ARCSOL

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

48.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1769

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0180

actual +0.0305

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06386	0.062235	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.06335	0.061614	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.050663	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043447	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.041017	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.040159	+0.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.036143	+1.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.039452	+1.63%	0.06386	+64.50%	0.4872	✓	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037978	+2.69%	0.06335	+71.29%	0.5185	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.032754	+3.83%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.4579	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059079	-1.09%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2944	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062284	-1.07%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4082	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.06084	-0.98%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4130	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062365	-0.97%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5617	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060352	-0.83%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4424	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063533	-0.81%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5373	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071262	-0.95%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.8126	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.069745	-0.85%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1511	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.07234	-0.92%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1363	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.07046	-0.95%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1355	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.069972	-0.94%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.1037	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.071525	-0.99%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1591	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.069784	-0.95%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0856	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.071901	-1.03%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0001	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069314	-0.87%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0139	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.07209	-0.91%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0125	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.07015	-0.76%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0139	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071149	-0.84%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0072	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072886	-0.89%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0088	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.077634	-1.14%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.0973	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.077466	-0.96%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0651	✓	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.077425	-0.94%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.1030	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.072725	-1.26%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0056	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063269	-0.75%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1149	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070206	-1.08%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0257	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.069343	-1.31%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0713	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073079	-1.54%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0855	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.07784	-1.89%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0172	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072087	-1.32%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0901	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.068598	-1.13%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0766	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072198	-1.30%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1183	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.072929	-1.33%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0193	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.072581	-1.32%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0329	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071266	-0.98%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0362	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.071821	-0.96%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0937	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.07397	-1.06%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0145	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071506	-0.62%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0365	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.0734	-0.83%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0079	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.073686	-0.80%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0008	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.071867	-0.03%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0169	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072109	-0.87%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0006	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.064864	+0.07%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.1141	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069344	-0.07%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0770	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067628	+0.03%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0657	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.070524	-0.06%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0513	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.069898	+0.01%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0642	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.067819	+1.48%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0596	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.071487	+0.47%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0155	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.0723	+0.18%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1109	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.071004	+0.74%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0236	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069541	+0.35%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0283	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.0671	+0.37%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0522	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.068662	+0.82%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0169	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.068739	-0.89%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0185	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068222	-1.27%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0566	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.06829	-1.54%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0787	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.072665	-1.83%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0092	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070587	-1.80%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0106	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.07055	-1.84%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0272	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.075278	-2.26%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0684	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.073996	-2.25%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0533	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.070433	-2.08%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0026	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.064783	-1.72%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0735	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063472	-1.72%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1561	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.064954	-1.88%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0920	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062227	-1.88%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1352	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051623	-1.41%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3888	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.05389	-1.44%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3350	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050581	-1.40%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3456	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052271	-1.37%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2293	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050209	-1.36%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2541	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.05063	-1.29%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2748	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.05121	-1.23%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2247	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052778	-1.24%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0025	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052161	-1.14%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0448	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053121	-1.08%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0315	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051122	-0.75%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0371	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053582	-0.85%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0525	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055461	-0.84%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0865	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059473	-0.91%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1450	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061679	-0.89%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1493	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.060974	-0.78%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1462	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064046	-0.74%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1865	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066132	-0.70%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2625	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069525	-0.85%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2588	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.070078	-0.87%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2226	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070333	-0.84%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1606	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.072458	-0.93%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1515	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.074019	-0.98%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1822	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.075061	-0.96%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1464	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.079467	-1.17%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1712	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.073529	-0.89%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0304	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.077333	-1.03%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0838	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.077949	-1.07%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0875	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.07859	-1.10%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0733	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.078222	-1.11%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0417	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.080129	-1.26%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0407	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.079945	-1.24%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0143	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.081265	-1.33%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.1004	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.08032	-1.31%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0268	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.077171	-1.16%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0240	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.078087	-1.23%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0255	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.081541	-1.45%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0224	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.082029	-1.50%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0000	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.082613	-1.53%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0001	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.082284	-1.54%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0172	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.08652	-1.83%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0478	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.082784	-1.62%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0487	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.082856	-1.65%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0392	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.082372	-1.61%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0099	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.08134	-1.56%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0189	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.081369	-1.59%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0151	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.082301	-1.66%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0005	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.078981	-1.48%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.0930	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.078745	-1.49%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0469	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.077728	-1.45%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0655	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.080635	-1.63%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0238	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.083113	-1.80%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0210	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072903	-1.20%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1141	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.076161	-1.42%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0814	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.080559	-1.71%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0159	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.08743	-2.21%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0905	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.086705	-2.39%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0950	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.081879	-1.93%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0023	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.082305	-1.98%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0431	