FIRO

Firo · native · lstm_s4

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2980

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0802

actual +0.0425

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.788817	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.78182	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.825859	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.839138	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.810151	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.837129	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.860234	-9.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.845396	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.895619	-10.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.90037	-11.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.881608	-10.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.872945	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.834254	-9.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.814482	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.883906	-11.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.899356	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	0.938184	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	0.986087	-11.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	0.956064	-11.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	0.948437	-12.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	0.9425	-12.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	0.951391	-12.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	0.951	-11.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.095	-12.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.0954	-12.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.0976	-12.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.1586	-11.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.0731	-11.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.1298	-11.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.177	-11.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.108	-11.37%	0.8476	-32.20%	0.2334	✓	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	0.989517	-11.80%	0.8371	-25.39%	0.1815	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.0707	-12.02%	0.8963	-26.35%	0.1825	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.0452	-12.83%	0.9173	-23.49%	0.1392	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.822689	-11.13%	0.8812	-4.81%	0.0529	✓	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.755683	-6.49%	0.922	+14.09%	0.1827	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.753819	-6.77%	0.9549	+18.09%	0.2143	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.72466	-5.06%	0.93775	+22.85%	0.2427	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.676165	-5.34%	1.0017	+40.24%	0.3673	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.706917	-5.15%	1.0128	+35.88%	0.3416	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.711398	-4.97%	0.9873	+31.89%	0.3025	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.694209	-5.01%	0.9798	+34.06%	0.3194	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.742503	-3.96%	0.9222	+19.28%	0.2022	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.809273	-4.87%	0.8936	+5.04%	0.0880	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.841997	-4.78%	0.99505	+12.52%	0.1534	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.913758	-9.88%	0.9847	-2.88%	0.0628	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.8529	-3.58%	1.0559	+19.38%	0.2013	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.701523	+0.23%	1.1169	+59.58%	0.4544	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.681843	+2.56%	1.0857	+63.31%	0.4582	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.655312	-0.33%	1.0794	+64.16%	0.4754	✗	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.660577	+0.61%	1.0735	+63.49%	0.4599	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.70241	+2.29%	1.0859	+58.14%	0.4207	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.687544	+2.22%	1.0804	+60.63%	0.4310	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.693084	+3.25%	1.2496	+86.15%	0.5729	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.687903	+3.62%	1.2486	+88.07%	0.5752	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.708338	+4.97%	1.2486	+85.03%	0.5543	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.707508	+4.89%	1.3131	+94.67%	0.6030	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.726419	+5.11%	1.2151	+75.82%	0.4967	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.712665	+5.42%	1.2796	+89.29%	0.5678	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.751652	+5.33%	1.3302	+86.41%	0.5396	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.738259	+5.38%	1.2501	+78.43%	0.4918	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.702172	+5.70%	1.1219	+68.88%	0.4567	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.668959	+0.94%	1.217	+83.64%	0.5598	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.625329	-3.32%	1.199	+85.37%	0.5965	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.589138	-5.34%	0.9257	+48.73%	0.4025	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.58975	-5.41%	0.8081	+29.61%	0.2600	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.587082	-5.90%	0.8086	+29.60%	0.2581	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.584958	-5.88%	0.7633	+22.82%	0.1944	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.591545	-5.95%	0.7143	+13.56%	0.1176	✗	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.590225	-5.82%	0.7453	+18.92%	0.1534	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.590814	-5.82%	0.7486	+19.34%	0.1512	✗	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.603396	-5.94%	0.73085	+13.93%	0.1012	✗	