CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s4

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +7d

assessed

78

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

61.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0903

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0196

actual -0.0019

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002272	0.002258	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002269	0.002255	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002237	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002172	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002254	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002325	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.00232	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002288	-1.01%	0.002272	-1.70%	0.0212	✓	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.00242	-1.18%	0.002269	-7.35%	0.0813	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002464	-1.05%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0883	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002408	-1.12%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0958	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002457	-1.03%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0658	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002416	-1.12%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0180	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002473	-0.99%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0461	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002317	-1.11%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0054	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002409	-0.95%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0274	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002483	-0.66%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0174	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002583	-0.81%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0351	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002567	-0.53%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0167	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002554	-0.65%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0334	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002524	-0.52%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0013	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002553	-0.37%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0667	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002632	-0.59%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0775	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002698	-0.70%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0882	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002711	-0.74%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0544	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002767	-0.84%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0820	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002725	-0.65%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0603	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002695	-0.43%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0628	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002669	-0.21%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0433	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002722	-0.30%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0228	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002785	-0.11%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0100	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002788	+0.09%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0025	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002636	-0.58%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0385	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002814	-1.26%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0430	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002677	-0.73%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0065	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002558	-0.99%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0017	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002475	-0.64%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0542	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002552	-1.02%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0310	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002831	-2.02%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0431	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002834	-2.32%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0820	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002951	-2.88%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0475	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002857	-2.58%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0696	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002891	-2.76%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1119	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002934	-2.78%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1572	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002825	-2.38%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0820	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002794	-2.12%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0367	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.00278	-1.01%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0542	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002795	-1.75%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0918	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002661	-0.04%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1057	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002689	+1.21%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1161	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002612	-2.52%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1404	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002676	-2.93%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0736	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002704	-2.33%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0519	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.00258	-1.94%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0746	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002775	-3.65%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0200	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002851	-3.74%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0745	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002887	-1.06%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0861	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002742	-0.68%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0180	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002907	-4.28%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0495	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002813	-1.48%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0145	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002528	+1.95%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0401	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002607	-1.14%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0964	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002788	-1.55%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0611	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002555	-3.36%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1493	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002455	-3.42%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002668	-3.59%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002991	-4.03%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2493	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002584	-3.82%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2539	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002687	-3.96%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2197	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002448	-3.72%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002284	-3.59%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002152	-3.47%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0776	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002122	-3.53%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2474	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001986	-3.38%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4419	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001889	-3.31%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3837	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001868	-3.26%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4337	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001941	-3.48%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2999	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001776	-3.39%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3011	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001777	-3.44%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2454	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001858	-3.57%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1773	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001823	-3.65%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1129	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001828	-3.63%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0454	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001857	-3.79%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001786	-3.99%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0866	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001739	-5.29%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0627	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.