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.081467	-1.98%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0797	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.082188	-2.10%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0455	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.081783	-2.14%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0121	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.081036	-2.11%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1082	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.079465	-2.09%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1174	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.073933	-1.74%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1214	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.072934	-1.69%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1378	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.069809	-1.54%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1751	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.075099	-1.99%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1059	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.072083	-1.83%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1576	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.076553	-2.29%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1352	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.073061	-2.12%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1210	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.070368	-1.90%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0735	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.063059	-1.41%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1746	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.063393	-1.46%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1408	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.064036	-1.51%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1293	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.063054	-1.51%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1224	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.063482	-1.56%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1861	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.063006	-1.57%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1507	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.063097	-1.56%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.0916	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.064189	-1.63%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0326	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.063571	-1.62%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0032	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.064791	-1.67%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0063	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.066493	-1.77%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0417	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.060838	-1.53%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0458	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.072247	-2.05%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1543	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.059474	-1.30%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0483	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062891	-1.49%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0258	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.066091	-1.56%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0479	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.063199	-1.34%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0133	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.062099	-1.23%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0553	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.067526	-1.54%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.1039	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.068471	-1.57%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0687	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.066432	-1.45%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0937	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.068429	-1.44%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0671	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068993	-1.50%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0276	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.065638	-1.40%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0235	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.067392	-1.53%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0592	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.070542	-1.61%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0233	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.073889	-1.76%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0559	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.073452	-1.87%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0772	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.073707	-1.95%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0471	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.065735	-1.56%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0684	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.077168	-2.34%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1444	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.067489	-1.56%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0139	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065709	-1.50%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0884	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.06371	-1.35%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1664	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.0656	-1.40%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1307	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.064313	-1.30%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1545	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.065671	-1.43%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0167	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.065548	-1.43%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.1882	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.064445	-1.42%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0727	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.067363	-1.49%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0047	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.068543	-1.48%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0585	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.071354	-1.93%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0615	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.068383	-1.73%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0389	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.068815	-1.95%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0265	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.07047	-2.27%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0535	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.072202	-3.16%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.0972	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.073716	-3.59%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0729	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.068826	-3.06%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0138	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.0684	-3.58%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0643	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058738	-2.04%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1738	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.057397	-1.94%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2036	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.055732	-2.10%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2631	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052547	-1.87%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3517	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.053827	-2.19%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3560	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053406	-2.28%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2899	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.051216	-2.13%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3297	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.053448	-2.45%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1181	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052432	-2.43%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1140	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049517	-2.24%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1424	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.049206	-2.31%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0894	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.050368	-2.58%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0900	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.046469	-2.07%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1631	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.04206	-1.43%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2167	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.043943	-1.45%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2167	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.045813	-1.79%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1568	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.046564	-1.91%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0792	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.04707	-2.20%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0660	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.048498	-2.42%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0614	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.047383	-2.22%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0023	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043837	-1.78%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0281	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040298	-1.28%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1012	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.036113	-0.76%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2566	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042485	-1.19%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1138	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.045749	-1.72%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0596	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.047579	-2.12%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0467	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041878	-1.49%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1464	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.043227	-1.65%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0325	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.041367	-1.46%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0144	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.042011	-1.55%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1474	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.038207	-1.02%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1142	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034725	-0.27%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.2956	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.036014	-0.27%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3018	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.038323	-0.38%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1055	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.03715	-0.08%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.1680	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.039378	-0.28%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.0625	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.037085	+0.61%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.1425	✓	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.050409	-1.79%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2676	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.041944	+0.20%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1855	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.028814	+2.36%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.2258	✓	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.031589	+2.63%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.1972	✓	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.031398	+2.71%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.1692	✓	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.057077	-1.41%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3656	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.09792	-5.13%	0.03686	-64.29%	1.0074	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.08747	-3.63%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5619	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.086921	-3.92%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7179	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.071794	-2.35%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9286	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.071435	-2.38%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8293	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.074535	-2.67%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8944	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.075565	-2.84%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2756	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.074975	-2.81%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3426	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.076915	-3.03%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.1938	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.074631	-2.95%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.2003	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.076789	-3.32%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0315	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.079014	-4.12%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0711	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.072753	-3.19%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0465	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.065002	-2.59%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1833	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.069078	-2.98%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1184	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.062283	-2.58%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2494	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.072533	-3.93%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0674	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.060049	-2.77%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2770	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.075268	-5.54%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.0983	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.065323	-4.20%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1352	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.060927	-3.86%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1255	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.066704	-5.21%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.1039	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.045712	-1.82%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4252	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.04141	-0.77%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6559	✗	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042664	-1.01%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4250	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.041976	-1.02%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7296	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.047187	-1.55%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5197	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.053471	