DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s4

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

137

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

59.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0531

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0104

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.382373	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.394896	-0.97%	0.386075	-3.18%	0.0184	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.395004	-0.96%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0097	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.378225	-0.95%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0559	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.399118	-0.97%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0550	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.383409	-0.98%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0519	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.406826	-1.08%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0389	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.411924	-1.07%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0111	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.445698	-1.14%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0422	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.435648	-1.17%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0112	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.48955	-1.37%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0682	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.530355	-1.53%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0811	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.505761	-1.94%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0558	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.43023	-1.49%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1651	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.369221	-1.16%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.2000	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.401815	-1.42%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0291	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.406158	-1.44%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0075	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.410626	-1.52%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0179	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.378967	-1.45%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0623	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.391227	-1.31%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0218	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.390011	-1.31%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0229	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.384448	-1.38%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0030	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.376643	-1.32%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0360	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.364616	-1.33%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0424	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.428557	-1.54%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1317	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.406509	-1.56%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0675	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.437371	-1.55%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0626	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.446707	-1.53%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0009	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.476532	-1.96%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0493	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.428653	-1.76%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1554	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.396817	-1.85%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.1014	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.383013	-2.17%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0461	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.42299	-5.27%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.0759	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.287187	-2.71%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4345	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.247467	-2.99%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0930	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.231699	-5.26%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0923	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.136144	-0.66%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5757	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140844	-0.10%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0192	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.142562	-0.70%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0360	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.148732	-0.79%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0270	✓	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.147538	-0.65%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0150	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.146653	-0.71%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0006	✓	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153199	-0.58%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0059	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.162314	-0.99%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0491	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.156811	-0.44%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0557	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.164589	-0.33%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0222	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.169816	-1.41%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0367	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.150258	+0.41%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1337	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.159084	+0.33%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0330	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.14393	+0.15%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0214	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.143226	+0.27%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0052	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.154014	+0.17%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0566	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.155496	-0.53%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0258	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.169956	-1.13%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0757	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.167185	-1.33%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0223	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.173578	-1.65%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0088	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.164838	-1.24%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0517	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147197	-0.57%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1191	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.16069	-1.91%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0761	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130448	-0.49%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2126	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112647	-0.61%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1436	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117482	-1.18%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0211	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.098388	-0.09%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1428	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098531	-0.16%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0384	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.093236	-0.26%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0071	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.095303	-0.48%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0217	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.101465	-1.98%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0793	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092703	-0.29%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1127	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092491	-0.27%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0046	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094728	-0.26%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0153	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.098319	-0.33%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0347	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.097344	-0.30%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0148	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.093078	-0.31%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0528	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096524	-0.56%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0212	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096758	-0.62%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0040	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096296	-0.61%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0108	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097123	-0.70%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0106	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100122	-0.75%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0191	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101027	-0.63%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0087	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096624	-0.55%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0433	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.098994	-0.71%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0183	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.104875	-0.83%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0608	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.114548	-1.83%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0790	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094318	-0.27%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2466	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096428	-0.26%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0343	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102605	-0.54%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0604	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105165	-0.63%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0221	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.113488	-0.95%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0412	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.112555	-0.98%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0005	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.113897	-0.94%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0057	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.117811	-1.09%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0074	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.120211	-1.14%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0085	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.118672	-1.06%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0316	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.122275	-1.16%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0427	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.121717	-1.10%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0065	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.124814	-1.02%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0120	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.128455	-1.13%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0358	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.133605	-1.24%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0303	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.143291	-1.75%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0397	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.149433	-3.72%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0193	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.115881	-0.87%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2622	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.12208	-1.01%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0282	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.12264	-1.11%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0059	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116327	-1.18%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0677	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113163	-1.06%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0298	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.107987	-0.97%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0481	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109577	-0.87%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0058	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.112481	-1.03%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0110	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.110972	-1.08%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0199	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.10675	-0.85%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0450	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.109114	-1.08%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0189	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.110668	-1.28%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0143	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.105889	-1.33%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0411	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.111743	-1.64%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0599	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.104586	-1.03%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1080	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.100752	-0.90%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0374	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.087026	-0.34%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1625	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082836	-0.15%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082993	-0.06%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082731	-0.05%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.086003	-0.18%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086993	-0.32%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0110	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.090464	-0.36%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.097865	-0.68%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0595	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.094561	-0.60%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0295	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093511	-0.59%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0077	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.097182	-0.75%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.099708	-0.72%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101083	-0.90%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.099874	-0.99%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.099618	-1.14%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.100996	-1.15%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.10317	-1.12%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.097714	-0.90%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0317	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.103876	-1.13%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0482	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.109857	-1.38%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.102197	-1.40%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0899	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.090602	-1.01%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0950	✗	1.00