GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · lstm_s4

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0947

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0188

actual +0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.24574	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.249218	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.29935	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.317382	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.244094	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.219348	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.185055	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.18844	-5.59%	0.257645	+29.09%	0.3047	✗	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.206997	-6.20%	0.26309	+19.21%	0.2298	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.208804	-7.13%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4267	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.258681	-8.18%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2805	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.172908	-4.73%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4347	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.174433	-5.99%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.3183	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.179526	-6.17%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0892	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.196761	-7.09%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0099	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.17681	-7.11%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2401	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.141156	-5.12%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4974	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.173631	-7.32%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5352	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.161683	-7.51%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1526	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.110603	-3.61%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5374	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.127126	-5.30%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4303	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.134353	-6.63%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4888	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.092372	-1.96%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7256	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085133	-1.34%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5406	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084571	-1.14%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7728	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090139	-0.84%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6429	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090195	-0.88%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2377	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091303	-1.57%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3815	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086214	-0.26%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5077	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082957	-0.05%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1354	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.088056	-0.16%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0039	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.08671	-0.58%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0163	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083094	-1.00%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0554	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084709	-1.17%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0386	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080465	-1.73%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1081	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075223	-2.41%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0531	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.073998	-2.38%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0270	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.07348	-2.07%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0674	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076559	-1.04%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0401	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.076717	-1.49%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0412	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077347	-0.72%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0585	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075811	-0.34%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0358	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075333	-0.24%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0251	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078278	-0.19%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0077	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082387	-0.37%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0590	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.08012	-0.06%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0239	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082272	-0.25%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0123	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.081992	-0.28%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0202	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079378	+0.07%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0139	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081487	+0.27%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0211	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078786	+0.05%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0165	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.07927	-0.36%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0293	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080636	-0.78%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0120	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079659	-0.54%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0018	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.08291	-0.33%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0267	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084437	-0.54%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0836	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087176	-1.44%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0812	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084269	-1.23%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0482	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081592	-1.03%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0123	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.084758	-0.95%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0374	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.087526	-1.26%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0880	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085349	-1.81%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0392	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.089655	-2.11%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0491	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.084668	-1.53%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0373	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082427	-1.91%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0779	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079408	-2.46%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1414	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081236	-2.61%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1368	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082489	-3.10%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1351	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083129	-3.29%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1517	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.081232	-4.35%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.0946	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078381	-2.79%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.079233	-2.99%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0351	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.080671	-2.92%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0090	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083374	-3.18%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0089	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.085208	-3.88%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0357	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.085346	-3.50%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0396	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.081762	-3.13%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0704	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.079134	-3.24%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0329	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.076939	-2.84%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0798	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.072979	-2.38%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1383	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.075431	-2.86%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1250	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075077	-2.83%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1445	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.074138	-2.78%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1421	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.072158	-2.77%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1238	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.071741	-2.35%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1384	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071366	-2.32%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0923	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.074627	-2.94%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.069427	-2.41%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1158	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.06749	-2.15%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1668	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067317	-2.16%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1506	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064597	-1.61%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1593	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066102	-1.53%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1107	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.066998	-1.42%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1199	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067351	-1.60%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1731	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066387	-1.39%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0911	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065578	-1.25%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0413	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065511	-1.28%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0562	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065485	-1.39%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0002	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066252	-1.36%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0022	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068252	-1.50%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0203	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.068901	-2.14%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0246	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066286	-1.65%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0201	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067874	-1.90%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0330	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.06723	-1.82%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0269	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.067804	-2.32%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0176	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.066929	-2.19%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0047	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.067707	-2.11%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0113	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.068962	-2.23%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0019	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072377	-2.76%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0476	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073112	-2.88%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0572	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073508	-2.48%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0799	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.077208	-3.92%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1270	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.071565	-2.95%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0660	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.070668	-3.75%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0510	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064288	-2.81%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0344	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066062	-3.06%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0739	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.066752	-2.50%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0708	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.065894	-3.47%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0965	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066095	-3.67%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1648	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.06564	-3.75%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0945	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.06708	-3.98%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.1021	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.068935	-3.74%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0090	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.073902	-3.05%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0382	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073025	-2.95%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0218	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.07584	-3.20%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0582	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.073077	-3.79%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0258	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.073798	-3.16%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0435	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.07765	-3.16%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0702	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.079714	-3.07%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0775	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.077446	-4.29%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0073	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.07771	-4.43%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0073	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.075667	-4.15%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0368	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.074501	-3.21%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0199	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.077049	-2.10%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0045	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071434	-1.45%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0910	