INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s4

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0366

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0008

actual -0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.125405	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.126028	-0.92%	0.12675	-0.35%	0.0075	✓	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.122706	-0.76%	0.1272	+2.87%	0.0278	✗	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.125176	-0.69%	0.12365	-1.90%	0.0110	✓	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.123376	-0.66%	0.12605	+1.49%	0.0168	✗	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.124746	-0.68%	0.1242	-1.11%	0.0035	✓	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.140336	-0.79%	0.1256	-11.21%	0.1066	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.125847	-0.71%	0.14145	+11.60%	0.1131	✗	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.123022	-0.71%	0.12675	+2.30%	0.0408	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.119857	-0.74%	0.1239	+2.61%	0.0235	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.116862	-0.71%	0.12075	+2.59%	0.0469	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.116958	-0.71%	0.1177	-0.08%	0.0006	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.109053	-0.59%	0.1178	+7.38%	0.0744	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.113769	-0.68%	0.1097	-4.23%	0.0431	✓	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.116223	-0.66%	0.11455	-2.09%	0.0023	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.112073	-0.64%	0.117	+3.72%	0.0611	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.117831	-0.73%	0.1128	-4.97%	0.0420	✓	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.116719	-0.79%	0.1187	+0.89%	0.0229	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.111861	-0.88%	0.11765	+4.25%	0.0366	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.10918	-0.88%	0.11285	+2.45%	0.0312	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.104214	-0.80%	0.11015	+4.85%	0.0581	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.102821	-0.85%	0.10505	+1.30%	0.0110	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.101756	-1.16%	0.1037	+0.73%	0.0196	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.089132	-0.63%	0.10295	+14.77%	0.1426	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.08901	-0.77%	0.0897	+0.00%	0.0163	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.093454	-0.79%	0.0897	-4.78%	0.0414	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.098995	-0.86%	0.0942	-5.66%	0.0524	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.098987	-0.91%	0.09985	-0.05%	0.0112	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.088052	-0.73%	0.0999	+12.63%	0.1262	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.089454	-0.83%	0.0887	-1.66%	0.0075	✓	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.082283	-0.44%	0.0902	+9.13%	0.0957	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073531	-0.09%	0.08265	+12.30%	0.0711	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.075618	-0.24%	0.0736	-2.90%	0.0264	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.075896	-0.27%	0.0758	-0.39%	0.0045	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.075527	-0.62%	0.0761	+0.13%	0.0376	✓	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.068187	-0.17%	0.076	+11.27%	0.1064	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.067145	-0.08%	0.0683	+1.64%	0.0114	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.069573	-0.18%	0.0672	-3.59%	0.0097	✓	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.064783	+0.05%	0.0697	+7.64%	0.0607	✓	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.069854	-0.28%	0.06475	-7.57%	0.0718	✓	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.070034	-0.24%	0.07005	-0.21%	0.0002	✓	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069832	-0.38%	0.0702	+0.14%	0.0006	✓	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.066117	+0.10%	0.0701	+6.13%	0.0748	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.06599	+0.14%	0.06605	+0.23%	0.0025	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067469	+0.10%	0.0659	-2.23%	0.0173	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067693	+0.21%	0.0674	-0.22%	0.0077	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067885	+0.27%	0.06755	-0.22%	0.0097	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063731	+0.52%	0.0677	+6.78%	0.0590	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062227	+0.61%	0.0634	+2.51%	0.0340	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061545	+0.48%	0.06185	+0.98%	0.0372	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059697	+0.58%	0.06125	+3.20%	0.0267	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059199	+0.68%	0.05935	+0.94%	0.0147	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054678	+0.70%	0.0588	+8.29%	0.0623	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057387	+0.59%	0.0543	-4.82%	0.0488	✗	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.053881	+0.52%	0.05705	+6.44%	0.0527	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.054784	+0.24%	