DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

61.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1210

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0177

actual -0.0341

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.243	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	1.1031	-14.29%	1.3825	+7.42%	0.2235	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.6403	-10.73%	1.287	-29.96%	0.2556	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9336	-4.41%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4812	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.1431	-6.66%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.2399	-9.78%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.0224	-5.33%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1200	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.854	-19.72%	11.643	+404.14%	1.8450	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.3967	-19.66%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.2982	-19.16%	2.983	-26.89%	0.0818	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.4545	-19.11%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1043	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	7.7062	-15.71%	5.507	-39.77%	0.3126	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	15.4396	-10.50%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5332	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.1576	-15.30%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.1932	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	14.0217	-18.31%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.1653	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	20.4243	-16.66%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.1547	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	39.5022	-9.29%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.4505	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.3957	-1.24%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6592	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000372386	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000376789	-0.79%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0259	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000249056	-0.18%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3656	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268382	-0.23%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0664	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307693	-0.39%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1794	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269595	-0.22%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1536	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280293	-0.25%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0530	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309023	-0.38%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0715	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300476	-0.34%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0390	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278187	-0.22%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0249	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000301951	-0.31%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0718	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303386	-0.33%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0409	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000330359	-0.49%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0771	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000306388	-0.36%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0807	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000325256	-0.47%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0701	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298458	-0.31%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0833	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000303448	-0.35%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0019	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000319548	-0.45%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000313148	-0.43%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0237	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000404909	-1.39%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2380	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000363961	-0.99%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1071	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000321758	-0.60%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0996	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000325625	-0.69%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0036	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000290785	-0.45%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1420	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000226783	+0.04%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2696	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000238721	+0.01%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0494	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207682	+0.52%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1267	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213678	+0.55%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0177	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000214367	+0.88%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1302	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000223129	+0.64%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1917	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265751	+0.32%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1260	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269549	+0.32%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0454	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000255148	+0.61%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0193	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273336	+0.53%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0378	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000309873	+0.09%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0142	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000344211	-0.17%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0978	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000410686	-0.68%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0893	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000351663	-0.18%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1612	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000345409	+0.03%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0050	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000346231	+0.21%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0323	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000392264	-0.21%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0843	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000409446	-0.28%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0340	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000404199	-0.15%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0155	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000362289	+0.38%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1093	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000406019	+0.05%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1382	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446167	-0.23%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0155	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000508123	-0.39%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1069	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000520897	-0.40%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0057	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000539507	-0.44%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0240	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000523784	-0.40%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0355	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.00056821	-0.49%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0539	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000578909	-0.53%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0398	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000547332	-0.49%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0226	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000597097	-0.60%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0887	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000646076	-0.74%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0830	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000552032	-0.50%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1679	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000577669	-0.56%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0289	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000575716	-0.55%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0146	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.00065026	-0.74%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0632	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000683038	-0.88%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0386	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000661267	-0.90%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0103	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000623276	-0.82%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0487	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000622413	-0.83%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0045	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000584678	-0.65%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0441	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000569512	-0.52%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0054	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000616019	-0.72%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0526	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000597204	-0.55%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0098	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000611955	-0.58%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0019	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000586742	-0.35%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0465	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000624876	-0.45%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0690	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000610788	-0.25%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0250	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000591619	-0.01%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0426	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000615325	+0.00%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0436	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000680412	-0.19%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0750	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000682017	-0.14%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0014	✓	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000689123	-0.08%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0162	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000705377	-0.03%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0279	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000618083	+0.44%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0732	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000627592	+0.50%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0025	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000741916	+0.23%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1359	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000815355	+0.17%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1291	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000885381	+0.04%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0446	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001042	-0.13%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1180	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001027	-0.08%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0158	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001097	-0.10%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0168	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001225	-0.16%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1202	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001319	-0.20%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0587	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001342	-0.21%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0588	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001312	-0.17%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0196	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001432	-0.23%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1108	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001477	-0.25%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0273	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001496	-0.26%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0522	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001573	-0.31%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0173	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.00159	-0.33%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0556	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001579	-0.32%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1144	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001532	-0.29%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1483	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001552	-0.30%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0020	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001529	-0.29%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0205	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001593	-0.34%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0269	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001612	-0.36%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0319	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001619	-0.35%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0903	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001514	-0.27%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0983	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001474	-0.21%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0128	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001581	-0.26%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1332	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001771	-0.41%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0989	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001694	-0.36%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0947	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002023	-0.79%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0214	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002374	-1.78%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1094	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001624	-0.39%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3759	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001668	-0.45%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0342	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.00129	-0.07%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3015	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001507	-0.23%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1862	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001373	-0.15%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2903	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001546	-0.31%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0425	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001475	-0.26%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1015	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001581	-0.41%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0475	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001688	-0.53%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1105	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001551	-0.32%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0020	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001927	-0.85%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1762	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001646	-0.43%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0947	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001821	-0.76%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0013	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001741	-0.61%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0347	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001643	-0.60%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3078	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002354	-2.07%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1828	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001513	-0.45%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4431	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001655	-0.62%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1053	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001684	-0.62%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0623	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001759	-0.73%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0362	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001655	-0.57%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0938	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001832	-0.83%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0850	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001984	-1.08%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0677	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001806	-0.67%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001762	-0.52%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0258	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002042	-0.86%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1509	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.00154	-0.00%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2677	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001368	+0.12%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1258	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001888	-0.28%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3033	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002279	-0.49%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2027	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002254	-0.44%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002687	-0.61%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1784	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002852	-0.70%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002664	-0.74%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0989	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004732	-1.28%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5468	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004942	-1.44%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006358	-1.89%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2393	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005117	-1.73%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1983	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001535	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001315	-0.71%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1412	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.0013	-1.45%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0211	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001714	-0.46%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2594	✓	1.00