CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
34.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2556
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0318
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.064434 | -3.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.066572 | -3.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.064889 | -2.99% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.06824 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071522 | -3.26% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070436 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.0759 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071356 | -3.25% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0607 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085288 | -3.35% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2172 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.093488 | -3.68% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3340 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.089098 | -3.53% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2519 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.089142 | -3.53% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.2041 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083679 | -3.41% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1517 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070864 | -3.11% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1069 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.069016 | -3.18% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0469 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.084005 | -4.51% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0155 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071298 | -3.57% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2527 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063198 | -3.19% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3424 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066806 | -3.23% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3003 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.071345 | -3.62% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1684 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067436 | -3.45% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0404 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066923 | -3.44% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0593 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.058295 | -2.58% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4367 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055359 | -1.86% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3219 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053042 | -1.03% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2365 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051228 | -0.68% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3030 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051796 | -0.64% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3628 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049804 | -0.29% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3445 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052645 | -0.87% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2636 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.04684 | +0.07% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2118 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045999 | +0.28% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.1635 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044267 | -1.06% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2414 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.04706 | -1.49% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1404 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.054414 | -2.50% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0064 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.053536 | -2.63% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0709 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.058058 | -3.27% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0548 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.055325 | -3.49% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0179 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.059586 | -7.49% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.0943 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046232 | -1.78% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0668 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044189 | -1.52% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1679 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.043803 | -1.52% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3256 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.044702 | -1.68% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.2026 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.046421 | -2.17% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.2049 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.04578 | -2.15% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1549 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.045638 | -2.11% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3225 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.042131 | -1.92% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0268 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.043791 | -2.05% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0365 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044457 | -1.73% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0580 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047867 | -1.87% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1700 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070478 | -3.05% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3783 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068398 | -3.06% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3612 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066282 | -3.08% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3425 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.065969 | -3.22% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3821 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.066811 | -3.47% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3734 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.067398 | -3.62% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3659 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.063621 | -3.67% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2483 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.067845 | -3.92% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0387 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.066562 | -4.14% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0383 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.065973 | -4.14% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0285 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.066422 | -4.25% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0247 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.06701 | -4.40% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0534 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064343 | -4.07% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0746 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.062154 | -4.01% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2321 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064983 | -4.15% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3323 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.066075 | -4.20% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5327 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.067769 | -4.06% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5196 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.064428 | -4.03% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6524 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.059659 | -3.96% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7042 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.061721 | -5.52% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6726 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.05454 | -3.88% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5399 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.053091 | -3.98% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4768 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.052051 | -4.98% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3285 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043947 | -4.74% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.4967 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037955 | -3.63% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.4968 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035587 | -3.59% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.4887 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034584 | -3.85% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5666 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029536 | -4.14% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6205 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026854 | -3.51% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6777 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024533 | -3.29% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7831 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026627 | -3.52% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5665 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028411 | -3.81% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3779 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026267 | -3.72% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4260 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036863 | -6.02% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0610 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.03223 | -6.65% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0627 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024967 | -4.21% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1405 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025873 | -5.22% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0104 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023168 | -3.79% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1645 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021875 | -2.92% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2158 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020523 | -2.21% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025405 | -6.19% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4542 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022721 | -3.67% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4235 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020702 | -2.24% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2641 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019637 | -1.80% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3704 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020507 | -2.49% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1842 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018126 | -1.95% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018472 | -2.20% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018244 | -2.27% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3920 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017986 | -2.34% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017901 | -2.46% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016015 | -2.65% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018577 | -2.78% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0778 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016499 | -2.99% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0991 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015439 | -3.17% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1857 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019037 | -2.95% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021135 | -2.81% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1471 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.02193 | -2.85% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2172 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020352 | -2.83% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2387 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020656 | -2.75% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022566 | -3.00% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2853 | ✓ | 1.00 |