0.0536	-1.92%	0.0057	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.054811	+0.20%	0.05465	-0.09%	0.0170	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.053765	+0.12%	0.0547	+1.86%	0.0115	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.054412	-0.07%	0.0537	-1.38%	0.0076	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.056716	-0.15%	0.05445	-4.14%	0.0568	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055334	-0.21%	0.0568	+2.43%	0.0174	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.057451	-0.52%	0.05545	-3.98%	0.0192	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054825	-0.05%	0.05775	+5.29%	0.0201	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.053386	+0.07%	0.05485	+2.81%	0.0295	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.051106	-0.09%	0.05335	+4.30%	0.0368	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.051281	-0.13%	0.05115	-0.39%	0.0062	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050788	-0.22%	0.05135	+0.88%	0.0194	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.051349	-0.29%	0.0509	-1.17%	0.0054	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.051079	-0.24%	0.0515	+0.59%	0.0074	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.051445	-0.30%	0.0512	-0.78%	0.0037	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.051014	-0.36%	0.0516	+0.78%	0.0112	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.052206	-0.37%	0.0512	-2.29%	0.0173	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.052318	-0.44%	0.0524	-0.29%	0.0087	✗	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.053427	-0.51%	0.05255	-2.14%	0.0005	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.052742	-0.67%	0.0537	+1.13%	0.0191	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.050925	-0.34%	0.0531	+3.91%	0.0415	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.05067	-0.35%	0.0511	+0.49%	0.0026	✓	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.050456	-0.38%	0.05085	+0.39%	0.0137	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.049209	-0.39%	0.05065	+2.53%	0.0197	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.049568	-0.47%	0.0494	-0.80%	0.0134	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.049893	-0.41%	0.0498	-0.60%	0.0013	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.051139	-0.51%	0.0501	-2.53%	0.0334	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.04917	-0.36%	0.0514	+4.15%	0.0454	✗	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.048227	-0.36%	0.04935	+1.96%	0.0573	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.047893	-0.43%	0.0484	+0.62%	0.0040	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.049139	-0.43%	0.0481	-2.53%	0.0222	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050593	-0.60%	0.04935	-3.05%	0.0276	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.054065	-0.62%	0.0509	-6.43%	0.0326	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.055064	-0.61%	0.0544	-1.81%	0.0298	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.054821	-0.51%	0.0554	+0.54%	0.0069	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055535	-0.47%	0.0551	-1.25%	0.0086	✗	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055386	-0.38%	0.0558	+0.36%	0.0245	✗	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054993	-0.28%	0.0556	+0.82%	0.0180	✗	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053781	-0.40%	0.05515	+2.13%	0.0045	✗	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.05231	-0.08%	0.054	+3.15%	0.0235	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052652	-0.09%	0.05235	-0.66%	0.0039	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052494	-0.11%	0.0527	+0.29%	0.0114	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052939	-0.12%	0.05255	-0.85%	0.0094	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054432	-0.13%	0.053	-2.75%	0.0109	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054805	-0.08%	0.0545	-0.64%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.05335	-0.09%	0.05485	+2.72%	0.0199	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.055145	-0.10%	0.0534	-3.26%	0.0062	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.056177	-0.13%	0.0552	-1.87%	0.0170	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.05686	-0.16%	0.05625	-1.23%	0.0045	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055418	-0.15%	0.05695	+2.61%	0.0105	✗	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054648	-0.10%	0.0555	+1.46%	0.0014	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054956	-0.08%	0.0547	-0.55%	0.0148	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057294	-0.10%	0.055	-4.10%	0.0290	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057932	-0.12%	0.05735	-1.12%	0.0167	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.058303	-0.17%	0.058	-0.68%	0.0132	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.058227	-0.12%	0.0584	+0.17%	0.0058	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.057066	-0.06%	0.0583	+2.10%	0.0052	✗	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.057354	-0.08%	0.0571	-0.52%	0.0293	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052474	+0.14%	