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.589631	-5.72%	0.77315	+23.62%	0.1594	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.5963	-5.42%	0.8507	+34.92%	0.2644	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.613054	-5.52%	0.8843	+36.28%	0.2719	✗	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.597664	-5.40%	1.0139	+60.48%	0.4250	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.586291	-5.53%	0.88455	+42.53%	0.3077	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.58973	-5.45%	0.6999	+12.22%	0.0710	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.612649	-5.88%	0.6648	+2.14%	0.0337	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.615622	-6.16%	0.6575	+0.23%	0.0397	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.617988	-6.17%	0.6566	-0.30%	0.0561	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.61853	-6.33%	0.6867	+4.00%	0.0292	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.623771	-6.19%	0.6726	+1.16%	0.0510	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.631219	-5.62%	0.6713	+0.37%	0.0557	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.604412	-5.43%	0.6639	+3.88%	0.0279	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.598749	-5.22%	0.6748	+6.82%	0.0219	✓	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.645864	-5.81%	0.6745	-1.63%	0.0963	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.631193	-5.23%	0.6911	+3.77%	0.0314	✓	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.646254	-5.73%	0.676	-1.39%	0.1043	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.693892	-7.48%	0.7136	-4.85%	0.1301	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.593832	-4.94%	0.7006	+12.15%	0.0103	✓	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.655965	-4.88%	0.6643	-3.67%	0.1388	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.623017	-4.30%	0.6627	+1.80%	0.0220	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.604488	-4.82%	0.6468	+1.84%	0.0116	✓	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.579811	-4.96%	0.6224	+2.02%	0.0709	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.583192	-4.89%	0.6235	+1.68%	0.0713	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.577674	-5.16%	0.6239	+2.43%	0.0919	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.598774	-5.17%	0.6215	-1.57%	0.0478	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.625822	-5.02%	0.629	-4.54%	0.0305	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.618905	-4.80%	0.6267	-3.60%	0.0350	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.600052	-5.65%	0.6273	-1.37%	0.0273	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.612631	-5.21%	0.6415	-0.74%	0.0491	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.612097	-5.15%	0.6254	-3.08%	0.0195	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.619069	-5.01%	0.6305	-3.25%	0.0081	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.580213	-5.18%	0.6489	+6.05%	0.0876	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.58721	-5.43%	0.6318	+1.76%	0.0342	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.594523	-5.10%	0.6206	-0.94%	0.0291	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.599562	-4.83%	0.6237	-1.00%	0.0307	✓	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.60439	-4.93%	0.6509	+2.39%	0.0672	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.61328	-5.05%	0.656	+1.56%	0.0616	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.605516	-5.18%	0.6586	+3.13%	0.0699	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.612329	-5.40%	0.6603	+2.01%	0.0564	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.613251	-5.70%	0.6649	+2.25%	0.0368	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.621893	-5.86%	0.6688	+1.24%	0.0241	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.605785	-5.64%	0.6391	-0.45%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.631133	-5.83%	0.6317	-5.74%	0.0706	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.628068	-5.75%	0.6857	+2.90%	0.0273	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.615236	-5.68%	0.666	+2.10%	0.0053	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.612334	-5.61%	0.6855	+5.67%	0.0393	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.617178	-5.49%	0.75	+14.85%	0.1459	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.64849	-5.39%	0.6247	-8.86%	0.0767	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.662154	-5.30%	0.6896	-1.37%	0.0058	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.681374	-5.42%	0.651	-9.63%	0.1001	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.669131	-5.20%	0.6351	-10.02%	0.0688	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.664548	-5.17%	0.6101	-12.94%	0.1064	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.68195	-5.19%	0.6132	-14.75%	0.1393	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.710849	-5.08%	0.6091	-18.67%	0.1451	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.732733	-4.95%	0.6314	-18.10%	0.1176	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.738655	-4.84%	0.6589	-15.11%	0.0893	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.730111	-5.07%	0.6501	-15.47%	0.1045	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.730361	-5.21%	0.636	-17.46%	0.1014	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.716949	-5.17%	0.6463	-14.51%	0.1072	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.694603	-5.11%	0.6453	-11.84%	0.0772	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.679726	-5.03%	0.6517	-8.94%	0.0885	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.693403	-4.92%	0.6119	-16.10%	0.1512	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.696765	-4.93%	0.6209	-15.28%	0.1008	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.677696	-4.91%	0.6265	-12.09%	0.0789	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.702936	-5.03%	0.63	-14.89%	0.1678	