FIRO

Firo · native · lstm_s4

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

50.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0500

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0074

actual +0.0016

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.84248	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.833026	-0.49%	0.8476	+1.25%	0.0199	✗	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.890243	-0.68%	0.8371	-6.60%	0.0736	✓	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.910284	-0.76%	0.8963	-2.29%	0.0136	✓	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.875428	-0.66%	0.9173	+4.10%	0.0398	✗	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.914321	-0.83%	0.8812	-4.43%	0.0356	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.945952	-0.94%	0.922	-3.45%	0.0189	✓	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.929466	-0.88%	0.9549	+1.83%	0.0210	✗	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.991435	-1.02%	0.93775	-6.38%	0.0395	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	1.002	-1.06%	1.0017	-1.09%	0.0147	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.977239	-1.02%	1.0128	+2.58%	0.0565	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.970066	-0.99%	0.9873	+0.77%	0.0094	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.915585	-0.72%	0.9798	+6.25%	0.0639	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.888747	-0.54%	0.9222	+3.20%	0.0278	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.985488	-0.96%	0.8936	-10.20%	0.0817	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.977764	-0.70%	0.99505	+1.05%	0.0405	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0448	-1.05%	0.9847	-6.75%	0.0572	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.1034	-1.21%	1.0559	-5.46%	0.0367	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0731	-1.16%	1.1169	+2.87%	0.0231	✗	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0666	-1.18%	1.0857	+0.59%	0.0155	✗	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0605	-1.22%	1.0794	+0.54%	0.0210	✗	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0729	-1.20%	1.0735	-1.15%	0.0120	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0686	-1.09%	1.0859	+0.51%	0.0169	✗	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.2339	-1.26%	1.0804	-13.54%	0.1345	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2326	-1.28%	1.2496	+0.08%	0.0225	✗	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2327	-1.27%	1.2486	+0.00%	0.0124	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2966	-1.25%	1.2486	-4.91%	0.0405	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.2003	-1.21%	1.3131	+8.06%	0.0923	✗	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.263	-1.30%	1.2151	-5.04%	0.0387	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.3115	-1.40%	1.2796	-3.80%	0.0096	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.2322	-1.43%	1.3302	+6.41%	0.0800	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.1062	-1.40%	1.2501	+11.43%	0.0799	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.1971	-1.64%	1.1219	-7.81%	0.0643	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1747	-2.03%	1.217	+1.50%	0.0326	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.91421	-1.24%	1.199	+29.52%	0.2569	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.803231	-0.60%	0.9257	+14.55%	0.1413	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.803571	-0.62%	0.8081	-0.06%	0.0036	✓	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.75993	-0.44%	0.8086	+5.93%	0.0741	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.711352	-0.41%	0.7633	+6.86%	0.0647	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.742236	-0.41%	0.7143	-4.16%	0.0365	✓	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.745809	-0.37%	0.7453	-0.44%	0.0009	✓	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.728292	-0.35%	0.7486	+2.43%	0.0247	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.770913	-0.29%	0.73085	-5.47%	0.0472	✓	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.846914	-0.44%	0.77315	-9.12%	0.0906	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.880042	-0.48%	0.8507	-3.80%	0.0317	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	1.0009	-1.29%	0.8843	-12.78%	0.1208	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.880445	-0.46%	1.0139	+14.62%	0.1400	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.699026	-0.12%	0.88455	+26.38%	0.2351	✗	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.663711	-0.16%	0.6999	+5.28%	0.0564	✗	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.657337	-0.02%	0.6648	+1.11%	0.0020	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.656567	-0.01%	0.6575	+0.14%	0.0017	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.686218	-0.07%	0.6566	-4.38%	0.0405	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.672161	-0.07%	0.6867	+2.10%	0.0181	✗	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.670329	-0.14%	0.6726	+0.19%	0.0053	✗	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.662759	-0.17%	0.6713	+1.11%	0.0115	✗	