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2022-09-07 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2922
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.7%
in alpha space · 55.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000438610.000407954-6.99%0.00030041-31.51%0.3405✓0.73825k2022-09-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,334.028,834.74-5.35%9,194.00-1.50%0.0276✓1.434.8M2022-09-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.62657.2288-5.21%6-21.33%0.2037✓0.379.8M2022-09-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.382.2631-4.91%2.04-14.29%0.1620✓1.23229k2022-09-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8525.571-4.80%5.955+1.76%0.0251✓0.886.6M2022-09-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2341.1781-4.53%1.2286-0.44%0.0033✓0.961.3M2022-09-14
OPTIMOptimism1.1721.1217-4.29%1.216+3.75%0.0044✓1.612.9M2022-09-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.2735.6771-4.27%39.37+5.63%0.0248✓1.5610.6M2022-09-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3498-4.27%1.33-5.67%0.0611✓0.9881k2022-09-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2761.2218-4.25%1.257-1.49%0.0289✓1.21429k2022-09-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.487.1635-4.23%7.08-5.35%0.0656✓1.14276k2022-09-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.616.8595-4.21%16.98-3.52%0.0258✓0.70422k2022-09-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.63912.1187-4.12%11.172-11.61%0.1084✓0.5716.0M2022-09-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4581.3993-4.03%1.387-4.87%0.0648✓1.1851k2022-09-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.10e-77.79e-7-3.85%6.58e-7-18.78%0.2103✓0.882.1M2022-09-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14170.136365-3.77%0.1482+4.59%0.0317✓1.09489k2022-09-14
METISMetisEthereum29.1228.0499-3.67%27.58-5.29%0.1033✓1.83190k2022-09-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.100245-3.61%0.1128+8.46%0.0663✗1.092.8M2022-09-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3924-3.53%2.35-5.24%0.0544✓0.77262k2022-09-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6560.632885-3.52%0.632-3.66%0.0428✓0.88151k2022-09-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30550.294826-3.49%0.285-6.71%0.0856✓1.0998k2022-09-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09730.093907-3.49%0.0914-6.06%0.0739✓0.9910k2022-09-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0174030.0168-3.46%0.017147-1.47%0.0269✓1.001072022-09-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2016.9546-3.42%7.208+0.10%0.0142✓1.0610.2M2022-09-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0471.0119-3.35%0.928-11.37%0.1071✓0.432.9M2022-09-14
FLOWFlownative1.8611.8001-3.27%1.868+0.38%0.0280✓1.371.2M2022-09-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82690.799855-3.27%0.8234-0.42%0.0211✓1.061.1M2022-09-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.28082.2069-3.24%2.0244-11.24%0.1417✓1.1713k2022-09-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1165.9217-3.18%6.182+1.08%0.0200✓1.337.2M2022-09-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.63054.486-3.12%3.8335-17.21%0.1873✓0.647.3M2022-09-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.92856.7136-3.10%5.5438-19.99%0.2041✓0.278.4M2022-09-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.058679-3.01%0.0601-0.66%0.0360✓1.27617k2022-09-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.7991.745-3.00%1.664-7.50%0.0927✓0.96604k2022-09-14
STXStacksnative0.35110.340627-2.98%0.3522+0.31%0.0222✓1.18365k2022-09-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060230.058445-2.96%0.06049+0.43%0.0177✓1.101.6M2022-09-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047271-2.93%0.0487+0.00%0.0141✓0.93190k2022-09-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.7929-2.89%4.3+10.09%0.0789✗0.98289k2022-09-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.824790.801086-2.87%0.81175-1.58%0.0346✓1.0114k2022-09-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202660.019687-2.86%0.020693+2.11%0.0113✓0.8213k2022-09-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12380.120362-2.78%0.1138-8.08%0.0927✓0.78203k2022-09-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8351.7849-2.73%1.814-1.14%0.0638✓1.6969k2022-09-14
