INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s4

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2060

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0216

actual -0.0121

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.116246	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.1159	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.115287	-9.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.112639	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.115269	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.113693	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.115069	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.129777	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.116178	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.113854	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.110878	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.108088	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.108399	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.101108	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.105405	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.107665	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.104154	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.109643	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.108806	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.104187	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.101493	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.09694	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.095775	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.094362	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.083265	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.082933	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.086697	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.091672	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.091731	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.082373	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.084027	-6.84%	0.12835	+42.29%	0.4410	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.081103	-1.87%	0.1274	+54.14%	0.4767	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.072364	-1.68%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5487	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.073735	-2.72%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5117	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.073665	-3.20%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5271	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.070785	-6.86%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.5122	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.065953	-3.44%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.5916	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.065035	-3.22%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7141	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.067514	-3.14%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.5983	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.063387	-2.10%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6149	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.067013	-4.34%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5506	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.067162	-4.33%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.5065	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.066298	-5.42%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.5215	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065132	-1.39%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.4831	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065237	-1.01%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5323	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.066857	-0.81%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5204	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.068016	+0.69%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4577	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.068402	+1.04%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.4972	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.065155	+2.77%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5297	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.065242	+5.48%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5153	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.062716	+2.39%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.4880	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.061661	+3.89%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4533	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.062827	+6.85%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.4510	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.057706	+6.27%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.5123	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.061226	+7.32%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3245	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.057453	+7.19%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.3740	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.059201	+8.33%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4195	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.05937	+8.54%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.4641	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.058597	+9.12%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.4680	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.059769	+9.77%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3305	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.062742	+10.46%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.2590	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.061049	+10.10%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.1859	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.064305	+11.35%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.0997	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.058073	+5.88%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.1569	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.054273	+1.73%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.1707	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.04959	-3.05%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2352	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049578	-3.45%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1269	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048652	-4.42%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.1048	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.04904	-4.78%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.0973	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.048884	-4.52%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0472	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.049109	-4.83%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1211	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.048578	-5.12%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1290	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.049675	-5.20%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1264	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.04976	-5.31%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0418	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.051054	-4.93%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0323	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.0504	-5.09%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.0590	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.048687	-4.72%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.0887	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.048351	-4.91%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.0894	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.048153	-4.93%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0380	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.046998	-4.86%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0221	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.04697	-5.68%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0494	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.04725	-5.69%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0116	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.048117	-6.39%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0482	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.046553	-5.67%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0805	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.045844	-5.28%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0000	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.045307	-5.81%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0549	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.046346	-6.09%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.0941	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.04736	-6.95%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.1017	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.050823	-6.58%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1448	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.05165	-6.77%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.1731	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.051716	-6.14%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.1186	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.052957	-5.10%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1398	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.053304	-4.13%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.1032	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.053108	-3.70%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0682	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.05138	-4.85%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0257	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.049513	-5.42%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0325	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.049926	-5.26%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0334	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.04962	-5.57%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0436	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.05013	-5.42%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0395	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.051938	-4.70%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0148	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.052538	-4.21%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0082	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.050489	-5.45%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0063	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.052677	-4.57%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.053688	-4.56%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0238	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.054426	-4.43%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0260	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.052914	-4.66%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0267	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.052117	-4.72%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.0670	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.052774	-4.05%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0538	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.055213	-3.73%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.0967	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.055699	-3.97%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1274	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.055869	-4.33%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1211	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.055777	-4.33%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1225	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.054601	-4.38%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.0804	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.054558	-4.95%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1467	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.050039	-4.51%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1258	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.0514	-4.01%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.1220	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.050157	-3.64%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.0793	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.050757	-3.32%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0508	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.053437	-3.11%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0573	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.050256	-2.89%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0329	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.05201	-2.60%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0125	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.05767	-2.58%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0633	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057274	-2.10%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0562	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.054527	-2.11%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0284	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056061	-1.56%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0498	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057031	-1.42%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.1009	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059104	-0.92%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1396	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059518	-0.47%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.1173	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.06029	-0.02%	0.053	-12.11%	0.1045	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058982	+0.48%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0574	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.060039	+0.57%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0805	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.059213	+0.62%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0738	✗	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.060743	+0.82%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0985	✗	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.058298	+0.51%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0387	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054779	+0.51%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0032	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.057133	+0.32%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0489	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057722	-0.65%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0427	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053539	-1.22%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0266	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052631	-1.07%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0430	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055011	-0.70%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0178	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058436	-0.28%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0090	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.065021	+0.03%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0917	✗	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.064045	+0.23%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0547	✗	