CTR

Citrea · Base · lstm_s4

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

58.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0929

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014948	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014833	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017147	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016364	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.01311	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013101	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013654	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.01289	-1.28%	0.015367	+17.68%	0.1681	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013509	-1.85%	0.0152	+10.44%	0.1087	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014232	-2.33%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2275	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.01348	-2.07%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2486	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012743	-1.12%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0502	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012695	-1.19%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0530	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012404	-0.92%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1207	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012564	-1.36%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0366	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012455	-1.06%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1081	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012586	-0.58%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1578	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.01263	-0.60%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1063	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012838	-0.48%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0193	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012784	-1.32%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0152	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011867	-0.15%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0645	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012254	-0.47%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0563	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012647	-2.03%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0031	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.01236	-1.91%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0145	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011904	-0.99%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0531	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012163	-0.64%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0479	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012311	-0.99%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0492	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011831	-0.00%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0022	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012228	-0.23%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0044	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012393	-0.77%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0451	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012274	+0.36%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0399	✓	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.012051	+0.64%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0170	✓	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011299	-0.28%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0613	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011471	-0.32%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0622	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011683	-0.79%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0070	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011282	-2.30%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0295	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011263	-2.40%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0485	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011743	-3.25%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0423	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010848	-0.53%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0222	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010393	-0.58%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0451	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009912	-0.28%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1116	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009758	-0.14%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1531	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009272	+0.00%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2214	✓	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010279	+0.19%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1341	✓	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.01022	+0.34%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.1975	✓	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010456	+0.79%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0505	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009626	+1.86%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1147	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.010053	+1.90%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0123	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.010073	+2.07%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0095	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010344	+2.65%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0706	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010142	+1.03%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0000	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009827	+1.62%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0233	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009763	+2.68%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0547	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009585	+2.59%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0444	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009855	+2.95%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0166	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009712	+2.98%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0040	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009509	+2.92%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0470	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009609	+3.05%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0637	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008816	+2.96%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1048	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008796	+2.82%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.0830	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008141	+2.74%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1385	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008268	+2.76%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1323	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008952	+2.66%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0579	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008272	+0.96%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0253	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008435	-0.14%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0325	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008333	-1.21%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1992	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008281	-1.20%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.2039	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008601	-2.09%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3455	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.00853	-1.99%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3076	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008362	-1.58%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2276	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.00863	-1.99%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2254	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008173	-1.17%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0760	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008254	-1.38%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0003	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007717	-0.81%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0716	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.008021	-0.97%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1297	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008231	-1.19%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0924	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007849	-0.77%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1160	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007763	-0.73%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1421	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007649	-0.67%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1009	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007242	-0.59%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1545	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007191	-0.60%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0703	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007336	-0.73%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0738	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007272	-0.79%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.0956	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007414	-0.75%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0260	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007446	-0.59%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0579	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007397	-0.57%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0264	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007231	-0.47%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0035	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007176	-0.40%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0126	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.00789	-0.57%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0315	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008101	-0.72%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0708	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007623	-0.49%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0034	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007505	-0.40%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0042	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008233	-0.62%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0614	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008189	-0.56%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0710	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008293	-0.68%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1121	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008112	-0.65%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0343	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008259	-0.61%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0027	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007766	-0.50%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0172	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007996	-0.68%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0824	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008253	-0.80%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0205	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008269	-0.79%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0311	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008089	-0.38%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0231	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008073	-0.46%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0067	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008399	-0.48%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0303	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.00911	-0.55%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1501	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008387	-0.22%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0517	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008586	-0.10%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0772	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009145	-0.38%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1226	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010304	-0.83%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.2075	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010787	-1.13%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2880	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.01092	-1.35%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2701	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010543	-1.19%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1692	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010873	-1.33%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2894	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011722	-2.07%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3614	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011034	-1.22%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2856	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011243	-1.64%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1602	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010635	-0.84%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0577	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010681	-0.92%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0281	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.010088	-0.02%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0062	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010432	-0.08%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0185	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010286	-0.13%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1685	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.01121	-1.01%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0644	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011131	-0.97%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0876	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010647	-0.41%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0687	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011162	-0.79%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0343	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010627	-0.21%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0044	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010487	+0.21%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011715	-0.89%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0735	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011359	-1.14%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0433	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011908	-1.58%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0220	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012336	-1.71%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1049	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012289	-1.49%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0852	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012626	-1.32%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1692	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012768	-1.48%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1881	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012509	+0.07%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.1043	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014956	-1.28%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3254	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.01386	-1.77%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1855	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014241	-1.99%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1637	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014832	-0.86%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2302	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013554	-0.78%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0979	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016437	-2.63%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2338	✓	1.00