KSMKusamaHydration48.4147.0905-2.73%47.58-1.71%0.0380✓1.02442k2022-09-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11510.112073-2.63%0.1076-6.52%0.0824✓0.88169k2022-09-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.0963.0146-2.63%3.0963+0.01%0.0224✓1.0419k2022-09-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013140.00128-2.62%0.001225-6.79%0.0820✓0.812.5M2022-09-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42110.41009-2.61%0.3776-10.33%0.1376✓1.17215k2022-09-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,486.001,447.31-2.60%1,547.05+4.11%0.0194✓1.003.4M2022-09-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027750.002703-2.60%0.002872+3.50%0.0170✓0.921.2M2022-09-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8114.4273-2.58%14.69-0.81%0.0302✓1.021.7M2022-09-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.123.0396-2.58%3.109-0.35%0.0038✓0.56720k2022-09-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04660.045434-2.50%0.0465-0.21%0.0234✓0.98132k2022-09-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0416570.040617-2.50%0.040455-2.89%0.0283✓0.5125k2022-09-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.84.6803-2.49%4.4848-6.57%0.1465✓2.20129k2022-09-14
PROPropyEthereum0.740.721622-2.48%0.72-2.70%0.0181✓0.3457k2022-09-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0249370.024319-2.48%0.025957+4.09%0.0596✗0.12454k2022-09-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.838.6128-2.46%8.42-4.64%0.0473✓0.522.2M2022-09-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3410.332661-2.45%0.3366-1.29%0.0389✓1.0773k2022-09-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015470.001509-2.42%0.00153-1.10%0.0186✓0.687,6332022-09-14
XVGVergenative0.003060.002986-2.42%0.00337+10.13%0.0724✗1.03483k2022-09-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034520.033686-2.42%0.03442-0.29%0.0268✓1.0259k2022-09-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.513.1807-2.37%13.31-1.41%0.0429✓1.11971k2022-09-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042880.04187-2.36%0.0431+0.51%0.0064✓0.7514k2022-09-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.274960.268598-2.31%0.26901-2.16%0.0483✓1.0514k2022-09-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.492244-2.31%0.4853-3.69%0.0495✓0.75490k2022-09-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.416.262-2.31%6.2-3.28%0.0337✓0.502.1M2022-09-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105030.010263-2.28%0.011731+11.69%0.0864✗1.004902022-09-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19350.1891-2.27%0.1924-0.57%0.0240✓0.873.1M2022-09-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.168250.16443-2.27%0.16348-2.84%0.0534✓1.01268k2022-09-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0836.9222-2.27%7.458+5.29%0.0233✗1.0818.0M2022-09-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003793-2.25%0.00389+0.26%0.0215✓0.99123k2022-09-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0361.9905-2.24%2.029-0.34%0.0365✓1.1835k2022-09-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2126-2.20%5.33+0.00%0.0013✓0.502.0M2022-09-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81051.7708-2.20%1.8088-0.10%0.0318✓1.1223k2022-09-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06210.060742-2.19%0.0607-2.25%0.0404✓0.8485k2022-09-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0610670.059754-2.15%0.061125+0.09%0.0283✓1.081.4M2022-09-14
XECeCashnative0.000041840.000040952-2.12%0.00004616+10.33%0.0794✗0.852.5M2022-09-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.9925.4406-2.11%25.5-1.89%0.0438✓0.986.8M2022-09-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82650.809303-2.08%0.8515+3.02%0.0186✓1.47103k2022-09-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.037898-2.07%0.0366-5.43%0.0796✓0.9566k2022-09-14
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6647.6604-2.05%60.09+23.49%0.1709✗1.299,1802022-09-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008870.008688-2.05%0.0085-4.17%0.0573✓0.753.6M2022-09-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.25171.2261-2.05%1.1889-5.02%0.0889✓1.231.1M2022-09-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.93312.6688-2.04%13.974+8.05%0.0439✗1.1512.5M2022-09-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2505-2.03%5.87-7.99%0.0868✓0.512.2M2022-09-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.37320.365657-2.02%0.41296+10.65%0.0753✗0.98392k2022-09-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.410.401764-2.01%0.431+5.12%0.0205✗1.057,9852022-09-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2620.25675-2.00%0.268+2.29%0.0064✓0.77581k2022-09-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16691.1435-2.00%1.0706-8.25%0.1398✓1.564.6M2022-09-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29910.293134-1.99%0.3032+1.37%0.0099✓0.925.8M2022-09-14
ADACardanoCardano0.47880.469279-1.99%0.481+0.46%0.0204✓0.9539.1M2022-09-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063030.006178-1.99%0.006325+0.35%0.0024✓0.4541k2022-09-14