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.672328	-0.37%	0.6639	-1.62%	0.0050	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.671978	-0.37%	0.6748	+0.04%	0.0003	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.688308	-0.40%	0.6745	-2.40%	0.0218	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.67269	-0.49%	0.6911	+2.23%	0.0285	✗	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.710046	-0.50%	0.676	-5.27%	0.0540	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.696978	-0.52%	0.7136	+1.86%	0.0210	✗	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.660192	-0.62%	0.7006	+5.46%	0.0649	✗	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.659928	-0.42%	0.6643	+0.24%	0.0188	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.644036	-0.43%	0.6627	+2.46%	0.0102	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.619326	-0.49%	0.6468	+3.92%	0.0229	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.620404	-0.50%	0.6224	-0.18%	0.0022	✓	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.620685	-0.52%	0.6235	-0.06%	0.0041	✓	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.618289	-0.52%	0.6239	+0.39%	0.0100	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.625699	-0.52%	0.6215	-1.19%	0.0070	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.623495	-0.51%	0.629	+0.37%	0.0117	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.624141	-0.50%	0.6267	-0.10%	0.0040	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.638074	-0.53%	0.6273	-2.21%	0.0161	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.622252	-0.50%	0.6415	+2.57%	0.0337	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.627398	-0.49%	0.6254	-0.81%	0.0038	✓	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.64551	-0.52%	0.6305	-2.84%	0.0231	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.628687	-0.49%	0.6489	+2.71%	0.0315	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.617648	-0.48%	0.6318	+1.80%	0.0180	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.620716	-0.48%	0.6206	-0.50%	0.0023	✓	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.64732	-0.55%	0.6237	-4.18%	0.0413	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.652222	-0.58%	0.6509	-0.78%	0.0069	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.654788	-0.58%	0.656	-0.39%	0.0022	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.656521	-0.57%	0.6586	-0.26%	0.0038	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.66131	-0.54%	0.6603	-0.69%	0.0009	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.665204	-0.54%	0.6649	-0.58%	0.0179	✗	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.636132	-0.46%	0.6688	+4.65%	0.0422	✗	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.628905	-0.44%	0.6391	+1.17%	0.0156	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.681758	-0.57%	0.6317	-7.88%	0.0778	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.662545	-0.52%	0.6857	+2.96%	0.0513	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.68154	-0.58%	0.666	-2.84%	0.0348	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.743657	-0.85%	0.6855	-8.60%	0.0841	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.62197	-0.44%	0.75	+20.06%	0.2009	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.686188	-0.49%	0.6247	-9.41%	0.0798	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.648206	-0.43%	0.6896	+5.93%	0.0677	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.632282	-0.44%	0.651	+2.50%	0.0109	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.607443	-0.44%	0.6351	+4.10%	0.0370	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.610532	-0.44%	0.6101	-0.51%	0.0009	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.606399	-0.44%	0.6132	+0.67%	0.0014	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.628566	-0.45%	0.6091	-3.53%	0.0332	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.655704	-0.49%	0.6314	-4.17%	0.0240	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.647072	-0.47%	0.6589	+1.35%	0.0220	✗	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.632877	-0.49%	0.6501	+2.22%	0.0132	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.64318	-0.48%	0.636	-1.59%	0.0108	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.642213	-0.48%	0.6463	+0.15%	0.0068	✗	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.648601	-0.48%	0.6453	-0.98%	0.0000	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.609184	-0.44%	0.6517	+6.50%	0.0540	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.618064	-0.46%	0.6119	-1.45%	0.0240	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.623601	-0.46%	0.6209	-0.89%	0.0118	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.627109	-0.46%	0.6265	-0.56%	0.0090	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.632749	-0.46%	0.63	-0.90%	0.0106	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.642881	-0.47%	0.6357	-1.58%	0.0187	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.63569	-0.46%	0.6459	+1.14%	0.0077	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.644447	-0.44%	0.6386	-1.34%	0.0245	