0.0574	+9.54%	0.0674	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053591	+0.08%	0.0524	-2.15%	0.0030	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.052146	+0.18%	0.05355	+2.88%	0.0163	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052594	+0.18%	0.05205	-0.86%	0.0036	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.055231	+0.15%	0.0525	-4.81%	0.0497	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.05188	+0.25%	0.05515	+6.57%	0.0568	✓	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053502	+0.19%	0.05175	-3.09%	0.0139	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.059223	+0.04%	0.0534	-9.80%	0.0819	✗	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.058556	+0.10%	0.0592	+1.20%	0.0276	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055784	+0.15%	0.0585	+5.03%	0.0387	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.05706	+0.19%	0.0557	-2.19%	0.0116	✗	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057984	+0.23%	0.05695	-1.56%	0.0275	✗	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059842	+0.32%	0.05785	-3.02%	0.0417	✗	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059978	+0.30%	0.05965	-0.25%	0.0151	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.060464	+0.27%	0.0598	-0.83%	0.0043	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058859	+0.27%	0.0603	+2.73%	0.0333	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.059846	+0.24%	0.0587	-1.68%	0.0271	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.059008	+0.27%	0.0597	+1.44%	0.0053	✗	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.060395	+0.24%	0.05885	-2.32%	0.0380	✗	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.05822	+0.38%	0.06025	+3.88%	0.0346	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054787	+0.53%	0.058	+6.42%	0.0287	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.057225	+0.48%	0.0545	-4.30%	0.0456	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.058352	+0.43%	0.05695	-1.98%	0.0057	✗	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.05446	+0.48%	0.0581	+7.20%	0.0680	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053516	+0.59%	0.0542	+1.88%	0.0208	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055746	+0.62%	0.0532	-3.97%	0.0442	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058953	+0.60%	0.0554	-5.46%	0.0246	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.065375	+0.58%	0.0586	-9.85%	0.1068	✗	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.064246	+0.54%	0.065	+1.72%	0.0415	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.071892	-0.15%	0.0639	-11.25%	0.0884	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.073694	-0.41%	0.072	-2.70%	0.0103	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.068644	-0.08%	0.074	+7.71%	0.0764	✗	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.063026	+0.36%	0.0687	+9.39%	0.0835	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063473	+0.43%	0.0628	-0.63%	0.0097	✗	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.067382	+0.35%	0.0632	-5.88%	0.0591	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.077783	+0.04%	0.06715	-13.63%	0.1393	✗	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.081726	+0.03%	0.07775	-4.83%	0.0438	✗	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081356	+0.07%	0.0817	+0.49%	0.0030	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.083049	+0.06%	0.0813	-2.05%	0.0229	✗	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.080977	+0.10%	0.083	+2.60%	0.0188	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.086024	+0.03%	0.0809	-5.93%	0.0520	✗	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.085049	+0.06%	0.086	+1.18%	0.0108	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.083037	-0.02%	0.085	+2.35%	0.0203	✗	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.084278	-0.03%	0.08305	-1.48%	0.0138	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.084195	-0.06%	0.0843	+0.06%	0.0038	✗	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.085197	-0.06%	0.08425	-1.17%	0.0074	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.088446	-0.01%	0.08525	-3.62%	0.0338	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.095	+0.05%	0.08845	-6.85%	0.0661	✗	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.097785	+0.09%	0.09495	-2.81%	0.0338	✗	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.104183	-0.02%	0.0977	-6.24%	0.0617	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.10208	+0.08%	0.1042	+2.16%	0.0225	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.105283	+0.08%	0.102	-3.04%	0.0309	✗	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.110399	-0.36%	0.1052	-5.05%	0.0512	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.10238	-0.02%	0.1108	+8.20%	0.0783	✗	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.109207	-0.68%	0.1024	-6.87%	0.0647	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.099938	+0.09%	0.10995	+10.12%	0.1022	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.090717	+0.13%	0.09985	+10.21%	0.0921	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.090077	+0.09%	0.0906	+0.67%	0.0023	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.089004	