ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +7d
assessed
81
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4510
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0319
actual -0.1911
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.037653 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.03762 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.039605 | -6.08% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021848 | +1.95% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.021362 | +2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.028063 | +1.42% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033069 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029832 | +1.55% | 0.03943 | +34.22% | 0.2167 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033634 | -0.07% | 0.03956 | +17.54% | 0.0871 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035941 | -0.84% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.1647 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036282 | -0.69% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.5295 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.052133 | -3.07% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8776 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.05896 | -3.74% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.7189 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.057619 | -3.64% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.5258 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041729 | -1.63% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.3609 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049174 | -2.40% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.3458 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.051972 | -2.67% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.3184 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.065284 | -3.56% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.5166 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.088489 | -5.55% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4648 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.098838 | -6.82% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4503 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.073927 | -5.21% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1818 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.080989 | -6.11% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.6088 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.083937 | -6.69% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.5070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.063521 | -5.02% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1961 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.067072 | -5.49% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.085001 | -7.48% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.0734 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.068539 | -6.37% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4329 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.070474 | -7.07% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.057575 | -6.06% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.3987 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.061601 | -6.82% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.3884 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.056823 | -6.80% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.1930 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.072291 | -9.19% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.051012 | -7.83% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5484 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.050922 | -8.67% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.036569 | -7.31% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.6903 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.045415 | -9.98% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.1997 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.026315 | -7.82% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015482 | -3.70% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013761 | -3.19% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6529 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.0148 | -3.59% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.2638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016516 | -4.18% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.1666 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.018678 | -5.06% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7013 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 9.09e-7 | -44.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 4.71e-7 | -58.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 2.79e-7 | -63.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 5.92e-7 | -59.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010031 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009092 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000009739 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010131 | -3.97% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8286 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010478 | -4.05% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2403 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010581 | -3.94% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6004 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000010777 | -3.82% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 1.9783 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012048 | -5.02% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1288 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011217 | -3.96% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1657 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009477 | -0.87% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0473 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010274 | -0.93% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011504 | -1.72% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011617 | -0.67% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012527 | -1.13% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1162 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013341 | -1.62% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014372 | -2.03% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.1860 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015057 | -2.23% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3843 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015158 | -1.76% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3229 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015447 | -1.42% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2308 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014944 | -0.17% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2070 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015311 | +0.40% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1695 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016634 | +0.51% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2135 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016786 | +1.18% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1434 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017641 | +1.09% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1399 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.00001817 | +1.40% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1505 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.00001766 | +2.44% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1312 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000020193 | +2.50% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3623 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000024029 | +0.46% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4550 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027359 | -1.23% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4853 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029011 | -1.66% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.00003216 | -2.72% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031197 | -1.80% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.5869 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000032833 | -1.70% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.6888 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035074 | -2.30% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000037291 | -2.38% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.4842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000039417 | -2.19% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039341 | -2.14% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3542 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000041194 | -2.61% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2737 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000042881 | -3.42% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.2890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000044485 | -3.71% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000041748 | -3.14% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000040874 | -2.91% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000039693 | -2.47% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000038764 | -1.86% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040108 | -2.17% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.1939 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041269 | -2.21% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1786 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036447 | -1.49% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.00004581 | -2.32% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0794 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000054221 | -2.65% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1472 | ✓ | 1.00 |