CTR

Citrea · Base · lstm_s4

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

111

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

73.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1958

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0222

actual -0.0605

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.01425	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014304	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016363	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.015344	-11.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012689	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012666	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.01309	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012518	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.012996	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.0136	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.012933	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012404	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012336	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012102	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012164	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012131	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012373	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.01242	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012663	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012424	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.01172	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012061	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012121	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.011878	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011621	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011954	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012031	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.01175	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012123	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.0122	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012317	+0.72%	0.015367	+25.66%	0.2317	✓	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.012178	+1.70%	0.0152	+26.94%	0.2374	✓	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011194	-1.22%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.4569	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011368	-1.22%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4158	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011502	-2.32%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1389	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010788	-6.58%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1755	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.010782	-6.56%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2201	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011167	-8.00%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.1041	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010725	-1.66%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2177	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010282	-1.65%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.2898	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009762	-1.78%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3012	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009624	-1.51%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2315	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009145	-1.37%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.2817	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010193	-0.65%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.1702	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010149	-0.36%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.1993	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010443	+0.66%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1497	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009736	+3.03%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2178	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.01018	+3.19%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.1701	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.010233	+3.69%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.1766	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010664	+5.83%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.1674	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010179	+1.39%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.0727	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009939	+2.78%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1285	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.010052	+5.71%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.1950	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009862	+5.56%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.1788	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.010257	+7.15%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1025	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.010147	+7.59%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1175	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.010051	+8.79%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.1675	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.010186	+9.24%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.0935	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.009347	+9.17%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2093	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.00933	+9.06%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2281	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008623	+8.82%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.2527	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008773	+9.04%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2015	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.00951	+9.06%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.1427	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008428	+2.86%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2156	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008391	-0.65%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.1825	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008118	-3.76%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1589	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008068	-3.74%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1641	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008241	-6.19%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1584	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008191	-5.89%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0192	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008084	-4.85%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0119	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008289	-5.87%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0615	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.00796	-3.75%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0363	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008017	-4.21%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0829	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007535	-3.15%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0576	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007821	-3.45%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0297	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.007995	-4.02%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0169	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007672	-3.01%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0535	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007583	-3.03%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0021	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007476	-2.91%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0205	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007076	-2.86%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0671	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007019	-2.99%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1212	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007154	-3.19%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0637	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007076	-3.47%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0266	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007223	-3.30%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0032	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007286	-2.73%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0367	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007224	-2.90%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0209	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007056	-2.88%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0144	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.006996	-2.90%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0207	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007725	-2.65%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1151	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007908	-3.08%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1713	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007446	-2.79%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1686	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007344	-2.53%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1154	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008068	-2.62%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1236	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008037	-2.40%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0916	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008116	-2.81%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0339	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.00793	-2.88%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0618	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008078	-2.79%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0428	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.00756	-3.14%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1695	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007778	-3.38%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1263	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008044	-3.32%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0863	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.00806	-3.30%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1167	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007853	-3.29%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0301	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007846	-3.26%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0687	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008172	-3.17%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0519	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008902	-2.82%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.1081	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008121	-3.37%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0057	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008307	-3.35%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0979	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008908	-2.96%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1473	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010059	-3.19%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2776	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010492	-3.83%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3731	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010585	-4.38%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3874	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010229	-4.13%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3426	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010512	-4.61%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3848	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011187	-6.55%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4678	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010589	-5.20%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4760	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010751	-5.94%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4473	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.0102	-4.89%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4277	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010228	-5.12%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4262	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009675	-4.11%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.3017	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009995	-4.27%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2946	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009835	-4.51%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2996	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010739	-5.18%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3920	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010676	-5.02%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2864	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010187	-4.71%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2633	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010701	-4.88%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2634	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010169	-4.52%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2383	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010044	-4.02%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.2196	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011265	-4.70%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3583	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010901	-5.13%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2746	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.0114	-5.79%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2911	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011798	-5.99%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3365	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.01177	-5.65%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3370	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012116	-5.31%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.4046	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012223	-5.69%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3736	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012078	-3.38%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.3192	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014369	-5.16%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5601	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013145	-6.84%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4117	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013473	-7.27%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3840	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014192	-5.13%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3624	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012915	-5.45%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.2097	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015432	-8.58%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3209	✓	1.00