8=======>

2022-09-04 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0135
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.7%
in alpha space · 21.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.1765+1.36%16.58-12.37%0.2071✗0.711.7M2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012836-0.19%0.01293+0.54%0.0495✓0.65220k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.21214.1872-0.59%4.3301+2.80%0.0349✓0.78724k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.3092-0.61%91.63+3.13%0.0983✓1.555.2M2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.178976-0.73%0.127-29.56%0.3440✓0.0193k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063048-0.79%0.06419+1.01%0.0359✓0.62123k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.202339-0.86%0.2141+4.90%0.0607✓1.34140k2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.680981-0.88%0.676-1.60%0.1133✓1.214.0M2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9622-0.90%1.9-4.04%0.0765✓0.5175k2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.494982-1.00%0.515+3.00%0.0666✓1.223,8602022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073016-1.01%0.07546+2.30%0.0695✓1.1725k2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.23011-1.03%0.2312-0.56%0.0739✓0.9067k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.81e-7-1.06%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0368✓0.8015k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.967725-1.11%1.0275+5.00%0.0164✗0.503.1M2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.153425-1.13%0.17414+12.22%0.0506✓2.033442022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36116.9979-1.15%130.35+10.13%0.0075✓1.154.2M2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.2802-1.21%9.755+3.84%0.0345✓0.971.2M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.295356-1.22%0.313787+4.94%0.0342✓1.08514k2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0321-1.23%0.974-6.79%0.1686✓1.271.5M2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5363-1.27%1.6855+8.32%0.0055✓1.12253k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036029-1.29%0.0393+7.67%0.0063✓0.9266k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.1879-1.29%5.0627-3.68%0.0332✓0.10115k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005901-1.31%0.006537+9.32%0.0414✗0.702,1662022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.7569-1.33%20.69+8.84%0.0137✓1.2820.1M2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.021956-1.36%0.0213-4.31%0.1018✓0.82459k2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.463044-1.38%0.512+9.05%0.0001✓1.15384k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.888232-1.38%0.927788+3.02%0.0296✓0.8454k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001541-1.38%0.001558-0.32%0.0707✓0.93413k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.3941-1.38%11.23+6.55%0.0314✓1.24277k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27352.5339-1.39%54.454+2.22%0.0302✓0.76302k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.005995-1.40%0.00661+8.72%0.0424✗0.63977k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056199-1.40%0.0508-10.88%0.1992✓1.12220k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.094447-1.41%0.0997+4.07%0.0302✓0.97375k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.236505-1.42%0.3308+37.89%0.2520✗0.9681k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.545994-1.43%0.55506+0.21%0.0989✓1.3239k2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,556.48-1.43%1,766.95+11.90%0.0050✓1.39628.3M2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero155.77153.5402-1.43%159.22+2.21%0.0544✓1.041.4M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.351814-1.45%0.4255+19.19%0.0796✗1.26194k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.95837-1.46%0.9748+0.23%0.0892✓1.22841k2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.6959-1.47%35.01+8.83%0.0003✓1.1461.7M2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash63.862.8433-1.50%64.27+0.74%0.0792✓1.161.3M2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.101749-1.50%0.1156+11.91%0.0523✗0.86150k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,702.51-1.51%21,831.72+9.13%0.0152✗1.00480.9M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.012969-1.54%0.013193+0.16%0.0397✓0.65929k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,559.52-1.54%21,663.60+9.05%0.0202✗0.9413k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.037153-1.55%0.0396+4.93%0.0079✓0.822,6312022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.081512-1.56%0.0941+13.65%0.0611✗0.9410k2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0423-1.56%1.0863+2.59%0.0334✓0.8641k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.055308-1.59%0.0645+14.77%0.0770✗0.8891k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.056776-1.60%0.0611+5.89%0.0089✓0.9497k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.286095-1.62%0.2923+0.52%0.0618✓0.952.8M2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.221437-1.63%0.235+4.40%0.0223✓0.94468k2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.695588-1.63%0.7351+3.96%0.0667✓1.40210k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.207562-1.63%0.2303+9.15%0.0168✗1.0058k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.130.127869-1.64%0.1333+2.54%0.0493✓1.041.5M2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.307271-1.67%0.3328+6.50%0.0220✓1.17111k2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024601-1.67%0.0255+1.92%0.0757✓1.283,2982022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.149749-1.67%0.168+10.31%0.0236✗1.051,4472022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.175141-1.72%0.183+2.69%0.0766✓1.382,0092022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9359.8824-1.72%62.18+2.05%0.0491✓0.9912.7M2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.659401-1.73%0.649-3.28%0.1012✓0.98196k