XEMNEMnative0.0425240.041686-1.97%0.042714+0.45%0.0158✓0.8529k2022-09-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.153025-1.97%0.1487-4.74%0.0771✓1.021,3092022-09-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.74421.7099-1.96%1.9379+11.11%0.0796✗0.961.2M2022-09-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12980.12726-1.96%0.1252-3.54%0.0420✓0.543.4M2022-09-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1491.1268-1.93%1.167+1.57%0.0110✓0.971.1M2022-09-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0934.0147-1.91%3.938-3.79%0.0434✓0.512.1M2022-09-14
XLMStellarStellar0.102970.101003-1.91%0.105209+2.17%0.0011✓0.846.6M2022-09-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.096915-1.91%0.0953-3.54%0.0519✓0.742,9872022-09-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0350.034339-1.89%0.0391+11.71%0.0943✗0.757,8592022-09-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.325540.319411-1.88%0.32611+0.18%0.0269✓1.0137k2022-09-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.5691-1.87%2.614-0.15%0.0251✓0.90671k2022-09-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007640.007499-1.85%0.00805+5.37%0.0177✓1.13389k2022-09-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2176.1022-1.85%5.739-7.69%0.0858✓0.524.1M2022-09-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021450.021055-1.84%0.0206-3.96%0.0592✓0.799.7M2022-09-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.7171.6856-1.83%1.536-10.54%0.1340✓0.8772k2022-09-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9882.9333-1.83%2.719-9.00%0.1487✓1.543.5M2022-09-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.461.4333-1.83%1.41-3.42%0.0088✓-0.16124k2022-09-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.51051-1.82%0.508-2.31%0.0604✓1.1777k2022-09-14
QNTQuantEthereum95.7293.9873-1.81%99.05+3.48%0.0115✓0.873.4M2022-09-14
HIVEHivenative0.52940.519879-1.80%0.5551+4.85%0.0267✗0.82867k2022-09-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3664.2885-1.78%4.013-8.09%0.0832✓0.352.3M2022-09-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.762480.749267-1.73%0.74432-2.38%0.0484✓0.88520k2022-09-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40260.39566-1.72%0.4062+0.89%0.0293✓1.1880k2022-09-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7276-1.71%4.67-2.91%0.0528✓0.861.1M2022-09-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322710.317191-1.71%0.32281+0.03%0.0213✓0.82327k2022-09-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4990.490523-1.70%0.513+2.81%0.0066✓1.0957k2022-09-14
DASHDashDash44.9144.1508-1.69%45.58+1.49%0.0158✓1.01368k2022-09-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.65e-7-1.66%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0211✓0.801.8M2022-09-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19720.193926-1.66%0.1889-4.21%0.0891✓1.33111k2022-09-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4361.4123-1.65%1.466+2.09%0.0186✓1.1873k2022-09-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.046819-1.64%0.043-9.66%0.1338✓1.03717k2022-09-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.307386-1.64%0.3394+8.61%0.0456✗1.1397k2022-09-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4766.3714-1.61%6.311-2.55%0.0498✓0.854.5M2022-09-14
DIADIAEthereum0.373240.367224-1.61%0.38003+1.82%0.0120✓0.9832k2022-09-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13530.133127-1.61%0.1399+3.40%0.0014✓1.02128k2022-09-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17870.175851-1.59%0.1637-8.39%0.1352✓1.341,7442022-09-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12860.12657-1.58%0.1249-2.88%0.0641✓1.071.4M2022-09-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.070810.069693-1.58%0.06876-2.90%0.0159✓0.05389k2022-09-14
SOLSolanaSolana32.732.1932-1.55%34.12+4.34%0.0040✓1.1461.7M2022-09-14
ZENHorizenBase14.9314.6989-1.55%15.1+1.14%0.0265✓1.1388k2022-09-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.494.4206-1.55%4.38-2.45%0.0367✓0.581.3M2022-09-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11920.117379-1.53%0.2045+71.56%0.5057✗1.0524k2022-09-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012250.000012066-1.50%0.00001219-0.49%0.0353✓0.96898k2022-09-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6320.622548-1.50%0.612-3.16%0.0640✓0.99178k2022-09-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024050.023695-1.48%0.02324-3.37%0.0798✓1.282,9582022-09-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134480.132513-1.46%0.13632+1.37%0.0288✓1.21175k2022-09-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.424.3555-1.46%5.102+15.43%0.0945✗1.356.7M2022-09-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036770.036238-1.45%0.03631-1.25%0.0371✓0.832,4552022-09-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20230.199381-1.44%0.2119+4.75%0.0136✓1.0057k2022-09-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.296612.1196-1.44%12.0571-1.95%0.0524✓1.0025k2022-09-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.093741-1.43%0.095-0.11%0.0339✓1.00368k2022-09-