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.647636	-0.41%	0.6473	-0.46%	0.0242	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.658242	-0.36%	0.6503	-1.56%	0.0355	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.63979	-0.34%	0.6606	+2.90%	0.0597	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.667731	-0.37%	0.642	-4.21%	0.0509	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.664128	-0.34%	0.6702	+0.57%	0.0168	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.650509	-0.27%	0.6664	+2.16%	0.0253	✗	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.647367	-0.21%	0.6523	+0.55%	0.0026	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.651443	-0.24%	0.6487	-0.66%	0.0167	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.683088	-0.34%	0.653	-4.73%	0.0170	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.696488	-0.39%	0.6854	-1.97%	0.0058	✗	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.717634	-0.38%	0.6992	-2.94%	0.0381	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.703262	-0.36%	0.7204	+2.07%	0.0409	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.698697	-0.30%	0.7058	+0.71%	0.0029	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.717228	-0.29%	0.7008	-2.57%	0.0336	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.746213	-0.36%	0.7193	-3.95%	0.0098	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.767839	-0.40%	0.7489	-2.85%	0.0053	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.773088	-0.40%	0.7709	-0.68%	0.0076	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.766005	-0.40%	0.7762	+0.92%	0.0041	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.767875	-0.34%	0.7691	-0.18%	0.0196	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.754265	-0.23%	0.7705	+1.92%	0.0062	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.731016	-0.13%	0.756	+3.28%	0.0340	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.716085	+0.05%	0.732	+2.28%	0.0148	✗	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.730036	+0.10%	0.7157	-1.86%	0.0156	✗	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.733735	+0.11%	0.7293	-0.49%	0.0181	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.714163	+0.21%	0.7329	+2.83%	0.0299	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.742096	+0.26%	0.7127	-3.72%	0.0860	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.742571	+0.28%	0.7402	-0.04%	0.0002	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.808315	+0.11%	0.7405	-8.29%	0.0376	✗	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.874763	-0.03%	0.8074	-7.73%	0.0760	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.872521	-0.17%	0.875	+0.11%	0.0482	✗	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.91094	-0.51%	0.874	-4.54%	0.0286	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.890449	-0.51%	0.9156	+2.30%	0.0623	✗	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.906568	-0.60%	0.895	-1.86%	0.0104	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.949038	-0.74%	0.912	-4.61%	0.0448	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.952361	-0.76%	0.9561	-0.38%	0.0057	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.943664	-0.76%	0.9597	+0.93%	0.0256	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.977558	-0.87%	0.9509	-3.57%	0.0115	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.0199	-1.04%	0.9861	-4.33%	0.0175	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	1.0069	-1.05%	1.0307	+1.30%	0.0203	✗	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.919397	-0.82%	1.0175	+9.76%	0.0976	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.930291	-0.89%	0.927	-1.24%	0.0178	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.948676	-0.92%	0.9386	-1.97%	0.0141	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0446	-1.14%	0.9575	-9.38%	0.0879	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.96193	-0.99%	1.0566	+8.76%	0.0858	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.945038	-0.93%	0.9715	+1.85%	0.0296	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.929367	-0.80%	0.9539	+1.81%	0.0315	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.0333	-1.08%	0.9369	-10.30%	0.0900	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1866	-1.20%	1.0445	-13.03%	0.1174	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2525	-1.28%	1.201	-5.34%	0.0215	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1771	-1.18%	1.2687	+6.51%	0.0558	✗	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.37	-1.46%	1.1912	-14.32%	0.1279	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1724	-1.32%	1.3903	+17.02%	0.1841	✗	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1696	-1.37%	1.1881	+0.19%	0.0209	✗	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1494	-1.35%	1.1859	+1.79%	0.0140	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1521	-1.36%	1.1651	-0.25%	0.0061	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1535	-1.45%	1.168	-0.21%	0.0104	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1495	-1.52%	1.1705	+0.27%	0.0377	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.993852	