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.702846	-5.08%	0.6357	-14.15%	0.1474	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.763114	-5.49%	0.6459	-20.00%	0.1540	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.825882	-5.61%	0.6386	-27.02%	0.2299	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.823035	-5.83%	0.6473	-25.94%	0.1487	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.854938	-6.63%	0.6503	-28.98%	0.0938	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.837298	-6.45%	0.6606	-26.19%	0.0155	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.848203	-7.00%	0.642	-29.61%	0.0879	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.876922	-8.28%	0.6702	-29.90%	0.0784	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.876886	-8.63%	0.6664	-30.56%	0.0925	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.868875	-8.63%	0.6523	-31.40%	0.1137	✓	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.892911	-9.45%	0.6487	-34.22%	0.1272	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.92285	-10.46%	0.653	-36.64%	0.1390	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.909979	-10.57%	0.6854	-32.64%	0.1026	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.844264	-8.93%	0.6992	-24.57%	0.0291	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.846906	-9.77%	0.7204	-23.25%	0.0036	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.862785	-9.89%	0.7058	-26.29%	0.0311	✓	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	0.934711	-11.54%	0.7008	-33.67%	0.1104	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.866683	-10.79%	0.7193	-25.96%	0.0119	✓	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.853567	-10.52%	0.7489	-21.49%	0.0245	✓	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.844632	-9.85%	0.7709	-17.72%	0.0574	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	0.923223	-11.61%	0.7762	-25.69%	0.0296	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.0563	-12.05%	0.7691	-35.96%	0.1622	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.1156	-12.07%	0.7705	-39.27%	0.1840	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.0505	-11.82%	0.756	-36.53%	0.1399	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.218	-12.40%	0.732	-47.35%	0.3206	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.045	-12.04%	0.7157	-39.76%	0.1242	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.0427	-12.08%	0.7293	-38.50%	0.0971	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.0244	-12.07%	0.7329	-37.10%	0.1110	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.0275	-12.03%	0.7127	-38.98%	0.1574	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.0276	-12.21%	0.7402	-36.76%	0.0812	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.0268	-12.04%	0.7405	-36.56%	0.0079	✓	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.90467	-9.96%	0.8074	-19.64%	0.1670	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.846924	-6.04%	0.875	-2.93%	0.2856	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.824938	-7.41%	0.874	-1.91%	0.2462	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.825608	-7.31%	0.9156	+2.80%	0.2158	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.806673	-5.88%	0.895	+4.42%	0.1738	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.775072	-6.51%	0.912	+10.01%	0.2001	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.768964	-6.34%	0.9561	+16.46%	0.2533	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.817158	-10.56%	0.9597	+5.05%	0.2030	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.808234	-7.57%	0.9509	+8.75%	0.2082	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.858475	-10.32%	0.9861	+3.01%	0.1797	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.781734	-4.45%	1.0307	+25.99%	0.2822	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.732086	-3.69%	1.0175	+33.86%	0.3363	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.782612	-3.23%	0.927	+14.63%	0.1930	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.802946	-3.64%	0.9386	+12.64%	0.1965	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.755041	-4.27%	0.9575	+21.40%	0.2202	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.741092	-4.49%	1.0566	+36.18%	0.3314	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.723985	-5.57%	0.9715	+26.71%	0.2518	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.740151	-4.31%	0.9539	+23.32%	0.2367	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.749968	-2.99%	0.9369	+21.19%	0.2182	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.681915	-3.74%	1.0445	+47.44%	0.3854	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.717924	-4.34%	1.201	+60.03%	0.4557	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.733196	-5.41%	1.2687	+63.68%	0.4526	✗	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.75554	-6.79%	1.1912	+46.95%	0.3839	✗	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.718663	-8.88%	1.3903	+76.28%	0.5121	✗	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.743306	-8.55%	1.1881	+46.17%	0.3397	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.664232	-4.39%	1.1859	+70.71%	0.4417	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.626754	-4.56%	1.1651	+77.42%	0.4859	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.622596	-4.76%	1.168	+78.68%	0.4902	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.634259	-4.52%	1.1705	+76.20%	0.4897	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.600559	-5.38%	1.1673	+83.91%	0.4698	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.572432	-5.27%	1.0047	+66.26%	0.3779	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.588659	-5.74%	0.9014	+44.34%	0.2253	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.586964	-5.86%	0.891	+42.90%	0.2298	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.592113	-5.91%	0.8907	+41.54%	0.2178	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.586466	