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0560.0552-1.43%0.0582+3.93%0.0092✓0.9381k2022-09-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,273.8019,001.35-1.41%20,259.00+5.11%0.0198✗0.9412k2022-09-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.2310.22775-1.41%0.2099-9.13%0.1207✓0.8366k2022-09-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4920.48509-1.40%0.443-9.96%0.1498✓1.254,1032022-09-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,629.921,607.27-1.39%1,639.14+0.57%0.0459✓1.39660.9M2022-09-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.00530.991308-1.39%1.0171+1.18%0.0154✓0.8737k2022-09-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.65030.641353-1.38%0.6751+3.81%0.0154✓1.41226k2022-09-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.209905-1.36%0.2195+3.15%0.0001✓0.94489k2022-09-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27620.272457-1.36%0.2719-1.56%0.0484✓0.982.7M2022-09-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14455.0756-1.34%4.8787-5.17%0.0440✓0.09115k2022-09-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015550.001534-1.33%0.001556+0.06%0.0233✓0.79406k2022-09-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064130.063278-1.33%0.06674+4.07%0.0095✓0.936022022-09-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.356.5621-1.29%60.2+5.06%0.0140✗1.0213.1M2022-09-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,293.5219,046.29-1.28%20,227.77+4.84%0.0129✗1.00485.5M2022-09-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8797310.868637-1.26%0.870716-1.02%0.0377✓0.8552k2022-09-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.90230.89094-1.26%0.8986-0.41%0.0494✓1.23916k2022-09-14
ZECZcashZcash59.3758.629-1.25%61.96+4.36%0.0009✓1.191.3M2022-09-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85651.2129-1.24%52.366+0.98%0.0147✓0.78302k2022-09-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058850.005812-1.23%0.005976+1.54%0.0056✓0.702,1192022-09-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.460334-1.22%0.4883+4.79%0.0040✓1.16384k2022-09-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.2310.228201-1.21%0.3096+34.03%0.2596✗0.9681k2022-09-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.1810.0577-1.20%10-1.77%0.0667✓1.29281k2022-09-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.7857-1.18%19.13+0.63%0.0427✓1.2919.5M2022-09-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.27147.529-1.17%149.8+0.36%0.0346✓1.061.4M2022-09-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.517990.512117-1.13%0.51452-0.67%0.0583✓1.3341k2022-09-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.2049.0997-1.13%9.368+1.78%0.0165✓0.961.2M2022-09-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125550.012416-1.11%0.012183-2.96%0.0510✓0.68929k2022-09-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2834580.28037-1.09%0.293868+3.67%0.0050✓1.10514k2022-09-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05250.051932-1.08%0.0553+5.33%0.0094✓1.13239k2022-09-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005570.00551-1.07%0.00561+0.72%0.0126✓0.65995k2022-09-14
XTZTezosTezos1.49011.4746-1.04%1.6104+8.07%0.0342✗1.14241k2022-09-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020614-1.04%0.02042-1.97%0.0470✓0.80295k2022-09-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8813-0.98%1.81-4.74%0.0616✓0.4975k2022-09-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.71117.553-0.97%119.99+1.08%0.0351✓1.184.4M2022-09-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.81e-7-0.97%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0383✓0.7815k2022-09-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9680.958681-0.96%1.0173+5.09%0.0353✗0.512.9M2022-09-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9010.89297-0.89%0.917+1.78%0.0343✓1.291.6M2022-09-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20230.200588-0.85%0.1975-2.37%0.0781✓1.32140k2022-09-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.152690.151433-0.82%–pending––1.983162022-09-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072080.071494-0.81%0.0709-1.64%0.0644✓1.1825k2022-09-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6470.642559-0.69%0.628-2.94%0.0783✓1.173.9M2022-09-14
TRXTRONTron0.0618420.061418-0.69%0.061645-0.32%0.0255✓0.62129k2022-09-14
AAVEAaveEthereum87.5587.1241-0.49%83.92-4.15%0.1108✓1.556.0M2022-09-14
GTGateEthereum4.00993.9929-0.42%4.3085+7.45%0.0393✗0.78748k2022-09-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012050.012036-0.11%0.01237+2.66%0.0042✓0.67228k2022-09-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2317.3203+0.52%18.12+5.17%0.0100✓0.741.7M2022-09-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.14580.146704+0.62%0.1305-10.49%0.1192✗0.0591k2022-09-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.