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2022-09-03 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0866
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.1%
in alpha space · 23.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5076.0186-7.51%6.359-2.27%0.0196✓0.857.8M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,785.949,142.36-6.58%10,440.99+6.69%0.0120✓1.385.7M2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000261150.000246339-5.67%0.0004348+66.49%0.5010✗0.77600k2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.52787.1671-4.79%7.4153-1.49%0.0034✓0.357.6M2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.1951.1382-4.75%1.387+16.07%0.0479✓1.713.0M2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.80413.1544-4.71%12.214-11.52%0.1202✓0.5315.8M2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.1496-4.46%2.34+4.00%0.0160✓1.15227k2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.657.3148-4.38%7.78+1.70%0.0328✓1.08360k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3191.2626-4.28%1.372+4.02%0.0207✓1.18460k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.80074.5957-4.27%4.573-4.74%0.0568✓0.594.7M2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.93e-78.56e-7-4.23%6.85e-7-23.35%0.2953✓0.831.7M2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum30.9829.7432-3.99%32.55+5.07%0.0753✓1.89259k2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5431.4815-3.99%1.615+4.67%0.0162✓1.1760k2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32080.308435-3.85%0.314-2.12%0.0758✓1.07101k2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1316.4713-3.85%17.96+4.85%0.0267✓0.68551k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0140.975478-3.80%1.028+1.38%0.0199✓0.373.3M2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative1.9511.8782-3.73%2.11+8.15%0.0017✓1.351.4M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.32347.0503-3.73%6.9782-4.71%0.0295✓0.226.5M2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.297.0209-3.69%7.777+6.68%0.0120✓1.0310.2M2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.646564-3.64%0.686+2.24%0.0163✓0.86210k2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2331.1021-3.50%39.23+21.72%0.1000✗1.5110.6M2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.2114.6881-3.43%14.72-3.22%0.0938✓1.101.0M2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13371.0952-3.39%1.325+16.87%0.1133✗0.881.1M2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.058767-3.34%0.067+10.20%0.0193✓1.28810k2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3056.101-3.24%6.674+5.85%0.0242✓1.307.3M2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10180.098519-3.22%0.1173+15.23%0.0810✗1.072.8M2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062790.060809-3.15%0.06588+4.92%0.0135✓1.071.9M2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82430.798406-3.14%0.8719+5.77%0.0030✓1.041.5M2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26362.1925-3.14%2.3273+2.81%0.0384✓1.1213k2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0263.9002-3.13%4.569+13.49%0.0736✗0.97259k2022-09-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.0374.8798-3.12%4.4513-11.63%0.1795✓1.00143k2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13790.133756-3.00%0.1533+11.17%0.0466✗1.02409k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.319.0334-2.97%9.02-3.11%0.0444✓0.492.0M2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266850.025897-2.95%0.024191-9.35%0.0795✓0.13287k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.0313.616-2.95%15.57+10.98%0.0415✗1.061.8M2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.3610.350389-2.94%0.3846+6.54%0.0080✓1.15335k2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.868520.843314-2.90%0.85018-2.11%0.0799✓1.0013k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.15113.0612-2.85%3.3754+7.12%0.0095✓1.0121k2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1190.115618-2.84%0.1274+7.06%0.0362✗0.69208k2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2536-2.82%1.49+15.50%0.0937✗0.90106k2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029480.002866-2.79%0.002911-1.26%0.0644✓0.911.1M2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.291270.283218-2.76%0.29035-0.32%0.0664✓1.0412k2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.050.048635-2.73%0.0522+4.40%0.0144✓0.97216k2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.21710.211193-2.72%0.2016-7.14%0.1196✓0.833.1M2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration48.8147.495-2.69%52.32+7.19%0.0110✓0.98459k2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000044710.00004352-2.66%0.00004456-0.34%0.0520✓0.861.8M2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.6875-2.66%6.62-3.64%0.0521✓0.482.1M2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003110.003028-2.65%0.00322+3.54%0.0256✓0.99486k2022-09-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,432.071,394.80-2.60%1,670.43+16.64%0.0927✗1.003.4M2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50070.487715-2.59%0.5249+4.83%0.0081✓0.75501k2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206330.020098-2.59%0.021575+4.57%0.0003✓0.8113k2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.785.631-2.58%5.41-6.40%0.0795✓0.452.3M2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8811.8333-2.53%2.048+8.88%0.0361✓1.6883k2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13630.132889-2.50%0.1391+2.05%0.0001✓0.523.4M2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8616.6897-2.50%7.906+15.23%0.0757✗1.0417.9M2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6096.4445-2.49%6.021-8.90%0.1106✓0.494.4M2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7974.6778-2.49%4.354-9.23%0.0939✓0.252.4M2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3540.345258-2.47%0.3665+3.53%0.0338✓1.0795k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007980.007784-2.45%0.00786-1.50%0.0888✓1.12441k2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078010.076098-2.45%0.07197-7.74%0.0601✓0.05397k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013260.001294-2.44%0.001381+4.14%0.0039✓0.792.4