-5.73%	0.8571	+37.78%	0.2177	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.584249	-5.74%	0.829	+33.75%	0.2199	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.583823	-5.96%	0.821	+32.25%	0.1932	✗	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.597829	-6.24%	0.9136	+43.29%	0.2555	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.592937	-6.11%	0.8744	+38.46%	0.2120	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.569448	-5.89%	0.9573	+58.21%	0.3245	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.583455	-5.64%	0.8181	+32.31%	0.1978	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.64937	-5.55%	0.7601	+10.56%	0.0642	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.610799	-5.52%	0.8087	+25.09%	0.1645	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.619295	-5.52%	0.8333	+27.12%	0.1872	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.590235	-6.00%	0.7887	+25.61%	0.1584	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.635814	-6.10%	0.7759	+14.59%	0.0929	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.631491	-5.61%	0.7667	+14.60%	0.1426	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.616691	-5.55%	0.7735	+18.47%	0.1378	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.63614	-5.36%	0.7731	+15.01%	0.1089	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.635755	-4.31%	0.7084	+6.62%	0.0897	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.654974	-3.81%	0.7505	+10.22%	0.1369	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.615841	-4.65%	0.7751	+20.00%	0.2099	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.596972	-5.12%	0.8106	+28.83%	0.2580	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.609382	-5.08%	0.7887	+22.85%	0.2609	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.619622	-5.05%	0.8128	+24.55%	0.2324	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.578646	-5.45%	0.6947	+13.51%	0.1396	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.611697	-5.28%	0.6567	+1.69%	0.0424	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.6481	-5.51%	0.6537	-4.69%	0.0344	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.609114	-5.68%	0.6643	+2.86%	0.0109	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.613876	-5.59%	0.6347	-2.38%	0.0068	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.668903	-5.48%	0.6043	-14.61%	0.1163	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.71395	-5.02%	0.6245	-16.92%	0.0755	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.68004	-4.58%	0.6235	-12.52%	0.0063	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.682349	-5.36%	0.6293	-12.72%	0.0557	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.736924	-5.53%	0.6221	-20.25%	0.1568	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.793361	-6.71%	0.6198	-27.12%	0.2924	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.760503	-6.11%	0.6208	-23.36%	0.1988	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.774731	-6.39%	0.6376	-22.96%	0.1966	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.699922	-5.72%	0.6315	-14.94%	0.0807	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.726809	-5.91%	0.6051	-21.67%	0.1523	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.651459	-5.86%	0.6183	-10.65%	0.1384	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.661926	-5.86%	0.6875	-2.22%	0.0802	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.69289	-5.81%	0.6465	-12.11%	0.1209	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.724759	-5.83%	0.6555	-14.83%	0.1535	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.749233	-5.83%	0.6279	-21.08%	0.1739	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.756239	-5.81%	0.6771	-15.67%	0.1491	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.763962	-5.83%	0.669	-17.54%	0.2152	✓	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.774251	-5.81%	0.6529	-20.57%	0.2223	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.81939	-5.84%	0.6722	-22.75%	0.2472	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.867404	-6.03%	0.6644	-28.03%	0.3685	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.884053	-6.19%	0.6809	-27.75%	0.3597	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.885162	-6.54%	0.6459	-31.80%	0.3920	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.797143	-6.21%	0.6292	-25.97%	0.3339	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.811256	-6.07%	0.642	-25.67%	0.3076	✓	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.86012	-5.99%	0.6526	-28.67%	0.3078	✓	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.901294	-5.89%	0.612	-36.10%	0.3890	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.931115	-5.81%	0.6458	-34.67%	0.3602	✓	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0103	-5.80%	0.6859	-36.05%	0.3714	✓	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.0739	-5.85%	0.6458	-43.38%	0.4149	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.883219	-5.27%	0.6502	-30.27%	0.3977	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.0833	-6.07%	0.7077	-38.63%	0.3302	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.0808	-6.16%	0.7517	-34.73%	0.2641	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1279	-6.63%	0.7127	-41.00%	0.3403	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.1258	-6.32%	0.721	-40.01%	0.2969	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.1457	-6.68%	0.7801	-36.45%	0.2071	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.1715	-8.71%	0.8504	-33.73%	0.0303	✓	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.1744	-9.05%	0.81	-37.27%	0.0339	✓	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.2728	-11.45%	0.8276	-42.43%	0.0012	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.2547	-11.46%	0.7424	-47.61%	0.1144	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.3258	-12.11%	0.7725	-48.79%	0.1595	