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2022-09-05 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1420
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.0%
in alpha space · 30.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000373243-7.83%0.0003-25.91%0.3112✓0.75679k2022-09-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.7883-5.74%6.556+6.76%0.0190✓0.857.2M2022-09-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.618,954.46-5.68%9,751.47+2.72%0.0884✓1.405.2M2022-09-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37817.0247-4.79%7.6604+3.83%0.0431✓0.357.7M2022-09-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.231-4.66%2.19-6.41%0.1621✓1.16217k2022-09-12
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.1445-4.55%1.267+5.67%0.1069✓1.682.9M2022-09-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5022-4.50%1.563-0.64%0.1067✓1.1851k2022-09-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.2506-4.31%1.352+3.44%0.0690✓1.19429k2022-09-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.2088-4.27%7.42-1.46%0.1065✓1.09290k2022-09-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00812.4623-4.20%12.34-5.14%0.0759✓0.5315.8M2022-09-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-78.19e-7-4.16%7.49e-7-12.42%0.1970✓0.861.8M2022-09-12
METISMetisEthereum30.5329.2885-4.07%29.93-1.97%0.2106✓1.88219k2022-09-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3216.6253-4.01%18.23+5.25%0.0073✓0.69454k2022-09-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6738.1096-3.93%38.45-3.08%0.1791✓1.529.5M2022-09-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.7584-3.90%4.5628-7.86%0.1156✓0.595.6M2022-09-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.302608-3.78%0.2976-5.37%0.1521✓1.0999k2022-09-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.06165-3.70%0.06474+1.12%0.0854✓1.081.8M2022-09-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0561.0172-3.67%1.01-4.36%0.0522✓0.362.9M2022-09-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.0958-3.67%1.3976+22.87%0.1326✗0.891.1M2022-09-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.638793-3.65%0.67+1.06%0.0590✓0.86183k2022-09-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.060268-3.57%0.0654+4.64%0.0770✓1.28713k2022-09-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.9533-3.55%7.0049-2.83%0.0206✓0.236.9M2022-09-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3214-3.54%1.41+2.92%0.0487✓0.9283k2022-09-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3687.1069-3.54%7.664+4.02%0.0539✓1.0510.0M2022-09-12
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8511-3.54%2.102+9.54%0.0417✓1.361.3M2022-09-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.100345-3.51%0.1286+23.65%0.1140✗1.082.8M2022-09-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.134891-3.51%0.1547+10.66%0.0053✓1.06409k2022-09-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.3458-3.50%6.659+1.26%0.1136✓1.317.2M2022-09-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.818435-3.41%0.8638+1.95%0.0740✓1.031.3M2022-09-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.2305-3.38%2.1488-6.91%0.1777✓1.1313k2022-09-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.125963-3.33%0.1144-12.20%0.1825✓0.70203k2022-09-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.9399-3.32%4.524+11.02%0.0177✓0.97259k2022-09-12
STXStacksnative0.36810.356026-3.28%0.3879+5.38%0.0576✓1.16348k2022-09-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.2418-3.18%3.2933-1.64%0.1093✓1.0118k2022-09-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.829641-3.06%0.85428-0.18%0.0953✓1.0113k2022-09-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.049279-2.99%0.0513+0.98%0.0738✓0.92190k2022-09-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.8592-2.95%14.22-0.42%0.1103✓1.101.1M2022-09-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.00285-2.89%0.003106+5.83%0.0278✓0.921.2M2022-09-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.862-2.82%1.935+0.99%0.1708✓1.6972k2022-09-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.122-2.81%15.12+4.06%0.0596✓1.031.6M2022-09-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.02008-2.78%0.022018+6.61%0.0082✓0.8112k2022-09-12
