LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1236

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0212

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3733	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.3409	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0739	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0598	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.105	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1683	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	3.0321	+0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0927	+0.25%	3.422	+10.92%	0.0831	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.3172	-0.99%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0219	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3482	-0.78%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0802	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7418	-2.51%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1700	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5612	-2.09%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1078	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.561	-1.85%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0968	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5482	-1.63%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1667	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5045	-1.94%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0976	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.718	-2.62%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0630	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9055	-2.82%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0776	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.5992	-1.80%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1135	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5136	-1.50%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0670	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.5032	-1.18%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0702	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7205	-2.25%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0254	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.8548	-2.36%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0705	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8288	-2.48%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0361	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3115	-3.00%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1114	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.5	-3.33%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2406	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6808	-3.38%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2775	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.6995	-3.19%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2892	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.9006	-3.36%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2609	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.1163	-3.63%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2447	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.879	-3.72%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1707	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5644	-3.72%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0265	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.5954	-3.82%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0533	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6293	-3.85%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0183	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.5891	-3.84%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0080	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.6295	-3.87%	5.071	+5.29%	0.0923	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.4302	-3.80%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0055	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.8822	-3.42%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0275	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.2181	-3.86%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0645	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	3.9558	-3.79%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0925	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.0534	-3.88%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0851	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.1958	-3.61%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0486	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.1383	-3.55%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1559	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.3677	-3.53%	4.605	+1.71%	0.1007	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.6482	-3.68%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0799	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.552	-3.61%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0159	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.3575	-3.51%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0207	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.5797	-3.67%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0252	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.6386	-3.82%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0109	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.2778	-3.67%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.1083	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.6641	-3.37%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1923	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4144	-3.00%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3248	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.4686	-2.71%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2993	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4272	-2.94%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2444	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.4578	-2.71%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2994	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4106	-2.47%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3247	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6406	-1.90%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1876	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4472	-0.17%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1149	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.3173	+0.98%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0720	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.4154	+0.42%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0476	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.4706	-3.00%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0181	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1643	-0.71%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1014	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.1533	+0.81%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1096	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6502	-0.70%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2576	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5449	-2.20%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1720	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3122	-1.98%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1621	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2825	-2.12%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1931	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2274	-2.14%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2558	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2192	-2.07%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1582	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1926	-1.85%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1333	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2246	-2.04%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0405	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2775	-2.46%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0398	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3468	-2.95%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0134	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.314	-2.90%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0015	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2463	-2.50%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0477	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.226	-2.45%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0504	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2404	-2.48%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0297	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3021	-2.91%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0009	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1388	-2.16%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1085	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0185	-1.82%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1893	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9684	-1.75%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1837	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9976	-1.98%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1198	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9799	-1.89%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1062	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.025	-2.08%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0917	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2183	-2.75%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0736	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1258	-2.44%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0173	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2352	-2.86%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0866	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0786	-2.37%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0335	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.0909	-2.52%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0005	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.013	-2.47%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0250	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9821	-2.43%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0605	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.0975	-2.82%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0883	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2339	-3.08%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0036	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2691	-3.20%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0486	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1089	-3.22%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0276	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1338	-3.41%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0026	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.1815	-3.34%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0495	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2097	-3.42%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0865	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2064	-3.44%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0393	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3286	-3.54%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0275	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5	-3.66%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0835	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2268	-3.39%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0546	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5274	-3.90%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1438	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4768	-3.89%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1029	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5839	-3.87%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1190	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3056	-3.77%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0152	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2439	-3.64%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0455	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.368	-3.70%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0739	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4775	-3.90%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0532	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3641	-3.98%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1049	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.1155	-3.80%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1901	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0394	-3.71%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2595	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9907	-3.69%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1676	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9879	-4.15%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1330	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7873	-3.39%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2737	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7911	-3.76%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3286	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6687	-3.60%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3494	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6596	-3.51%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2518	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7593	-3.60%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1616	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5609	-2.99%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2644	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6401	-3.35%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2441	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4571	-3.12%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2877	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5553	-3.46%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2208	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5102	-3.62%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1773	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5	-3.72%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1814	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4899	-3.51%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2417	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5571	-3.47%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0694	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6567	-3.68%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0594	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6677	-3.82%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0735	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6214	-3.94%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0184	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6143	-4.14%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0043	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5612	-4.16%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0002	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4767	-3.93%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0452	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.4979	-3.86%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0811	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.342	-3.59%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2217	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5249	