-1.08%	1.1673	+16.18%	0.1531	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.895893	-0.61%	1.0047	+11.46%	0.0996	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.884257	-0.76%	0.9014	+1.17%	0.0005	✓	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.883993	-0.75%	0.891	+0.03%	0.0097	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.852086	-0.58%	0.8907	+3.92%	0.0378	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.823998	-0.60%	0.8571	+3.39%	0.0117	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.816506	-0.55%	0.829	+0.97%	0.0071	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.903528	-1.10%	0.821	-10.14%	0.0874	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.867591	-0.78%	0.9136	+4.48%	0.0671	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.945993	-1.18%	0.8744	-8.66%	0.0600	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.814502	-0.44%	0.9573	+17.02%	0.1471	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.757476	-0.35%	0.8181	+7.63%	0.0742	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.805777	-0.36%	0.7601	-6.01%	0.0465	✓	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.829711	-0.43%	0.8087	-2.95%	0.0267	✓	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.785346	-0.43%	0.8333	+5.65%	0.0325	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.772424	-0.45%	0.7887	+1.65%	0.0138	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.762703	-0.52%	0.7759	+1.20%	0.0123	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.769984	-0.45%	0.7667	-0.88%	0.0233	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.770049	-0.39%	0.7735	+0.05%	0.0238	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.705605	-0.39%	0.7731	+9.13%	0.0642	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.746892	-0.48%	0.7084	-5.61%	0.0576	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.770446	-0.60%	0.7505	-3.17%	0.0357	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.804303	-0.78%	0.7751	-4.38%	0.0329	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.781314	-0.94%	0.8106	+2.78%	0.0215	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.804808	-0.98%	0.7887	-2.97%	0.0173	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.691271	-0.49%	0.8128	+17.00%	0.1606	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.653539	-0.48%	0.6947	+5.79%	0.0420	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.650507	-0.49%	0.6567	+0.46%	0.0020	✓	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.660952	-0.50%	0.6537	-1.60%	0.0023	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.631483	-0.51%	0.6643	+4.66%	0.0003	✓	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.601343	-0.49%	0.6347	+5.03%	0.0565	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.621326	-0.51%	0.6043	-3.23%	0.0573	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.62028	-0.52%	0.6245	+0.16%	0.0010	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.626068	-0.51%	0.6235	-0.92%	0.0053	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.618878	-0.52%	0.6293	+1.16%	0.0378	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.616601	-0.52%	0.6221	+0.37%	0.0107	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.617748	-0.49%	0.6198	-0.16%	0.0223	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.634313	-0.52%	0.6208	-2.63%	0.0351	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.628484	-0.48%	0.6376	+0.97%	0.0207	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.602675	-0.40%	0.6315	+4.36%	0.0473	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.615612	-0.43%	0.6051	-2.13%	0.0241	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.683838	-0.53%	0.6183	-10.07%	0.0600	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.643308	-0.49%	0.6875	+6.34%	0.0544	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.652165	-0.51%	0.6465	-1.37%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.62491	-0.48%	0.6555	+4.40%	0.0008	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.673456	-0.54%	0.6279	-7.27%	0.0528	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.665686	-0.50%	0.6771	+1.21%	0.0423	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.64998	-0.45%	0.669	+2.47%	0.0197	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.668942	-0.48%	0.6529	-2.87%	0.0038	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.661432	-0.45%	0.6722	+1.17%	0.0578	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.677763	-0.46%	0.6644	-2.42%	0.0057	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.642917	-0.46%	0.6809	+5.42%	0.0270	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.626351	-0.45%	0.6459	+2.65%	0.0067	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.639109	-0.45%	0.6292	-1.99%	0.0201	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.649793	-0.43%	0.642	-1.62%	0.0185	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.609582	-0.40%	0.6526	+6.63%	0.0631	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.643169	-0.41%	0.612	-5.23%	0.0536	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.682998	-0.42%	0.6458	