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.070719	-1.78%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.1331	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.071895	-2.84%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.2215	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.066881	-2.65%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.1249	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.061054	-2.78%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0567	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.061592	-2.54%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0616	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.065173	-2.94%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0687	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.074928	-3.63%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2790	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.079093	-3.19%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.3157	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078781	-3.10%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.2164	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.08038	-3.16%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.2502	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.078264	-3.26%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2744	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.083567	-2.83%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.3192	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.082758	-2.64%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2905	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.080474	-3.10%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.2329	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.081867	-2.89%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.2479	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.08186	-2.84%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.2350	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.083088	-2.54%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2776	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.086769	-1.90%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.3275	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.094158	-0.83%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.4211	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.096288	-1.45%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.4251	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.10228	-1.84%	0.058	-44.34%	0.5271	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.101825	-0.17%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5879	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.105412	+0.20%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5781	✗	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.105913	-4.41%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5618	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.101787	-0.60%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5983	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.104327	-5.11%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6382	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.100271	+0.42%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4835	✗	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.091386	+0.87%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.3048	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.090191	+0.21%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1917	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.08848	-0.58%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.2230	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.08891	-0.21%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1503	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090523	+0.03%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1628	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.090337	-0.62%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2481	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.090175	-0.80%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.3377	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.093925	-0.77%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3668	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.090721	+0.41%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2690	✗	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.092248	+1.71%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.1416	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.090342	+1.22%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0965	✗	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.093442	+0.64%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.1343	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.08672	+1.90%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0272	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.09	+1.70%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0781	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.090172	+0.30%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0599	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.094116	-0.56%	0.085	-10.20%	0.1189	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.087894	-0.57%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0885	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.094	-0.11%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.1217	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.091378	+1.08%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0845	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.087033	+0.15%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0519	✗	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.083768	+0.38%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0100	✓	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.080304	+0.25%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.0964	✓	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.080156	+0.57%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.1473	✓	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.075708	-1.04%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2118	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.082438	-0.20%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1220	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.083402	-0.36%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.1359	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.079711	-0.61%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.2357	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.08129	-0.93%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.1333	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.081617	-0.35%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2115	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.083056	-2.34%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.0405	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.07841	-1.62%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0085	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.079529	-2.89%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0238	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.080029	-2.99%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0318	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.078336	-2.51%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0116	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.076803	-2.22%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.0425	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.073953	-1.92%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1077	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.074872	-2.76%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.0807	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.075645	-3.14%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.0935	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.076866	-3.31%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0240	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.074796	-2.74%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.0412	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.080966	-2.92%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0070	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.080806	-1.46%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.0656	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.082881	-2.26%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0662	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.078949	-2.17%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0265	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.074459	-2.92%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.0840	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.074666	-3.03%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1520	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.077447	-2.70%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.0917	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.079186	-2.84%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1018	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.083358	-2.51%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0097	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.090434	-2.55%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0545	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.089393	-0.56%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0682	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.089144	-3.10%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.1239	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.087547	-4.32%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1350	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.08257	-2.28%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0739	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.085999	-4.02%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0738	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.085259	-4.74%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0554	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.081267	-3.71%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0376	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.077993	-4.07%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0151	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.077344	-4.63%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0256	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.08066	-4.66%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0305	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.082647	-5.11%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0485	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.078479	-3.11%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.0941	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.077425	-1.87%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1455	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.080106	-4.29%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0265	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.077405	-3.61%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0261	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.072197	-4.25%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0050	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.0765	-3.95%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0103	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.077604	-4.19%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0048	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.078441	-3.99%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0327	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.078409	-4.09%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0075	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.078202	-4.51%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0189	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.08127	-4.95%	0.082	-4.09%	0.1057	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.084216	-6.17%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0423	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.08723	-7.45%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1267	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.092367	-8.14%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.1835	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.092931	-8.04%	0.077	-23.80%	0.2214	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.094259	-7.41%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2403	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.103691	-8.56%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2796	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.109707	-13.82%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2854	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.092886	-14.94%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.0767	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069711	-1.47%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.1759	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068438	-1.17%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2326	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.070245	-1.20%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.1797	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069526	-1.66%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1303	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.064223	-2.32%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.3040	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.065075	-2.22%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3169	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.066578	-1.88%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2425	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.069477	-1.87%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.1712	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.068076	-2.05%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2545	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.060229	-1.51%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2569	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.071322	-1.08%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.2921	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.077591	-0.65%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1278	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.08019	-1.30%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.0873	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.081443	-0.80%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.1834	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.086345	-1.21%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1089	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.098589	-8.03%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0216	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.085381	-3.52%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2072	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.091636	-6.01%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2200	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.08765	-4.73%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2540	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.085834	-4.20%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2526	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.086456	-4.26%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.2990	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.085579	-4.38%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.3867	