MON

Monad · native · lstm_s4

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 969

Track record at +30d

assessed

293

of 323 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1344

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0403

actual +0.0246

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.020763	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.02096	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.019865	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020026	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.020583	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.02159	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.021689	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.022737	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023018	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.022865	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.025744	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.02365	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.023113	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.022808	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024333	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.027105	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.029302	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.030915	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.031325	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.030047	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.031095	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.029402	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.026152	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.027444	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.02729	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.026192	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.025954	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024707	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.023845	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.027178	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025672	+0.17%	0.021918	-14.48%	0.0946	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024425	-2.26%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.1329	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024311	-2.01%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1622	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.024158	-2.09%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.1570	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022448	-3.47%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.1274	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.021387	-3.41%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0354	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.02092	-3.52%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0309	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.02222	-3.03%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0174	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.021892	-3.33%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0089	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.022466	-2.90%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0068	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.022768	-2.33%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.0709	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022385	-2.34%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0037	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.024633	-1.38%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0860	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025341	-1.14%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.1133	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026926	-0.29%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.1303	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027428	+1.19%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0515	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.02529	+1.43%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1187	✓	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025533	+1.98%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.1524	✓	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.028172	+3.95%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.1274	✓	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025419	+0.22%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1241	✓	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026657	+0.67%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1150	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.027311	+3.22%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.0746	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.027128	+2.18%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.1037	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.027876	+4.32%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0590	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.028578	+4.54%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.1209	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.031294	+9.39%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.2213	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.030844	+7.92%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.2351	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.030052	+8.29%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.2762	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.033881	+7.27%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.4291	✗	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.032227	+5.90%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2980	✗	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.030052	+6.82%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.3074	✗	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.031489	+9.90%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.2762	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.026051	-2.49%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1865	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.022526	-0.19%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0903	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020816	-1.94%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0926	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.02121	-2.56%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.1636	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019716	-2.78%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.1272	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.02026	-2.98%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.1368	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020433	-3.25%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.1362	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020792	-3.39%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.1307	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021009	-3.65%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.1366	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020721	-3.20%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.1200	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021021	-3.34%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0682	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020387	-2.79%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0067	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020307	-2.68%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0396	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020369	-2.52%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0201	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019938	-2.45%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0456	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020459	-2.52%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0598	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020018	-2.50%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0103	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020803	-3.36%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0503	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.02032	-3.05%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0111	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.019875	-2.86%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0007	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020138	-2.76%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0070	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021095	-2.79%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0028	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.020229	-2.56%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0422	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020665	-2.68%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0246	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.01965	-2.29%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.0905	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020885	-2.20%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0437	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020143	-2.22%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.1802	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021256	-2.76%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.1027	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021776	-2.50%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0310	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.02239	-2.31%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0190	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022426	-2.22%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.0505	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.02216	-3.10%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0639	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020707	-2.42%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0248	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021049	-2.42%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0403	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021291	-2.96%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0252	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.020945	-2.85%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0139	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.021668	-2.79%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0127	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.021985	-2.98%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0128	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021405	-3.97%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0083	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.021907	-3.94%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0183	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021543	-3.27%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0061	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022113	-3.69%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0702	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022166	-3.96%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.1026	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022212	-3.80%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.1275	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.02316	-5.00%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1485	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.02347	-6.01%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1265	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.02117	-1.95%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0424	✓	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020717	-1.91%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0287	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020176	-1.58%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0133	✓	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019676	-1.55%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0061	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019653	-1.93%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0239	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.017958	-2.03%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0323	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.01853	-2.06%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0192	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018289	-1.99%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0343	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018504	-1.73%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0153	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019043	-1.54%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0240	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.018875	-1.44%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0330	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019373	-1.53%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0387	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019776	-1.59%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0578	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020346	-1.38%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0621	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020417	-1.60%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0284	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020284	-1.46%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.0938	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020367	-1.42%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0084	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020822	-1.22%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0172	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021557	-0.98%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0327	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.02281	-1.00%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0064	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022389	-0.98%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0366	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022228	-1.17%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0383	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021591	-1.05%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.0913	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020908	-0.82%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.0813	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021472	-0.64%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0308	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020951	-0.47%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0154	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021204	-0.31%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0423	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020806	-0.26%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1280	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.022092	-0.35%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.0980	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021037	-0.20%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.0813	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021119	+0.28%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0516	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021533	+0.01%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0017	✓	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020305	-0.66%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0525	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.02024	-1.03%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1375	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022064	-1.98%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2316	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023116	-2.79%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2030	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.022629	-2.61%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.1920	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022742	-2.31%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.1821	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023161	-2.19%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.1617	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.022773	-2.31%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2215	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024368	-2.64%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.1849	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.025508	-2.90%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.1491	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.024568	-2.78%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.1554	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.025073	-2.70%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.0961	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025428	-2.76%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.0837	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.027756	-3.12%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0016	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026029	-3.26%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.0871	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025078	-3.21%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.1441	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026035	-3.50%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1077	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.026694	-3.98%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1217	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.026648	-3.97%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1036	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.027214	-3.77%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1078	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.028717	-3.54%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.0948	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.028886	-4.35%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.0578	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029432	-4.60%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.0827	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.031687	-5.75%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0555	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.033058	-6.85%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0081	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.032197	-7.13%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0479	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.031783	-7.20%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0070	