-5.85%	0.0810	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.644289	-0.23%	0.6859	+6.21%	0.0211	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.648405	-0.28%	0.6458	-0.68%	0.0179	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.704885	-0.40%	0.6502	-8.12%	0.0666	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.748143	-0.47%	0.7077	-5.85%	0.0108	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.709432	-0.46%	0.7517	+5.47%	0.0863	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.718204	-0.39%	0.7127	-1.15%	0.0806	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.776217	-0.50%	0.721	-7.58%	0.0651	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.845309	-0.60%	0.7801	-8.27%	0.1368	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.805961	-0.50%	0.8504	+4.99%	0.0756	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.823657	-0.48%	0.81	-2.13%	0.0372	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.740547	-0.25%	0.8276	+11.48%	0.1421	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.770075	-0.31%	0.7424	-3.90%	0.0272	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.692673	+0.10%	0.7725	+11.63%	0.0367	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.703791	+0.10%	0.692	-1.58%	0.0065	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.73546	-0.02%	0.7031	-4.42%	0.0103	✗	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.769075	-0.07%	0.7356	-4.42%	0.0382	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.794987	-0.08%	0.7696	-3.27%	0.0319	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.8029	+0.00%	0.7956	-0.91%	0.0294	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.811654	+0.04%	0.8029	-1.04%	0.0223	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.82233	+0.04%	0.8113	-1.30%	0.0092	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.869913	-0.03%	0.822	-5.54%	0.0272	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.922438	-0.07%	0.8702	-5.73%	0.0597	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.941663	-0.08%	0.9231	-2.05%	0.0002	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.946789	-0.03%	0.9424	-0.50%	0.0237	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.851358	+0.17%	0.9471	+11.44%	0.0552	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.865295	+0.18%	0.8499	-1.60%	0.0021	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.916333	+0.16%	0.8637	-5.60%	0.0257	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.959019	+0.14%	0.9149	-4.47%	0.0231	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.989974	+0.15%	0.9577	-3.12%	0.0300	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0741	+0.15%	0.9885	-7.83%	0.1031	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1422	+0.14%	1.0725	-5.97%	0.0372	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.935676	+0.35%	1.1406	+22.33%	0.0436	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.155	+0.15%	0.9324	-19.15%	0.0066	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1531	+0.12%	1.1532	+0.13%	0.0546	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2068	-0.10%	1.1517	-4.66%	0.0118	✗	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.2024	+0.05%	1.208	+0.52%	0.0240	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2263	-0.11%	1.2018	-2.10%	0.0098	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.275	-0.64%	1.2276	-4.33%	0.0578	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2824	-0.68%	1.2832	-0.62%	0.0076	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.4213	-1.12%	1.2912	-10.18%	0.0197	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.4014	-1.11%	1.4375	+1.44%	0.0247	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4908	-1.17%	1.4171	-6.05%	0.0650	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3747	-1.00%	1.5084	+8.63%	0.0646	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5441	-1.22%	1.3886	-11.17%	0.0658	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5809	-1.22%	1.5632	-2.32%	0.0049	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6926	-1.33%	1.6004	-6.71%	0.0562	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.6822	-1.34%	1.7155	+0.62%	0.0180	✗	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.7354	-1.32%	1.705	-3.05%	0.0357	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.7309	-1.36%	1.7586	+0.22%	0.0908	✗	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5799	-1.26%	1.7548	+9.67%	0.1238	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6773	-1.36%	1.6001	-5.90%	0.0211	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8796	-1.64%	1.7004	-11.02%	0.0935	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.8196	-1.67%	1.911	+3.27%	0.0504	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.8549	-2.26%	1.8505	-2.49%	0.0209	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.4269	-1.19%	1.8977	+31.40%	0.2598	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3642	-1.12%	1.4442	+4.67%	0.0125	✓	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.2407	-0.79%	1.3797	+10.33%	0.1008	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0964	-0.50%	