DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

33.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4503

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0775

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.346346	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.357618	-10.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.357065	-10.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.340938	-10.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.359791	-10.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.344674	-10.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.365271	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.369858	-11.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.40016	-11.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.390725	-11.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.439039	-11.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.475902	-11.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.451632	-12.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.384307	-12.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.329503	-11.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.357242	-12.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.360964	-12.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.364292	-12.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.335694	-12.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.348208	-12.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.347208	-12.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.340819	-12.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.334326	-12.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.32347	-12.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.380417	-12.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.360795	-12.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.390573	-12.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.401864	-11.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.42854	-11.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.386573	-11.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.359155	-11.17%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.1377	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.347451	-11.25%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1042	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.376504	-15.68%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0464	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.260051	-11.90%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3629	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.223294	-12.46%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4981	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.202037	-17.39%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5523	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.124053	-9.48%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0857	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.133892	-5.03%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0760	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.130229	-9.29%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1313	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.135201	-9.82%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.1034	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.134923	-9.15%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1917	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.133519	-9.60%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2855	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.141484	-8.18%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.2215	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.146986	-10.34%	0.436745	+166.42%	1.0340	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.147859	-6.12%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8553	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.157757	-4.47%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8618	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.154669	-10.20%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8809	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.151358	+1.15%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.8932	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.161833	+2.06%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8055	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.140809	-2.02%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9007	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142297	-0.38%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.8825	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.153655	-0.07%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8536	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.146462	-6.31%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8643	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.155518	-9.53%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7955	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.153442	-9.44%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.9542	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.161426	-8.54%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8855	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.158874	-4.82%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9626	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.155942	+5.34%	0.45364	+206.43%	0.9928	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.155248	-5.23%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0735	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.141709	+8.10%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.0264	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.123458	+8.93%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.0786	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.131273	+10.43%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.0605	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.101089	+2.65%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4150	✓	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098225	-0.47%	0.29519	+199.11%	0.9884	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091408	-2.21%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9066	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093314	-2.56%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8426	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.096271	-6.99%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.1993	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.089015	-4.26%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2795	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.088932	-4.11%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3127	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.090987	-4.20%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3350	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.093795	-4.91%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.2949	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.0929	-4.85%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3079	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.089103	-4.57%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3767	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.091412	-5.83%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4263	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.091339	-6.18%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3811	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.090763	-6.32%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4216	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.091051	-6.91%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4557	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.0934	-7.41%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2964	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.094258	-7.29%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3195	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.090462	-6.89%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2995	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.092139	-7.58%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2741	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.097027	-8.25%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2648	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.103964	-10.90%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2218	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.087622	-7.35%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4585	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.089425	-7.50%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4098	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.094181	-8.70%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3600	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.096228	-9.08%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2968	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.103255	-9.88%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1542	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.101958	-10.31%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2405	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.103183	-10.26%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0190	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.106376	-10.69%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1274	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.108507	-10.76%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.0989	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.107386	-10.47%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.1911	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.110147	-10.97%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.1817	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.109877	-10.72%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1617	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.113154	-10.27%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1610	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.116393	-10.42%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.0967	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.121482	-10.20%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2526	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.130765	-10.34%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3106	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.1338	-13.79%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3134	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.10536	-9.87%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.0787	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.110909	-10.07%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1253	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.111249	-10.30%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1767	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.105747	-10.17%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.0930	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.102599	-10.29%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0700	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.098334	-9.83%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0408	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.100262	-9.30%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0339	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.102456	-9.85%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0212	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.101108	-9.87%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0011	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.098454	-8.56%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0167	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.099961	-9.38%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0122	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.100704	-10.17%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0353	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.097423	-9.22%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1508	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.100082	-11.91%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1375	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.095939	-9.22%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0473	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.093354	-8.18%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0363	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.082347	-5.70%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1959	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078702	-5.13%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2903	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.079056	-4.80%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2891	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.079066	-4.48%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3249	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.082254	-4.53%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3326	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.082821	-5.10%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3512	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.085954	-5.33%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2826	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.091522	-7.12%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2861	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.08868	-6.78%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3089	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.087671	-6.80%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3334	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.090126	-7.96%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3744	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.092246	-8.15%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4115	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.092942	-8.88%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4744	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.091415	-9.37%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5403	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.090563	-10.13%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2894	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.091568	-10.38%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2946	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.093415	-10.47%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2801	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.089201	-9.53%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2347	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.09404	-10.49%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1719	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.098673	-11.42%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.1132	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.091502	-11.72%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1887	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.082261	-10.13%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2727	✗	1.00