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.078442	-3.63%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.4734	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.077401	-3.85%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5285	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.077622	-3.93%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.5908	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.076138	-3.74%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6210	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.082656	-2.99%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6106	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.090087	-3.96%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6283	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.089672	-3.06%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7448	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.093419	-2.59%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5588	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.093186	-2.01%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1113	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.092282	-0.34%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.1402	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.089076	-1.25%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2285	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.079805	-2.56%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.2469	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.08386	-3.28%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.0972	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.085002	-4.49%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.0706	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.08712	-4.58%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.0818	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.087825	-4.54%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1533	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.088235	-4.82%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2636	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.09262	-3.92%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3703	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.093551	-4.35%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2335	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.093094	-5.20%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.2061	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.091477	-5.30%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1669	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.089697	-4.88%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2269	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.086472	-4.03%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2517	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.083996	-3.67%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3219	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086037	-3.55%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1177	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.085992	-3.70%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.0797	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085202	-3.29%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0491	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.090029	-3.51%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0146	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.096312	-7.03%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0478	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.087918	-3.28%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0247	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081807	-2.26%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0466	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081301	-2.52%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0553	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082783	-1.80%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0422	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082293	-1.68%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0322	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.08577	-1.53%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.1006	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.083272	-1.57%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0031	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.075038	-2.42%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0014	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079041	-3.14%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0084	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.083674	-2.93%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0391	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.080888	-2.66%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0919	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083055	-2.17%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0743	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.08731	-2.01%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0845	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.084765	-2.01%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0095	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089577	-1.13%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0410	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092725	-1.04%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0180	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.09763	-0.78%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0230	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.093043	-0.91%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0174	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089887	-0.68%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0018	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.097769	-1.44%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.1023	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.099262	-1.13%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0595	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.102063	-0.72%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0210	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.101952	-0.44%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0018	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103504	-0.48%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0779	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100536	-1.24%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1741	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.115028	-0.97%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.2047	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.113552	-1.00%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1469	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.115859	-0.98%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1982	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.120762	-0.97%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1705	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.1098	-0.81%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0194	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.1066	-0.98%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1554	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.106966	-0.68%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.2286	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106406	-0.37%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2597	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104378	-0.21%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.3177	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.111054	+0.18%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3782	✗	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.127657	-0.85%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.4288	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.117734	-1.40%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.2328	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.117232	-1.28%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.2025	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.117609	-1.00%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.1915	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.119005	-1.08%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.1385	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.123471	-1.42%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.1297	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.119398	-0.96%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1574	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.122605	-1.16%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0406	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.124354	-1.70%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0248	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.121226	-1.72%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0173	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.128765	-2.82%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.0894	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.128086	-2.82%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.0912	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.12628	-3.64%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0607	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.128208	-3.64%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0394	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.113052	-3.00%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.2304	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.115929	-2.74%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.2910	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.113108	-2.41%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.1841	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.119115	-2.64%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.2472	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.134582	-2.26%	0.104	-24.47%	0.3242	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.133802	-2.05%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.4714	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.131838	-2.09%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.4682	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.134608	-1.78%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.3865	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.152813	-1.38%	0.117	-24.49%	0.3234	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.157481	-0.92%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.4040	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.161176	-0.88%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3468	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.172345	-0.98%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.3730	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.167979	-1.36%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.2995	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.170023	-1.29%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.3161	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.164466	-1.13%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.3790	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.158274	-0.89%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.3882	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.165957	-0.95%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.4612	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.179791	-0.53%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.1909	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.179953	-0.50%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.0730	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.17506	-0.08%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.0860	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.172668	-0.28%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0184	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.176747	-0.34%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0432	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.183326	-0.66%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.0835	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.195503	-0.33%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0546	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.209079	-0.60%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.1065	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.193187	-0.19%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.1030	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.173916	-0.16%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.1343	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.192668	-0.84%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.1436	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.309445	+0.49%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4576	✗	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.326433	+1.35%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4926	✗	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.315154	+0.88%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.5059	✗	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.346322	+2.16%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.5747	✗	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.329102	+2.72%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.5205	✗	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.331001	+1.72%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.6192	✗	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.344621	+2.40%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.6431	✗	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.347311	+1.52%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6823	✗	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.324315	+0.13%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.6596	✗	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.306124	-1.55%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6563	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.307553	-1.46%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5706	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.31286	-2.25%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6965	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.299167	-2.85%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.7313	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.304703	-2.54%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6936	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.290802	-2.73%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.6085	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.31673	-2.42%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5441	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.309382	-2.59%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5661	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.31862	-2.19%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5454	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.353888	-2.19%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5569	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.361678	-1.90%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5538	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.365244	-1.78%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.5117	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.383005	-3.39%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.5127	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.