CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s4
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +30d
assessed
80
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
13.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7239
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0877
actual +0.6173
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.063224 | -8.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.063996 | -7.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.063939 | -6.98% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.062518 | -6.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.065858 | -6.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.068872 | -6.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.068107 | -6.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.072854 | -7.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.069042 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.081541 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.086931 | -10.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.083849 | -9.22% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.083349 | -9.80% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.078978 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.068158 | -6.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.0668 | -6.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.078131 | -11.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.068403 | -7.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.062043 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.065406 | -5.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.06926 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.065299 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.064041 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056364 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.053066 | -5.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.050544 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.048787 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.049363 | -5.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.047356 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.050094 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.044482 | -4.97% | 0.069027 | +47.46% | 0.4139 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.043768 | -4.59% | 0.06897 | +50.35% | 0.4217 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.042479 | -5.05% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5085 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045007 | -5.78% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4056 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.052482 | -5.96% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3124 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.051424 | -6.48% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4525 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.055611 | -7.35% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.3639 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.052801 | -7.89% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5133 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.056291 | -12.61% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3396 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.043854 | -6.83% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8415 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.042154 | -6.05% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9352 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.041907 | -5.79% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9347 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.042729 | -6.02% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9146 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.044159 | -6.93% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7736 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.043669 | -6.66% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.5920 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.043542 | -6.61% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5904 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.040732 | -5.18% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.8870 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.042241 | -5.51% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.6929 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.04311 | -4.71% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5681 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.045987 | -5.72% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.4891 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.06479 | -10.87% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2561 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.062932 | -10.81% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.2309 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.061084 | -10.68% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.2116 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.060669 | -11.00% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0888 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.061046 | -11.80% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0118 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.06131 | -12.32% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0198 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.058331 | -11.68% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0519 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.061381 | -13.07% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.0776 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.060425 | -12.98% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.0910 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.060127 | -12.63% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0322 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.060683 | -12.52% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1161 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.061547 | -12.20% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1324 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.059531 | -11.25% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2364 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.057767 | -10.79% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0028 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.060408 | -10.90% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2139 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.061672 | -10.59% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.2982 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.063496 | -10.11% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3570 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.060801 | -9.43% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4435 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.056809 | -8.55% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7075 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.058624 | -10.26% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3167 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.051653 | -8.97% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.3755 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.050287 | -9.05% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.3922 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.048973 | -10.59% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4135 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.041177 | -10.74% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6519 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.035776 | -9.16% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7121 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.033886 | -8.20% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.7769 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.032828 | -8.73% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7629 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028644 | -7.03% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 0.9775 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026045 | -6.41% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0539 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.02392 | -5.71% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3013 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.02584 | -6.37% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5122 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027463 | -7.01% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4261 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025479 | -6.61% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.5608 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.033886 | -13.61% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2599 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.029806 | -13.67% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3169 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.023857 | -8.47% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6496 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.024364 | -10.75% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6648 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.021983 | -8.71% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7974 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.020861 | -7.42% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7452 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019503 | -7.07% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0552 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.023405 | -13.57% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8934 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.021109 | -10.51% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0309 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019377 | -8.50% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0718 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018444 | -7.77% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1627 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019132 | -9.02% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.2044 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017033 | -7.87% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3986 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017428 | -7.73% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4044 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017333 | -7.15% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3708 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017137 | -6.95% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2997 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017119 | -6.72% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015434 | -6.19% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3263 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017806 | -6.82% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015975 | -6.07% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015057 | -5.57% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018577 | -5.29% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020581 | -5.36% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5571 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021281 | -5.72% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4830 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019858 | -5.19% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020179 | -4.99% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3121 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.021835 | -6.15% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1427 | ✗ | 1.00 |