KSMKusamaHydration51.3349.9191-2.75%52.21+1.71%0.0769✓0.98442k2022-09-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.9585-2.73%8.95-2.82%0.0622✓0.502.1M2022-09-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.140766-2.72%0.1347-6.91%0.1076✓0.513.4M2022-09-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.034656-2.71%0.0373+4.72%0.0520✓1.0151k2022-09-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.505281-2.70%0.5129-1.23%0.0799✓0.77496k2022-09-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3827.1853-2.66%7.758+5.09%0.0534✓1.0518.0M2022-09-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.278348-2.65%0.2943+2.93%0.0743✓1.0513k2022-09-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,438.32-2.64%1,615.21+9.34%0.0078✓1.003.2M2022-09-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003915-2.62%0.0042+4.48%0.0518✓0.99127k2022-09-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.024886-2.59%0.024035-5.93%0.0492✓0.12386k2022-09-12
XVGVergenative0.003090.00301-2.59%0.00357+15.53%0.0442✗1.02481k2022-09-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.6762-2.57%4.863+1.32%0.2300✓2.17141k2022-09-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.202038-2.54%0.2014-2.85%0.1073✓0.843.1M2022-09-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001297-2.51%0.001323-0.53%0.0792✓0.802.4M2022-09-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1172.0639-2.51%2.171+2.55%0.0921✓1.1538k2022-09-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.5518-2.50%6.71-0.15%0.0351✓0.482.1M2022-09-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.346161-2.49%0.3514-1.01%0.1154✓1.0573k2022-09-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6487-2.44%1.803+6.69%0.0253✓0.93540k2022-09-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.5608-2.44%5.33-6.49%0.0985✓0.452.3M2022-09-12
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000042653-2.44%0.00004597+5.15%0.0292✓0.841.9M2022-09-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.043134-2.41%0.04747+7.40%0.0047✓0.7414k2022-09-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2553-2.37%2.46+6.49%0.0073✓0.76262k2022-09-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.017196-2.35%0.018489+4.99%0.0513✓1.00492022-09-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.061239-2.32%0.063958+2.01%0.0890✓1.071.3M2022-09-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.040525-2.31%0.042673+2.87%0.0111✓0.5125k2022-09-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.16904-2.29%0.17731+2.49%0.0735✓0.98268k2022-09-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.010276-2.28%0.012004+14.15%0.0316✗1.004902022-09-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.8239-2.27%1.962+5.13%0.0620✓1.0925k2022-09-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.9368-2.27%2.943-2.06%0.1875✓1.533.5M2022-09-12
FTTFTXEthereum26.6226.0163-2.27%28.46+6.91%0.0303✓0.976.8M2022-09-12
PROPropyEthereum0.720.703715-2.26%0.73+1.39%0.0045✓0.3363k2022-09-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.074116-2.26%0.074-2.41%0.0084✓0.06389k2022-09-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.510265-2.25%0.569+9.00%0.0230✓1.0763k2022-09-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007675-2.23%0.00833+6.11%0.0583✓1.13406k2022-09-12
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.487603-2.23%0.5014+0.54%0.0867✓0.9339.1M2022-09-12
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.330479-2.20%0.3627+7.34%0.0198✓0.916202022-09-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.26508-2.18%0.275+1.48%0.0561✓0.75597k2022-09-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.4952-2.18%6.38-3.92%0.0752✓0.462.2M2022-09-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.807721-2.18%0.8948+8.37%0.0827✓1.50105k2022-09-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.2167-2.16%4.238-1.67%0.0534✓0.472.3M2022-09-12
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.042779-2.15%0.046711+6.85%0.0164✓0.8427k2022-09-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.9089-2.12%3.245+9.19%0.0438✗0.53653k2022-09-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.043657-2.11%0.0493+10.54%0.0001✓0.98132k2022-09-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.298238-2.09%0.3237+6.27%0.0289✓0.905.8M2022-09-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.214-2.08%1.2695+2.40%0.1050✓1.21973k2022-09-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.346417-2.08%0.31623-10.61%0.1901✓0.80332k2022-09-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.52192-2.08%0.542+1.69%0.1035✓1.1476k2022-09-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001438-2.06%0.001651+12.47%0.0533✗0.697,6332022-09-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.129-2.06%1.143-0.84%0.1769✓1.534.4M2022-09-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008729-2.03%0.00905+1.57%0.0561✓0.744.1M2022-09-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.422118-2.02%0.4436+2.97%0.0924✓1.1585k2022-09-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.6673-2.01%2.756+1.25%0.0768✓0.88682k2022-09-12
