FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +7d
assessed
42
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1267
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0177
actual -0.0241
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.047355 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.048261 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.047202 | -0.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.047529 | -0.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.0508 | -0.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.052392 | -0.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.052608 | -0.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.05353 | -0.56% | 0.04772 | -11.35% | 0.1268 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.059706 | -0.84% | 0.04858 | -19.32% | 0.2047 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.058906 | -0.84% | 0.04751 | -20.02% | 0.2159 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.065729 | -1.62% | 0.04779 | -28.47% | 0.3058 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.064155 | -1.87% | 0.05113 | -21.80% | 0.2153 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.063325 | -1.80% | 0.05269 | -18.29% | 0.1759 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.060842 | -1.52% | 0.05285 | -14.45% | 0.1440 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.063299 | -1.73% | 0.05383 | -16.43% | 0.1501 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.067548 | -2.12% | 0.060215 | -12.74% | 0.1005 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.071664 | -2.75% | 0.059405 | -19.39% | 0.1646 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.068464 | -2.33% | 0.06681 | -4.69% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.070739 | -2.86% | 0.06538 | -10.22% | 0.0662 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.063032 | -1.77% | 0.064485 | +0.49% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.066103 | -2.29% | 0.06178 | -8.68% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.067206 | -2.62% | 0.064415 | -6.67% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.064458 | -2.37% | 0.06901 | +4.52% | 0.0553 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.059922 | -1.82% | 0.07369 | +20.73% | 0.1913 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.067172 | -2.69% | 0.0701 | +1.55% | 0.0312 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.065139 | -2.60% | 0.072825 | +8.90% | 0.1097 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.057627 | -1.85% | 0.06417 | +9.29% | 0.1053 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.058494 | -2.02% | 0.067655 | +13.32% | 0.1429 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.058519 | -1.99% | 0.069015 | +15.58% | 0.1748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.059428 | -1.49% | 0.066025 | +9.45% | 0.1354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.060271 | -1.29% | 0.061035 | -0.04% | 0.0495 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.060033 | -3.20% | 0.06903 | +11.31% | 0.0998 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.067566 | -4.09% | 0.066875 | -5.07% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.064183 | -3.85% | 0.058715 | -12.04% | 0.1281 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.061176 | -4.56% | 0.0597 | -6.86% | 0.1245 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.053144 | -2.86% | 0.05971 | +9.14% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.043428 | -0.70% | 0.060325 | +37.93% | 0.1972 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.048542 | -1.11% | 0.06106 | +24.40% | 0.1271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.04759 | -1.23% | 0.062015 | +28.72% | 0.2095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.04989 | -1.29% | 0.07045 | +39.38% | 0.2950 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.050483 | -1.20% | 0.066755 | +30.65% | 0.2330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.051552 | -1.49% | 0.0641 | +22.49% | 0.2203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.050995 | -0.75% | 0.05471 | +6.48% | 0.0980 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053065 | -0.79% | 0.043735 | -18.24% | 0.1562 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.05497 | -0.65% | 0.049085 | -11.29% | 0.1016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.055926 | -0.26% | 0.04818 | -14.07% | 0.1040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.054983 | -0.28% | 0.050545 | -8.33% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.05535 | -0.07% | 0.051095 | -7.75% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.05943 | +0.69% | 0.05233 | -11.34% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 1.00 |