+0.00%	0.09	+1.12%	0.0009	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.089126	+0.03%	0.089	-0.11%	0.0004	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090592	+0.10%	0.0891	-1.55%	0.0202	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.091004	+0.11%	0.0905	-0.44%	0.0245	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.090993	+0.10%	0.0909	+0.00%	0.0065	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.094709	+0.06%	0.0909	-3.96%	0.0352	✗	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.090482	+0.15%	0.09465	+4.76%	0.0558	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090855	+0.17%	0.09035	-0.39%	0.0078	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.089388	+0.15%	0.0907	+1.62%	0.0042	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.092941	+0.10%	0.08925	-3.88%	0.0424	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.085248	+0.17%	0.09285	+9.11%	0.0937	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.0886	+0.11%	0.0851	-3.84%	0.0410	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.089954	+0.06%	0.0885	-1.56%	0.0356	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.094623	-0.03%	0.0899	-5.02%	0.0563	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.08841	+0.01%	0.09465	+7.07%	0.0460	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.09401	-0.10%	0.0884	-6.06%	0.0408	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.090441	+0.04%	0.0941	+4.09%	0.0542	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.08694	+0.05%	0.0904	+4.03%	0.0184	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.083511	+0.07%	0.0869	+4.13%	0.0363	✓	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.080155	+0.07%	0.08345	+4.18%	0.0332	✓	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.079758	+0.07%	0.0801	+0.50%	0.0072	✓	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.076525	+0.03%	0.0797	+4.18%	0.0018	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.082607	+0.01%	0.0765	-7.38%	0.0504	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.083663	-0.04%	0.0826	-1.31%	0.0138	✓	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.080165	-0.04%	0.0837	+4.36%	0.0298	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.082005	-0.06%	0.0802	-2.25%	0.0303	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.081843	-0.07%	0.08205	+0.18%	0.0119	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.084873	-0.21%	0.0819	-3.70%	0.0728	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.07967	-0.04%	0.08505	+6.71%	0.0672	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.081772	-0.16%	0.0797	-2.69%	0.0473	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.082379	-0.15%	0.0819	-0.73%	0.0101	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.080288	-0.08%	0.0825	+2.68%	0.0263	✗	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.07851	-0.05%	0.08035	+2.29%	0.0390	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075403	+0.00%	0.07855	+4.18%	0.0423	✓	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.076924	-0.10%	0.0754	-2.08%	0.0397	✓	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.077996	-0.13%	0.077	-1.41%	0.0234	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.079374	-0.16%	0.0781	-1.76%	0.0113	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.076871	-0.04%	0.0795	+3.38%	0.0341	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.083302	-0.12%	0.0769	-7.79%	0.0492	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.081975	-0.03%	0.0834	+1.71%	0.0492	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.084669	-0.15%	0.082	-3.30%	0.0417	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.08066	-0.05%	0.0848	+5.08%	0.0543	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.076659	-0.05%	0.0807	+5.22%	0.0127	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.07689	-0.14%	0.0767	-0.39%	0.0114	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.079468	-0.17%	0.077	-3.27%	0.0116	✓	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.08139	-0.13%	0.0796	-2.33%	0.0295	✓	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.085403	-0.11%	0.0815	-4.68%	0.0298	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.092645	-0.17%	0.0855	-7.87%	0.0474	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.089854	-0.05%	0.0928	+3.23%	0.0438	✗	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.091808	-0.21%	0.0899	-2.28%	0.0467	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.091202	-0.33%	0.092	+0.55%	0.0119	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.084392	-0.13%	0.0915	+8.28%	0.0771	✗	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.089313	-0.32%	0.0845	-5.69%	0.0609	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.089162	-0.38%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0005	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.084148	-0.30%	0.0895	+6.04%	0.0584	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.081051	-0.31%	0.0844	+3.81%	0.0198	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.080876	-0.28%	0.0813	+0.25%	0.0300	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.084289	-0.37%	0.0811	