ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s4

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0908

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0199

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.305235	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.320704	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.303768	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.300767	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.303731	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.294823	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.30323	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.284365	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.297542	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.300565	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.306431	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.304717	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.284747	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.293323	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.288637	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.311736	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.307891	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.318159	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.299284	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.311408	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.314362	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.310083	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.312067	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.30726	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.313663	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.312246	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.314034	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.315857	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.31775	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.327655	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.322307	-0.35%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.0515	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.271384	-1.99%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2220	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.275412	-2.21%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1422	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.278269	-2.75%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1106	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.245558	-3.02%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2096	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.242185	-2.78%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1742	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.235575	-2.67%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2312	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.261719	-2.56%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0798	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.252704	-2.69%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1296	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.254274	-2.43%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1786	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.249771	-2.01%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.1871	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.250624	-2.10%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1842	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.247583	-0.73%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1180	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.25125	-0.38%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1602	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.223209	+0.77%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2320	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.269145	+1.72%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1157	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.264728	+2.09%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1007	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.261059	+2.86%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1396	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.276277	+4.89%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.0636	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.265891	+2.05%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1126	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.260358	+3.48%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1419	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.271771	+5.17%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1342	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.259814	+5.23%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.1807	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.266469	+6.29%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1288	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.273336	+6.65%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1090	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.279236	+7.98%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1083	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.283694	+8.07%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1124	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.284349	+8.36%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1017	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.290847	+8.81%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1084	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.2907	+9.00%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.0487	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.295178	+8.96%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0318	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.293298	+9.64%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0955	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.253532	+4.38%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0035	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.215271	-0.11%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1482	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.196688	-2.34%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1100	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.197742	-2.40%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0878	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.199267	-2.84%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0297	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.196837	-2.80%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1188	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.201159	-2.82%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0776	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.203342	-2.71%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0687	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.209861	-2.80%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0172	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.21513	-2.92%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0091	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.229229	-3.77%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0930	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.228269	-3.19%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0707	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.230598	-3.43%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2164	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.227959	-3.24%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0401	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.225954	-3.48%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0542	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.218708	-2.93%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0377	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.215331	-3.00%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0103	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.20974	-2.99%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0437	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.207813	-2.94%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0126	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.196183	-2.88%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0789	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.198661	-2.90%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0317	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.202327	-2.40%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0460	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.202873	-2.65%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0572	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.201984	-2.61%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0427	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.195572	-2.56%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1023	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.204266	-2.03%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0896	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.210105	-2.41%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0546	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.210996	-2.45%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0620	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.215635	-2.12%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0769	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.214728	-1.55%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0662	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220539	-1.32%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0127	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.215766	-1.84%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0555	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.216043	-2.07%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0702	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.216717	-1.98%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0631	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.215931	-2.34%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0370	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.214895	-2.32%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0492	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.215891	-1.87%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0182	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.209613	-1.54%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0185	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.205102	-2.47%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0346	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.216635	-2.20%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0256	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.215575	-2.10%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0979	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.214778	-1.88%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0836	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.213354	-2.22%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0888	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.215718	-2.65%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0507	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.216558	-2.23%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0645	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.218556	-2.04%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0220	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.211564	-2.01%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0420	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.208406	-2.11%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0317	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.207862	-2.32%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0167	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.202738	-2.48%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0207	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.198063	-2.62%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0060	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.185948	-2.34%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0293	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.197406	-2.52%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0085	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.197626	-2.50%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0059	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.199664	-2.51%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0414	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.200094	-2.44%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0244	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.206968	-2.56%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0180	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.214187	-2.69%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0274	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.215849	-2.55%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0078	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.215682	-2.41%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0138	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.21253	-2.37%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0121	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.212769	-2.22%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0207	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.209663	-2.16%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0364	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.209047	-2.09%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0333	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.215381	-2.01%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0326	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.221121	-1.99%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0164	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.228375	-2.11%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0192	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.221808	-2.03%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0327	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.217647	-2.00%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0084	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.217724	-1.97%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0147	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.21643	-1.89%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0147	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.206734	-1.70%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0252	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.212298	-1.80%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0096	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.208686	-1.75%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0701	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.208946	-1.76%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0581	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.20609	-1.67%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0415	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.211134	-1.62%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0078	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.223498	-1.67%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0406	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.232882	-1.65%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0745	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.248063	-2.03%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1267	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.262242	-3.34%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1724	