DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

150

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

66.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2830

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0243

actual -0.1652

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.1331	-18.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	0.987686	-23.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.4999	-18.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.779	-9.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	2.9457	-12.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	2.9863	-16.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	9.7801	-16.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.7335	-24.94%	1.3825	-40.14%	0.2514	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.2122	-25.84%	1.287	-56.86%	0.5714	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.0201	-25.98%	1.8375	-54.96%	0.4949	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.0946	-25.65%	3.069	-44.27%	0.2895	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	7.1247	-22.07%	3.3675	-63.17%	0.7292	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	14.9421	-13.38%	3.591	-79.18%	1.4071	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	13.6248	-18.48%	11.643	-30.34%	0.1445	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	13.358	-22.18%	2.3095	-86.54%	1.7603	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	19.8366	-19.06%	2.983	-87.83%	1.8739	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	38.9327	-10.60%	4.08	-90.63%	2.2268	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	80.1231	-6.24%	5.507	-93.56%	2.6297	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000362249	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000366777	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248178	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000267581	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000306042	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000268791	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000279405	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000307448	-0.89%	0.000375	+20.89%	0.1513	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000299185	-0.77%	0.0003798	+25.97%	0.1740	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000277717	-0.39%	0.0002495	-10.51%	0.1674	✓	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000300781	-0.70%	0.000269	-11.19%	0.1697	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000301862	-0.83%	0.0003089	+1.48%	0.0491	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000326285	-1.72%	0.0002702	-18.61%	0.1748	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000304512	-0.97%	0.000281	-8.62%	0.0514	✓	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000321602	-1.59%	0.0003102	-5.08%	0.0433	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000297027	-0.79%	0.0003015	+0.70%	0.0061	✓	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.00030143	-1.01%	0.0002788	-8.44%	0.0273	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000315589	-1.69%	0.0003029	-5.64%	0.0224	✗	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000309681	-1.53%	0.0003044	-3.21%	0.0011	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000390889	-4.80%	0.000332	-19.14%	0.1360	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000353123	-3.94%	0.0003075	-16.35%	0.1267	✓	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000317459	-1.93%	0.0003268	+0.96%	0.0190	✓	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.00032082	-2.16%	0.0002994	-8.69%	0.0621	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000289926	-0.74%	0.0003045	+4.25%	0.0655	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000229225	+1.11%	0.000321	+41.60%	0.3525	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000241296	+1.09%	0.0003145	+31.76%	0.2840	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000210481	+1.88%	0.0004106	+98.74%	0.6617	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000216606	+1.93%	0.0003676	+72.99%	0.5504	✓	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000217356	+2.29%	0.0003237	+52.33%	0.3429	✓	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000226337	+2.09%	0.0003279	+47.90%	0.5070	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000269296	+1.66%	0.0002921	+10.27%	0.2277	✓	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000273003	+1.60%	0.0002267	-15.63%	0.0000	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000258728	+2.02%	0.0002387	-5.88%	0.0477	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.0002771	+1.91%	0.0002066	-24.02%	0.0836	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000313254	+1.18%	0.0002125	-31.36%	0.0825	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000347492	+0.78%	0.0002125	-38.37%	0.0175	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000409721	-0.91%	0.0002217	-46.38%	0.2945	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000353459	+0.33%	0.0002649	-24.81%	0.0285	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000347956	+0.77%	0.0002687	-22.18%	0.0850	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000349575	+1.18%	0.0002536	-26.60%	0.1393	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000393533	+0.11%	0.0002719	-30.83%	0.1846	✗	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000409889	-0.17%	0.0003096	-24.60%	0.1854	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000405056	+0.06%	0.0003448	-14.82%	0.0731	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000364619	+1.03%	0.0004135	+14.57%	0.1292	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000408102	+0.57%	0.0003523	-13.18%	0.1626	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000444359	-0.64%	0.0003453	-22.79%	0.1717	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.00050693	-0.62%	0.0003455	-32.27%	0.2417	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000520253	-0.53%	0.0003931	-24.84%	0.1689	✓	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000539346	-0.47%	0.0004106	-24.23%	0.1618	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000523429	-0.47%	0.0004048	-23.03%	0.1470	✓	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000569239	-0.31%	0.0003609	-36.80%	0.3209	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000579379	-0.45%	0.0004058	-30.27%	0.2333	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000546645	-0.61%	0.0004472	-18.69%	0.2287	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000596478	-0.70%	0.0005101	-15.08%	0.2126	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000644767	-0.94%	0.000523	-19.65%	0.3044	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000551721	-0.56%	0.0005419	-2.33%	0.1276	✓	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000577562	-0.57%	0.0005259	-9.47%	0.1935	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000575696	-0.55%	0.000571	-1.36%	0.1313	✓	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000650491	-0.70%	0.000582	-11.16%	0.1466	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000682568	-0.95%	0.00055	-20.19%	0.1577	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.00066095	-0.95%	0.0006007	-9.98%	0.0819	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000623812	-0.73%	0.0006509	+3.58%	0.0474	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000623099	-0.72%	0.0005548	-11.60%	0.1284	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000586369	-0.36%	0.0005809	-1.29%	0.0592	✓	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000572339	-0.03%	0.0005789	+1.12%	0.0710	✓	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000618146	