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4747.6264-1.74%55.25+13.99%0.0371✗1.279,0502022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.065901-1.76%0.07307+8.93%0.0237✗0.917702022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.141159-1.77%0.1518+5.64%0.0159✓1.0199k2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.64e-7-1.78%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0193✓0.811.7M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6565-1.78%2.0077+19.05%0.1067✗0.981.1M2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.136047-1.79%0.14382+3.83%0.0503✓1.21183k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.101026-1.82%0.1027-0.19%0.0472✓0.732,7842022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.120658-1.82%0.2611+112.45%0.6805✗1.0525k2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7298-1.83%1.655-6.07%0.1234✓0.91108k2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7098-1.84%5.682+18.42%0.0703✗1.346.8M2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.200831-1.84%0.2106+2.93%0.0675✓1.32111k2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.347299-1.84%0.45678+29.10%0.1907✗0.95392k2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.1432-1.87%16.47+0.12%0.0772✓1.11107k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.379527-1.87%0.40526+4.78%0.0200✓0.9834k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8172-1.89%5.1+3.87%0.0177✓0.851.3M2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012594-1.91%0.00001299+1.17%0.0530✓0.96861k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1436-1.92%1.251+7.29%0.0050✓0.971.3M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0715-1.92%1.183+8.28%0.0351✓1.534.4M2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.342429-1.92%0.35169+0.73%0.0595✓0.9940k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1359-1.93%1.3029+12.49%0.0311✗1.21949k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.8914-1.94%12.8866-1.97%0.0870✓0.9932k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.035687-1.96%0.0372+2.20%0.0262✓0.788,1752022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.54390.533147-1.98%0.5792+6.49%0.0101✓0.83953k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum95.2993.403-1.98%108.82+14.20%0.0780✗0.863.5M2022-09-11
DASHDashDash47.5946.6419-1.99%48.35+1.60%0.0493✓0.98419k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.7823-2.00%4.64-4.92%0.0773✓0.541.3M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.790165-2.03%0.80376-0.35%0.0593✓0.87519k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021131-2.03%0.02332+8.11%0.0320✗0.769.8M2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.5498-2.04%7.173+7.28%0.0174✓0.844.4M2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006323-2.05%0.006309-2.26%0.0410✓0.4444k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5026-2.05%4.354-5.29%0.0547✓0.242.4M2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7138-2.06%2.782+0.40%0.0525✓0.88682k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.522962-2.07%0.543+1.69%0.0622✓1.1476k2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.425886-2.07%0.4445+2.21%0.0575✓1.1591k2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.10412-2.07%0.114387+7.58%0.0215✗0.836.8M2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008733-2.09%0.00944+5.83%0.0128✓0.744.7M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.04347-2.10%0.0497+11.94%0.0480✗0.98132k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4588-2.10%1.42-4.70%0.0151✓-0.13128k2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.7716-2.10%15.699+20.34%0.1079✗1.1312.3M2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.049522-2.13%0.0501-0.99%0.0759✓1.00739k2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4658-2.15%1.517+1.27%0.0683✓1.1784k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.714164-2.17%0.72-1.37%0.0209✓0.3369k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.352847-2.20%0.33139-8.14%0.1326✓0.80332k2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.263007-2.23%0.285+5.95%0.0146✓0.75627k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.043146-2.23%0.046785+6.01%0.0073✓0.8429k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.809-2.24%27.89+5.64%0.0073✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.516117-2.25%0.595+12.69%0.0490✗1.0768k2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3104-2.26%4.405-0.11%0.0195✓0.472.3M2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.305634-2.26%0.3264+4.38%0.0125✓0.905.8M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.5768-2.28%6.57-2.38%0.0416✓0.462.2M2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.5106-2.29%6.139-7.86%0.0973✓0.444.4M2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.043782-2.29%0.04664+4.08%0.0011✓0.7415k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001485-2.30%0.001636+7.63%0.0368✗0.698,3412022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.491827-2.32%0.5101+1.31%0.0444✓0.9339.1M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.828804-2.32%0.8885+4.71%0.0611✓1.49116k2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010613-2.33%0.011314+4.12%0.0234✓1.005602022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.061743-2.33%0.063703+0.77%0.0623✓1.071.3M2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.169939-2.33%0.17789+2.24%0.0400✓0.98268k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2557-2.35%2.63+13.85%0.0871✗0.76262k2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.04118-2.38%0.042322+0.32%0.0169✓0.5125k2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9099-2.39%2.963-0.60%0.1159✓1.533.6M2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.00774-2.39%0.00844+6.43%0.0125✓1.13428k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.413841-2.40%0.513+20.99%0.1243✗1.048,1172022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8636-2.42%1.9241+0.75%0