-3.73%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0941	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4124	-3.72%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1481	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.38	-3.70%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1761	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3733	-3.63%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1354	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4463	-3.77%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0342	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.412	-3.68%	1.558	+6.28%	0.1011	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7017	-4.45%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1700	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5374	-4.27%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1043	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2887	-3.54%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3041	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.326	-3.71%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2941	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3166	-3.86%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3411	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2113	-4.02%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4635	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1313	-3.63%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4504	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.0876	-3.59%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6985	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.142	-3.55%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5176	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3302	-3.89%	1.336	-3.47%	0.1019	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2445	-3.90%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1556	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1813	-3.68%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1932	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1416	-3.75%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1334	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3517	-5.54%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0833	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2075	-5.51%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0228	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0832	-4.48%	1.184	+4.41%	0.1022	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.937579	-1.72%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3850	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.853715	-1.13%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4231	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.86791	-1.09%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3675	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.849256	-0.90%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3878	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.906834	-0.89%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5069	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.889309	-0.97%	1.278	+42.32%	0.3905	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.918738	-0.84%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2669	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.989991	-0.95%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0336	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.046	-1.23%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1212	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0368	-1.54%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1289	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0552	-2.02%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1913	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.97946	-0.96%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0837	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.949147	-0.51%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0224	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.96015	-0.61%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0302	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.900456	-0.61%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0815	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.915126	-0.85%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1005	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.901314	-0.74%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1304	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.897473	-0.61%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1573	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.877985	-0.74%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0702	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.939071	-0.89%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0592	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.89095	-0.67%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0150	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.858344	-0.60%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0180	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.908374	-0.51%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0176	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.923618	-0.69%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0324	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.941119	-0.67%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0532	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.920861	-0.39%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0097	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.877205	-0.37%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1152	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.892051	-0.61%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0060	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.895071	-0.60%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0597	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.884355	-0.63%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0444	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.971738	-0.44%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0736	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0467	-0.26%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.1052	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.034	-0.87%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1605	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0335	-0.87%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2128	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0141	-0.92%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1565	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1199	-2.06%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2406	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0704	-2.16%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2356	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1693	-3.04%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2228	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1103	-2.26%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1208	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	1.0044	-1.14%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0152	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.988024	-1.10%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0057	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0545	-1.73%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0655	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0068	-1.72%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0374	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.992718	-1.66%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0683	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.971233	-1.50%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1214	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.974925	-1.42%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0535	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.938304	-1.13%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0017	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.883108	-0.66%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0736	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.86569	-0.61%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1535	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.809301	+0.22%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2001	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.829687	+0.39%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1442	✓	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.859005	+0.18%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1211	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.883645	+0.13%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1022	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.908069	-0.43%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0761	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.987839	-0.67%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0532	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	1.0013	-0.71%	0.871	-13.63%	0.1012	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.948717	-0.55%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0923	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.937333	-0.34%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0930	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0438	-0.78%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1524	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0572	-0.64%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1105	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1848	-0.81%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2421	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2041	-0.73%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1922	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2857	-0.80%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1877	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1602	-0.37%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1305	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0792	-0.71%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0548	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.098	-0.82%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0036	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0912	-0.76%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0178	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1421	-0.90%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0553	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.065	-0.61%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1129	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.051	-0.38%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1444	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0223	+0.13%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0244	✓	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.027	+0.79%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0617	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1276	-0.22%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0863	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1382	-0.16%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0829	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.2025	-0.49%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0366	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3675	-0.40%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.2040	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2925	-0.65%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2306	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.348	-0.66%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2710	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3524	-0.49%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2868	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.373	-0.51%	1.13	-18.12%	0.2001	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3536	-0.32%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2128	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4218	-0.54%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2223	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4483	-0.53%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1347	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.428	-0.18%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1765	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3873	+0.10%	1.357	-2.09%	0.1036	✗	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4385	-0.55%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0209	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.5028	-0.74%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0662	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5218	-0.66%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0724	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4724	-0.24%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0396	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4466	+0.11%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0239	✗	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5823	-0.54%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0342	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6686	-1.09%	1.386	-17.84%	0.1042	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6641	-0.95%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1180	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6314	-0.82%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0405	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5915	-0.44%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4422	+1.14%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.4357	+1.25%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4831	+0.83%	1.591	+8.16%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5508	+0.25%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1021	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.6174	-0.16%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0593	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6344	+0.27%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6622	-0.11%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4757	+2.76%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5705	-0.35%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0168	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4671	-1.00%	1.471	-0.74%	0.0977	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5524	-2.55%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1118	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4837	-1.87%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1779	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5242	-2.55%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1945	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6673	-3.23%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1742	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5617	-3.12%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2132	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9179	-3.62%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8676	-3.68%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6492	-3.44%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0803	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5252	-3.31%	1.512	-4.15%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7414	-3.58%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0172	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.