CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s4

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1315

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0832

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002163	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002165	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002096	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002175	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.00224	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002235	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002206	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002328	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002378	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002318	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002372	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002328	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002386	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002227	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002323	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002408	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002502	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002497	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002478	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002451	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002485	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002553	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002608	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002616	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002663	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002628	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002604	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002584	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002633	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002708	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002722	-2.29%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1650	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002536	-4.33%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1286	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002688	-5.70%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.2084	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002573	-4.57%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1295	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002437	-5.65%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0645	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002363	-5.12%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0369	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.00243	-5.78%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0862	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002672	-7.52%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.0985	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002665	-8.16%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.0895	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002753	-9.40%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1368	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002678	-8.68%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.0964	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002701	-9.15%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1214	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002742	-9.16%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1059	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002655	-8.23%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1350	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002637	-7.59%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.0940	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002668	-5.01%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0814	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002656	-6.66%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0382	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.00258	-3.06%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0217	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002649	-0.30%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0408	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002452	-8.48%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0039	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.0025	-9.33%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0057	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002554	-7.73%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0162	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002452	-6.79%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0800	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002575	-10.60%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0434	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002646	-10.67%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0333	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002813	-3.59%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0381	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002715	-1.65%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0175	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002723	-10.36%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.0355	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002725	-4.55%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0163	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002554	+2.98%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.0683	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002526	-4.21%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0732	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002697	-4.78%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0204	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002386	-9.72%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1961	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002287	-10.00%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.00248	-10.36%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.1252	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002777	-10.87%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2751	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002399	-10.71%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.1124	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002489	-11.05%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002268	-10.80%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002119	-10.57%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1632	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.001999	-10.33%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1864	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.00197	-10.47%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2256	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001847	-10.14%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2885	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001759	-9.96%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.3073	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001741	-9.82%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2966	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001804	-10.29%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2289	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001652	-10.19%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.3270	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001652	-10.25%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2674	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001723	-10.53%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1948	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.00169	-10.68%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2637	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001696	-10.58%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2877	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001721	-10.82%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2509	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001654	-11.08%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2521	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.0016	-12.89%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3985	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.