MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s4

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

83.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1770

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0234

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.041592	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042146	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042613	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042507	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043281	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044071	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043399	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043259	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042768	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042119	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.04427	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041774	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040395	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.03991	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.042996	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044992	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.04674	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047277	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046893	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045366	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047049	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041021	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041331	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041641	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043367	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044216	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045643	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044496	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043509	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046649	+0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045788	+1.13%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0047	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042116	-2.03%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0050	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041647	-1.74%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0445	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040255	-1.53%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0639	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034458	-2.36%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1837	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.03374	-2.26%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2341	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033286	-2.33%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2064	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035108	-1.69%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2101	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.03472	-2.11%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1451	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036399	-1.82%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1106	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037096	-1.41%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1298	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036385	-1.30%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0592	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038483	-0.42%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0034	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041804	-0.81%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0747	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040212	+0.10%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0250	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040243	+1.68%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0477	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040868	+1.79%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.0990	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039597	+2.61%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.0943	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.042004	+4.83%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1116	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036896	+0.56%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.0954	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037939	+1.33%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1416	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.039533	+4.20%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0329	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.038033	+3.65%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0037	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.040646	+5.82%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0504	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.039791	+6.36%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0129	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.042423	+8.42%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0135	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.042899	+8.58%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0044	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.042394	+8.98%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0421	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.044027	+9.55%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0994	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.046971	+9.59%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.1564	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.044105	+9.60%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.1382	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.046909	+10.43%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.1368	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.038574	+2.02%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0484	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034534	-1.02%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0374	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.03097	-3.37%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0914	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.0311	-3.42%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1184	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030335	-3.85%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1322	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029973	-4.02%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1159	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029917	-3.96%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0979	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031391	-3.87%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1029	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031913	-3.94%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1052	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031773	-4.12%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1062	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034774	-4.47%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1728	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034418	-4.34%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0658	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034536	-4.50%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1284	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033753	-4.33%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1413	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033943	-4.52%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1399	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034387	-4.67%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1831	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034136	-4.76%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1792	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034939	-4.77%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2335	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034755	-4.81%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2096	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034737	-4.83%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2345	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034817	-4.72%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2515	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.035497	-4.06%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1933	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034872	-4.18%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1998	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038293	-3.23%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2931	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038385	-3.36%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2674	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042	-2.89%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3238	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041278	-2.93%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.3022	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042206	-2.95%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2436	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042074	-2.53%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2749	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042718	-2.22%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2386	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042492	-2.00%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2450	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041852	-2.17%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2656	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.04301	-2.36%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2941	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043569	-2.05%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2955	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042407	-2.06%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2728	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045139	-2.08%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3520	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047061	-2.01%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3750	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048117	-1.88%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3541	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046013	-2.64%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3512	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045004	-2.37%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3013	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045593	-2.33%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2283	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046419	-2.13%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2710	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046898	-2.21%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2996	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046262	-2.26%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3321	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049123	-2.38%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3448	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048387	-2.07%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3075	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050086	-2.40%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3455	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051023	-2.67%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3387	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049703	-2.60%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3314	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048305	-2.55%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3102	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.04412	-2.26%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2522	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044236	-2.20%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3186	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046853	-2.57%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3358	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044558	-2.48%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2141	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046056	-2.53%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2297	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.045589	-2.40%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1668	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045431	-2.32%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1648	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049538	-2.27%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1946	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.053941	-2.83%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2701	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054207	-2.90%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2579	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054791	-2.99%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2993	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053382	-2.41%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2418	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055532	-2.64%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2574	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059067	-4.99%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3264	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055561	-2.71%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2358	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055949	-2.68%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1477	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057804	-4.11%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1472	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059158	-5.90%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1697	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.058787	-6.26%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1620	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046143	-1.09%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0053	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045575	-1.12%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0196	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042072	-1.05%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0693	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046652	-1.18%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0008	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.04927	-1.66%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0246	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.04749	-2.04%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0575	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043747	-1.91%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0730	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045274	-1.81%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0858	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049513	-2.09%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0673	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052977	-2.42%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0157	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.053228	-2.44%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0180	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.057173	-3.31%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0045	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.058568	-3.94%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.0963	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.060427	-4.18%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.0877	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.059435	-3.55%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0531	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.061054	-3.70%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.064462	-4.54%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.1082	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06463	-4.53%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.069372	-6.15%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.072267	-6.61%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.074807	-6.67%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.1116	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.075399	-6.13%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1124	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.080364	-7.63%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1962	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.075916	-6.97%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.075616	-6.78%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.079793	-7.22%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1572	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.083027	-7.69%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2023	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.085586	-7.70%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1863	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.092584	-7.66%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2021	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.09775	-7.24%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2140	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.095257	-7.85%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.4925	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.101461	-7.57%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5530	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.109835	-7.37%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6638	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.117353	-7.54%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6235	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.115051	-8.33%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.5853	✓	1.00