ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s4

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0630

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0080

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.303997	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.305045	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.342193	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.315942	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.311712	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.319483	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.305783	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.319573	-1.40%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0708	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.292145	-1.17%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0154	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.307156	-1.24%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1260	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.31719	-1.34%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0081	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.321929	-1.32%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0067	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.321725	-1.37%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0313	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.290877	-1.13%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0794	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.303733	-1.26%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0581	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.294467	-1.12%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0314	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.317378	-1.17%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0168	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.310409	-1.08%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.0961	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.320722	-1.15%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0591	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.302827	-1.10%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1017	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.321406	-1.26%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0591	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.325267	-1.27%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0086	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.327031	-1.32%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0894	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.3313	-1.37%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0592	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.319366	-1.31%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0520	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.326638	-1.35%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0376	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.323396	-1.34%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0596	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.333785	-1.47%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0314	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.334553	-1.49%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0224	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.341929	-1.69%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0187	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.335236	-1.49%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0418	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.319213	-1.31%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0620	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.273137	-1.36%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1460	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.277622	-1.43%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1214	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.281749	-1.54%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1391	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.249464	-1.48%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2022	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.245507	-1.44%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2395	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.238681	-1.39%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2157	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.264569	-1.50%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0999	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.255943	-1.45%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0241	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.256975	-1.39%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0419	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.251715	-1.25%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0821	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.252808	-1.25%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0040	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.247209	-0.88%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0361	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.250153	-0.81%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0058	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.2213	-0.09%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2064	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.262722	-0.71%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0322	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.258055	-0.48%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0415	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.253444	-0.14%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0355	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.263818	+0.16%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0261	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.259492	-0.41%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0523	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.251847	+0.10%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0123	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.259053	+0.25%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1636	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.248194	+0.52%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0292	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.252279	+0.63%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0070	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.257211	+0.36%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0370	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.261003	+0.93%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0035	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.263788	+0.49%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0106	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.263374	+0.37%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0305	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.268077	+0.29%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0311	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266798	+0.04%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0766	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.270177	-0.27%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0909	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.267083	-0.16%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0346	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.24133	-0.65%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0275	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.214083	-0.66%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0879	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.199781	-0.80%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1060	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.200962	-0.81%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1107	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.20332	-0.87%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0815	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200845	-0.82%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1200	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.20524	-0.85%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0695	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.207228	-0.85%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0309	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.213908	-0.92%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0725	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.219406	-0.99%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.1015	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.235286	-1.22%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1573	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.233065	-1.16%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0996	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.235892	-1.22%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1263	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.232792	-1.19%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0909	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.231233	-1.22%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0894	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.222836	-1.09%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0151	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.219598	-1.08%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0163	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213978	-1.03%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1011	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.211967	-1.00%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0876	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.200275	-0.85%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1465	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.20284	-0.86%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1214	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.205648	-0.80%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1358	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206678	-0.83%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0764	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205757	-0.79%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0731	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.199304	-0.70%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0846	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.207093	-0.67%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0583	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213592	-0.79%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0340	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214572	-0.80%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0299	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218572	-0.78%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0484	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216622	-0.68%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0082	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.221912	-0.71%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0308	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218163	-0.74%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0624	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.21887	-0.78%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0576	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.219379	-0.78%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0121	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.219274	-0.83%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0162	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218214	-0.81%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0076	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.218343	-0.75%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0194	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211545	-0.64%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0345	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208753	-0.74%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0091	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.219724	-0.80%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0092	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.21848	-0.78%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0017	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217271	-0.74%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0207	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216483	-0.79%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0079	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219661	-0.87%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0335	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219669	-0.83%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0547	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221266	-0.82%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0261	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214255	-0.76%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0312	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211293	-0.75%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0322	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.211134	-0.78%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0151	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.206317	-0.76%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0335	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201905	-0.74%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0624	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189306	-0.57%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0949	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201124	-0.68%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0567	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201347	-0.67%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0188	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.203431	-0.67%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0062	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.203769	-0.65%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0117	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.210887	-0.71%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0371	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.218381	-0.78%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0584	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.2198	-0.77%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0927	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.219383	-0.73%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0337	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.216176	-0.70%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0180	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.216132	-0.67%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0006	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.212934	-0.64%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0056	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.212185	-0.62%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0402	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.218356	-0.66%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0489	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.224022	-0.70%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0236	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.231477	-0.78%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0191	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.224772	-0.72%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0030	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.220595	-0.68%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0112	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.220626	-0.66%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0283	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.219217	-0.63%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0181	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209503	-0.38%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0123	