-4.14%	0.0200	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.086548	-0.63%	0.0846	-2.87%	0.0110	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.080943	-0.07%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.1128	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.078906	+0.01%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.083587	-0.14%	0.0789	-5.73%	0.1257	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.080286	-0.02%	0.0837	+4.23%	0.0495	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.075471	+0.09%	0.0803	+6.50%	0.0142	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.079644	-0.01%	0.0754	-5.34%	0.0351	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.080973	-0.03%	0.07965	-1.67%	0.0348	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.081619	-0.10%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0193	✗	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.081617	-0.16%	0.0817	-0.06%	0.0092	✗	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.081808	-0.11%	0.08175	-0.18%	0.0706	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.08531	-0.22%	0.0819	-4.21%	0.0307	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.089329	-0.47%	0.0855	-4.74%	0.0090	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.093602	-0.69%	0.08975	-4.77%	0.0362	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.099723	-0.82%	0.09425	-6.27%	0.0560	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.10016	-0.88%	0.10055	-0.49%	0.0136	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.100911	-0.87%	0.10105	-0.74%	0.0085	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.111717	-1.48%	0.1018	-10.23%	0.0760	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.121368	-4.66%	0.1134	-10.92%	0.0462	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.104172	-4.60%	0.1273	+16.58%	0.1995	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.070904	+0.22%	0.1092	+54.35%	0.4478	✓	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.069502	+0.36%	0.07075	+2.17%	0.0021	✓	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.071438	+0.48%	0.06925	-2.60%	0.0758	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.071034	+0.47%	0.0711	+0.57%	0.0149	✓	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.066065	+0.48%	0.0707	+7.53%	0.0984	✓	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066871	+0.48%	0.06575	-1.20%	0.0049	✓	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.068221	+0.55%	0.06655	-1.92%	0.0218	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.07121	+0.58%	0.06785	-4.17%	0.0660	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069898	+0.57%	0.0708	+1.87%	0.0347	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.061592	+0.72%	0.0695	+13.65%	0.0192	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.072575	+0.66%	0.06115	-15.19%	0.0292	✓	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.078579	+0.61%	0.0721	-7.68%	0.0394	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.081566	+0.39%	0.0781	-3.88%	0.0076	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.082496	+0.48%	0.08125	-1.04%	0.0453	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.087653	+0.29%	0.0821	-6.06%	0.0348	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.105953	-1.16%	0.0874	-18.47%	0.1134	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.088435	-0.07%	0.1072	+21.13%	0.1981	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.096907	-0.61%	0.0885	-9.23%	0.0300	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.091684	-0.34%	0.0975	+5.98%	0.0609	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.089302	-0.33%	0.092	+2.68%	0.0185	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.089864	-0.48%	0.0896	-0.78%	0.0256	✓	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.089289	-0.24%	0.0903	+0.89%	0.0459	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.081375	-0.03%	0.0895	+9.95%	0.1005	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.080448	-0.06%	0.0814	+1.12%	0.0116	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.080736	-0.08%	0.0805	-0.37%	0.0043	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.079083	-0.02%	0.0808	+2.15%	0.0070	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.08519	-0.01%	0.0791	-7.16%	0.0172	✓	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.093569	-0.25%	0.0852	-9.17%	0.0797	✓	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.0923	-0.22%	0.0938	+1.41%	0.0352	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.09573	-0.18%	0.0925	-3.55%	0.0292	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.094754	-0.36%	0.0959	+0.84%	0.0131	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.09262	+0.02%	0.0951	+2.70%	0.0441	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.090181	-0.02%	0.0926	+2.66%	0.0062	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.081825	-0.09%	0.0902	+10.13%	0.0437	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.086319	-0.44%	0.0819	-5.54%	0.0568	✓	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.088806	-0.22%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0308	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.091121	