MON

Monad · native · lstm_s4

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 969

Track record at +7d

assessed

316

of 323 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0941

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0080

actual +0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.021679	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021845	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020749	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020917	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021543	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022577	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022673	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023775	-1.32%	0.021918	-9.03%	0.1032	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.024057	-1.41%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0824	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023928	-1.37%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1372	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.027006	-1.97%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.2179	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024756	-1.48%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.1023	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.024131	-1.17%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0362	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.023759	-0.91%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0429	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.025226	-0.81%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0160	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.028091	-1.18%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.1010	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.030763	-2.21%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1714	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.032508	-2.49%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1201	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.032991	-2.60%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2416	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.03152	-2.45%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2225	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.032675	-2.94%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2565	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030929	-2.61%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1911	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.026685	-0.65%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0321	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.028185	-1.24%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.0715	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.027876	-0.83%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1450	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.026616	-0.45%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2356	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.026319	-0.31%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.1982	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024973	-0.03%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.2907	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.024039	+0.17%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.2926	✓	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.02731	+0.01%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0248	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025713	+0.33%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.1551	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024881	-0.43%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.0628	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024741	-0.28%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0207	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.024615	-0.24%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0129	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.023178	-0.33%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0750	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.022167	+0.11%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0736	✗	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021757	+0.34%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0325	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.02294	+0.11%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0422	✗	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022682	+0.16%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0147	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.0232	+0.27%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0073	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023448	+0.59%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0181	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.0231	+0.77%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0104	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.025189	+0.85%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0886	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025866	+0.91%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.1231	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027335	+1.22%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1599	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027755	+2.40%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.1408	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025678	+2.99%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0586	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025857	+3.27%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0599	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.02813	+3.79%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.1234	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025786	+1.66%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0482	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.02692	+1.67%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0664	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.027228	+2.91%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0165	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.027126	+2.17%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0436	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.027509	+2.95%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.1242	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.028102	+2.80%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.1453	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.029843	+4.32%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.1119	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.029517	+3.27%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.1235	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.028598	+3.04%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0586	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.032278	+2.19%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1920	✗	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030939	+1.67%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.1519	✗	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.028602	+1.67%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0873	✗	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.029276	+2.18%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0607	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.026236	-1.80%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0358	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.022551	-0.08%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.0828	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.021121	-0.50%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0351	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021589	-0.82%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1285	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.020148	-0.65%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1563	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020725	-0.75%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0631	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020936	-0.87%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0510	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.021318	-0.95%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0563	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021576	-1.05%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0635	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.021226	-0.84%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0212	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021552	-0.90%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0005	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.02084	-0.63%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0118	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020747	-0.57%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0432	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020798	-0.46%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0527	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.020366	-0.36%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0716	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020908	-0.38%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0652	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.02047	-0.30%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0547	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.021386	-0.65%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0079	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020854	-0.50%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0213	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020385	-0.37%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0194	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.02064	-0.34%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0288	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021596	-0.48%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0462	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.020691	-0.33%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0002	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.021144	-0.43%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0336	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.020066	-0.22%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0750	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.021281	-0.35%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0222	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020537	-0.31%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0279	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021727	-0.61%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0217	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.022213	-0.55%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0166	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022805	-0.50%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0488	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022823	-0.49%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0173	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022685	-0.81%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0886	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.021118	-0.48%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0024	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021461	-0.51%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0304	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021786	-0.70%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0008	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021419	-0.65%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0135	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.022139	-0.68%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0052	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022484	-0.78%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0126	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.022047	-1.09%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0311	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022542	-1.15%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0821	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.02207	-0.90%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0470	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022701	-1.13%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0284	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022792	-1.25%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0702	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.02281	-1.21%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0851	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023926	-1.86%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0957	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024339	-2.53%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0446	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021482	-0.50%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0558	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.021023	-0.46%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0403	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020442	-0.28%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0755	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019948	-0.18%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1025	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019995	-0.22%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0830	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.01841	+0.44%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1580	✓	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018929	+0.05%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1799	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018716	+0.30%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0345	✓	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018901	+0.38%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0280	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019425	+0.44%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0130	✗	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019282	+0.69%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0120	✗	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019762	+0.44%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0419	✓	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.020142	+0.23%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0211	✓	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020669	+0.19%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0176	✓	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020782	+0.16%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0011	✓	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020615	+0.15%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0280	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020707	+0.23%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0291	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.021152	+0.34%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0089	✗	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021828	+0.26%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0069	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.02306	+0.09%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0565	✗	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022628	+0.08%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0310	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022498	+0.04%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0145	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021883	+0.29%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0555	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.021219	+0.66%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0249	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021771	+0.75%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0134	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.021335	+1.35%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0648	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021589	+1.50%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0449	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.021193	+1.60%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0252	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.022477	+1.38%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0661	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021573	+2.34%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0906	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021647	+2.79%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0989	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.022067	+2.50%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0139	✓	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.021003	+2.76%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.0761	✓	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020975	+2.57%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1581	✓	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022746	+1.05%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1459	✓	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023794	+0.06%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2151	✓	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.023318	+0.36%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2494	✓	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.023429	+0.64%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2266	✓	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023827	+0.62%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1544	✓	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.023459	+0.64%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1299	✓	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024966	-0.26%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0301	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.02611	-0.61%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0102	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.025163	-0.42%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0216	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.025672	-0.38%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0382	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.026069	-0.31%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0678	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.028435	-0.75%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0978	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026728	-0.66%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0704	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025803	-0.41%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0108	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026799	-0.67%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0263	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.027532	-0.96%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0766	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.02748	-0.97%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0336	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.02802	-0.92%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0064	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.029491	-0.94%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0427	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.029834	