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2022-09-01 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0430
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.6%
in alpha space · 60.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000254868-7.68%0.00051629+87.02%0.7368✗0.75442k2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82257.3378-6.20%7.6822-1.79%0.0603✓0.357.3M2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.458,694.36-5.66%9,266.66+0.54%0.1206✗1.385.9M2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.48e-7-5.47%7.48e-7-16.66%0.0922✓0.821.4M2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1194-4.98%1.178+0.00%0.1211✗1.703.1M2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92712.3353-4.58%12.416-3.95%0.0281✓0.5312.5M2022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70536.4124-4.37%6.8937+2.81%0.0816✗0.225.4M2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.0471.9582-4.34%1.956-4.45%0.0543✗1.351.3M2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.182-4.30%2.27-0.44%0.0869✗1.15229k2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.627.3083-4.09%7.37-3.28%0.0528✗1.08409k2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.775.5364-4.05%5.865+1.65%0.0928✗0.858.5M2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.934747-4.03%1.038+6.57%0.1201✗0.373.8M2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.2409-3.96%1.273-1.47%0.0744✗1.19460k2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.116.4436-3.84%17.38+1.64%0.0835✗0.68685k2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.176-3.82%8.78-7.97%0.0239✓0.491.9M2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1846.9106-3.81%7.389+2.85%0.1094✗1.0310.5M2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.4762-3.71%1.45-5.41%0.0303✓1.1766k2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum30.5729.4564-3.64%29.13-4.71%0.0668✗1.89288k2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9231.7389-3.59%37.1+12.70%0.2181✗1.5112.4M2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.059016-3.57%0.0618+0.98%0.0987✗1.28897k2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.025947-3.55%0.024425-9.21%0.0554✓0.12280k2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044503-3.55%0.00004219-8.56%0.0178✓0.861.7M2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.645362-3.53%0.652-2.54%0.0457✗0.86228k2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14524.005-3.38%4.474+7.93%0.1354✗0.604.2M2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.5567-3.30%13.85-1.21%0.0666✗1.10959k2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.101461-3.28%0.1043-0.57%0.0717✗1.072.9M2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.062177-3.26%0.06043-5.97%0.0155✓1.072.0M2022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003180.003077-3.25%0.00316-0.63%0.0678✗1.00486k2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.297412-3.25%0.2984-2.93%0.0474✗1.07103k2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.292193-3.23%0.27969-7.37%0.0009✓1.0412k2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.803654-3.16%0.8184-1.39%0.0609✗1.041.7M2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.1078-3.15%1.2129+6.03%0.1267✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.7248-3.14%4.4451-8.88%0.0199✓1.00147k2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3156.1165-3.14%6.173-2.25%0.0627✗1.308.1M2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.869008-3.13%0.8317-7.29%0.0161✓1.46167k2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.2192-3.12%2.2544-1.59%0.0618✗1.1213k2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4513.0321-3.11%15.71+16.80%0.2304✗1.061.9M2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.18193.0864-3.00%3.1692-0.40%0.0679✗1.0124k2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.7033-2.99%6.37-7.81%0.0312✓0.481.7M2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.36280.352109-2.95%0.3621-0.19%0.0755✗1.15361k2022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.6227-2.89%5.32-8.12%0.0367✓0.452.0M2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.113622-2.89%0.13+11.11%0.1636✗0.70203k2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.136938-2.88%0.1491+5.74%0.1273✗1.02489k2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.7433-2.85%4.722+22.55%0.2720✗0.96259k2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2824-2.85%1.4+6.06%0.1249✗0.90109k2022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.855322-2.79%0.85429-2.91%0.0402✗1.0013k2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.135908-2.78%0.131-6.29%0.0153✓0.523.5M2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.488477-2.75%0.5067+0.88%0.0674✗0.75514k2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.7378-2.73%7.407+6.93%0.1379✗1.0517.4M2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.6826-2.73%6.34-7.71%0.0321✓0.502.1M2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.208577-2.67%0.187-12.74%0.0748✓0.842.9M2022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.049258-2.65%0.049-3.16%0.0348✗0.97216k2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.077894-2.63%0.06787-15.16%0.1358✓0.05418k2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9037-2.63%1.843-5.73%0.0368✗1.6890k2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007746-2.57%0.00743-6.54%0.0045✓1.12477k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.020572-2.55%0.020726-1.82%0.0407✗0.8113k2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.8562-2.55%2.931+0.00%0.0885✗1.523.7M2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration47.4346.2264-2.54%50.26+5.97%0.1240✗0.98459k2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.034089-2.52%0.03515+0.51%0.0719✗1.0040k2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002807-2.51%0.002728-5.24%0.0094✓0.921.1M2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.1837-2.51%2.6+16.07%0.2059✗0.76287k2022-09-08