1.2505	+13.49%	0.1230	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1481	-0.59%	1.1019	-4.60%	0.0389	✓	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1649	-0.62%	1.155	-1.47%	0.0017	✓	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.2175	-0.74%	1.1722	-4.43%	0.0356	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2882	-0.92%	1.2265	-5.67%	0.0290	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2548	-0.86%	1.3002	+2.73%	0.0367	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.245	-0.80%	1.2657	+0.84%	0.0017	✓	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.2328	-0.73%	1.2551	+1.06%	0.0109	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.2322	-0.68%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0028	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2993	-0.84%	1.2407	-5.31%	0.0562	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.3306	-0.84%	1.3103	-2.35%	0.0258	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3431	-0.86%	1.3419	-0.94%	0.0072	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4333	-1.16%	1.3547	-6.58%	0.0681	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.243	-0.34%	1.4501	+16.27%	0.1612	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2374	-0.26%	1.2472	+0.53%	0.0072	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2252	-0.16%	1.2406	+1.10%	0.0077	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3671	-0.43%	1.2271	-10.63%	0.1093	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2827	-0.16%	1.373	+6.87%	0.0723	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3151	-0.18%	1.2847	-2.49%	0.0251	✓	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.337	-0.20%	1.3175	-1.65%	0.0039	✓	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3306	-0.11%	1.3396	+0.56%	0.0075	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.3511	-0.07%	1.3321	-1.47%	0.0172	✓	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3792	-0.04%	1.352	-2.01%	0.0222	✓	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4123	+0.04%	1.3798	-2.26%	0.0505	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5639	-0.12%	1.4117	-9.84%	0.0948	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.518	-0.06%	1.5658	+3.09%	0.0473	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5471	+0.01%	1.5189	-1.82%	0.0330	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5611	-0.00%	1.547	-0.91%	0.0080	✗	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6559	-0.17%	1.5612	-5.88%	0.0396	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6959	-0.23%	1.6587	-2.42%	0.0220	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8843	-0.86%	1.6998	-10.57%	0.0838	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0457	-1.09%	1.9007	-8.09%	0.0778	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1867	-1.26%	2.0681	-6.62%	0.0502	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0515	-1.13%	2.2147	+6.74%	0.0596	✗	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.1323	-1.21%	2.0749	-3.87%	0.0294	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1496	-1.18%	2.1585	-0.77%	0.0055	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.3399	-1.27%	2.1753	-8.22%	0.0723	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3675	-1.36%	2.3701	-1.25%	0.0243	✗	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.1858	-1.28%	2.4001	+8.40%	0.1051	✗	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.041	-1.23%	2.2141	+7.15%	0.0634	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0216	-1.02%	2.0663	+1.17%	0.0262	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.9931	-1.24%	2.0424	+1.20%	0.0665	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1694	-1.37%	2.0181	-8.25%	0.0678	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.2189	-1.42%	2.1995	-2.28%	0.0080	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.6089	-1.55%	2.2508	-15.06%	0.1436	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.77	-1.58%	2.65	-5.84%	0.0528	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.766	-1.56%	2.8145	+0.16%	0.0162	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	3.0561	-1.74%	2.8099	-9.66%	0.0742	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.6052	-1.56%	3.1104	+17.52%	0.1635	✗	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0593	-1.29%	2.6466	+26.86%	0.2359	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3662	-1.33%	2.0862	-13.01%	0.1232	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.8885	-1.35%	2.3982	-18.09%	0.1769	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.4527	-1.60%	2.928	-16.56%	0.1509	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.446	-1.70%	3.509	+0.10%	0.0220	✗	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.1671	-2.91%	3.5056	-18.32%	0.1755	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	4.0626	-2.80%	4.2919	+2.69%	0.0624	✗	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	3.0498	-1.71%	4.1796	+34.70%	0.3213	✗	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.835	-1.61%	3.103	+7.69%	0.0858	✗	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.888	-1.73%	2.8813	-1.96%	