MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s4

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

66.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0851

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0008

actual -0.0431

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.045565	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045508	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043057	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043673	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.04351	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044691	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045934	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044852	-1.40%	0.04613	+1.41%	0.0110	✓	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044936	-1.69%	0.04599	+0.61%	0.0229	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043947	-1.04%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0104	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043261	-0.91%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0162	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045919	-1.74%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0151	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042765	-0.62%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0851	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041299	-0.41%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1448	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040847	-0.41%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.0998	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.04404	-0.69%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0674	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045929	-0.67%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0085	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048892	-2.29%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0431	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048522	-1.29%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0110	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048867	-2.22%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0949	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045975	-0.75%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0685	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048785	-2.69%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1180	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041661	-0.26%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0672	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041908	-0.17%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0657	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.042167	-0.09%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1323	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043846	-0.12%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0798	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044723	-0.24%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1055	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046296	-0.49%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0066	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.04486	-0.11%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1032	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043686	+0.13%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0305	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046615	+0.15%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0602	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045487	+0.47%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0188	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042752	-0.55%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0360	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042202	-0.43%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0003	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040755	-0.31%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0727	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035157	-0.38%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1045	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034422	-0.28%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0953	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.03399	-0.26%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1465	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035668	-0.12%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1089	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035377	-0.26%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1242	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037003	-0.19%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0724	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037626	+0.00%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0247	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036904	+0.11%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0414	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038818	+0.45%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0800	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042223	+0.18%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1632	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.04046	+0.72%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1084	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040155	+1.45%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0586	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040754	+1.51%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0473	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039333	+1.92%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0022	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041131	+2.65%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0205	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037066	+1.02%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0231	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037946	+1.35%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0849	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038916	+2.57%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0221	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037539	+2.30%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0062	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039563	+3.00%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0128	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038564	+3.08%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0310	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040368	+3.16%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0241	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040769	+3.19%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0751	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.04013	+3.16%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0493	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041425	+3.07%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0806	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.044162	+3.04%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1840	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.04141	+2.91%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0966	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043702	+2.88%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1468	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.038014	+0.54%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0978	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034798	-0.26%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0483	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031766	-0.89%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0570	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031928	-0.84%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0416	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031344	-0.65%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0267	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031055	-0.56%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0124	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031025	-0.40%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0195	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032443	-0.65%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0390	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032999	-0.67%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0660	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032919	-0.67%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0513	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035966	-1.19%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1227	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035556	-1.18%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0751	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035704	-1.27%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0921	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034883	-1.12%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0710	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035146	-1.14%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0548	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035627	-1.23%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0435	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035423	-1.16%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0550	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036266	-1.16%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0063	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036115	-1.08%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0339	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036156	-0.94%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0481	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036236	-0.83%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0731	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036719	-0.76%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0222	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036208	-0.51%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0189	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039376	-0.49%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0985	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039524	-0.49%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0695	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043015	-0.54%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1255	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042315	-0.49%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1155	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043273	-0.50%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1425	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.043016	-0.35%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1437	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.04357	-0.27%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1337	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043271	-0.21%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0330	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042693	-0.20%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0398	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043926	-0.28%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0296	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044417	-0.14%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0328	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043281	-0.04%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0007	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.046058	-0.09%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0923	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047966	-0.12%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1222	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.049001	-0.08%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1543	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047147	-0.24%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1616	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045989	-0.23%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0644	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046535	-0.31%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0683	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047273	-0.33%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0825	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047782	-0.37%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0496	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047167	-0.35%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0391	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050049	-0.54%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0580	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049185	-0.46%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0004	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051	-0.62%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1048	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052045	-0.72%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1249	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050709	-0.63%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1042	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049337	-0.47%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0678	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045222	+0.18%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0053	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045499	+0.59%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0089	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.048066	-0.05%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0579	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.04588	+0.42%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0222	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.04735	+0.21%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0329	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046879	+0.36%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0298	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046746	+0.51%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0195	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050729	+0.08%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0948	✗	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055252	-0.46%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1149	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055501	-0.58%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0649	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056145	-0.59%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1268	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054494	-0.38%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0504	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056755	-0.50%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1179	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061193	-1.57%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.2006	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.05673	-0.67%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0255	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057028	-0.80%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0475	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059322	-1.59%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0035	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061228	-2.61%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0183	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061033	-2.67%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1043	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.047268	+1.33%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.1892	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046851	+1.65%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.2973	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.04362	+2.59%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2130	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.048328	+2.37%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1000	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.051172	+2.14%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1050	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.049663	+2.44%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.1919	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045949	+3.02%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2559	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047544	+3.11%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0578	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051997	+2.82%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1172	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055728	+2.65%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2331	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055967	+2.58%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0846	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.0601	+1.64%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0176	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.061623	+1.07%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0068	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.063647	+0.93%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0572	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.062549	+1.50%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1208	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.064283	+1.39%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0983	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.068006	+0.71%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0764	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067998	+0.44%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0913	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073344	-0.77%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076546	-1.08%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1823	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079222	-1.16%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1899	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079718	-0.75%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2295	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.08558	-1.63%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2466	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080701	-1.11%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1365	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080338	-0.96%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1588	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.08488	-1.30%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1423	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088471	-1.63%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1284	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091058	-1.80%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1088	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098177	-2.08%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103108	-2.16%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101025	-2.27%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1904	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107204	-2.34%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2315	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115728	-2.40%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2366	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.12371	-2.53%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122018	-2.78%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2423	✓	1.00