DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

131

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1591

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0283

actual +0.0604

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.373539	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.385498	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.385496	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.368995	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.389141	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.373653	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.396043	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.400936	-3.71%	0.386075	-7.28%	0.0569	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.433533	-3.84%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0809	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.423684	-3.88%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0621	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.475864	-4.12%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1884	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.515462	-4.30%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2162	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.491008	-4.80%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2171	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.417976	-4.30%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0244	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.359019	-3.89%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1829	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.390074	-4.30%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1920	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.394176	-4.34%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1897	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.398279	-4.48%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2744	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.367536	-4.42%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4174	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.379736	-4.21%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3441	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.378528	-4.21%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2040	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.372814	-4.36%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.365321	-4.29%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0737	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.353604	-4.31%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1114	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.415464	-4.54%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0295	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.394071	-4.57%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0299	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.424508	-4.44%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0750	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.434227	-4.28%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.1015	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.463142	-4.72%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1594	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.416904	-4.45%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0463	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.386281	-4.46%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0081	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.373134	-4.69%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.0923	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.412127	-7.70%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0562	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.279742	-5.23%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4028	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.240975	-5.53%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.4878	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.224726	-8.11%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6231	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.133142	-2.85%	0.436315	+218.36%	1.0083	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.139808	-0.84%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9209	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.139438	-2.87%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9550	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.14519	-3.15%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0536	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.14425	-2.87%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6522	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.143206	-3.05%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5807	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.150189	-2.54%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5252	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.158191	-3.50%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.0929	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.154755	-1.74%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0770	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.163192	-1.18%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0654	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.165581	-3.87%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0541	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.1524	+1.84%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0200	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.161646	+1.95%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0045	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.144108	+0.28%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0481	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.144196	+0.95%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1079	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.154981	+0.80%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0077	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.153124	-2.04%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0328	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.165901	-3.49%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0156	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.163274	-3.64%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1124	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.170037	-3.66%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0830	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.163014	-2.34%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.1028	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.150189	+1.45%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0351	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.158943	-2.97%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0277	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.134457	+2.57%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1514	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.116454	+2.75%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.3754	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.121962	+2.59%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3344	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.099584	+1.13%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5097	✓	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098742	+0.05%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4298	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.093001	-0.51%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3249	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.094945	-0.86%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.3980	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.10008	-3.31%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.0927	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092206	-0.83%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0380	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092022	-0.77%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0735	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094134	-0.89%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0722	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.097439	-1.22%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0615	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.096501	-1.16%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0469	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092424	-1.01%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0281	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.095456	-1.66%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1071	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.09554	-1.87%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0027	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094992	-1.95%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0008	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.095651	-2.20%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0040	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.098411	-2.44%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0179	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.099291	-2.34%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0100	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.095165	-2.05%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0249	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097339	-2.37%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0202	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.1029	-2.70%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0846	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.111773	-4.21%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1713	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.093206	-1.45%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0562	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095243	-1.49%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0447	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.100931	-2.16%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0036	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.103257	-2.44%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0566	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.111024	-3.10%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0755	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.109977	-3.25%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0118	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.111217	-3.27%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0706	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.114864	-3.57%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.1886	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.117127	-3.67%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1541	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.115662	-3.57%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0685	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.119024	-3.79%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.0896	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.11852	-3.70%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0459	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.121626	-3.55%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0584	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.125141	-3.68%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.0883	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.130242	-3.73%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1141	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.139764	-4.17%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1646	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.145354	-6.34%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2201	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.113042	-3.30%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0579	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.119018	-3.50%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0240	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.119517	-3.63%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0432	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.113398	-3.67%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1385	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.110298	-3.56%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1981	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.105385	-3.36%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.3006	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.107023	-3.18%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3558	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.109718	-3.46%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0799	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.108255	-3.50%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1289	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.10445	-2.99%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1654	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.106557	-3.40%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0840	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.107914	-3.74%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0401	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.103523	-3.54%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0283	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.108601	-4.41%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0456	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.102359	-3.14%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0481	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.098969	-2.66%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0654	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.086313	-1.15%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1747	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.0824	-0.68%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2506	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082681	-0.43%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2751	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082412	-0.44%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2810	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.08549	-0.78%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3524	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086251	-1.17%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2642	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.089616	-1.30%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1875	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096385	-2.18%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093207	-2.02%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.09217	-2.02%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0525	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.095395	-2.58%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.097757	-2.66%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.098949	-2.99%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.097653	-3.19%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0345	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.097245	-3.50%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.098492	-3.60%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.100546	-3.64%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.095471	-3.17%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.101244	-3.63%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0698	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.106824	-4.10%	0.102	-8.43%	0.0959	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.099338	-4.16%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0220	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.088445	-3.37%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0733	✗	1.00