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2022-09-11 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2266
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.4%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,883.91+1.02%19,440.70-10.26%0.0109✗0.9213k2022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.33014.3717+0.96%4.1187-4.88%0.0263✓0.73690k2022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.175704+0.90%0.16044-7.87%0.0009✓0.783512022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.039918+0.80%0.03461-12.60%0.0618✗0.692,1832022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.51902+0.78%0.384-25.44%0.1572✗1.234,2692022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero159.22160.4625+0.78%140.49-11.76%0.0179✗0.981.3M2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.061558+0.75%0.0557-8.84%0.0004✓0.8682k2022-09-18
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6392.3129+0.75%73.06-20.27%0.0542✗1.535.6M2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064658+0.73%0.060789-5.30%0.0042✓0.49123k2022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.076001+0.72%0.06225-17.51%0.0808✗1.0124k2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.407858+0.64%0.37245-8.10%0.0280✓1.0132k2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.103272+0.56%0.0931-9.35%0.0136✗0.772,6892022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.094618+0.55%0.0811-13.82%0.0382✗0.9914k2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.652564+0.55%0.572-11.86%0.0112✗1.03178k2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001645+0.53%0.001429-12.65%0.0607✗0.686,5532022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.14e-7+0.48%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0457✗0.7515k2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.6572+0.47%14.09-15.02%0.0753✗0.791.5M2022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0908+0.42%0.954978-12.09%0.0428✗0.7734k2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.183618+0.34%0.1496-18.25%0.0680✗1.171,7442022-09-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.127416+0.33%0.1131-10.94%0.1186✗0.0183k2022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.9302+0.32%1.6754-12.93%0.0104✗1.1223k2022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.037315+0.31%0.0363-2.42%0.0749✓0.877,8252022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004201+0.27%0.00356-15.04%0.0548✗0.95103k2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.556256+0.22%0.4662-16.01%0.0195✗1.3439k2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.3132+0.20%2.8489-13.84%0.0286✗1.0419k2022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45454.5587+0.19%48.437-11.05%0.0175✗0.87275k2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.512703+0.14%0.4415-13.77%0.0114✗1.18384k2022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.02191+0.11%0.020014-8.56%0.0178✗0.6212k2022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.046689+0.11%0.04034-13.51%0.0707✗0.6414k2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.039334+0.09%0.0332-15.52%0.0499✗1.0288k2022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021317+0.08%0.01968-7.61%0.0096✗0.60206k2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.046818+0.07%0.039656-15.24%0.0613✗0.8928k2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.042352+0.07%0.039181-7.42%0.0160✗0.5323k2022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012934+0.03%0.01153-10.83%0.0376✗0.66233k2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7824+0.02%2.396-13.87%0.0574✗0.79586k2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.066207+0.01%0.0565-14.65%0.0147✗1.23555k2022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.137787-0.01%0.1145-16.91%0.0539✓1.122.9M2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.851477-0.04%0.78032-8.39%0.0054✗0.7913k2022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.351507-0.05%0.30461-13.39%0.0168✓1.0834k2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4192-0.06%1.42+0.00%0.0161✓-0.14124k2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.291272-0.06%0.25124-13.80%0.0428✓0.9015k2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.064454-0.07%0.0619-4.03%0.0805✗1.0379k2022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.926878-0.10%0.785842-15.30%0.0631✓0.8749k2022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.361526-0.10%0.3025-16.41%0.0398✓1.1872k2022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.425039-0.11%0.3151-25.95%0.1695✓1.11202k2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1862.11-0.11%52.65-15.33%0.0430✓1.0413.5M2022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.685165-0.12%0.592-13.70%0.0199✓1.08111k2022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.234706-0.12%0.2197-6.51%0.0357✗0.87503k2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.229998-0.13%0.1954-15.15%0.0582✓0.8957k2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.8686-0.14%11.3049-12.27%0.0097✓1.0222k2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050723-0.15%0.0491-3.35%0.0780✗0.94234k2022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.4442-0.16%13.34-19.00%0.0624✓1.2584k2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.6311-0.19%4.22-9.05%0.0205✓0.621.4M2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.9618-0.20%7.93-11.69%0.0520✓0.602.4M2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.072917-0.21%0.06413-12.23%0.0144✓0.977022022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.051891-0.21%0.042-19.23%0.0745✓1.17190k2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0252-0.22%0.9352-8.98%0.0249✓0.572.6M2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.213625-0.22%0.1831-14.48%0.0266✓1.09138k2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.3004-0.23%1.7772-22.92%0.1248✓1.1413k2022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001554-0.23%0.001548-0.64%0.0859✗0.77353k2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.9559-0.24%2.44-17.65%0.0083✓1.572.9M2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration51.951.7723-0.25%39.58-23.74%0.1495✓1.02395k2