-1.21%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0644	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.030432	-1.36%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0824	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032986	-1.89%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.1028	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.034658	-2.34%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1266	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033828	-2.43%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1476	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.033414	-2.44%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1448	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.031695	-2.12%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0832	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031638	-2.02%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0109	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030685	-2.00%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0117	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.028887	-1.91%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1254	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.0285	-2.16%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1677	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029438	-2.23%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1353	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029438	-2.13%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1233	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.026681	-1.76%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1391	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026555	-1.65%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.1122	✗	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.028537	-2.10%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0256	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.0299	-2.35%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0513	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.031261	-2.58%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0689	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030533	-2.45%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0293	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.029916	-2.52%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0062	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.031623	-2.64%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1223	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032778	-2.78%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1566	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.031836	-2.76%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0877	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.03102	-2.74%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0359	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029297	-2.60%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0146	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.031555	-2.76%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0379	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033865	-2.66%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.1040	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.033385	-2.67%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0760	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.034195	-2.69%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0669	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.03359	-2.64%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0603	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.035052	-2.72%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.1167	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031851	-2.63%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.1068	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.034588	-2.73%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.1047	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.034152	-2.73%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0441	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.032078	-2.68%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0149	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.030296	-2.71%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.0901	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.029584	-2.68%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1184	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.026436	-2.45%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2218	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.027533	-2.64%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1441	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.026543	-2.63%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.2009	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.026496	-2.84%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.1862	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024419	-2.28%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2218	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023441	-1.63%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2351	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.024297	-2.30%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1636	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.022086	-1.00%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1695	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021835	-0.93%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2075	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022948	-1.43%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1557	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.022182	-0.93%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.1962	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023889	-1.77%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0758	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025654	-2.90%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0238	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.023106	-0.98%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1093	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021486	-0.34%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1026	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020454	-0.37%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1051	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.021305	-0.49%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1297	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.0223	-0.62%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0688	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021877	-0.47%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1235	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.02288	-0.74%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1430	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023437	-0.69%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0478	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024454	-1.24%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0638	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023249	-0.90%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0439	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.022076	-0.47%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0068	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021841	-0.34%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0344	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.021152	-0.23%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0485	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021337	-0.34%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0600	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021494	-0.35%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0289	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.02116	-0.33%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0513	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020348	-0.35%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0277	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021564	-0.53%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0383	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021641	-0.46%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0341	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.0217	-0.18%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0174	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022519	-0.18%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0104	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020355	-0.12%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0311	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.021151	-0.28%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0102	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020781	-0.33%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0209	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.02105	-0.38%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0250	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020609	-0.29%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0188	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020976	-0.30%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0149	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021486	-0.34%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0201	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.020065	+0.17%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0484	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020543	+0.06%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0302	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019858	+0.01%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0762	✓	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020605	-0.07%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0396	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.021005	-0.17%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0154	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020437	-0.01%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0215	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.020194	+0.17%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0424	✓	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.022022	-0.49%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0446	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.023129	-1.62%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0582	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023462	-2.32%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1503	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022909	-2.05%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0795	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022493	-1.26%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0551	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.020241	+0.45%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0007	✓	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.019235	+0.97%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0554	✓	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019814	+0.63%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1286	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.018172	+1.18%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.2745	✓	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.018354	+1.29%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.2893	✓	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.0189	+1.56%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2057	✓	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018878	+1.71%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2115	✓	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017812	+3.32%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.0683	✓	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019889	+0.81%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0550	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017852	+1.78%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2238	✓	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018568	+0.53%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1200	✓	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.018138	+1.73%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1179	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.018282	+1.34%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.1882	✓	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019887	-1.50%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1584	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019717	-1.46%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2505	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.02088	-1.88%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2090	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021657	-2.36%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0066	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018578	-1.23%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1387	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.01771	-0.45%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1513	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018836	-1.33%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1041	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.018114	-1.10%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.1824	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017926	-0.96%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.1780	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018558	-1.08%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1396	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.017786	-0.58%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2101	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019795	-1.62%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0019	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.021326	-1.99%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.1037	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021643	-2.11%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.021815	-2.13%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.1099	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.021646	-2.19%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.1128	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.022648	-2.32%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.1088	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.024117	-2.56%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.2185	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.022463	-2.63%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.1244	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.023161	-2.85%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0911	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.023551	-2.88%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.1124	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.025328	-3.03%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1790	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.026908	-3.21%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2411	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.025978	-3.10%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1706	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.028766	-3.60%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1643	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.027265	-3.66%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1439	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.027604	-3.99%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.1407	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.028028	-4.41%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.1426	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.026597	-4.84%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0234	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.022786	-3.86%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.1811	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021869	-3.66%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.1759	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.02174	-3.80%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.2774	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.02078	-3.21%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2631	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021579	-3.84%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2630	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.022118	-4.25%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2633	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.022323	-4.32%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2069	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.022176	-4.21%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0559	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.021008	-3.15%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.0783	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019407	-1.78%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1413	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018942	-1.40%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1418	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.020087	-2.01%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1194	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.01859	-0.96%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2231	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018882	-0.88%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2206	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.017054	+0.85%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.2858	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018742	+0.06%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1300	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021299	-1.16%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0702	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019823	-0.24%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.02049	-0.73%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.023124	-1.64%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1870	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023661	-1.70%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1923	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.025689	-2.10%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3385	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.026319	-2.20%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2748	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.026739	-2.31%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1622	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.027426	-2.43%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2744	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.024975	-2.36%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1657	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.026505	-2.52%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1309	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026525	-2.59%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.1075	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.026916	-2.79%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.029657	-2.89%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0819	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.