ARCSOL

? · · lstm_s4

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4004

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0745

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.047567	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.048499	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042269	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.039835	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038776	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.034446	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.037676	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.035949	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.030576	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.057068	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.060431	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.058882	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.060365	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.058243	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.06162	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.069687	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.068368	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.071365	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.069015	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.068482	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.070112	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.068191	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.070429	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.067957	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.071277	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.069563	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.070611	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072759	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.077513	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.079708	+1.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.080828	+3.41%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4677	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.071906	-2.37%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3253	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.062452	-2.03%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3490	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.069373	-2.26%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5183	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.067577	-3.82%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5140	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.071138	-4.15%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6871	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.075062	-5.39%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6516	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.070597	-3.36%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6427	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.066984	-3.45%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7452	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.070562	-3.54%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1597	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.071362	-3.45%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1116	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.070952	-3.53%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1305	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.070416	-2.17%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1033	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.071217	-1.80%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1508	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074004	-1.01%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1357	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072791	+1.17%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0029	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074829	+1.10%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0519	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.075505	+1.65%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0235	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.07474	+3.96%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0451	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072863	+0.17%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0137	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.066135	+2.03%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1054	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.071924	+3.65%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0044	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.070039	+3.59%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0447	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.073791	+4.56%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0443	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.073287	+4.86%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0045	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.070932	+6.14%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0019	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.075525	+6.15%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0459	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.07668	+6.25%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0333	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.075041	+6.47%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0527	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.07373	+6.39%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.0705	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.071141	+6.42%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1077	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.072737	+6.81%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0170	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069977	+0.89%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0824	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.066855	-3.25%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0770	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.064339	-7.24%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.1081	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.0668	-9.75%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.1229	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.064967	-9.62%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.2250	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.064915	-9.68%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1466	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.068167	-11.49%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0466	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.067222	-11.20%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.1005	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.064717	-10.03%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1809	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.061086	-7.33%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2400	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.060308	-6.62%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2309	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.061784	-6.67%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.2167	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.059765	-5.76%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2833	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.050164	-4.19%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4410	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052284	-4.38%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4265	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049215	-4.06%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4854	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.050665	-4.41%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4275	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.048793	-4.14%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4675	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.049048	-4.37%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3410	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.049613	-4.31%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.4083	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.05102	-4.53%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3503	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.050295	-4.67%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.4010	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.051212	-4.63%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3718	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.049177	-4.53%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3782	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.051586	-4.54%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3922	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.053386	-4.55%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3551	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.057298	-4.54%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2736	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.059493	-4.40%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.2105	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.05884	-4.25%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1769	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.062177	-3.63%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1430	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.064483	-3.18%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.1017	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.067661	-3.51%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0386	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.068138	-3.61%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0178	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.068452	-3.49%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0769	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.070482	-3.63%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0162	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.072168	-3.45%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0065	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.073591	-2.90%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0391	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.078009	-2.99%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0357	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071347	-3.83%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0149	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.075356	-3.56%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1351	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.076005	-3.54%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1619	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.076781	-3.37%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1438	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.076216	-3.65%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1731	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.077784	-4.15%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3798	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.07784	-3.84%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3483	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.079048	-4.02%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4292	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.078091	-4.05%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3855	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.075111	-3.80%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3873	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.075837	-4.08%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3862	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.078408	-5.24%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4075	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.078565	-5.66%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3719	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.0789	-5.96%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3766	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.078441	-6.14%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3631	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.080426	-8.74%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4314	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.078857	-6.29%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3663	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.07875	-6.53%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3262	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.078636	-6.07%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2564	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.077732	-5.93%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2087	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.077182	-6.65%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2194	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.077189	-7.77%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.1708	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.07536	-6.00%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1099	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.074948	-6.24%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0623	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.074288	-5.81%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0446	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.075464	-7.94%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0540	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.076738	-9.34%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0504	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.070651	-4.25%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0492	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.072885	-5.66%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0305	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.074879	-8.64%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0681	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.079795	-10.75%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.0831	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.079066	-10.99%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0107	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.074926	-10.26%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0513	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.075205	-10.44%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0686	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.074403	-10.48%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0686	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.07461	-11.13%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0797	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.074192	-11.22%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0873	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.073926	-10.70%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.1168	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.07311	-9.92%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.1134	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.069767	-7.27%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.1120	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.069083	-6.88%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1331	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.066608	-6.05%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2176	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.069835	-8.86%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1683	