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35129.9919-0.27%111.83-14.21%0.0116✓1.194.4M2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.209994-0.29%0.1768-16.05%0.0369✓1.15108k2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.291923-0.33%0.2612-10.82%0.0153✗1.0883k2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.8897-0.34%31.1-11.17%0.0265✗1.2154.5M2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.7209-0.35%8.956-8.19%0.0193✗0.861.2M2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012944-0.36%0.00001061-18.32%0.0795✓1.021.0M2022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025408-0.36%0.02202-13.65%0.0108✓1.132,9142022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006513-0.36%0.005544-15.18%0.0824✓0.672,0442022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.540988-0.37%0.468-13.81%0.0015✓1.2274k2022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.4097-0.37%5.19-4.42%0.0360✗0.662.0M2022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002893-0.38%0.002574-11.36%0.0115✓0.901.2M2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.800603-0.39%0.70221-12.63%0.0022✓1.14584k2022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.143251-0.40%0.12379-13.93%0.0039✓1.21151k2022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.167329-0.40%0.1415-15.77%0.0124✓1.321,0012022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.099292-0.41%0.0912-8.53%0.0330✗1.01336k2022-09-18
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.06e-7-0.43%7.90e-7-13.19%0.0498✓0.741.7M2022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.442558-0.44%0.3859-13.18%0.0002✓1.1781k2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.00628-0.46%0.0063-0.14%0.0482✗0.3830k2022-09-18
DASHDashDash48.3548.1223-0.47%40.12-17.02%0.0555✓1.08321k2022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.1916-0.47%1.808-17.89%0.0422✓1.2832k2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.57920.576331-0.50%0.512-11.60%0.0455✓0.62826k2022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.5095-0.50%1.336-11.93%0.0095✗1.1271k2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.049849-0.50%0.037-26.15%0.1615✓1.17536k2022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.283564-0.50%0.254-10.88%0.0185✓0.78563k2022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013125-0.51%0.011882-9.94%0.0004✓0.85920k2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2311.17-0.53%8.65-22.97%0.0960✓1.36298k2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06275.0353-0.54%4.6704-7.75%0.0679✓0.06117k2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.4555-0.55%5.466-15.79%0.0024✓1.406.9M2022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash64.2763.915-0.55%53.33-17.02%0.0429✓1.181.2M2022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.572-0.57%16.72-19.19%0.0467✓1.3718.0M2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,699.02-0.61%19,417.64-11.06%0.0061✗1.00473.4M2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.150827-0.64%0.129-15.02%0.0387✓1.00110k2022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.132404-0.67%0.1208-9.38%0.0473✗1.191.4M2022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.8256-0.68%1.433-22.03%0.1220✓1.02627k2022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8869-0.69%2.25+18.42%0.2320✗0.4861k2022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1746-0.71%0.935-20.96%0.0454✓1.564.4M2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum108.82108.0443-0.71%104.08-4.36%0.0743✗0.953.5M2022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.290215-0.71%0.2517-13.89%0.0234✓1.022.6M2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009372-0.72%0.00752-20.34%0.1072✓0.963.2M2022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.049341-0.72%0.0427-14.08%0.0449✓0.85138k2022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.063234-0.74%0.0573-10.05%0.0199✗1.011.3M2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.3588-0.74%1.165-14.90%0.0050✓1.27343k2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.328861-0.76%0.43553+31.43%0.3632✗0.70326k2022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.6752-0.77%23.45-15.92%0.0462✓1.026.8M2022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006559-0.77%0.00503-23.90%0.1904✓0.64911k2022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.9742-0.79%1.646-17.29%0.0196✗1.7260k2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.330161-0.79%0.299-10.16%0.0236✗1.0575k2022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.511589-0.80%0.4395-14.78%0.0517✓0.85418k2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.114677-0.80%0.0991-14.27%0.0433✓0.88169k2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.966705-0.83%0.8289-14.97%0.0049✓1.27899k2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0568-0.85%4.63-9.22%0.0131✗0.86859k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1737.1101-0.88%5.851-18.43%0.0765✓1.014.3M2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.023112-0.89%0.01917-17.80%0.0625✓1.069.7M2022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,751.10-0.90%1,334.72-24.46%0.1108✓1.37575.8M2022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.66983-0.91%0.552-18.34%0.0593✓1.153.5M2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.073424-0.97%0.06377-13.99%0.1251✓0.14378k2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.115461-1.06%0.1-14.31%0.0012✓1.242.5M2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.6165-1.11%6.443-16.35%0.0304✓1.1710.0M2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.588184-1.15%0.473-20.50%0.0822✓1.1664k2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6659-1.16%1.4386-14.65%0.0221✓1.06241k2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.3535-1.17%3.699-16.03%0.0996✓0.542.3M2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008339-1.19%0.00744-11.85%0.0241✗1.18406k2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.503955-1.20%0.4478-12.21%0.0000✓1.0138.3M2022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.228377-1.22%0.1846-20.16%0.1229✓0.7766k2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.112975-1.23%0.1072-6.28%0.0513✗0.896.4M2