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.266437	-3.36%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2272	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.263048	-3.33%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1748	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.254822	-3.26%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1385	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.250948	-3.26%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1133	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.261285	-3.26%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1488	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.275025	-3.13%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1589	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.270708	-2.73%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0687	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.276916	-2.87%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1065	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.276632	-2.97%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1292	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.274316	-3.21%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1374	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.273968	-2.78%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1274	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.280497	-2.91%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1620	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.278871	-3.04%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1609	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.27652	-2.98%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1339	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.275486	-2.83%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1114	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.281446	-2.71%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1003	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.296348	-2.65%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1657	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.30129	-1.96%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1748	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.299426	-2.53%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1714	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.303306	-2.06%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1835	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.31703	-1.54%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2442	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.309783	-0.71%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1907	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.303825	-1.64%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2128	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.303861	-1.79%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2185	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.302786	-1.72%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2078	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.314142	-0.56%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1729	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.315349	-0.96%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1960	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.297086	-1.23%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1086	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.293321	-1.77%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0626	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.296303	-1.63%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0370	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.297253	-1.73%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0427	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.28997	-2.27%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0449	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.290139	-2.31%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0789	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.298147	-2.09%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1183	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.300303	-1.48%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0835	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.310406	-0.45%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0687	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.313646	-1.06%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1167	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.310138	-0.88%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0807	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.314862	+0.02%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0876	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.320066	+0.15%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.1016	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312399	-1.01%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1117	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.312627	-1.16%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0907	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.312515	-2.16%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1057	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.321415	-1.13%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1294	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.330666	-0.01%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1562	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319282	-1.06%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1207	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.313325	-0.91%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0604	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.307932	-1.08%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0533	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304801	-0.75%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0298	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.293932	-2.32%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0253	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.309995	-1.53%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0283	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.301484	-1.31%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0360	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.294647	-1.75%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0213	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.29458	-2.07%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0219	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.294128	-1.70%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0166	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.290718	-2.87%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0198	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.288002	-2.80%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0030	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.286719	-3.30%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0577	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.276802	-3.15%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0225	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.278799	-3.23%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0223	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.284784	-3.17%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0249	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.271155	-2.95%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0205	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.266296	-3.13%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0302	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.262431	-3.13%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0570	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.271227	-3.20%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0201	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.276613	-3.25%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0120	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.281308	-2.96%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0420	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.287516	-2.40%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0315	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.285655	-2.57%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0303	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.28906	-2.48%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0373	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.276981	-2.98%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0552	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.280265	-2.79%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0596	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.282574	-2.39%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0930	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.292227	-2.43%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0550	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.308373	-2.04%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0177	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.326302	-0.88%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0219	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334283	-0.24%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0552	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.322211	-1.19%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0462	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.310556	-1.75%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0397	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.317238	-1.84%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0512	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.310521	-1.89%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0091	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.312427	-1.97%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0475	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.315322	-2.04%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0667	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.313434	-2.42%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0656	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.312167	-2.81%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.0983	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.310748	-2.56%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0528	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.312374	-2.35%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0614	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.309932	-1.55%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0090	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.321053	-0.82%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0613	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.323279	-2.24%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.0998	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.330006	-2.25%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1078	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.335408	-2.98%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2108	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.344215	-3.17%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2221	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.336599	-3.08%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2183	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.34412	-3.20%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1918	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.347911	-3.33%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1772	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.309147	-2.32%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1141	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.291148	-2.00%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0563	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.288379	-1.98%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0136	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.298111	-1.97%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0354	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.299301	-1.90%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0457	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.30504	-1.85%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0781	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.314924	-1.83%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1296	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.323387	-1.80%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1039	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.323954	-1.68%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0551	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.326953	-1.58%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0493	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.367648	-1.91%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1466	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.36404	-1.82%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1534	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.356164	-1.64%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1753	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.354993	-1.55%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1390	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.373133	-1.76%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1843	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.377356	-1.83%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1701	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.387354	-2.06%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1815	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.392358	-2.16%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1908	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.397355	-2.44%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1605	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.350676	-1.55%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1428	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.358059	-1.82%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0429	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.357885	-1.92%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0602	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.350153	-2.00%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0134	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.339577	-1.80%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1005	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.355577	-1.91%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.0946	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.378472	-2.98%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1789	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.395406	-3.21%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1482	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.411465	-2.96%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1693	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.418603	-3.03%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1425	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.412647	-3.13%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1435	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.414286	-3.32%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0662	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.420236	-3.10%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0167	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.419882	