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2022-09-12 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1095
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.381628-6.76%0.2908-28.95%0.1607✓0.8189k2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.201916-6.69%0.1327-38.68%0.3174✓0.7526k2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.2257-5.04%5.478-16.44%0.0045✓0.976.2M2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4843-5.04%1.258-19.51%0.0021✓1.2343k2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.2833-4.92%5.92-22.72%0.1730✓0.2511.9M2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.0736-4.67%6.52-12.13%0.0683✗1.10224k2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.061729-4.65%0.05812-10.23%0.1104✗1.251.2M2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum29.9328.6207-4.37%24.04-19.68%0.0532✗1.66159k2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,334.92-4.27%8,481.63-13.02%0.0979✗1.424.1M2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000287558-4.15%0.00031125+3.75%0.1160✗0.272.3M2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.8512-3.96%12.487+1.19%0.1036✗0.3816.0M2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3428-3.92%1.1772-15.77%0.0163✓1.08922k2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0214-3.83%1.696-19.31%0.0183✓1.42967k2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2196-3.74%0.955-24.63%0.0130✓1.692.7M2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.18457-3.67%0.1112-41.96%0.4877✓0.1483k2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1119-3.56%1.88-14.16%0.0579✗1.27227k2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.647483-3.36%0.598-10.75%0.0661✗1.07111k2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.24e-7-3.35%5.57e-7-25.56%0.1421✓0.872.3M2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.06331-3.20%0.0563-13.91%0.0490✗1.22563k2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003570.003457-3.16%0.00326-8.68%0.0766✗0.99483k2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.6554-3.15%15.52-14.87%0.0560✓0.53396k2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3657-3.14%1.19-15.60%0.0073✓1.0668k2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4537.2922-3.01%30.44-20.83%0.0123✓1.5810.6M2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.288762-2.97%0.2802-5.85%0.1175✗1.0874k2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3123-2.94%1.167-13.68%0.0572✗1.28323k2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.838465-2.93%0.7721-10.62%0.0781✗1.17946k2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.4315-2.88%3.5781-21.58%0.1300✓0.618.1M2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38790.377021-2.80%0.3301-14.90%0.0133✓1.07314k2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.982781-2.69%0.893-11.58%0.0400✓0.412.7M2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.205-2.68%2.9221-11.27%0.0495✗1.0419k2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.403-2.67%4.135-8.60%0.0660✗0.94273k2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.8187-2.66%5.54-20.91%0.1940✓0.109.1M2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.8451-2.64%12.27-13.71%0.0414✗1.19925k2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8852-2.57%1.699-12.20%0.1301✗1.7160k2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.12532-2.55%0.1014-21.15%0.0406✓1.252.5M2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.02222-2.54%0.0223-2.19%0.1493✗1.0710.3M2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4693-2.54%6.385-16.69%0.0028✓1.1710.0M2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.833228-2.46%0.77846-8.88%0.0398✗0.7913k2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.00303-2.46%0.002524-18.74%0.0578✓0.911.2M2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0962-2.45%1.8797-12.52%0.0451✗1.1313k2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.55536-2.40%0.473-16.87%0.0040✓1.1466k2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.196632-2.37%0.2531+25.67%0.3870✗0.983.2M2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.287514-2.31%0.25224-14.29%0.0074✓0.9015k2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5068-2.29%5.479-17.72%0.0201✓1.406.9M2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036454-2.27%0.03126-16.19%0.0088✓1.0635k2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.7474-2.26%8-10.61%0.0087✓0.592.4M2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.3706-2.21%5.865+6.79%0.2792✗1.406.4M2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7635-2.19%1.496-17.03%0.0255✓1.02627k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021538-2.18%0.020248-8.04%0.0229✗0.6212k2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.5657-2.15%6.05-9.84%0.0144✓0.492.1M2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.1972-2.14%15.618+0.57%0.2024✗1.2819.6M2022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000044986-2.14%0.0000394-14.29%0.0122✓0.883.0M2022-09-19
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011749-2.12%0.011007-8.31%0.0714✗1.006492022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.050214-2.12%0.0433-15.59%0.0109✓1.16178k2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001295-2.10%0.0011-16.90%0.0508✓0.832.2M2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.151457-2.10%0.1384-10.54%0.0481✗1.01336k2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023533-2.09%0.027182+13.09%0.1564✗0.09465k2022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.327619-2.09%0.3026-9.56%0.0629✗1.0482k2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008157-2.08%0.0074-11.16%0.0633✗1.18428k2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.04179-2.07%0.039404-7.66%0.0142✓0.5323k2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.8721-2.07%24.19-15.00%0.0028✓1.026.8M2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.178-2.07%2.975-8.32%0.0151✓0.37676k2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.5996-2.04%7.3-5.90%0.1148✗1.1318.0M2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.7655