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.030291	-6.45%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0589	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.030304	-6.15%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0196	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.029381	-6.16%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0237	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.027632	-6.17%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0516	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.027104	-6.95%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.0943	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.027999	-7.01%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.1060	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.027994	-6.93%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.0932	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.025224	-7.13%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0433	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.025096	-7.05%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0383	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.026975	-7.46%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.0872	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.028283	-7.63%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1474	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.029556	-7.90%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.1236	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.028867	-7.77%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.0883	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.028235	-8.00%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.1036	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.029867	-8.04%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1230	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.030918	-8.30%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1254	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.02998	-8.43%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0636	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.02919	-8.48%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.1062	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.027543	-8.43%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.1081	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.029713	-8.43%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.1154	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.032014	-7.98%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1459	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.031532	-8.07%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1736	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.032326	-8.01%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.1994	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.031795	-7.84%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1727	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.033223	-7.79%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1698	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.030134	-7.88%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.1272	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.032811	-7.73%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.1040	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.032489	-7.47%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0476	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.0305	-7.46%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0041	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.028807	-7.49%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0366	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.028123	-7.49%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0198	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.025152	-7.19%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0611	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.026155	-7.52%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0007	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.025219	-7.49%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0346	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.025136	-7.82%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0289	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023309	-6.73%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.0768	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022639	-5.00%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1257	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023209	-6.68%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0285	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021499	-3.64%	0.027	+21.02%	0.0853	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021254	-3.57%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.1507	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022185	-4.70%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.1477	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021592	-3.57%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2037	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023009	-5.39%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.1728	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.024327	-7.92%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.1418	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022488	-3.63%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.2558	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021077	-2.24%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.3634	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.019995	-2.61%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.3660	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020828	-2.72%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3232	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021799	-2.86%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.2727	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021414	-2.57%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3303	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022342	-3.07%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.3565	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.022964	-2.70%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.3830	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.023784	-3.94%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.3911	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022691	-3.28%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.3981	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021651	-2.38%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.4594	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021452	-2.11%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4250	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020797	-1.90%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.4953	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.020953	-2.13%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.4705	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021105	-2.15%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4154	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020746	-2.28%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.3615	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019882	-2.64%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3248	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.02107	-2.81%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2246	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021186	-2.55%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.2738	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021387	-1.62%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.3033	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.02225	-1.38%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.2983	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020014	-1.79%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2464	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020791	-1.97%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1482	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020341	-2.44%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.1604	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020638	-2.33%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.0815	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020192	-2.31%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.0861	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020602	-2.08%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1403	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021104	-2.11%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.0843	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019649	-1.90%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1430	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.02012	-2.00%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.1754	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019504	-1.77%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1376	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020255	-1.77%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0209	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020637	-1.92%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0032	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020065	-1.84%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0368	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019837	-1.60%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.0647	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021584	-2.47%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0165	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.02234	-4.98%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0015	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.022398	-6.75%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0171	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022002	-5.93%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.0497	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.021879	-3.96%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0149	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019907	-1.21%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0413	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018936	-0.60%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.0937	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019556	-0.68%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.0579	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017827	-0.74%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.1817	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017996	-0.69%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.1855	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018522	-0.48%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1478	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018518	-0.22%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.1620	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017225	-0.09%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1587	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019464	-1.35%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.1903	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017371	-0.96%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3106	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018145	-1.76%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.3230	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017612	-1.22%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3019	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017783	-1.43%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.3547	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019171	-5.05%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.4017	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019	-5.05%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4076	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020071	-5.68%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.4317	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.020663	-6.84%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.3874	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.01788	-4.95%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5151	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017017	-4.34%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.5305	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018091	-5.23%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5060	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.017371	-5.16%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.4684	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017178	-5.09%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5112	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.017798	-5.13%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.4944	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.017023	-4.85%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5070	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.018973	-5.70%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4025	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.020388	-6.30%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4060	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.020682	-6.46%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.4496	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.020841	-6.50%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.4689	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.020659	-6.65%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.4383	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.021597	-6.85%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.3878	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.02289	-7.52%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.2522	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.021244	-7.92%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.1846	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.021836	-8.40%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.1634	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.022186	-8.51%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.0337	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.023816	-8.82%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0316	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.025251	-9.17%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0500	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.024417	-8.93%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0311	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.026906	-9.83%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.1291	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.02547	-10.00%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0539	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.025658	-10.75%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.2166	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.025911	-11.63%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.2143	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.024418	-12.64%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1798	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.021069	-11.10%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0707	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.020198	-11.02%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0255	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.020009	-11.47%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0302	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.019177	-10.68%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.0898	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.019745	-12.01%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.1080	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.02009	-13.03%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0688	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.020194	-13.44%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.1217	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.019981	-13.69%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0585	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.019087	-12.00%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0544	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.017899	-9.42%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.017559	-8.60%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.018445	-10.02%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.017282	-7.93%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1052	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.017571	-7.76%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1528	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.01607	-4.97%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2121	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.017621	-5.92%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1327	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.019827	-7.99%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.018624	-6.27%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1040	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.019212	-6.92%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.1747	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.021543	-8.37%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.022104	-8.17%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.0690	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.024124	-8.07%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.024739	-8.07%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.0710	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.025165	-8.06%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.1177	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.025753	-8.39%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.023358	-8.68%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.2088	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.024833	-8.67%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.0804	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.024864	-8.69%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.1215	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.025253	-8.80%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.1657	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.027896	-8.66%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0400	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.