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.068535	-6.67%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2170	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.070934	-9.47%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2243	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.069001	-7.56%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2628	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.067044	-6.53%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2367	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.060859	-4.85%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3426	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.061324	-4.67%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3648	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.062093	-4.50%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1375	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.0611	-4.56%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1662	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.061434	-4.74%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.1942	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.060777	-5.05%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1583	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.061153	-4.60%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1386	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.062151	-4.75%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.0993	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.061434	-4.93%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1484	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.06262	-4.96%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1768	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.064394	-4.87%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0227	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.059389	-3.87%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1537	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.068962	-6.51%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0414	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.058216	-3.39%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.2917	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.061273	-4.02%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2658	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.064534	-3.88%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1306	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.062231	-2.86%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.1654	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.061415	-2.31%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1548	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.066084	-3.64%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1244	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.066743	-4.05%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1297	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.064995	-3.58%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1643	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.0677	-2.49%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2064	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.06802	-2.88%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.0825	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.064539	-3.05%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1314	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.065282	-4.61%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0454	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.067416	-5.98%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1086	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.068827	-8.49%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0535	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.067963	-9.20%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1361	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.067897	-9.68%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0891	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.062644	-6.19%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1323	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.070821	-10.38%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1062	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.065693	-4.18%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0239	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.063198	-5.27%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0280	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.061442	-4.86%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0408	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.063586	-4.43%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0132	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.062468	-4.13%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0227	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.061572	-7.58%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0409	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.060935	-8.37%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0698	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.059126	-9.55%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0955	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.062047	-9.26%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0633	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.063673	-8.48%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0621	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.065237	-10.34%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0465	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.062744	-9.84%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1734	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.062941	-10.31%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0253	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.064382	-10.72%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0067	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.065583	-12.04%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0300	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.067043	-12.32%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.0386	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.062716	-11.67%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0090	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.061978	-12.63%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.1076	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.053579	-10.64%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2710	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.052455	-10.38%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2595	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.050646	-11.04%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.3273	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.048289	-9.82%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3833	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.048913	-11.12%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.3185	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.048566	-11.13%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.3526	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.047099	-10.00%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.4292	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.048387	-11.69%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.4512	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.047585	-11.45%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4614	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.045767	-9.64%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.5079	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.045481	-9.71%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3995	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.046076	-10.88%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5549	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.043933	-7.41%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4636	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040595	-4.86%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.5046	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.042504	-4.68%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4254	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.043901	-5.89%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4243	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.044453	-6.36%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.3904	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.044366	-7.82%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.4137	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.045276	-8.90%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3908	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.044891	-7.36%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3787	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.042195	-5.46%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.4883	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039175	-4.03%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5765	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035276	-3.06%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7238	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.041521	-3.43%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5165	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.044016	-5.44%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4642	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.045037	-7.35%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4666	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.040557	-4.59%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.6091	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.041683	-5.16%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.6043	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.04011	-4.45%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5683	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.040705	-4.61%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5537	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037058	-3.99%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.4795	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.033538	-3.68%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5591	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.034771	-3.71%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.4938	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.036979	-3.88%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.3709	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.035683	-4.03%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4317	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.037662	-4.63%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.3687	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.035856	-2.72%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.3760	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.048237	-6.03%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1262	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.040583	-3.05%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.2882	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.027168	-3.49%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.6228	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.029804	-3.17%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.5247	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.029424	-3.75%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.5636	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.052087	-10.02%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.0942	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.090405	-12.41%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.7842	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.079965	-11.89%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6291	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.078921	-12.77%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5452	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.064951	-11.65%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3355	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.064583	-11.75%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.2932	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.067362	-12.04%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3157	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.068547	-11.86%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.3702	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.067657	-12.29%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4318	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.06952	-12.35%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5476	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.067453	-12.28%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6500	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.069645	-12.32%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5143	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.071946	-12.70%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4616	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.065503	-12.84%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3286	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.058266	-12.68%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3403	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.062206	-12.63%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3576	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.056143	-12.18%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.2914	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.06599	-12.60%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4341	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.054683	-11.46%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3441	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.068302	-14.28%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6531	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.058755	-13.84%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.4932	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.054748	-13.61%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3248	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.057865	-17.77%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4158	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.042106	-9.57%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0026	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.039247	-5.95%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0097	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.039719	-7.84%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.3142	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.038689	-8.77%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.2026	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.042774	-10.76%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.2997	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.048278	-11.51%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3221	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.045777	-11.25%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.2854	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.044253	-11.33%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3859	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.044472	-11.71%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9879	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.050761	-12.13%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.7053	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.053014	