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.2292	-11.48%	0.692	-50.17%	0.1339	✓	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.3692	-12.41%	0.7031	-55.02%	0.2153	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.4021	-12.39%	0.7356	-54.04%	0.2426	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.4972	-12.73%	0.7696	-55.14%	0.2701	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.4887	-12.69%	0.7956	-53.34%	0.2348	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.5381	-12.54%	0.8029	-54.34%	0.2302	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.5391	-12.29%	0.8113	-53.77%	0.1110	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.4098	-11.89%	0.822	-48.63%	0.0035	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.4993	-11.82%	0.8702	-48.82%	0.0071	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.6806	-12.06%	0.9231	-51.70%	0.0666	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.624	-12.24%	0.9424	-49.07%	0.0384	✓	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.6466	-13.23%	0.9471	-50.09%	0.0095	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.2956	-10.29%	0.8499	-41.15%	0.1450	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.2375	-10.31%	0.8637	-37.40%	0.1156	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.146	-8.36%	0.9149	-26.84%	0.2064	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0186	-7.56%	0.9577	-13.09%	0.3289	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.0636	-7.92%	0.9885	-14.42%	0.2794	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.0771	-8.11%	1.0725	-8.51%	0.3304	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.1198	-8.70%	1.1406	-7.00%	0.2321	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.1755	-9.59%	0.9324	-28.29%	0.0723	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.147	-9.38%	1.1532	-8.89%	0.1941	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.1354	-9.54%	1.1517	-8.24%	0.1491	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.1243	-9.47%	1.208	-2.73%	0.1727	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.1232	-9.47%	1.2018	-3.14%	0.1793	✗	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.1724	-10.52%	1.2276	-6.31%	0.1354	✗	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.1958	-10.89%	1.2832	-4.37%	0.0999	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.2031	-11.19%	1.2912	-4.69%	0.1064	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.2605	-13.08%	1.4375	-0.87%	0.1129	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.134	-9.07%	1.4171	+13.62%	0.2114	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.1318	-8.77%	1.5084	+21.59%	0.2829	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.125	-8.32%	1.3886	+13.16%	0.2175	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.2335	-10.16%	1.5632	+13.85%	0.2187	✗	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.1742	-8.60%	1.6004	+24.57%	0.2919	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.2006	-8.87%	1.7155	+30.21%	0.3373	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.2201	-8.92%	1.705	+27.28%	0.3270	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.2195	-8.45%	1.7586	+32.02%	0.3692	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.2409	-8.22%	1.7548	+29.79%	0.3065	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.2678	-8.11%	1.6001	+15.97%	0.1804	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.3028	-7.71%	1.7004	+20.45%	0.1703	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.4281	-8.80%	1.911	+22.05%	0.2021	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.3934	-8.26%	1.8505	+21.83%	0.2108	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.425	-7.89%	1.8977	+22.67%	0.1848	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.4402	-7.75%	1.4442	-7.49%	0.0642	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.5203	-8.34%	1.3797	-16.82%	0.1055	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.5559	-8.47%	1.2505	-26.43%	0.2239	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.6771	-11.76%	1.1019	-42.03%	0.4016	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.813	-12.34%	1.155	-44.15%	0.4377	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	1.9387	-12.46%	1.1722	-47.07%	0.4890	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	1.8122	-12.66%	1.2265	-40.89%	0.3956	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	1.8817	-12.82%	1.3002	-39.76%	0.3974	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	1.8964	-12.82%	1.2657	-41.81%	0.4427	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.0667	-12.80%	1.2551	-47.04%	0.5170	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.0905	-12.90%	1.2419	-48.26%	0.5082	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	1.9253	-13.04%	1.2407	-43.96%	0.4092	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.7848	-13.62%	1.3103	-36.59%	0.2869	✓	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.7743	-13.12%	1.3419	-34.30%	0.2912	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.7372	-13.92%	1.3547	-32.87%	0.2287	✓	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	1.8921	-13.97%	1.4501	-34.07%	0.2286	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	1.9349	-14.04%	1.2472	-44.59%	0.4085	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.2833	-13.84%	1.2406	-53.18%	0.5751	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.4261	-13.80%	1.2271	-56.40%	0.6489	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.4205	-13.86%	1.373	-51.14%	0.5653	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.6724	-14.08%	1.2847	-58.70%	0.7256	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.2639	-14.46%	1.3175	-50.22%	0.5472	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.7881	-14.29%	1.3396	-35.79%	0.3159	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.0614	-14.04%	1.3321	-44.45%	0.4616	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.5395	