-2.00%5.2403+7.76%0.2990✗1.49122k2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.431523-1.99%0.4068-7.60%0.0752✗0.98379k2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2248-1.97%5.15-3.38%0.0737✗0.642.0M2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.502779-1.97%0.4508-12.11%0.0079✓0.86396k2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.129-1.93%1.845-15.02%0.0309✗1.2732k2022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.111672-1.92%0.111743-1.86%0.1221✗0.896.5M2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.887-1.90%2.506-14.85%0.0705✗1.552.9M2022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.269771-1.90%0.256-6.91%0.0530✗0.77563k2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.756-1.88%32.65-12.84%0.0488✗1.2254.5M2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.31766-1.87%0.3172-2.01%0.1329✗0.986.0M2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.112274-1.86%0.0903-21.07%0.1360✓0.60188k2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.045847-1.85%0.040881-12.48%0.0074✓0.8928k2022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062777-1.85%0.05866-8.28%0.0702✗1.011.2M2022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048399-1.83%0.0432-12.37%0.0026✓0.85145k2022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.345079-1.80%0.3113-11.41%0.0570✗1.1772k2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2653-1.80%5.75-9.87%0.0141✓0.522.1M2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.07267-1.80%0.0621-16.08%0.1388✓0.13378k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046619-1.79%0.04122-13.17%0.0343✓0.6514k2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9271-1.78%1.7159-12.55%0.0374✗1.1223k2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.472463-1.77%0.437-9.15%0.0646✗1.047,9852022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001622-1.77%0.001428-13.51%0.0344✓0.685,8832022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4164-1.77%2.07-15.85%0.0716✓0.61261k2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.9911-1.77%17.28-19.14%0.0064✓1.3818.0M2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.163-1.77%3.746-11.61%0.0343✓0.522.3M2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.492527-1.77%0.4526-9.73%0.0529✗1.0138.3M2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2564-1.77%1.092-14.62%0.0126✓0.931.1M2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.132332-1.76%0.1151-14.55%0.0086✓1.082.7M2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8791-1.73%1.4112-26.20%0.1707✓0.851.4M2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,014.50-1.73%19,540.38-12.78%0.0175✓1.00480.9M2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048348-1.73%0.0393-20.12%0.0465✓1.18546k2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.532659-1.72%0.485-10.52%0.0730✗1.2277k2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039213-1.72%0.0357-10.53%0.0275✗0.899,1922022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.065566-1.70%0.0609-8.70%0.0695✗1.0579k2022-09-19
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,587.93-1.69%1,331.44-17.57%0.0395✓1.003.3M2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004131-1.65%0.00357-15.00%0.0171✓0.94103k2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.880025-1.65%0.8509-4.91%0.1805✗1.5789k2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.230735-1.65%0.1992-15.09%0.0243✓0.9057k2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1242-1.65%0.9829-14.01%0.0768✗1.544.4M2022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.871-1.65%13.68-9.52%0.0533✗1.001.8M2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum106.65104.894-1.65%107.75+1.03%0.1546✗0.933.5M2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5088-1.64%1.365-11.02%0.0537✗1.1371k2022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.3543-1.64%40.04-23.31%0.1083✓1.03363k2022-09-19
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0935.0096-1.64%4.057-20.34%0.0742✓1.001.4M2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.17442-1.63%0.145-18.22%0.0370✓1.08271k2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008903-1.62%0.00746-17.57%0.0479✓0.943.3M2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.781444-1.61%0.72902-8.21%0.0849✗1.13624k2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7353.8524-1.60%52.16-4.70%0.1419✗1.278,6412022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4778-1.59%4.26-6.37%0.0333✗0.611.4M2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.58020.571-1.59%0.5271-9.15%0.0044✓0.62836k2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.8169-1.58%6.057-12.55%0.0183✗1.004.3M2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006113-1.56%0.00502-19.16%0.1103✓0.63911k2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8021,975.51-1.55%19,581.40-12.27%0.0102✓0.9213k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.401804-1.52%0.3256-20.20%0.0616✓1.09202k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7142-1.51%2.425-12.01%0.0009✓0.83523k2022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.71898-1.51%0.66-9.59%0.0527✓0.2444k2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.436942-1.50%0.3928-11.45%0.0544✗1.1875k2022-09-19
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.018217-1.47%0.0155-16.17%0.0248✓1.009912022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012695-1.44%0.00001097-14.83%0.0076✓1.011.0M2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.232147-1.42%0.2188-7.09%0.0600✗0.87527k2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.349468-1.38%0.30629-13.57%0.0155✗1.0833k2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.252-1.38%1.0665-15.99%0.0043✓1.141.1M2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.140159-1.37%0.12606-11.29%0.0594✗1.21151k2022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.161959-1.36%0.1389-15.41%0.0257✗1.319132022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.731797-1.36%0.6251-15.74%0.0529✗1.54210k2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170219-1.36%0.15899-7.86%0.0359✗0.765152022-09-19
