FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0476

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0021

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047727	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048618	+0.08%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0161	✗	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047552	+0.09%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0103	✓	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047856	+0.14%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0055	✗	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.05117	+0.08%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0749	✗	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052751	+0.12%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0300	✗	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.05293	+0.15%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0020	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053887	+0.11%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0253	✗	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.060215	-0.00%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0976	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059427	+0.04%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0006	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.06667	-0.21%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.1004	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.065161	-0.33%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0192	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.064321	-0.25%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0136	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061706	-0.12%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0379	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.064283	-0.20%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0287	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068765	-0.35%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0520	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.073283	-0.55%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0589	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069772	-0.47%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0593	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.072408	-0.57%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0442	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.064033	-0.21%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1271	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.067392	-0.39%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0468	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068699	-0.46%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0240	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065755	-0.41%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0490	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060885	-0.25%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0798	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.06868	-0.51%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1123	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.066534	-0.51%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0366	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058516	-0.34%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1317	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.059464	-0.39%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0111	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.059508	-0.34%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.06015	-0.29%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0140	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060923	-0.22%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061557	-0.74%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069605	-1.20%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1145	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.066013	-1.11%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0606	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.063158	-1.47%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054396	-0.57%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1615	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043815	+0.18%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2147	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049102	+0.04%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0821	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.04818	+0.00%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050534	-0.02%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051112	+0.03%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0119	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052311	-0.04%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0323	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051445	+0.13%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053543	+0.10%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0391	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055403	+0.13%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0270	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056198	+0.23%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055249	+0.21%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055545	+0.28%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0094	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059259	+0.40%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0478	✗	1.00