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.6344-1.25%1.531-7.49%0.0221✗0.7536k2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.6462-1.25%6.01-10.70%0.0418✓0.502.1M2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.309837-1.26%0.266614-15.03%0.0347✓0.99471k2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2863-1.28%1.0284-21.07%0.0890✓1.151.1M2022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.322162-1.30%0.293-10.23%0.0208✗0.995.9M2022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.3671-1.33%12.03-17.38%0.0380✓1.19925k2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.152441-1.33%0.1381-10.61%0.0204✗1.02336k2022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2338-1.38%1.065-14.87%0.0376✓0.931.1M2022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.724728-1.41%0.6036-17.89%0.0030✓1.53226k2022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.9162-1.42%7.523-6.31%0.0814✗1.1317.5M2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1162.085-1.46%1.653-21.88%0.0651✓1.43967k2022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1396.0439-1.55%5.554-9.53%0.0072✓0.663.1M2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.852588-1.58%0.7498-13.45%0.0097✓1.18946k2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2923-1.62%1.79-23.18%0.0962✓1.29227k2022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.5065-1.62%6.16-19.27%0.0684✓1.10230k2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.958063-1.64%0.879-9.75%0.0546✗1.201.5M2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.4619-1.65%5.56-15.37%0.0867✓0.542.1M2022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.504538-1.65%0.426-16.96%0.0446✓1.067,7812022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2554.3173-1.69%47.61-13.83%0.0192✗1.298,9662022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.720.707834-1.69%0.69-4.17%0.0017✓0.2346k2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.872639-1.79%0.8499-4.34%0.1574✗1.5794k2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2724-1.88%3.731-14.31%0.0919✓0.372.2M2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.7545-1.91%4.9458+2.04%0.2191✗1.53129k2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.4003-1.91%12.84-18.22%0.0630✓1.011.8M2022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.174451-1.93%0.14138-20.52%0.0853✓1.07268k2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.037066-1.97%0.03069-18.83%0.0634✓1.0745k2022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0241.0038-1.97%0.864-15.62%0.1024✓0.412.7M2022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000044686-2.05%0.00003918-14.12%0.0279✓0.882.5M2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5734-2.15%2.09-20.53%0.1352✓0.62262k2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.5563-2.21%5.086-10.49%0.0767✗1.416.4M2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.203554-2.28%0.2313+11.04%0.2451✗1.003.2M2022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39030.381206-2.33%0.3266-16.32%0.0283✓1.08324k2022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.2-2.38%2.925-10.77%0.0459✓0.38720k2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum31.9831.2185-2.38%23.19-27.49%0.0977✓1.70168k2022-09-18
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.772-2.53%3.918-19.98%0.0800✓1.001.4M2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.023359-2.56%0.026132+9.01%0.1207✗0.07455k2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.5584-2.58%3.63-22.42%0.1568✓0.618.1M2022-09-18
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,613.18-2.64%1,293.99-21.90%0.1033✓1.003.4M2022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9546-2.64%1.4393-28.31%0.2063✓0.851.4M2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001331-2.66%0.001075-21.36%0.1147✓0.842.2M2022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.603-2.73%1.197-27.37%0.1466✓1.2443k2022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2785-2.74%1.2237-6.91%0.0818✗1.071.0M2022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,913.47-2.76%8,342.07-18.17%0.0038✓1.444.2M2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4176.2398-2.76%5.265-17.95%0.0569✓0.966.2M2022-09-18
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017774-2.77%0.015-17.94%0.0525✓1.008742022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.3702-2.90%3.847-14.53%0.0167✓0.95286k2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.3597-3.02%0.929-33.74%0.1786✓1.732.7M2022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.339515-3.02%0.3429-2.06%0.1331✗1.057782022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.121597-3.03%0.1002-20.10%0.1208✓0.62191k2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9318.3453-3.09%15.52-18.01%0.1033✓0.55384k2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5637.3517-3.13%29.61-23.21%0.0465✓1.5910.6M2022-09-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.9213-3.16%5.6084-21.53%0.1981✓0.109.1M2022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4136-3.18%1.17-19.86%0.0638✓1.0779k2022-09-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.3602-3.27%6.0254-20.82%0.1706✓0.2511.9M2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.1817-3.30%14.707-6.32%0.1202✗1.3018.7M2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.003810.003684-3.31%0.00322-15.49%0.0160✓1.01481k2022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.441235-3.40%0.38485-15.75%0.0189✓1.01379k2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.06296-3.45%0.05724-12.22%0.0514✗1.251.3M2022-09-18
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010898-3.68%0.011219-0.84%0.1462✗1.006302022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.318605-3.69%0.2724-17.65%0.0673✓0.7684k2022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000413314-4.19%0.00027312-36.69%0.3708✓0.372.1M2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59412.0128-4.62%12.26-2.65%0.0644✗0.3816.0M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.95e-7-4.79%5.65e-7-22.56%0.1054✓0.862.3M2022-09-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.242865-6.98%0.1267-51.47%0.5565✓0.8024k2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.