-0.20%	0.089	-2.52%	0.0215	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.091794	-0.22%	0.0913	-0.76%	0.0022	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.092419	-0.30%	0.092	-0.76%	0.0009	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.096192	-0.22%	0.0927	-3.84%	0.0148	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097481	-0.33%	0.0964	-1.43%	0.0080	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.097835	-0.37%	0.0978	-0.41%	0.0519	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.096227	-0.39%	0.0982	+1.66%	0.0004	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.09398	-0.34%	0.0966	+2.44%	0.0132	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.08993	-0.19%	0.0943	+4.66%	0.0202	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.087075	-0.14%	0.0901	+3.33%	0.0063	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.089019	-0.20%	0.0872	-2.24%	0.0003	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.089048	-0.28%	0.0892	-0.11%	0.0272	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.087812	-0.33%	0.0893	+1.36%	0.0341	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.092824	-0.51%	0.0881	-5.57%	0.0538	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.101543	-1.99%	0.0933	-9.94%	0.0962	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090269	-0.69%	0.1036	+13.97%	0.1349	✗	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.083655	-0.05%	0.0909	+8.60%	0.0929	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.083338	-0.07%	0.0837	+0.36%	0.0003	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.084315	+0.02%	0.0834	-1.07%	0.0145	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.083706	+0.01%	0.0843	+0.72%	0.0089	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.087063	-0.04%	0.0837	-3.90%	0.0466	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.084552	-0.06%	0.0871	+2.96%	0.0244	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.077191	+0.38%	0.0846	+10.01%	0.0319	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.081772	+0.21%	0.0769	-5.76%	0.0442	✗	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.086268	+0.08%	0.0816	-5.34%	0.0182	✗	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.083282	+0.22%	0.0862	+3.73%	0.0019	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.085057	+0.19%	0.0831	-2.12%	0.0168	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.089153	+0.06%	0.0849	-4.71%	0.0023	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086557	+0.07%	0.0891	+3.01%	0.0295	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090684	+0.09%	0.0865	-4.53%	0.0023	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093792	+0.10%	0.0906	-3.31%	0.0457	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.098488	+0.09%	0.0937	-4.78%	0.0356	✗	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.094048	+0.16%	0.0984	+4.79%	0.0009	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.090729	+0.25%	0.0939	+3.76%	0.0288	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.099303	+0.10%	0.0905	-8.77%	0.1186	✗	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.100551	+0.15%	0.0992	-1.20%	0.0118	✗	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.102885	+0.08%	0.1004	-2.33%	0.0385	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.102456	+0.05%	0.1028	+0.39%	0.0341	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.104154	+0.15%	0.1024	-1.54%	0.0665	✗	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101999	+0.20%	0.104	+2.16%	0.1091	✗	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.116207	+0.05%	0.1018	-12.35%	0.0283	✗	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.1147	-0.00%	0.11615	+1.26%	0.0239	✗	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.116999	-0.00%	0.1147	-1.97%	0.0180	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.121969	+0.02%	0.117	-4.06%	0.0314	✗	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.11083	+0.12%	0.12195	+10.16%	0.0754	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.10788	+0.21%	0.1107	+2.83%	0.0527	✗	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107988	+0.27%	0.10765	-0.05%	0.0207	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.107223	+0.40%	0.1077	+0.84%	0.0331	✗	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.105131	+0.51%	0.1068	+2.10%	0.0419	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.111412	+0.51%	0.1046	-5.64%	0.0526	✗	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.128884	+0.10%	0.11085	-13.90%	0.1118	✗	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.119677	+0.23%	0.12875	+7.83%	0.2172	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.119049	+0.25%	0.1194	+0.55%	0.0443	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.119231	+0.36%	0.11875	-0.04%	0.0272	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.120692	+0.33%	0.1188	-1.25%	0.0434	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.125545	+0.24%	0.1203	-3.95%	0.0046	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.121026	+0.40%	0.12525	+3.90%	0.0053	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.12439	+0.27%	0.12055	-2.82%	0.1174	