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075382	-1.47%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0536	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073507	-1.09%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0801	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073749	-0.47%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0335	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076818	-0.71%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0220	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080633	-1.32%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0221	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.086898	-2.07%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1571	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087714	-2.12%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0892	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.096055	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.092026	-2.66%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1408	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.091126	-2.51%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1154	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.090065	-2.61%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0611	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.091112	-2.53%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0409	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.093969	-2.58%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0136	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.091113	-2.49%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0479	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095831	-2.68%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0730	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.098775	-2.70%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0202	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.106108	-3.05%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1060	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.105717	-3.43%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1184	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.105244	-3.05%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0882	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.101241	-2.98%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0248	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.099372	-3.06%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0547	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.092897	-2.72%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0560	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.095339	-2.69%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0661	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.098765	-3.49%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1136	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.100408	-3.83%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1137	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.11086	-3.98%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0026	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.114448	-4.17%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0787	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.128571	-5.81%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2016	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.162399	-8.63%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5058	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.099706	-1.75%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0139	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.098913	-1.93%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0509	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.091311	-1.61%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2278	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.090063	-1.32%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.2993	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087454	-1.03%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4491	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.092078	-1.54%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6404	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.091351	-1.69%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0713	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.091409	-1.63%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0795	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.091369	-2.20%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0223	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091483	-2.09%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0603	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093724	-2.01%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1069	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.095388	-1.83%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0458	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090587	-1.03%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0266	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.093414	-1.31%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0165	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.11227	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106438	-2.73%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1078	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.100183	-2.18%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0416	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.10423	-2.63%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0856	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.110656	-3.20%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1477	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.106255	-3.04%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2081	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.095443	-2.15%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0323	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088636	-1.41%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2673	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.087025	-1.57%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1890	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081361	-1.29%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1869	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078611	-1.23%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2805	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.08227	-1.38%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3107	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.07453	-1.40%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3446	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077493	-1.30%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1959	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076971	-1.29%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1029	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077105	-1.41%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0928	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.078213	-1.52%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0028	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.079173	-1.51%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0247	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.0782	-1.71%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0121	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073427	-1.53%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0045	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075348	-1.63%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072156	-1.49%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.073284	-1.50%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.077182	-1.59%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076307	-1.53%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0010	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075226	-1.46%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0244	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.074778	-1.37%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0486	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078091	-1.46%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0340	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.077859	-1.39%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0702	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.076735	-1.22%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0022	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082552	-1.25%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0043	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084286	-1.36%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0497	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081507	-1.16%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0034	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079432	-1.19%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0172	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078766	-1.03%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0461	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082618	-1.00%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0176	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.087872	-1.27%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1059	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089577	-1.18%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0699	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092287	-0.89%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0267	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093436	-0.75%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0660	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093333	-1.12%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0730	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.093367	-1.34%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1239	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094107	-1.46%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1132	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.105636	-2.37%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1617	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.090591	-1.40%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0153	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.082532	-1.09%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0613	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081226	-1.14%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0502	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.077779	-1.09%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0862	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.077782	-0.99%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1335	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080278	-0.99%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1294	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.083968	-0.88%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2590	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.086634	-0.77%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0967	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086106	-1.12%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0584	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.083763	-0.98%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0127	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.082595	-1.02%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0526	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.086534	-1.08%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1017	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.088399	-1.16%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1253	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090166	-1.15%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1195	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.090481	-1.11%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1132	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.085632	-0.93%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0589	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086244	-0.88%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0924	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089513	-0.93%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0377	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.09262	-1.00%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0401	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092556	-0.96%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0027	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092498	-0.91%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0230	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.094721	-0.96%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0621	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.10019	-1.18%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0909	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103232	-1.33%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1013	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101446	-1.25%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.0970	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.103932	-1.39%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0761	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.102737	-1.32%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0815	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097217	-0.86%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0530	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.094972	-0.69%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0167	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.09509	-0.73%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0853	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097532	-0.89%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0895	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096671	-0.75%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0841	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.099514	-0.69%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0489	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.100275	-0.72%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0646	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.092012	+2.35%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0045	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.103426	-0.79%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0272	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.106158	-1.06%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0154	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.109668	-1.38%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0380	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.103769	-0.79%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0410	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.104819	-0.93%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1101	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.115745	-1.58%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0712	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.117715	-1.58%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0810	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.127846	-1.73%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0263	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.129087	-1.76%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0057	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.128414	-1.75%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0092	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.122564	-1.59%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0209	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.133347	-1.81%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0910	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.129262	