PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s4

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

52.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1175

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0481

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.001205	+0.18%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.001211	+0.38%	0.001203	-0.33%	0.0144	✗	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002008	+1.03%	0.001207	-39.31%	0.5550	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003281	+0.46%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5526	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003644	+0.19%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1017	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003953	+0.03%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1129	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.0048	-0.62%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1887	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005034	-0.72%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0122	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004833	-0.44%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0220	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004332	+0.12%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1898	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004924	-0.22%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.1993	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.00566	-0.80%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0389	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004839	+0.12%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1267	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004984	+0.18%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0490	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005435	-0.05%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1320	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005456	+0.01%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0794	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005921	-0.34%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0364	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005719	-0.04%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0490	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005955	-0.11%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0010	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005959	-0.00%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0931	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006921	-0.33%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1624	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007482	-0.36%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0562	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008048	-0.44%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1406	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007209	-0.27%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1191	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008238	-0.39%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1329	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008487	-0.39%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008891	-0.44%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0431	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010849	-0.85%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1984	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012814	-1.88%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1545	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010976	-1.06%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1738	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010084	-0.76%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1167	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010107	-0.79%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0100	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008924	-0.78%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0676	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008792	-0.78%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009869	-1.10%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1122	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008022	-0.79%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1608	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007477	-0.67%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0756	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007422	-0.64%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009122	-0.95%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1661	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007878	-0.72%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1384	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008329	-0.79%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008123	-0.74%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0323	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006712	-0.41%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1895	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.006995	-0.37%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009151	-0.74%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2628	✓	1.00