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.215299	-0.42%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0006	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211658	-0.35%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0592	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.212093	-0.29%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0369	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209803	+0.10%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0142	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.214815	+0.10%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0038	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.226643	-0.29%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0243	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.235889	-0.38%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0878	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.251539	-0.66%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1034	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.268876	-0.89%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1778	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.27313	-0.93%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1785	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.26965	-0.90%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1700	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.261233	-0.82%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1174	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.257367	-0.78%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0619	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.267781	-0.86%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0580	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.281209	-0.95%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0513	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.275862	-0.88%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0301	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.282459	-0.93%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0014	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.282453	-0.93%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0172	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.280779	-0.92%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0491	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.279369	-0.86%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0450	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.286285	-0.91%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0358	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.285006	-0.90%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0027	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282544	-0.86%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0173	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.28119	-0.81%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0168	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.28698	-0.80%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0034	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.301807	-0.85%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0367	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.30509	-0.72%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0542	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304663	-0.83%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0398	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.307401	-0.74%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0396	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.319614	-0.74%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0795	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.310248	-0.56%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0548	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.306842	-0.67%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0399	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.307251	-0.69%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0010	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.306007	-0.68%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0036	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.314053	-0.58%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0028	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.316318	-0.65%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0182	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.299072	-0.57%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0614	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.296699	-0.64%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0270	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.299339	-0.62%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0185	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.300584	-0.63%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0158	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.294685	-0.68%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0182	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.295006	-0.67%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0281	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.302455	-0.67%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0188	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.303091	-0.56%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0253	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.310318	-0.48%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0377	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.315054	-0.61%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0523	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.311121	-0.57%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0336	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.313247	-0.49%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0400	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.317832	-0.55%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0500	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.313443	-0.68%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0287	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.313979	-0.73%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0406	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.316473	-0.92%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0516	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.322344	-0.85%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0312	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.328121	-0.78%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0502	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319967	-0.85%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0397	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.313687	-0.79%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0066	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.308822	-0.80%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0051	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304822	-0.74%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0257	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.298157	-0.91%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0433	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.311942	-0.91%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0202	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.302922	-0.84%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0554	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.297269	-0.88%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0551	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.298011	-0.93%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0289	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.296556	-0.88%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0302	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.29622	-1.03%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0118	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.293293	-1.01%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0103	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.293351	-1.06%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0196	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.282975	-0.99%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0235	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.285226	-1.00%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0067	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.291111	-1.02%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0064	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.276867	-0.91%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0449	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.27252	-0.87%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0743	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.268723	-0.80%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0693	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.277873	-0.83%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0558	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.283501	-0.84%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0023	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.28758	-0.80%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0194	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.292512	-0.71%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0348	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.291131	-0.71%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0197	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.294386	-0.68%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0299	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.283591	-0.67%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0278	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.286512	-0.62%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0022	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.287974	-0.53%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0315	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.297765	-0.58%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0161	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.312931	-0.59%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0609	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.327566	-0.50%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0800	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.333562	-0.46%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0825	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.32433	-0.54%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0820	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.31428	-0.58%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0649	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.321164	-0.63%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0997	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.314607	-0.60%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0436	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.316728	-0.62%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0155	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319828	-0.64%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0065	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.318968	-0.69%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0087	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.318779	-0.75%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0414	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.316703	-0.69%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0393	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317802	-0.66%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0099	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.313219	-0.50%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0138	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.322216	-0.46%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0123	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328399	-0.70%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0370	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335147	-0.73%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0384	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.342689	-0.87%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0671	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.352208	-0.93%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1028	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.344224	-0.89%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0996	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.352219	-0.92%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1507	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.356427	-0.97%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1485	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.314428	-0.65%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0051	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.295725	-0.46%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0888	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.292995	-0.41%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1852	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.302773	-0.44%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1709	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.303872	-0.40%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1577	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.309588	-0.39%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1324	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.319483	-0.41%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1013	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.327827	-0.45%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0042	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.328083	-0.43%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0500	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.330828	-0.41%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1039	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.372036	-0.74%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1813	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.368267	-0.68%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1789	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.360255	-0.51%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1564	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.358855	-0.48%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1049	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.377176	-0.69%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1202	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.381506	-0.75%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1323	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.39217	-0.84%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1491	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.397618	-0.84%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0652	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.403509	-0.93%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0653	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.358151	+0.55%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0259	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.362828	-0.51%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0797	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.362783	-0.58%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1451	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.355219	-0.58%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2130	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.344757	-0.30%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2342	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.360712	-0.49%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2457	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.386927	-0.81%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2442	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.40494	-0.87%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1968	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.420134	-0.91%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0823	