M2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6393-2.42%1.789+6.49%0.0068✓0.92540k2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003874-2.42%0.00413+4.03%0.0222✓0.98136k2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.6842-2.42%6.46-5.69%0.0776✓0.502.2M2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034430.033597-2.42%0.0382+10.95%0.0405✗1.0040k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.361790.353156-2.39%0.3323-8.15%0.1306✓0.80332k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4924.385-2.38%4.296-4.36%0.0619✓0.472.3M2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84160.821611-2.38%0.902+7.18%0.0344✓1.46128k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0451.997-2.35%2.224+8.75%0.0082✓1.1438k2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0423070.041318-2.34%0.042535+0.54%0.0162✓0.5226k2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.2088-2.26%2.61+15.49%0.1000✗0.76269k2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9412.8746-2.26%3.024+2.82%0.0830✓1.533.6M2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626750.061271-2.24%0.064731+3.28%0.0376✓1.061.4M2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum26.225.6279-2.18%27.69+5.69%0.0076✓0.976.9M2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9762.9111-2.18%3.272+9.95%0.0737✗0.49650k2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0434960.042555-2.16%0.045736+5.15%0.0017✓0.8429k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44180.432261-2.16%0.4434+0.36%0.0754✓1.1596k2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.263225-2.15%0.284+5.58%0.0132✓0.72654k2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014990.001467-2.14%0.001601+6.80%0.0264✗0.707,6332022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.16637-2.14%0.17959+5.64%0.0087✓0.97293k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4583-2.13%1.43-4.03%0.0082✓-0.13116k2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.8546-2.12%4.63-6.65%0.0939✓0.531.3M2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.04382-2.12%0.04614+3.06%0.0119✓0.7315k2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.48040.470261-2.11%0.5124+6.66%0.0041✓0.9337.1M2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.515879-2.11%0.568+7.78%0.0050✓1.0471k2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.403325-2.11%0.516+25.24%0.1571✗1.028,1172022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.296654-2.09%0.3223+6.37%0.0044✓0.905.8M2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.714871-2.07%0.73+0.00%0.0026✓0.2774k2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4821.4513-2.07%1.514+2.16%0.0591✓1.1686k2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04430.043382-2.07%0.0479+8.13%0.0146✓0.96138k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1052380.103096-2.04%0.114707+9.00%0.0352✗0.826.8M2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.7442.6891-2.00%2.807+2.30%0.0333✓0.87682k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.62712.3774-1.98%15.995+26.67%0.1589✗1.1112.3M2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.787750.772209-1.97%0.8137+3.29%0.0240✓0.87519k2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.509759-1.97%0.552+6.15%0.0195✓1.1378k2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79051.7553-1.97%1.9389+8.29%0.0054✓1.0727k2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064070.006282-1.95%0.006228-2.79%0.0450✓0.4148k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.54340.532858-1.94%0.5779+6.35%0.0085✓0.83980k2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4996.375-1.91%7.129+9.69%0.0387✗0.834.4M2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008525-1.90%0.00938+7.94%0.0318✗0.735.2M2022-09-10
DASHDashDash46.7745.8827-1.90%48.77+4.28%0.0235✓0.96419k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.047582-1.89%0.051+5.15%0.0168✓0.98758k2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016550.001624-1.88%0.001548-6.47%0.1311✓0.95406k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.13281.1116-1.88%1.3351+17.86%0.0773✗1.21973k2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum93.8392.0905-1.85%105.47+12.41%0.0608✗0.853.5M2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20360.19983-1.85%0.21+3.14%0.0656✓1.32111k2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1591.1376-1.85%1.222+5.44%0.0151✓0.991.4M2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.035143-1.84%0.0379+5.87%0.0074✓0.789,5472022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.675427-1.83%0.657-4.51%0.1124✓0.97202k2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07291.0533-1.83%1.2446+16.00%0.0331✗1.534.5M2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1020.100143-1.82%0.1036+1.57%0.0285✓0.712,7842022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7711.739-1.81%1.661-6.21%0.1255✓0.91109k2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.343717-1.80%0.46503+32.87%0.2205✗0.93392k2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70511.6748-1.78%2.0477+20.09%0.1164✗0.971.1M2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137070.134641-1.77%0.14372+4.85%0.0387✓1.19190k2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12110.118954-1.77%0.1738+43.52%0.2883✗1.0425k2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.64e-7-1.77%9.30e-7+5.68%0.0036✓0.791.8M2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7564.6738-1.73%5.052+6.22%0.0391✓1.337.0M2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.37540.368975-1.71%0.40366+7.53%0.0053✓0.9735k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36590.359675-1.70%0.4204+14.89%0.0472✗1.24187k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1959.1663-1.70%63.32+5.20%0.0180✓0.9812.7M2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.2562-1.70%16.85+8.57%0.0022✓1.11107k2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum47.8947.0823-1.69%53.06+10.80%0.0096✓1.259,0502022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum4.844.7587-1.68%5.11+5.58%0.0023✓0.841.3M2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14180.139439-1.66%0.1491+5.15%0.0224✓1.0299k2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