ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s4
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
42.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1569
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0119
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.041934 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041248 | -2.19% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0418 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021399 | -0.14% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6474 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020804 | -0.22% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027623 | -0.17% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3000 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033075 | -0.34% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1749 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.02932 | -0.19% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1428 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033529 | -0.38% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1495 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.03604 | -0.56% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036334 | -0.54% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053307 | -0.89% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3328 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060595 | -1.07% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1379 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059124 | -1.12% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042055 | -0.86% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3325 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049935 | -0.89% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1322 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052905 | -0.93% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.067067 | -0.93% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2246 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.09239 | -1.39% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.103943 | -2.01% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1305 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.07702 | -1.24% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3164 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084889 | -1.58% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0807 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.088121 | -2.03% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065909 | -1.45% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3120 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069842 | -1.58% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089483 | -2.60% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071718 | -2.03% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2471 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074008 | -2.41% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060077 | -1.98% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2364 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064541 | -2.38% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0518 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059508 | -2.40% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076074 | -4.43% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053649 | -3.07% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053531 | -3.99% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038402 | -2.66% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3684 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.047531 | -5.79% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027773 | -2.71% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5942 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015896 | -1.13% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5781 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014056 | -1.11% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015167 | -1.20% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017009 | -1.31% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0966 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019379 | -1.50% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1179 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001529 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 9.62e-7 | -14.83% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.5372 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.23e-7 | -19.10% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.5806 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001248 | -15.41% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.4746 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010497 | -0.17% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9635 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009417 | +0.18% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1033 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010132 | +0.07% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0767 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010554 | +0.04% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010923 | +0.03% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000011022 | +0.06% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011217 | +0.11% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012669 | -0.13% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1272 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.00001169 | +0.09% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0785 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009603 | +0.45% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1670 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010417 | +0.45% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0776 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011751 | +0.39% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1079 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011754 | +0.50% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012733 | +0.50% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0675 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013619 | +0.44% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0521 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014727 | +0.39% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0824 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015447 | +0.31% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0299 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015486 | +0.37% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.00001573 | +0.38% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015049 | +0.53% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015341 | +0.60% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0267 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016657 | +0.65% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0988 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016706 | +0.70% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017566 | +0.67% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000018039 | +0.66% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017368 | +0.74% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019849 | +0.75% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2131 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000024073 | +0.64% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1533 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027849 | +0.54% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029645 | +0.49% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033174 | +0.34% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031919 | +0.47% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033572 | +0.52% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0905 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000036047 | +0.41% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038354 | +0.40% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0828 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.00004047 | +0.42% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040387 | +0.46% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042458 | +0.37% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044364 | -0.08% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000046022 | -0.39% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043073 | -0.06% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041992 | -0.26% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.00004058 | -0.29% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039467 | -0.08% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040799 | -0.49% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041953 | -0.58% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036757 | -0.66% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1515 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046534 | -0.78% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055282 | -0.75% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1766 | ✓ | 1.00 |