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.427676	-0.93%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0214	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.422167	-0.90%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0433	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.424645	-0.90%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0734	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.429866	-0.88%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0294	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.429401	-0.85%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0230	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.434018	-0.84%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0065	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.445013	-0.89%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0457	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.429067	-0.82%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0049	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.450549	-0.80%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0024	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.459228	-0.79%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0279	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.470343	-0.77%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0012	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.475794	-0.77%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0128	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.48665	-0.83%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0234	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.506258	-0.87%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0189	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.455476	-0.66%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0415	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.44403	-0.78%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0040	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.449041	-0.79%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0071	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.450434	-0.79%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0131	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.456939	-0.79%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0244	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.449326	-0.72%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0236	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.455354	-0.73%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0298	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.480796	-0.74%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0722	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.495397	-0.82%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0611	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.487133	-0.89%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0639	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.482199	-0.90%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0567	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.48755	-0.96%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0657	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.478576	-0.96%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0920	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.462232	-0.89%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0669	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.490779	-1.03%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0945	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.471456	-0.95%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0458	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.473612	-0.96%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0189	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.428307	-0.74%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0852	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.425227	-0.72%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1059	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.428244	-0.71%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0967	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.439457	-0.73%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0612	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.442551	-0.73%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0989	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.461881	-0.78%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0523	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.472129	-0.81%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0245	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.491455	-0.92%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1221	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.482838	-0.88%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1075	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.449548	-0.72%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0680	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.459493	-0.74%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0588	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.452175	-0.66%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0076	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.44772	-0.62%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0055	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.472423	-0.69%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0004	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.473721	-0.65%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0753	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.478505	-0.64%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0511	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.492029	-0.64%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0254	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.511018	-0.73%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0092	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.517009	-0.75%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0539	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.520109	-0.80%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0777	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.529841	-0.85%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0733	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.521108	-0.82%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1040	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.500674	-0.70%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0532	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.50648	-0.69%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0293	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.515611	-0.71%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0199	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.53401	-0.83%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0466	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.497373	-0.64%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0192	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.53685	-0.84%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0051	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.543314	-0.87%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0086	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.578126	-1.07%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1119	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.595681	-1.20%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1675	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.609675	-1.33%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2069	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.615962	-1.43%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2005	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.596154	-1.32%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1407	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.610845	-1.48%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1817	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.526352	-0.84%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0613	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.451152	-0.14%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1629	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.450912	-0.11%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2119	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.470396	-0.40%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2895	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.50731	-0.61%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3032	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.498549	-0.49%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2569	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.511113	-0.56%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3197	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.51732	-0.57%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2133	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.518918	-0.50%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0256	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.563699	-0.74%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0025	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.591904	-0.85%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0619	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.615497	-0.95%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0277	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.616956	-0.94%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0142	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.63506	-1.03%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0419	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.633919	-1.04%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0865	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.637072	-1.06%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0552	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.609673	-0.91%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0439	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.637103	-1.06%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0300	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.567598	-0.70%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0674	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.5573	-0.78%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1204	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.604168	-0.92%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1519	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.622614	-0.97%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1530	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.618775	-0.95%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1402	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.624193	-0.97%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1004	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.60337	-0.92%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1661	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.597684	-0.88%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1443	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.682668	-1.06%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0770	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.732371	-1.28%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1218	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.671041	-1.14%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0407	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.674898	-1.17%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0548	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.655966	-1.14%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0124	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.608675	-1.06%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0358	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.625668	-1.08%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1033	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.658421	-1.15%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0044	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.665054	-1.20%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0233	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.615758	-1.11%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0323	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.605934	-1.09%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0525	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.618401	-1.09%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0423	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.647511	-1.10%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0048	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.668662	-1.10%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0118	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.691286	-1.12%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0299	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.698247	-1.15%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0561	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.610296	-1.02%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0696	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.581416	-0.88%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1481	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.676057	-0.83%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.0995	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.70651	-0.84%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0821	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.698222	-0.92%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0711	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.729999	-0.82%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0707	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.708385	-0.80%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.0990	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.71538	-0.85%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0054	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.726424	-0.87%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0996	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.738499	-0.98%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0932	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.720439	-1.04%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0677	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.67915	-1.11%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0532	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.685291	-1.11%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0618	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.701405	-1.14%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1398	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.687037	-1.13%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1334	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.675118	-1.10%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0981	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.687655	-1.07%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0881	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.729601	-1.06%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0800	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.708533	-1.00%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0621	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.739985	-0.95%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0910	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.777098	-0.93%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0422	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.796862	-0.94%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0448	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.794496	-0.91%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0595	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.805899	-0.87%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0241	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.