-12.33%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.6217	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.054728	-12.48%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3911	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.061369	-12.45%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2709	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.069247	-14.98%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.2317	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.058131	-13.17%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.5353	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.048146	-12.09%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.7342	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.043749	-10.86%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8614	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.045822	-11.28%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7821	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.048156	-11.84%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7636	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.050363	-11.89%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7725	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.056796	-15.57%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.6259	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.04299	-12.23%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.6301	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.042734	-12.63%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6933	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.03958	-10.05%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6435	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.038807	-9.22%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8257	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.035233	-5.57%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7323	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.030951	-4.80%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3624	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.033753	-4.19%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3435	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.034736	-4.39%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0135	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.034105	-5.29%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0475	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.033741	-5.59%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5628	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.031967	-5.26%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5286	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.033045	-6.01%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4703	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.033025	-6.55%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3172	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.032456	-6.92%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4677	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.034005	-8.17%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4329	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.036625	-9.05%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.3186	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.040514	-11.04%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.2002	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.038902	-10.65%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2723	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.040637	-11.98%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.3160	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.036733	-10.99%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4635	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.035657	-11.08%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.5268	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.039088	-12.59%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5705	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.038672	-12.84%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.7505	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.039106	-13.25%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4647	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.036992	-12.55%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2977	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.034946	-12.68%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1731	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.03173	-11.86%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.3245	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.040297	-16.76%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.1793	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.034612	-13.51%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.3392	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.028518	-11.76%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.7403	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.0266	-11.60%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5947	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.027796	-11.93%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5549	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.028666	-11.99%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4652	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.029674	-12.05%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3913	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.03256	-12.24%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1644	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.034172	-12.74%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.0607	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.034057	-12.81%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0230	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.034897	-12.76%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0406	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.035235	-12.55%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0165	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.03558	-12.37%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0312	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.038882	-11.91%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.0805	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.039046	-11.62%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0577	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.037309	-11.46%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.0785	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.044494	-12.29%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.2078	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.036034	-11.38%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.0946	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.039849	-11.94%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0653	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.033839	-11.37%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3611	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.031825	-11.45%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3725	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.032034	-12.02%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3686	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.030172	-12.32%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.3264	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.024011	-11.69%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.5009	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.032358	-13.13%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.2327	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.027622	-12.50%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3894	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.024816	-12.56%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.5540	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.026823	-12.91%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.5373	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.028509	-12.68%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.5214	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.026345	-12.42%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4558	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.026601	-12.41%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7506	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.026018	-11.83%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6519	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.027195	-12.24%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.3276	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.027941	-12.90%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.3054	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.026083	-13.03%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4753	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.025577	-12.97%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.5007	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.024649	-12.47%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6671	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.02611	-13.43%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6616	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.025359	-13.63%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7459	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.021853	-12.83%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.9302	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.019756	-12.55%	0.04	+77.07%	1.0329	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.022929	-13.21%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9429	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.022132	-13.45%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8513	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.020547	-13.19%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.1427	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.016915	-11.86%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5917	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.015761	-10.25%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7854	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015006	-7.26%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8474	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012487	-3.95%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7435	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012596	-3.77%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.8919	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013137	-3.62%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7635	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013908	-4.28%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7087	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013934	-4.43%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8494	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.01463	-6.46%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6698	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012657	-3.60%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6165	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.012992	-3.77%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9657	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.01164	-2.75%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8031	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012611	-3.07%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.5816	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.01283	-3.83%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5407	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012911	-3.65%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4750	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013016	-3.58%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3729	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011214	-2.91%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4219	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011136	-2.83%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4117	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.01179	-3.05%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5297	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012083	-3.49%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4289	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.012755	-5.03%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3059	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.011783	-4.28%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3050	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011546	-3.46%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0551	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011013	-3.99%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.2943	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020656	-3.12%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7642	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.02173	-2.90%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5445	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019226	-2.70%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.5924	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021181	-1.71%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.6702	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020714	-1.97%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.6920	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.021802	-3.23%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4287	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022201	-5.00%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1060	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.021807	-6.08%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0126	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020257	-3.81%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0279	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019606	-5.01%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2764	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.018989	-4.58%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2629	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.01931	-5.58%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3671	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019164	-5.92%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.3955	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.0196	-6.80%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4274	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019115	-5.98%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2732	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017131	-4.46%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1910	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016068	-4.64%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.1118	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016367	-4.45%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1476	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018656	-4.33%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1450	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019253	-4.73%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.2038	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019003	-4.41%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1267	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.020581	-7.17%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1094	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.021109	-9.25%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.2823	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.