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.126718	+0.17%	0.12405	-1.94%	0.0361	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123604	+0.21%	0.1265	+2.55%	0.0617	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.132375	-0.09%	0.12335	-6.91%	0.0115	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.131755	-0.03%	0.1325	+0.53%	0.0299	✓	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.131216	+0.13%	0.1318	+0.57%	0.0644	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.133224	+0.13%	0.13105	-1.50%	0.0118	✓	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.117088	+0.46%	0.13305	+14.16%	0.0721	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.119745	+0.46%	0.11655	-2.22%	0.0455	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.116538	+0.55%	0.1192	+2.85%	0.0449	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.122871	+0.43%	0.1159	-5.27%	0.0902	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137921	+0.16%	0.12235	-11.15%	0.0082	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.13693	+0.24%	0.1377	+0.81%	0.0078	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.135032	+0.28%	0.1366	+1.45%	0.0024	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.137516	+0.34%	0.13465	-1.75%	0.0566	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.155254	+0.20%	0.13705	-11.55%	0.0759	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.159251	+0.19%	0.15495	-2.52%	0.0528	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.162825	+0.14%	0.15895	-2.24%	0.0083	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.174178	+0.07%	0.1626	-6.58%	0.0562	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.170443	+0.08%	0.17405	+2.20%	0.0597	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.172483	+0.14%	0.1703	-1.13%	0.0305	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.166752	+0.24%	0.17225	+3.55%	0.0059	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.160362	+0.41%	0.16635	+4.16%	0.0370	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.168178	+0.37%	0.1597	-4.69%	0.0289	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.181453	+0.39%	0.16755	-7.30%	0.0160	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.181691	+0.47%	0.18075	-0.06%	0.0590	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.176287	+0.62%	0.18085	+3.22%	0.0169	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.17427	+0.65%	0.1752	+1.18%	0.0163	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.178474	+0.63%	0.17315	-2.37%	0.0201	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.185566	+0.55%	0.17735	-3.90%	0.0299	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.197203	+0.54%	0.18455	-5.91%	0.0024	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.211189	+0.40%	0.19615	-6.75%	0.0131	✗	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.194659	+0.57%	0.21035	+8.68%	0.0719	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.175559	+0.78%	0.19355	+11.11%	0.0211	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.195538	+0.64%	0.1742	-10.34%	0.0542	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.308587	+0.21%	0.1943	-36.91%	0.2908	✗	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.322727	+0.19%	0.30795	-4.39%	0.0165	✗	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.312824	+0.14%	0.3221	+3.10%	0.0138	✗	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.339076	+0.02%	0.3124	-7.85%	0.0093	✗	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.320451	+0.02%	0.339	+5.81%	0.0306	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.325228	-0.05%	0.3204	-1.54%	0.0383	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.335942	-0.18%	0.3254	-3.31%	0.0350	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.338957	-0.92%	0.33655	-1.62%	0.0453	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.323868	-0.01%	0.3421	+5.62%	0.0097	✗	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.310921	-0.01%	0.3239	+4.16%	0.0713	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.312151	+0.02%	0.31095	-0.37%	0.0039	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.319793	-0.08%	0.3121	-2.48%	0.0830	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.307559	-0.13%	0.32005	+3.93%	0.0302	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.312607	-0.01%	0.30795	-1.50%	0.0146	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.298925	-0.01%	0.31265	+4.58%	0.0263	✗	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.324315	-0.09%	0.29895	-7.90%	0.0413	✗	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.317373	-0.07%	0.3246	+2.20%	0.0150	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.325739	-0.00%	0.3176	-2.50%	0.0054	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.361377	-0.12%	0.32575	-9.96%	0.0350	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.368435	-0.07%	0.3618	-1.87%	0.0058	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.371562	-0.08%	0.3687	-0.85%	0.0094	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.395282	-0.29%	0.37185	-6.21%	0.0237	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.371397	-0.14%	0.39645	+6.60%	0.0486	✗	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.