DASHDashDash47.1746.5329-1.35%40.74-13.63%0.0133✓1.07312k2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9128-1.35%4.59-7.83%0.0503✗0.87839k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.88e-7-1.32%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0035✓0.741.7M2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.287917-1.30%0.2595-11.04%0.0348✗1.022.7M2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101369-1.30%0.0944-8.08%0.0674✗1.01336k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.3676-1.28%14.77-10.92%0.0041✓0.781.5M2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.202673-1.28%0.1786-13.01%0.0269✗1.12108k2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.8732-1.26%5.296-10.96%0.0156✓0.643.1M2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.149903-1.25%0.1312-13.57%0.0032✓1.00119k2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.2742-1.25%13.84-16.02%0.0092✓1.2579k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012992-1.23%0.011897-9.56%0.0263✗0.84882k2022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006157-1.23%0.006367+2.13%0.0841✗0.3730k2022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4160.6559-1.23%52.89-13.87%0.0056✓1.0414.0M2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2324-1.23%3.728-13.00%0.0767✓0.372.2M2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.130289-1.22%0.1251-5.16%0.1204✗1.181.4M2022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero163.77161.7973-1.20%140.37-14.29%0.0099✓0.971.4M2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,696.22-1.19%1,376.17-19.84%0.0236✓1.36569.9M2022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.413-1.19%1.44+0.70%0.0002✓-0.14124k2022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039233-1.18%0.034-14.36%0.0041✓1.0289k2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.181747-1.17%0.1539-16.31%0.0091✓1.151,7442022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.312576-1.16%0.38357+21.29%0.2993✗0.69326k2022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.948066-1.15%0.8565-10.70%0.0714✗1.27899k2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0786-1.13%0.962594-11.77%0.0085✓0.7736k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039554-1.11%0.03487-12.83%0.0307✓0.702,2982022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.640794-1.11%0.596-8.02%0.0673✗1.02178k2022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001608-1.11%0.001532-5.78%0.0591✗0.79374k2022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.489327-1.11%0.4467-9.72%0.0670✗1.16384k2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.395422-1.09%0.38968-2.52%0.1238✗1.0131k2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.317014-1.07%0.271513-15.27%0.0202✓0.99471k2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.090528-1.06%0.0828-9.51%0.0452✗0.9814k2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.051054-1.06%0.0498-3.49%0.1063✗0.96234k2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.0427-1.04%49.657-9.07%0.0363✗0.88264k2022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059388-1.02%0.0547-8.83%0.0336✗0.8590k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.2827-1.01%55.26-12.17%0.0397✗1.171.1M2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.9106-0.99%9.08-17.60%0.0002✓1.34288k2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.1003-0.99%0.0949-6.32%0.0487✗0.762,7302022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.5447-0.95%11.4637-9.49%0.0493✗1.0221k2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024645-0.94%0.02205-11.37%0.0365✗1.082,9582022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87127.6605-0.94%112.05-13.05%0.0304✗1.184.4M2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.641-0.94%1.4887-10.13%0.0474✗1.06241k2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.629-0.89%9.098-6.35%0.0612✗0.861.2M2022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.55802-0.88%0.47873-14.97%0.0295✗1.3439k2022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.824-0.87%2.28+23.91%0.2873✗0.4758k2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006302-0.85%0.005618-11.61%0.0275✓0.641,9622022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.961924-0.83%0.902-7.01%0.0981✗1.191.5M2022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.996184-0.83%0.9446-5.96%0.0248✗0.572.6M2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.113175-0.81%0.1003-12.09%0.0006✓0.88188k2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.0069-0.76%4.6593-7.65%0.0632✓0.06119k2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.223994-0.76%0.1798-20.34%0.1160✓0.7667k2022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.907684-0.71%0.816606-10.68%0.0118✗0.8649k2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068688-0.67%0.06161-10.90%0.0187✗0.938202022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.6112-0.67%1.485-8.45%0.0188✗0.7329k2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.205003-0.63%0.1842-10.71%0.0417✗1.09135k2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.02089-0.62%0.01974-6.09%0.0261✗0.61191k2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.668441-0.53%0.572-14.88%0.0003✓1.143.3M2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.480478-0.52%0.391-19.05%0.0406✓1.214,2692022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.360883-0.50%0.3044-16.07%0.0259✓1.061,1592022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3637-0.46%4.2119-3.92%0.0657✗0.74688k2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.06e-7-0.44%8.10e-7-10.99%0.0104✓0.7415k2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071678-0.43%0.06261-13.03%0.0015✓1.0025k2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063647-0.37%0.060295-5.62%0.0096✗0.47123k2022-09-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.701-0.32%76.38-16.06%0.0372✗1.536.0M2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012912-0.21%0.01128-12.83%0.0456✓0.65233k2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.