0.0180	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.7897	-1.75%	2.939	+3.51%	0.0601	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	3.0613	-2.38%	2.8393	-9.46%	0.0705	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.9121	-3.49%	3.1359	+3.93%	0.0848	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.159	-1.68%	3.0174	+37.42%	0.3316	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7684	-1.43%	2.1958	+22.40%	0.2137	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.7565	-1.45%	1.794	+0.65%	0.0222	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.451	-1.17%	1.7824	+21.40%	0.2058	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.83	-1.50%	1.4682	-20.97%	0.2250	✓	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.8397	-1.77%	1.8578	-0.80%	0.0141	✓	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5591	-1.34%	1.8728	+18.51%	0.1856	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7737	-1.64%	1.5803	-12.37%	0.1205	✓	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.5489	-1.52%	1.8033	+14.66%	0.1528	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3424	-1.35%	1.5727	+15.57%	0.1592	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.246	-1.26%	1.3608	+7.84%	0.0905	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4617	-1.45%	1.2619	-14.93%	0.1516	✓	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.4123	-1.39%	1.4833	+3.58%	0.0426	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.6981	-1.64%	1.4321	-17.05%	0.1737	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5645	-1.64%	1.7264	+8.54%	0.0972	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4409	-1.60%	1.5906	+8.63%	0.1081	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4524	-1.58%	1.4643	-0.77%	0.0104	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4527	-1.63%	1.4757	-0.07%	0.0190	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2692	-1.49%	1.4768	+14.62%	0.1635	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.215	-1.52%	1.2884	+4.43%	0.0550	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2761	-1.60%	1.2338	-4.87%	0.0445	✓	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1365	-1.50%	1.2969	+12.40%	0.1425	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1881	-1.52%	1.1538	-4.37%	0.0215	✓	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2478	-1.49%	1.2065	-4.75%	0.0297	✓	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3876	-1.65%	1.2667	-10.21%	0.1014	✓	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.5017	-1.89%	1.4108	-7.83%	0.0796	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.4208	-1.81%	1.5306	+5.78%	0.0603	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.5295	-2.10%	1.447	-7.39%	0.0705	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.376	-2.12%	1.5624	+11.14%	0.1284	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4587	-3.48%	1.4058	-6.97%	0.0109	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0577	-2.44%	1.5112	+39.38%	0.3479	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.9208	-1.57%	1.0842	+15.90%	0.1636	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.773516	-0.84%	0.9355	+19.92%	0.1925	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.770555	-0.98%	0.7801	+0.24%	0.0083	✓	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.713431	-0.50%	0.7782	+8.54%	0.0968	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.695223	-0.53%	0.717	+2.59%	0.0274	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.699829	-0.58%	0.6989	-0.71%	0.0043	✓	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.696975	-0.57%	0.7039	+0.41%	0.0095	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.707532	-0.73%	0.701	-1.64%	0.0143	✓	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.620632	-0.51%	0.7127	+14.25%	0.1342	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.615329	-0.58%	0.6238	+0.79%	0.0037	✓	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.633044	-0.61%	0.6189	-2.83%	0.0219	✓	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.569316	-0.50%	0.6369	+11.31%	0.1088	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.580159	-0.52%	0.5722	-1.89%	0.0180	✓	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.616937	-0.61%	0.5832	-6.04%	0.0562	✓	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.592112	-0.55%	0.6207	+4.25%	0.0462	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.60494	-0.57%	0.5954	-2.14%	0.0113	✓	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.606851	-0.57%	0.6084	-0.31%	0.0010	✓	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.589447	-0.53%	0.6103	+2.99%	0.0355	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.612233	-0.56%	0.5926	-3.75%	0.0309	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.596873	-0.52%	0.6157	+2.62%	0.0327	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.628874	-0.60%	0.6	-5.17%	0.0472	✓	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.589131	-0.47%	0.6327	+6.89%	0.0777	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.636954	-0.63%	0.5919	-7.66%	0.0761	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.