334970.329398-1.66%0.35407+5.70%0.0141✓0.9942k2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037620.036995-1.66%0.03978+5.74%0.0018✓0.812,6082022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase12.680812.471-1.65%13.4676+6.20%0.0073✓0.9632k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.02025-1.65%0.02305+11.95%0.0575✗0.8210.2M2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.05721.0398-1.65%1.0696+1.17%0.0463✓0.8541k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05780.056853-1.64%0.0598+3.46%0.0305✓0.9297k2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.149916-1.63%0.1625+6.63%0.0163✓1.111,6102022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066480.065402-1.62%0.06911+3.96%0.0221✓0.887702022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024720.024322-1.61%0.02547+3.03%0.0658✓1.283,2982022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001230.000012102-1.61%0.00001328+7.97%0.0100✓0.95828k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17380.171008-1.61%0.1861+7.08%0.0361✓1.382,2552022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.20686-1.59%0.2208+5.04%0.0239✓1.0258k2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05720.056294-1.58%0.0658+15.03%0.0811✗0.8699k2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22280.219292-1.57%0.2293+2.92%0.0334✓0.89475k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.081132-1.54%0.0995+20.75%0.1223✗0.9310k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28040.276235-1.49%0.2949+5.17%0.0177✓0.952.8M2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30930.304765-1.47%0.3401+9.96%0.0077✓1.16124k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash62.761.7845-1.46%65.33+4.19%0.0456✓1.161.5M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.12580.123966-1.46%0.1336+6.20%0.0156✓1.031.6M2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130810.012891-1.45%0.013066-0.11%0.0421✓0.64932k2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,835.4719,549.63-1.44%21,651.52+9.16%0.0145✗1.00485.5M2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.541220.533425-1.44%0.55641+2.81%0.0728✓1.3137k2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,875.8019,596.66-1.40%21,732.50+9.34%0.0210✗0.9413k2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero154.44152.2998-1.39%157.51+1.99%0.0558✓1.021.4M2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.23860.235305-1.38%0.2818+18.11%0.0975✗0.9581k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,557.701,536.49-1.36%1,774.69+13.93%0.0235✗1.38660.9M2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.093613-1.36%0.0989+4.21%0.0290✓0.96375k2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.6780.668844-1.35%0.7491+10.49%0.0088✓1.39200k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022030.021735-1.34%0.02106-4.40%0.1018✓0.80459k2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.51651.8322-1.30%55.236+5.18%0.0020✓0.75302k2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17755.1102-1.30%4.9455-4.48%0.0414✓0.10115k2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana31.1230.7216-1.28%35.07+12.69%0.0311✗1.1663.0M2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase0.8856480.874323-1.28%0.938309+5.95%0.0017✓0.8357k2022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45830.452465-1.27%0.5059+10.39%0.0119✓1.14384k2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05560.054899-1.26%0.0508-8.63%0.1759✓1.12220k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.92950.917842-1.25%0.9875+6.24%0.0323✓1.20841k2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058930.00582-1.25%0.0063+6.91%0.0201✗0.682,1282022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10120.099939-1.25%0.1145+13.14%0.0614✗0.85150k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.005946-1.23%0.00593-1.50%0.0583✓0.64998k2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5190.512624-1.23%0.516-0.58%0.0985✓1.203,8602022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.918.669-1.22%20.45+8.20%0.0214✓1.2820.7M2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0371.0245-1.20%0.978-5.69%0.1562✓1.251.5M2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.129.9984-1.20%10.95+8.20%0.0162✓1.22297k2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03540.034978-1.19%0.0394+11.30%0.0392✗0.9177k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157840.155961-1.19%0.17129+8.52%0.0843✓2.034042022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.52271.5051-1.16%1.6664+9.44%0.0035✓1.12255k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.1929.0888-1.12%9.776+6.35%0.0105✓0.951.3M2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.83116.5178-1.11%132.64+12.57%0.0296✗1.144.4M2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2927850.289566-1.10%0.312676+6.79%0.0180✓1.08534k2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96760.957548-1.04%1.0341+6.87%0.0341✗0.493.1M2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.61e-7-1.01%9.10e-7+4.60%0.0143✓0.7915k2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2120.209888-1.00%0.2116-0.19%0.1067✓1.31140k2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.23080.22866-0.93%0.2299-0.39%0.0733✓0.9067k2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071350.070754-0.84%0.07598+6.49%0.0311✓1.1725k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.063110.06261-0.79%0.064586+2.34%0.0218✓0.60123k2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.663793-0.78%0.68+1.64%0.0897✓1.304.1M2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.24944.2226-0.63%4.324+1.76%0.0442✓0.78748k2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.931.9184-0.60%1.89-2.07%0.0591✓0.5082k2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum87.1886.716-0.53%92.74+6.38%0.0662✓1.525.6M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18340.182499-0.49%0.1307-28.74%0.3350✓0.0198k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013360.013327-0.24%0.01306-2.25%0.0772✓0.65220k2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0219.4027+2.01%17.47-8.15%0.1676✗0.721.7M2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.