.0633✓1.0927k2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001306-2.51%0.001367+2.11%0.0239✓0.802.4M2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003919-2.51%0.00419+4.23%0.0195✓0.99127k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.6532-2.53%5.43-6.38%0.0798✓0.452.3M2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000043192-2.55%0.00004562+2.93%0.0187✓0.841.8M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.6354-2.56%6.73-1.17%0.0275✓0.482.1M2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,405.67-2.57%1,656.91+14.84%0.0770✗1.003.3M2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.135033-2.57%0.1378-0.58%0.0247✓0.513.4M2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.076128-2.57%0.07414-5.12%0.0309✓0.05397k2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.066-2.59%2.202+3.82%0.0371✓1.1538k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.684-2.61%1.838+6.30%0.0065✓0.93540k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.9587-2.61%3.278+7.90%0.0564✗0.53650k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.491072-2.62%0.5157+2.26%0.0182✓0.77496k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.9671-2.63%8.03+12.23%0.0502✗1.0517.4M2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.357729-2.63%0.3619-1.50%0.0805✓1.0575k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.024997-2.64%0.023973-6.63%0.0520✓0.12315k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003110.003027-2.67%0.00381+22.51%0.1408✗1.02486k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.207663-2.69%0.2083-2.39%0.0704✓0.843.1M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.3483-2.71%15.7+14.43%0.0717✗1.041.7M2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.034876-2.72%0.03781+5.47%0.0079✓1.0151k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration50.6149.2293-2.73%51.9+2.55%0.0333✓0.99459k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.281218-2.74%0.29146+0.80%0.0561✓1.0512k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020144-2.75%0.021887+5.66%0.0120✓0.8112k2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.998-2.83%8.98-3.02%0.0453✓0.502.0M2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.050136-2.84%0.052+0.78%0.0442✓0.92204k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.117849-2.85%0.1254+3.38%0.0010✓0.70208k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002859-2.87%0.002904-1.33%0.0646✓0.921.1M2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9016-2.98%1.99+1.53%0.1023✓1.6974k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.843034-2.99%0.8518-1.98%0.0776✓1.0113k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.1379-3.05%3.3066+2.16%0.0361✓1.0119k2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.9749-3.14%4.847-5.63%0.1134✓1.00141k2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.924-3.18%4.501+11.05%0.0522✗0.97259k2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.0938-3.20%14.56+0.00%0.0635✓1.101.0M2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.36780.355992-3.21%0.3903+6.12%0.0093✓1.16335k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.948883-3.37%1.024+4.28%0.0440✗0.372.9M2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.5122-3.39%4.6789+0.18%0.0160✓0.604.7M2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3041-3.40%1.46+8.15%0.0327✓0.9295k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.7788-3.41%7.1468+1.84%0.0329✓0.236.5M2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.816238-3.44%0.8663+2.48%0.0310✓1.041.4M2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0846-3.45%1.3145+17.02%0.1142✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.2608-3.50%6.491+0.05%0.0783✓1.316.9M2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.100804-3.54%0.1167+11.67%0.0517✗1.082.8M2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.2346-3.54%2.3057-0.47%0.0678✓1.1313k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.1071-3.63%7.702+4.43%0.0110✓1.0510.0M2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.140877-3.64%0.1545+5.68%0.0004✓1.06409k2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative1.951.878-3.69%2.116+8.51%0.0001✓1.361.3M2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.060179-3.71%0.0662+5.92%0.0168✓1.28713k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.647984-3.72%0.686+1.93%0.0183✓0.86199k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4631.237-3.77%38.56+18.79%0.0770✗1.539.5M2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum30.1128.9672-3.80%31.98+6.21%0.0655✓1.88241k2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.30369-3.80%0.2929-7.22%0.1318✓1.0999k2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.062237-3.85%0.06521+0.74%0.0481✓1.081.9M2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3916.6842-4.06%18.93+8.86%0.0663✗0.69503k2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-78.85e-7-4.30%7.30e-7-21.06%0.2680✓0.861.7M2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53912.9547-4.32%12.594-6.98%0.0747✓0.5315.8M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5048-4.34%1.648+4.77%0.0126✓1.1856k2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.2764-4.46%1.369+2.47%0.0337✓1.19449k2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1213-4.49%1.402+19.42%0.0757✗1.693.0M2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.3859-4.57%7.63-1.42%0.0630✓1.09317k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.2029-4.64%2.33+0.87%0.0453✓1.16217k2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.0919-4.71%7.6094+2.25%0.0397✓0.357.6M2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.00024084-5.10%0.00043138+69.99%0.5151✗0.78640k2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.498,885.75-5.85%10,194.93+8.03%0.0148✓1.405.6M2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2655.8636-6.41%6.417+2.43%0.0156✓0.857.6M2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.