CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s4

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +1d

assessed

84

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0376

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual +0.0007

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002272	0.002267	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002269	0.002265	-0.18%	0.002272	+0.14%	0.0019	✗	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002249	-0.18%	0.002269	+0.72%	0.0016	✓	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002186	-0.16%	0.002253	+2.90%	0.0227	✗	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.00227	-0.21%	0.002189	-3.76%	0.0351	✓	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002342	-0.26%	0.002275	-3.12%	0.0334	✓	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002338	-0.28%	0.002348	+0.14%	0.0050	✗	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002305	-0.28%	0.002345	+1.45%	0.0215	✗	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.00244	-0.37%	0.002311	-5.62%	0.0580	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.00248	-0.40%	0.002449	-1.64%	0.0021	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002425	-0.41%	0.00249	+2.24%	0.0171	✗	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002472	-0.42%	0.002435	-1.91%	0.0022	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002432	-0.43%	0.002483	+1.62%	0.0153	✗	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002485	-0.49%	0.002443	-2.19%	0.0197	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002334	-0.41%	0.002498	+6.59%	0.0624	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002422	-0.41%	0.002343	-3.63%	0.0229	✓	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002489	-0.39%	0.002432	-2.70%	0.0100	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002593	-0.41%	0.002499	-4.02%	0.0357	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00257	-0.39%	0.002604	+0.91%	0.0174	✗	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002558	-0.47%	0.00258	+0.38%	0.0019	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002525	-0.50%	0.002571	+1.31%	0.0166	✗	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002549	-0.54%	0.002537	-0.99%	0.0025	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.00263	-0.65%	0.002563	-3.21%	0.0341	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002701	-0.59%	0.002648	-2.55%	0.0194	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002715	-0.60%	0.002717	-0.52%	0.0004	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002776	-0.53%	0.002731	-2.12%	0.0101	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002729	-0.51%	0.00279	+1.73%	0.0220	✗	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002693	-0.50%	0.002743	+1.34%	0.0163	✗	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002662	-0.46%	0.002707	+1.21%	0.0184	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002717	-0.50%	0.002674	-2.05%	0.0157	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002775	-0.49%	0.00273	-2.07%	0.0056	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002773	-0.46%	0.002788	+0.09%	0.0078	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002637	-0.55%	0.002786	+5.08%	0.0249	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.00283	-0.71%	0.002651	-6.98%	0.0648	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002681	-0.59%	0.00285	+5.68%	0.0592	✗	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002571	-0.47%	0.002697	+4.38%	0.0230	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002483	-0.35%	0.002583	+3.71%	0.0387	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002568	-0.41%	0.002491	-3.40%	0.0337	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002869	-0.70%	0.002579	-10.76%	0.0980	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002882	-0.68%	0.00289	-0.41%	0.0021	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.003014	-0.80%	0.002902	-4.50%	0.0365	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002912	-0.71%	0.003038	+3.60%	0.0423	✗	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002951	-0.74%	0.002933	-1.36%	0.0085	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002994	-0.79%	0.002973	-1.49%	0.0017	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002874	-0.66%	0.003018	+4.31%	0.0493	✗	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002837	-0.60%	0.002894	+1.39%	0.0218	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002794	-0.52%	0.002854	+1.62%	0.0252	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002829	-0.55%	0.002809	-1.29%	0.0091	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002654	-0.29%	0.002845	+6.90%	0.0690	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002652	-0.18%	0.002662	+0.18%	0.0088	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002671	-0.31%	0.002657	-0.83%	0.0223	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002748	-0.33%	0.002679	-2.83%	0.0250	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002761	-0.26%	0.002757	-0.40%	0.0033	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002627	-0.14%	0.002768	+5.22%	0.0488	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.00287	-0.36%	0.002631	-8.66%	0.0852	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002951	-0.36%	0.00288	-2.76%	0.0256	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002909	-0.29%	0.002962	+1.53%	0.0261	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002748	-0.46%	0.002917	+5.68%	0.0563	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003015	-0.74%	0.002761	-9.12%	0.0897	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002847	-0.29%	0.003037	+6.39%	0.0664	✗	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002482	+0.08%	0.002855	+15.13%	0.1371	✓	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002633	-0.15%	0.00248	-5.98%	0.0620	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002821	-0.39%	0.002637	-6.87%	0.0657	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002631	-0.48%	0.002832	+7.13%	0.0860	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002526	-0.59%	0.002643	+4.01%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.00274	-1.00%	0.002541	-8.16%	0.1440	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.003062	-1.75%	0.002767	-11.20%	0.1043	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002653	-1.26%	0.003116	+15.99%	0.1352	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002758	-1.44%	0.002687	-3.98%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002516	-1.07%	0.002798	+10.03%	0.1056	✗	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002348	-0.89%	0.002543	+7.34%	0.0869	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002212	-0.76%	0.002369	+6.27%	0.0682	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002183	-0.76%	0.002229	+1.34%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.002042	-0.62%	0.0022	+7.05%	0.0803	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001944	-0.52%	0.002055	+5.18%	0.0703	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001921	-0.53%	0.001954	+1.19%	0.0180	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001998	-0.65%	0.001931	-4.01%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.00183	-0.50%	0.002011	+9.38%	0.0850	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001831	-0.51%	0.001839	-0.08%	0.0096	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001914	-0.63%	0.00184	-4.46%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001879	-0.65%	0.001926	+1.83%	0.0154	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001883	-0.72%	0.001892	-0.28%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001912	-0.90%	0.001897	-1.69%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001843	-0.93%	0.00193	+3.74%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001812	-1.33%	0.00186	+1.29%	0.0560	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.