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.102973-2.00%0.113859+8.36%0.0021✓0.836.7M2022-09-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.183474-1.99%0.1839-1.76%0.1680✓1.382,0092022-09-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1468-1.98%1.279+9.32%0.0113✓0.971.2M2022-09-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035973-1.98%0.0399+8.72%0.0078✓0.776,8072022-09-12
DASHDashDash47.5946.6522-1.97%47.17-0.88%0.1096✓0.97419k2022-09-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3616.2357-1.97%5.948-6.49%0.1021✓0.444.4M2022-09-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63312.3842-1.97%15.53+22.93%0.0867✗1.1312.5M2022-09-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.7175-1.97%1.622-7.42%0.1694✓0.9195k2022-09-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.333963-1.96%0.35436+4.03%0.0629✓0.9937k2022-09-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.6025-1.95%6.926+2.85%0.0559✓0.844.4M2022-09-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.414-1.93%4.285-4.80%0.0595✓0.242.3M2022-09-12
HIVEHivenative0.53880.528453-1.92%0.5802+7.68%0.0098✓0.83924k2022-09-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.048649-1.92%0.0492-0.81%0.1128✓1.00739k2022-09-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.774477-1.90%0.79422+0.60%0.0831✓0.87509k2022-09-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006229-1.90%0.006234-1.83%0.0542✓0.4441k2022-09-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.4224-1.90%1.43-1.38%0.0198✗-0.12128k2022-09-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.8368-1.89%4.98+1.01%0.0772✓0.861.2M2022-09-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.02094-1.87%0.0228+6.84%0.0092✓0.769.8M2022-09-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.4377-1.86%1.534+4.71%0.0806✓1.1779k2022-09-12
QNTQuantEthereum93.1491.4239-1.84%106.65+14.51%0.0482✗0.863.4M2022-09-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.024649-1.84%0.02488-0.92%0.1486✓1.283,2982022-09-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.6686-1.83%12.665-1.86%0.1230✓0.9930k2022-09-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.6337-1.83%4.55-3.60%0.0851✓0.541.3M2022-09-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.153362-1.82%0.1642+5.12%0.0607✓1.041,4472022-09-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.100643-1.81%0.1013-1.17%0.0836✓0.732,7842022-09-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.142182-1.81%0.1518+4.83%0.0601✓1.0199k2022-09-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.120701-1.79%0.2164+76.08%0.4545✗1.0425k2022-09-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.6658-1.77%5.492+15.62%0.0030✓1.346.8M2022-09-12
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.74e-7-1.77%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0711✓0.811.7M2022-09-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.200988-1.77%0.2053+0.34%0.1410✓1.31111k2022-09-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.066827-1.75%0.06915+1.66%0.0783✓0.916062022-09-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.343866-1.75%0.44028+25.79%0.1291✗0.95392k2022-09-12
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.373967-1.72%0.39977+5.06%0.0547✓0.9833k2022-09-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.6397-1.72%1.9123+14.62%0.0326✗0.981.1M2022-09-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000012393-1.72%0.00001288+2.14%0.0803✓0.96861k2022-09-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.650746-1.70%0.648-2.11%0.1250✓0.98187k2022-09-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,529.66-1.69%22,320.80+12.36%0.0176✗0.9413k2022-09-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.1361-1.69%0.14211+2.65%0.1066✓1.21175k2022-09-12
ZENHorizenBase16.115.8282-1.69%16.48+2.36%0.0972✓1.1193k2022-09-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.367864-1.67%0.408+9.06%0.0525✓1.26202k2022-09-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.080437-1.67%0.0915+11.86%0.0119✓0.9510k2022-09-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3647.557-1.66%54.73+13.17%0.0172✓1.278,9662022-09-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3659.3926-1.60%61.41+1.74%0.0895✓0.9912.8M2022-09-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.055007-1.60%0.0667+19.32%0.0842✗0.8885k2022-09-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.04441.0278-1.59%1.091+4.46%0.0461✓0.8639k2022-09-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.036825-1.59%0.04+6.89%0.0188✓0.822,5882022-09-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.056195-1.58%0.06+5.08%0.0510✓0.9490k2022-09-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.206381-1.58%0.2346+11.87%0.0049✓1.0058k2022-09-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.30216-1.58%0.3346+8.99%0.0423✓1.17105k2022-09-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.102377-1.56%0.1141+9.71%0.0018✓0.86169k2022-09-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.681711-1.56%0.7419+7.13%0.0881✓1.40210k2022-09-12