-13.27%	1.352	-53.83%	0.6413	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.0467	-13.17%	1.3798	-60.68%	0.7827	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.0527	-12.92%	1.4117	-59.73%	0.7507	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.669	-14.51%	1.5658	-63.52%	0.8320	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.5445	-15.19%	1.5189	-63.66%	0.8241	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.6801	-13.63%	1.547	-50.15%	0.5063	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.4942	-13.44%	1.5612	-45.82%	0.4399	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.546	-13.37%	1.6587	-43.56%	0.3904	✓	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.4727	-12.91%	1.6998	-40.13%	0.3276	✓	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.7033	-13.80%	1.9007	-39.39%	0.3139	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.5408	-15.79%	2.0681	-31.46%	0.1522	✓	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	1.9063	-13.19%	2.2147	+0.86%	0.1815	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.5628	-12.89%	2.0749	+15.66%	0.2978	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.5525	-12.90%	2.1585	+21.10%	0.3452	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.2877	-12.29%	2.1753	+48.16%	0.5240	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.6225	-12.66%	2.3701	+27.58%	0.3505	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.6243	-13.27%	2.4001	+28.16%	0.3724	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.381	-12.61%	2.2141	+40.11%	0.4782	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.5649	-13.22%	2.0663	+14.58%	0.2516	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.3662	-13.13%	2.0424	+29.87%	0.3644	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.1847	-12.94%	2.0181	+48.30%	0.4971	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.0987	-12.94%	2.1995	+74.30%	0.6583	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.2877	-13.19%	2.2508	+51.74%	0.5033	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.2484	-12.82%	2.65	+85.04%	0.6993	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.4989	-13.18%	2.8145	+63.03%	0.5549	✗	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.3781	-13.36%	2.8099	+76.66%	0.6270	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.2675	-13.44%	3.1104	+112.42%	0.8124	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.2791	-13.32%	2.6466	+79.35%	0.6296	✗	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.2775	-13.50%	2.0862	+41.26%	0.3868	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.1136	-13.57%	2.3982	+86.14%	0.6459	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.0625	-13.89%	2.928	+137.32%	0.8999	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.1163	-13.93%	3.509	+170.57%	1.0432	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	0.990628	-14.14%	3.5056	+203.83%	1.1689	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.037	-14.05%	4.2919	+255.73%	1.3326	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.0936	-13.66%	4.1796	+229.96%	1.2718	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.2182	-13.65%	3.103	+119.95%	0.8560	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.3172	-13.94%	2.8813	+88.25%	0.6680	✗	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.2546	-13.30%	2.939	+103.11%	0.7625	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.3544	-13.31%	2.8393	+81.73%	0.6421	✗	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.2242	-12.92%	3.1359	+123.07%	0.8553	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.2817	-15.18%	3.0174	+99.67%	0.8259	✗	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	0.937618	-13.52%	2.1958	+102.53%	0.8166	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.819513	-12.40%	1.794	+91.77%	0.7841	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.716475	-8.16%	1.7824	+128.48%	0.9426	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.705341	-9.36%	1.4682	+88.67%	0.7785	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.686846	-4.21%	1.8578	+159.11%	1.0623	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.668404	-4.36%	1.8728	+167.96%	1.0999	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.669266	-4.92%	1.5803	+124.51%	0.9073	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.667492	-4.78%	1.8033	+157.25%	1.0284	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.668192	-6.24%	1.5727	+120.67%	0.8887	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.594016	-4.77%	1.3608	+118.15%	0.8492	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.582626	-5.86%	1.2619	+103.89%	0.7859	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.597731	-6.15%	1.4833	+132.89%	0.9193	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.538601	-5.87%	1.4321	+150.28%	0.9768	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.546704	-6.26%	1.7264	+196.02%	1.1426	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.578261	-6.84%	1.5906	+156.26%	1.0045	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.556056	-6.61%	1.4643	+145.94%	0.9646	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.569747	-6.35%	1.4757	+142.55%	0.9541	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.570068	-6.59%	1.4768	+141.98%	0.9541	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.554919	-6.36%	1.2884	+117.41%	0.8480	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.576892	-6.30%	1.2338	+100.39%	0.7648	✗	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.56397	-6.00%	1.2969	+116.15%	0.8512	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.590472	-6.67%	1.1538	+82.36%	0.6989	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.558979	-5.56%	1.2065	+103.84%	0.8151	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.59717	-6.84%	1.2667	+97.61%	0.7969	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.