PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +7d
assessed
37
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
56.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2548
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0159
actual -0.1660
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.0014 | -0.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.00205 | +3.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003338 | +2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003706 | +1.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.00402 | +1.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004828 | -0.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005035 | -0.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004869 | +0.30% | 0.001409 | -70.96% | 1.2924 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004384 | +1.31% | 0.001988 | -54.06% | 0.7828 | ✗ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004959 | +0.49% | 0.003266 | -33.82% | 0.4226 | ✗ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005613 | -1.62% | 0.003638 | -36.25% | 0.3492 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004869 | +0.73% | 0.003952 | -18.24% | 0.1318 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.00501 | +0.70% | 0.004829 | -2.92% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.00544 | +0.05% | 0.005071 | -6.74% | 0.0924 | ✗ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005439 | -0.31% | 0.004854 | -11.03% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005879 | -1.06% | 0.004327 | -27.17% | 0.1790 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005678 | -0.75% | 0.004935 | -13.74% | 0.0718 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005918 | -0.72% | 0.005705 | -4.29% | 0.1111 | ✗ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.00592 | -0.66% | 0.004834 | -18.89% | 0.1036 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006909 | -0.51% | 0.004975 | -28.36% | 0.2217 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007478 | -0.42% | 0.005437 | -27.59% | 0.1473 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.008038 | -0.56% | 0.005456 | -32.51% | 0.3719 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007195 | -0.46% | 0.005941 | -17.80% | 0.2965 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008232 | -0.47% | 0.005721 | -30.82% | 0.3909 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008494 | -0.31% | 0.005961 | -30.03% | 0.3779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008894 | -0.41% | 0.005959 | -33.27% | 0.4043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010623 | -2.91% | 0.006944 | -36.54% | 0.4301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012441 | -4.74% | 0.007509 | -42.50% | 0.5104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010732 | -3.26% | 0.008083 | -27.13% | 0.2736 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.010068 | -0.91% | 0.007228 | -28.86% | 0.3012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.010101 | -0.84% | 0.00827 | -18.82% | 0.1631 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008806 | -2.09% | 0.00852 | -5.27% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008682 | -2.02% | 0.00893 | +0.78% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009626 | -3.55% | 0.010942 | +9.64% | 0.0892 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.007833 | -3.13% | 0.01306 | +61.51% | 0.4112 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007291 | -3.13% | 0.011093 | +47.38% | 0.3170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007225 | -3.29% | 0.010161 | +36.02% | 0.2097 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.008878 | -3.59% | 0.010187 | +10.62% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007663 | -3.43% | 0.008994 | +13.35% | 0.1050 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008101 | -3.52% | 0.008861 | +5.54% | 0.0396 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.007898 | -3.49% | 0.00998 | +21.94% | 0.1875 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006499 | -3.57% | 0.008086 | +19.97% | 0.2209 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.006844 | -2.53% | 0.007527 | +7.20% | 0.1229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.008939 | -3.04% | 0.00747 | -18.97% | 0.1423 | ✓ | 1.00 |