-1.63%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0245	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.124672	-1.45%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0227	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.1278	-1.46%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0204	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.124601	-1.35%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0429	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.136182	-1.46%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0110	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.136769	-1.39%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0071	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.144935	-1.54%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0050	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.138993	-1.28%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0143	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.135257	-1.13%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0046	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.141231	-1.17%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0020	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.146464	-1.50%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0630	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.134218	-1.38%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0135	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.139235	-1.53%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0361	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.14045	-1.58%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0087	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.142266	-1.61%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0714	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.142784	-1.60%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0967	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.143356	-1.61%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0944	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.149086	-1.66%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0292	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.151372	-1.77%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0622	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.146969	-1.82%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0282	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.144596	-1.84%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0094	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.141875	-1.82%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0096	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.138192	-1.78%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0102	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.128323	-1.52%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0641	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.131581	-1.58%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0545	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.129633	-1.57%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0594	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.131171	-1.60%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0709	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.132473	-1.65%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0598	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.126778	-1.49%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0869	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.123466	-1.38%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.1047	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.126829	-1.45%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0289	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.127217	-1.46%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0333	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.126789	-1.41%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0626	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.124333	-1.32%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0825	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.126355	-1.36%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0728	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.12543	-1.31%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0395	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118014	-1.08%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0294	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120674	-1.09%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0401	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.124583	-1.12%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0429	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.126016	-1.12%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0170	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.126956	-1.09%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0157	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.135157	-1.20%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0207	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.13701	-1.22%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0377	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.139069	-1.16%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0304	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140968	-1.21%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0429	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.149553	-1.42%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0892	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.142583	-1.29%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0399	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.139203	-1.20%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0435	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.141672	-1.27%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0517	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.134733	-1.08%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0132	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.141859	-1.14%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0156	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.143215	-1.09%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0198	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.141427	-1.10%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0469	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.138559	-1.03%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0394	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.151126	-1.29%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0707	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.151918	-1.29%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0291	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.155626	-1.38%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1054	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.158838	-1.47%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1152	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.155593	-1.40%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1249	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.154071	-1.36%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1504	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.157014	-1.43%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0760	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.158028	-1.42%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1009	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.154192	-1.16%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1249	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.152442	-1.01%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0818	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.15875	-1.21%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0789	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.153281	-1.11%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0502	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.158043	-1.22%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1074	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.157218	-1.12%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0950	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.160822	-1.21%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1503	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.163689	-1.27%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1816	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.162854	-1.18%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1449	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.167389	-1.48%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2433	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.172588	-1.60%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1071	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.174308	-1.96%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1282	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.186909	-2.04%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1590	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.185807	-2.08%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1120	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.183911	-1.76%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0557	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.185684	-2.07%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0844	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.168295	-1.70%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0472	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.170852	-2.20%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0757	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.163504	-1.62%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0495	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.159628	-1.89%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1919	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.177685	-2.26%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1993	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.179921	-2.11%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2200	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.177723	-1.54%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2100	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.176825	-1.10%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1334	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.185986	-1.23%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0781	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.193423	-1.42%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1122	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.202415	-1.50%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0501	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.210633	-1.57%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0595	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.204133	-1.43%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0684	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.205006	-1.42%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0934	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.2037	-1.36%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0887	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.198068	-1.16%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1074	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.206799	-1.29%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1564	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.214504	-1.42%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1229	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.217214	-1.42%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1479	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.211938	-1.24%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1262	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.211286	-1.13%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1222	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.213885	-1.16%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0797	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.223485	-1.33%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0340	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.23224	-1.43%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0057	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.244748	-1.53%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0115	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.227563	-1.32%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1090	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.21034	-0.78%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1011	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.200201	-0.32%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2169	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.27497	-1.16%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0046	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.280425	-1.07%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0079	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.268646	-1.09%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0159	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.281958	-0.96%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0385	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.275763	-0.98%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0304	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.279652	-1.08%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0674	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.284829	-1.14%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1837	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.283149	-1.22%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0366	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.274397	-1.22%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0502	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.25263	-1.12%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0599	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.261308	-1.13%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.1027	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.274905	-1.26%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2055	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.271775	-1.17%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2151	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.278965	-1.18%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2199	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.268793	-0.96%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1688	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.295517	-1.17%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1667	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.298547	-1.18%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1977	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.302659	-1.16%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1684	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.329194	-1.45%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.1067	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.336434	-1.54%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0799	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.331525	-1.45%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0393	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.362016	-1.85%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1271	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.357032	-1.83%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1161	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.345258	-1.65%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0384	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.34281	-1.70%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0602	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.