-2.00%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2544	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.050692	-1.72%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.3977	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.049122	-1.58%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0019	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.049562	-1.60%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.1146	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.056461	-2.27%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2218	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.058936	-2.54%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.3098	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.060759	-2.83%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2173	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.067086	-4.30%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2059	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.076373	-6.23%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.3968	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.063895	-4.56%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2119	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.053426	-2.45%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0041	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.048243	-1.70%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2342	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.050629	-1.98%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2302	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.053259	-2.49%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2159	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.055364	-3.14%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.3026	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.063173	-6.09%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3271	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.047676	-2.66%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3303	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.047473	-2.94%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1233	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.042972	-2.34%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.0999	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041766	-2.30%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1785	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036592	-1.92%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3700	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031958	-1.70%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4840	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034588	-1.82%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6371	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035656	-1.85%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3650	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035323	-1.91%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3371	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.035054	-1.92%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2315	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.033114	-1.86%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2451	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034483	-1.92%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0356	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.034666	-1.91%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1362	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034212	-1.89%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0719	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036314	-1.93%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1275	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.03947	-1.99%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1604	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.044374	-2.56%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2688	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.04249	-2.41%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2800	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.044816	-2.93%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2720	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.040292	-2.37%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1290	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.039166	-2.33%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1329	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.043392	-2.97%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1338	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.043017	-3.05%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0530	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.043574	-3.34%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0532	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.04093	-3.24%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0759	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.038864	-2.89%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1414	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.035044	-2.65%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1379	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.045832	-5.33%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1264	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.038685	-3.34%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1104	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.031603	-2.22%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3314	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029615	-1.58%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4535	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.031014	-1.73%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3483	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031993	-1.77%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3473	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.033117	-1.85%	0.036	+6.70%	0.1864	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.036226	-2.36%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3733	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.03813	-2.63%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1238	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.038053	-2.58%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1239	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.038942	-2.65%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2756	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.039216	-2.67%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2339	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.039477	-2.77%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.2002	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.04253	-3.65%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.2069	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.042489	-3.83%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1604	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.040646	-3.54%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1231	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.048192	-5.00%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.2107	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.039104	-3.83%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0506	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.042954	-5.07%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0361	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.036709	-3.85%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0869	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.03455	-3.87%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.1912	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.034881	-4.20%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1584	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.033158	-3.64%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2798	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026581	-2.24%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5790	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.035337	-5.14%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0020	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.030562	-3.19%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2562	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.027661	-2.53%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2093	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.029845	-3.10%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2096	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031402	-3.82%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2831	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.029121	-3.19%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2592	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.029329	-3.43%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.1022	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028428	-3.67%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5363	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.029679	-4.23%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.2968	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.030535	-4.81%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2567	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.02872	-4.24%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3233	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.028144	-4.24%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.3979	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.026977	-4.20%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4603	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.028404	-5.82%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3365	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.027813	-5.27%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2350	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.024051	-4.06%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4866	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.021853	-3.26%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4271	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025084	-5.06%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2333	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.0241	-5.75%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1604	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.0224	-5.36%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2445	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018661	-2.75%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6595	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017144	-2.37%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7792	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015831	-2.16%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6524	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012791	-1.60%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7830	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012878	-1.62%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.9036	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013401	-1.68%	0.02557	+87.60%	0.9967	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014263	-1.84%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7300	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014302	-1.91%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4108	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015291	-2.23%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1888	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012888	-1.84%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2741	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013238	-1.94%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0393	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011805	-1.38%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0262	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012779	-1.78%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0762	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013111	-1.72%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0070	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013183	-1.62%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0830	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013303	-1.46%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0183	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011627	+0.67%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0247	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011595	+1.17%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.0904	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012255	+0.79%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0808	✓	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012605	+0.68%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.1835	✓	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013399	-0.23%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1449	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012514	+1.65%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.2703	✓	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.012292	+2.78%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2146	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011822	+3.07%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2006	✓	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.021059	-1.23%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3292	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.022076	-1.36%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3538	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019565	-0.99%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2772	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021302	-1.15%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2679	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020888	-1.15%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3552	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022207	-1.43%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3689	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.02299	-1.63%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4980	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022815	-1.74%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0903	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020747	-1.49%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0197	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020318	-1.56%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1895	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019613	-1.44%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1506	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020127	-1.58%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2380	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.020045	-1.60%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2154	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020661	-1.75%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.2078	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019997	-1.64%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1577	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017742	-1.05%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0043	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.01672	-0.77%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1446	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.017001	-0.76%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1068	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019276	-1.15%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1535	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019952	-1.28%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2125	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.01964	-1.21%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2577	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021824	-1.56%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1817	✗	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.