-0.38%	0.0006551	+5.58%	0.0598	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000600601	+0.02%	0.0006891	+14.75%	0.0076	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000615239	-0.04%	0.0006673	+8.42%	0.0028	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000591008	+0.38%	0.0006284	+6.73%	0.0089	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000629359	+0.26%	0.0006276	-0.02%	0.0515	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000615946	+0.60%	0.0005885	-3.89%	0.0745	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000597005	+0.90%	0.0005725	-3.24%	0.0398	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000620956	+0.92%	0.0006205	+0.85%	0.0247	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000684968	+0.48%	0.0006005	-11.91%	0.0987	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000687572	+0.67%	0.0006155	-9.88%	0.0934	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000695719	+0.87%	0.0005888	-14.63%	0.1549	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000712712	+1.01%	0.0006277	-11.04%	0.1083	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000626859	+1.86%	0.0006123	-0.50%	0.0622	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000636857	+1.98%	0.0005917	-5.25%	0.1051	✗	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.00075199	+1.59%	0.0006153	-16.87%	0.1913	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000826806	+1.57%	0.0006817	-16.25%	0.2410	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000896042	+1.25%	0.000683	-22.82%	0.2819	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001045	+0.16%	0.0006897	-33.87%	0.3735	✗	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001032	+0.40%	0.0007056	-31.36%	0.3333	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001095	-0.26%	0.0006154	-43.95%	0.4219	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001221	-0.52%	0.0006245	-49.10%	0.5423	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001315	-0.56%	0.0007402	-44.01%	0.4697	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001338	-0.56%	0.000814	-39.48%	0.4027	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001308	-0.46%	0.000885	-32.65%	0.3419	✓	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001427	-0.54%	0.001043	-27.32%	0.3354	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001473	-0.57%	0.001028	-30.59%	0.3799	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001492	-0.53%	0.001098	-26.80%	0.3167	✓	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001569	-0.57%	0.001227	-22.24%	0.2143	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001584	-0.68%	0.001322	-17.12%	0.2121	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001574	-0.61%	0.001345	-15.09%	0.2661	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001527	-0.57%	0.001314	-14.45%	0.1512	✓	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001548	-0.61%	0.001435	-7.84%	0.0325	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001524	-0.56%	0.001481	-3.39%	0.0139	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001587	-0.70%	0.0015	-6.13%	0.0773	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001606	-0.72%	0.001578	-2.47%	0.0980	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001615	-0.59%	0.001595	-1.85%	0.1255	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001515	-0.21%	0.001584	+4.35%	0.1031	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.00148	+0.20%	0.001536	+3.99%	0.0650	✗	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001586	+0.07%	0.001557	-1.77%	0.2028	✗	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001763	-0.83%	0.001533	-13.78%	0.3144	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001691	-0.52%	0.001598	-6.00%	0.2020	✓	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.001969	-3.43%	0.001618	-20.65%	0.1663	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002279	-5.72%	0.001625	-32.77%	0.1699	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001621	-0.55%	0.001518	-6.87%	0.0402	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001661	-0.89%	0.001477	-11.87%	0.0923	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001304	+1.03%	0.001585	+22.77%	0.5295	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001515	+0.27%	0.001778	+17.67%	0.4594	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001381	+0.43%	0.0017	+23.64%	0.7278	✓	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001543	-0.50%	0.002039	+31.46%	0.6714	✗	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001474	-0.34%	0.002417	+63.42%	0.8907	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001571	-1.07%	0.00163	+2.64%	0.6023	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001672	-1.48%	0.001676	-1.24%	0.4313	✗	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001549	-0.45%	0.001291	-17.03%	0.0870	✗	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001884	-3.11%	0.001511	-22.27%	0.1256	✗	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.00164	-0.81%	0.001375	-16.82%	0.1145	✓	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001788	-2.56%	0.001551	-15.48%	0.0598	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001725	-1.53%	0.001479	-15.58%	0.2101	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001622	-1.90%	0.001588	-3.93%	0.0062	✓	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002269	-5.64%	0.001697	-29.41%	0.0371	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001493	-1.79%	0.001556	+2.37%	0.3714	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001623	-2.55%	0.001944	+16.76%	0.4465	✗	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001652	-2.48%	0.001653	-2.42%	0.3000	✗	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001718	-3.03%	0.001835	+3.56%	0.3355	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001616	-2.93%	0.001752	+5.23%	0.1875	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001782	-3.50%	0.001653	-10.50%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001926	-4.01%	0.002404	+19.84%	0.2575	✗	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001757	-3.34%	0.00152	-16.39%	0.1305	✓	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001715	-3.18%	0.001665	-5.99%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.00198	-3.87%	0.001694	-17.77%	0.1396	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001508	-2.05%	0.001772	+15.06%	0.1386	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001341	-1.84%	0.001665	+21.89%	0.1754	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001832	-3.24%	0.001847	-2.43%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.00221	-3.51%	0.002006	-12.40%	0.1493	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002182	-3.61%	0.001818	-19.70%	0.2234	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002599	-3.87%	0.001771	-34.50%	0.4259	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002753	-4.16%	0.00206	-28.27%	0.3074	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002563	-4.50%	0.00154	-42.62%	0.4800	✓	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004559	-4.88%	0.001366	-71.50%	1.1628	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004754	-5.19%	0.001893	-62.25%	0.8791	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006101	-5.86%	0.00229	-64.67%	0.9227	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.004902	-5.86%	0.002264	-56.52%	0.7398	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001476	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001262	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001249	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001641	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.00