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.125926-1.54%0.1319+3.13%0.0826✓1.041.5M2022-09-12
XMRMoneroMonero157.52155.097-1.54%163.77+3.97%0.0740✓1.041.4M2022-09-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.218615-1.52%0.2355+6.08%0.0412✓0.93468k2022-09-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.885096-1.50%0.914216+1.74%0.0712✓0.8454k2022-09-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.547239-1.48%0.563+1.36%0.1349✓1.3239k2022-09-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.6405-1.48%11.02+2.04%0.1187✓1.24277k2022-09-12
SOLSolanaSolana32.1831.71-1.46%37.46+16.41%0.0256✗1.1461.7M2022-09-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75123.916-1.46%128.87+2.48%0.1028✓1.154.2M2022-09-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,594.55-1.45%1,716.71+6.10%0.0985✓1.39628.3M2022-09-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.278113-1.45%0.2917+3.37%0.0703✓0.952.8M2022-09-12
ZECZcashZcash63.4162.4934-1.45%62.92-0.77%0.1371✓1.161.3M2022-09-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.012935-1.45%0.013154+0.22%0.0636✓0.65929k2022-09-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,512.19-1.43%22,402.71+13.18%0.0144✓1.00480.9M2022-09-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.944186-1.41%0.9591+0.15%0.1347✓1.22865k2022-09-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7152.9606-1.40%54.609+1.67%0.0630✓0.76302k2022-09-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.022039-1.39%0.02102-5.95%0.1485✓0.82459k2022-09-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4419.1727-1.37%21.37+9.93%0.0496✓1.2819.6M2022-09-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001543-1.37%0.001626+3.96%0.0621✓0.93413k2022-09-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.465759-1.36%0.4948+4.79%0.0819✓1.15384k2022-09-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.234093-1.35%0.4093+72.48%0.4404✗0.9681k2022-09-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.055053-1.34%0.0516-7.53%0.2038✓1.12220k2022-09-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005941-1.32%0.006356+5.57%0.0187✓0.702,1662022-09-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.092677-1.30%0.1027+9.37%0.0170✓0.97372k2022-09-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.005912-1.30%0.00621+3.67%0.0291✓0.63951k2022-09-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.036228-1.29%0.0397+8.17%0.0229✓0.9266k2022-09-12
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.5267-1.25%1.6565+7.15%0.0575✓1.12252k2022-09-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0441.0311-1.24%0.97-7.09%0.2177✓1.271.5M2022-09-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.2999-1.21%9.715+3.20%0.0758✓0.961.2M2022-09-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.295084-1.21%0.32043+7.28%0.0517✓1.08514k2022-09-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.156157-1.17%0.17256+9.22%0.1509✓2.033162022-09-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05144.9927-1.16%5.0452-0.12%0.0022✓0.10115k2022-09-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.231201-1.07%0.2257-3.42%0.1351✓0.9066k2022-09-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.481851-1.06%0.483-0.82%0.1481✓1.223,8602022-09-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.968064-1.06%1.0045+2.67%0.0247✓0.503.0M2022-09-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.81e-7-1.04%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0656✓0.7915k2022-09-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.207002-0.96%0.2063-1.29%0.1692✓1.34142k2022-09-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.952-0.91%1.84-6.60%0.1218✓0.5168k2022-09-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.071971-0.88%0.07199-0.85%0.1448✓1.1725k2022-09-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.670556-0.81%0.672-0.59%0.1493✓1.223.9M2022-09-12
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.062439-0.79%0.063883+1.50%0.0534✓0.62123k2022-09-12
AAVEAaveEthereum91.390.6693-0.69%90.99-0.34%0.1875✓1.545.2M2022-09-12
GTGateEthereum4.00713.9913-0.40%4.3839+9.40%0.0034✓0.79748k2022-09-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012699-0.16%0.01294+1.73%0.0615✓0.65220k2022-09-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.163363+0.35%0.1916+17.69%0.1561✓0.0393k2022-09-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3118.4862+0.96%16.58-9.45%0.1970✗0.711.7M2022-09-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.