DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1203

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0151

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.8585	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.6355	-11.00%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.1984	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9278	-4.60%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4792	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.1351	-6.90%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.217	-10.41%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	10.322	-11.35%	3.591	-69.16%	1.0544	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.9339	-16.26%	11.643	+404.14%	1.8028	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.477	-16.96%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.0768	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.3855	-17.02%	2.983	-26.89%	0.1079	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.5833	-16.77%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1328	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	7.8827	-13.78%	5.507	-39.77%	0.3352	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	16.0334	-7.06%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5709	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.8899	-10.92%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.1427	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	14.7809	-13.89%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.1126	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	21.7427	-11.28%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2173	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	41.3313	-5.09%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.4958	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	83.3221	-2.50%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6464	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000370312	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000374872	-1.30%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0310	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248901	-0.24%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3662	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268274	-0.27%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0660	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.00030778	-0.36%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1797	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269568	-0.23%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1537	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280311	-0.25%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0531	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309071	-0.36%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0716	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300498	-0.33%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0389	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278339	-0.17%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0243	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302101	-0.26%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0723	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303392	-0.33%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0409	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000330064	-0.58%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0762	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000306367	-0.37%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0807	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000325062	-0.53%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0695	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298522	-0.29%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0830	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000303393	-0.36%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0021	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000319155	-0.57%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0266	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000312801	-0.54%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0249	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000402616	-1.94%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2323	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000362073	-1.50%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1123	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000321463	-0.69%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.1005	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000325278	-0.80%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0046	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291166	-0.32%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1407	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227096	+0.17%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2682	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000239107	+0.17%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0510	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207246	+0.31%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1288	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213184	+0.32%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0154	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213269	+0.36%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1251	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222462	+0.34%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1947	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265647	+0.28%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1256	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269446	+0.28%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0458	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254452	+0.34%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0220	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000272772	+0.32%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0357	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000310249	+0.21%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0154	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000345248	+0.13%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.1008	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000412067	-0.35%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0926	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000352433	+0.04%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1590	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000345782	+0.14%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0039	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000346247	+0.22%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0324	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000393085	-0.00%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0864	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000410301	-0.07%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0361	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000404786	-0.00%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0141	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000361624	+0.20%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1111	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000406274	+0.12%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1388	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446269	-0.21%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0157	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000508748	-0.26%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1081	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000521623	-0.26%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0043	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000540458	-0.27%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0258	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000524515	-0.26%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0341	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000569453	-0.27%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0561	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000580311	-0.29%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0422	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000548526	-0.27%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0248	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000598846	-0.31%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0916	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000648429	-0.38%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0867	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000553473	-0.24%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1653	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.0005794	-0.26%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0319	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000577407	-0.26%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0117	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000652782	-0.35%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0671	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000686094	-0.44%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0431	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000664583	-0.41%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0153	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000626358	-0.32%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0438	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000625626	-0.31%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0097	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000587445	-0.18%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0394	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000572114	-0.07%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0008	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000619388	-0.18%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0581	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.00060017	-0.05%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0049	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000615066	-0.07%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0069	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000589068	+0.05%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0426	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000627812	+0.02%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0736	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612905	+0.10%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0215	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000592662	+0.16%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0409	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000616306	+0.16%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0452	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000682172	+0.07%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0775	✗	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000683759	+0.11%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0011	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690757	+0.15%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0186	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000706872	+0.18%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0300	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000617324	+0.31%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0744	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000626562	+0.33%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0009	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000742269	+0.28%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1364	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000816231	+0.27%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1302	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000887019	+0.23%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0464	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001043	+0.02%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1195	✗	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001029	+0.08%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0142	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001097	-0.09%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0169	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001224	-0.22%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1196	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001318	-0.27%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0581	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001342	-0.25%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0584	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001311	-0.20%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0199	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001432	-0.24%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1107	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001477	-0.25%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0273	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001496	-0.27%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0523	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001573	-0.31%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0173	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.00159	-0.32%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0557	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.00158	-0.25%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1151	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001532	-0.27%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1481	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001552	-0.29%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0019	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001529	-0.28%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0203	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001593	-0.33%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0270	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001613	-0.32%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0323	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001621	-0.26%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0912	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001516	-0.13%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0970	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001477	-0.01%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0148	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001584	-0.05%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1353	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001773	-0.29%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.1001	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001696	-0.21%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0932	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002014	-1.23%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0169	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002354	-2.60%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1010	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001626	-0.23%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3743	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.00167	-0.34%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0331	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001293	+0.18%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.2990	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001511	+0.01%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1887	✗	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001376	+0.06%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2883	✓	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001548	-0.20%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0435	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001477	-0.15%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1005	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001582	-0.39%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0473	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001689	-0.50%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1108	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001553	-0.17%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0035	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001924	-1.03%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1745	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001649	-0.26%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0929	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.00182	-0.81%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0009	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001744	-0.45%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0363	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001643	-0.58%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3076	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002343	-2.53%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1780	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001513	-0.45%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4432	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001653	-0.71%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1044	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001683	-0.66%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0618	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001757	-0.87%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0376	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001651	-0.81%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0962	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001827	-1.06%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.00198	-1.32%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.0018	-0.99%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0829	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001755	-0.92%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0299	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002034	-1.24%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1470	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001532	-0.52%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2729	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.00136	-0.47%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1318	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001876	-0.91%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.2970	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002266	-1.03%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.1973	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.00224	-1.07%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002672	-1.18%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1727	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002834	-1.31%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002644	-1.48%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.1064	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004708	-1.78%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5417	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004915	-1.97%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006323	-2.43%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2338	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005082	-2.40%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.2051	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001519	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001303	-1.60%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1502	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001294	-1.91%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001695	-1.59%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2480	✓	1.00