.5182	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.552215	-2.12%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4545	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.5856	-2.89%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4668	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.540002	-2.16%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.3128	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.545019	-2.28%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3240	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.569618	-2.59%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3850	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.565505	-2.92%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3865	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.57496	-3.03%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3849	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.594648	-3.59%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3582	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.540845	-2.30%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2600	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.570672	-2.68%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3274	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.5669	-2.61%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3702	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.582451	-3.36%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3752	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.60827	-4.38%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3836	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.618719	-3.94%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4309	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.620141	-4.12%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4682	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.588443	-4.07%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3325	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.586326	-3.82%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.3138	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.580545	-4.12%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2921	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.592895	-6.14%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2653	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.584641	-6.54%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1767	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.578457	-6.41%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0966	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.57164	-6.14%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0749	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.585806	-6.48%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1038	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.594401	-6.98%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1150	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.56586	-7.04%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.572078	-7.34%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.570696	-7.55%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0779	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.60159	-7.79%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0760	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.588086	-7.92%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1114	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.606355	-8.16%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1063	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.577325	-8.59%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1762	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.523621	-8.92%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3407	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.579794	-8.65%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1279	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.662799	-8.22%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.703246	-7.83%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.657472	-7.63%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.68527	-7.43%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0851	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.647732	-7.78%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1725	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.705998	-7.94%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.739084	-7.66%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0538	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.834999	-8.32%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.88637	-11.65%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1397	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.757879	-12.52%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0613	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.578777	-8.45%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3806	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.