-3.05%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0253	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.42429	-3.06%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0091	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.434987	-3.12%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0303	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.419014	-3.14%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0361	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.442898	-2.49%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0841	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.452771	-2.19%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0871	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.465858	-1.72%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0480	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.472233	-1.52%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0571	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.483381	-1.49%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1383	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.505264	-1.06%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1159	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.453154	-1.17%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2163	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.436911	-2.37%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1922	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.441697	-2.41%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1979	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.442778	-2.47%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1773	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.449449	-2.42%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2145	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.442698	-2.19%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2619	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.449192	-2.07%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2651	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.477733	-1.38%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2688	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.492219	-1.46%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0522	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.48064	-2.21%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0063	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.474818	-2.42%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0834	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.478831	-2.74%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1023	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.469087	-2.92%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0862	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.452749	-2.93%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0937	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.479421	-3.32%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0976	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.460699	-3.21%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1153	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.463175	-3.14%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0898	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.420047	-2.65%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0073	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.416835	-2.68%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0390	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.41977	-2.67%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0034	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.430874	-2.67%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0232	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.433805	-2.69%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0221	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.452947	-2.70%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0210	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.462637	-2.81%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0621	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.480536	-3.12%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1204	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.472187	-3.06%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1031	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.439785	-2.87%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0685	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.449319	-2.93%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0721	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.442401	-2.81%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0113	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.437927	-2.79%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0034	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.462396	-2.80%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1143	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.464588	-2.56%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0514	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.469624	-2.49%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0458	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.484962	-2.07%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0337	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.503313	-2.23%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0658	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.509861	-2.12%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0943	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.511281	-2.48%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1180	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.520532	-2.60%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1217	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.51159	-2.63%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0933	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.491946	-2.43%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0338	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.499318	-2.09%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0028	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.509544	-1.88%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0192	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.526051	-2.31%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0437	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.489399	-2.24%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0685	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.528577	-2.37%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0319	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.534892	-2.41%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0564	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.565608	-3.22%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1190	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.579099	-3.95%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2377	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.587624	-4.90%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2652	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.590498	-5.51%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3116	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.575376	-4.75%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2510	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.586967	-5.33%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2859	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.518102	-2.39%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1720	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.443712	-1.79%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0108	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.443325	-1.79%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0824	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.463221	-1.92%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1080	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.499371	-2.16%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0297	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.490583	-2.08%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0427	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.502505	-2.24%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0092	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.508794	-2.21%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0344	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.51188	-1.84%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0349	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.553323	-2.57%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0052	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.580325	-2.79%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0024	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.602793	-2.99%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0308	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.605415	-2.79%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0614	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.621095	-3.21%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0194	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.618822	-3.40%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0309	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.621734	-3.44%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0661	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.596483	-3.06%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0779	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.62154	-3.47%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0340	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.556713	-2.60%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0611	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.546161	-2.77%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1720	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.59273	-2.80%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2267	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.610776	-2.85%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2149	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.608297	-2.63%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2114	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.616028	-2.26%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1846	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.595777	-2.17%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3158	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.590322	-2.10%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.3965	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.67281	-2.49%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3159	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.715657	-3.54%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3314	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.658085	-3.05%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3102	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.659791	-3.38%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3486	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.642337	-3.19%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2462	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.599103	-2.62%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0977	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.613528	-3.00%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0565	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.644203	-3.29%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0002	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.649123	-3.56%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0158	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.603871	-3.02%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0563	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.595012	-2.87%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0488	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.605773	-3.11%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0468	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.6335	-3.24%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0558	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.653831	-3.29%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0599	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.675881	-3.32%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0782	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.682191	-3.43%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0864	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.596419	-3.27%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1103	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.568147	-3.15%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2446	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.669737	-1.75%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2181	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.704171	-1.17%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1725	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.693473	-1.59%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1435	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.733378	-0.36%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1345	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.709354	-0.66%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0664	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.71483	-0.92%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0426	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.726148	-0.91%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0288	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.734911	-1.46%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0221	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.71396	-1.93%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0167	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.667747	-2.77%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0173	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.673788	-2.77%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0418	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.688153	-3.01%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1424	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.672486	-3.23%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0395	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.660526	-3.23%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0446	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.672616	-3.23%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0308	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.71473	-3.07%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0106	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.693597	-3.09%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0152	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.726016	-2.82%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0828	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.764542	-2.53%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0782	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.783845	-2.56%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0844	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.781593	-2.52%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0409	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.795084	-2.20%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0913	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.760358	-2.27%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0607	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.