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.353731-2.50%0.3252-10.36%0.0465✓0.915072022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.344601-2.49%0.3426-3.06%0.0381✗1.07116k2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.6514-2.46%1.763+4.13%0.1032✗0.92579k2022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001313-2.42%0.001335-0.82%0.0488✗0.792.4M2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003924-2.39%0.00399-0.75%0.0573✗0.98136k2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4934-2.39%1.42-7.19%0.0557✓-0.13128k2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.1266-2.38%1.1279-2.27%0.0639✗1.524.5M2022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.043058-2.33%0.044321+0.53%0.0636✗0.8429k2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.9126.2849-2.32%26.05-3.20%0.0309✗0.977.2M2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.041719-2.32%0.040974-4.07%0.0032✓0.5226k2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.878-2.31%3.093+4.99%0.0925✗0.50650k2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.2107-2.30%4.056-5.89%0.0178✓0.482.0M2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.0015-2.25%0.00152-0.91%0.0425✗0.709,0932022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6837-2.22%4.54-5.22%0.0091✓0.541.1M2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.3865-2.20%4.29-4.35%0.0115✓0.262.3M2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.052.005-2.19%2.072+1.07%0.0796✗1.1438k2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.060998-2.16%0.060978-2.20%0.0432✗1.061.4M2022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.04442-2.16%0.04438-2.25%0.0289✗0.7215k2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.270095-2.14%0.263-4.71%0.0030✓0.72660k2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7312.4596-2.12%13.883+9.06%0.1539✗1.1111.4M2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.515945-2.10%0.501-4.93%0.0137✓1.0574k2022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.417852-2.07%0.3993-6.42%0.0020✓1.15100k2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043189-2.07%0.0465+5.44%0.1135✗0.96145k2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.102917-2.06%0.104355-0.69%0.0474✗0.826.9M2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.405556-2.04%0.418+0.97%0.0721✗1.028,1172022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.7662-2.04%1.851+2.66%0.0911✗1.0828k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.764453-2.03%0.77284-0.95%0.0467✗0.87509k2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.503581-2.03%0.525+2.14%0.0883✗1.1383k2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum95.0293.1022-2.02%101.92+7.26%0.1255✗0.853.5M2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.167576-2.00%0.17034-0.39%0.0563✗0.97310k2022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0875.9651-2.00%6.112+0.41%0.0443✗0.494.4M2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.287747-1.99%0.3078+4.84%0.1044✗0.905.9M2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.54860.537691-1.99%0.5518+0.58%0.0600✗0.831.0M2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.047635-1.99%0.0483-0.62%0.0545✗0.99781k2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.4322-1.97%1.415-3.15%0.0358✗1.16108k2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1745-1.96%1.188-0.83%0.0521✗0.991.5M2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.6815-1.96%2.656-2.89%0.0262✗0.87682k2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.7454-1.95%1.7721-0.45%0.0548✗0.961.1M2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.448691-1.95%0.479+4.68%0.1038✗0.9335.8M2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3136.1927-1.90%6.478+2.61%0.0792✗0.834.8M2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036003-1.90%0.0351-4.36%0.0067✓0.788,1752022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.00628-1.90%0.006191-3.28%0.0029✓0.4256k2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.73e-7-1.87%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0403✗0.791.9M2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.339036-1.87%0.38118+10.33%0.1556✗0.93369k2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.135014-1.86%0.13663-0.68%0.0608✗1.19190k2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.121711-1.85%0.1624+30.97%0.3311✗1.0423k2022-09-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.200121-1.81%0.1992-2.26%0.0496✗1.32116k2022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008534-1.79%0.00886+1.96%0.0674✗0.735.5M2022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.710.697475-1.76%0.73+2.82%0.0573✗0.2974k2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.0413-1.76%1.3273+25.22%0.2925✗1.21996k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.214882-1.75%0.1397-36.12%0.4309✓-0.0193k2022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.177746-1.74%0.1767-2.32%0.0508✗1.382,2912022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.020271-1.74%0.0209+1.31%0.0644✗0.8210.9M2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.7579-1.74%1.685-5.81%0.0050✓0.91121k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.6816-1.73%4.5-5.54%0.0153✓1.338.0M2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.312947-1.71%0.3149-1.10%0.0542✗1.16132k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.6001-1.70%15.53-2.14%0.0411✗1.11107k2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037799-1.69%0.03746-2.57%0.0243✗0.812,6082022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.334493-1.68%0.33034-2.90%0.0280✗0.9844k2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.013092-1.68%0.012974-2.56%0.0170✗0.63932k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.066243-1.67%0.06606-1.94%0.0339✗0.899142022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012085-1.67%0.00001223-0.49%0.0508✗0.94828k2022-09-08
DASHDashDash44.7944.0441-1.67%46.28+3.33%0.0893✗0.97419k2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.222083-1.65%0.2219-1.73%0.0361✗0.90475k2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.657107-1.63%0.638-4.49%0.0103✓0.97207k2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.83-1.63%4.8-2.24%0.0283✗0.841.5M2022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.207082-1.62%0.2135+1.43%0.0725✗1.0257k2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0347.2507-1.62%48.43+0.83%0.0762✗1.259,4572022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.024235-1.60%0.02409-2.19%0.0466✗1.283,4352022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.141238-1.58%0.1402-2.30%0.0347✗1.02129k2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.369154-1.57%0.37908+1.07%0.0662✗0.9637k2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.4454-1.56%4.9672-10.20%0.0878✓0.10115k2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.279766-1.56%0.2794-1.69%0.0377✗0.953.0M2022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5656.6789-1.53%57.99+0.75%0.0633✗0.9812.6M2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.05604-1.51%0.0555-2.46%0.0286✗0.9397k2022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4019,891.90-1.49%19,295.10-4.44%0.0083✓0.9415k2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0591.0433-1.48%0.894-15.58%0.1029✓1.251.5M2022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6519,836.44-1.48%19,321.87-4.03%0.0149✗1.00504.7M2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.057144-1.48%0.0599+3.28%0.0827✗0.86101k2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero154.26151.99-1.47%152.39-1.21%0.0445✗1.021.3M2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.311-1.46%0.32661+3.49%0.0820✗0.80332k2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.02248-1.45%0.02088-8.46%0.0408✓0.80459k2022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.238925-1.43%0.3012+24.26%0.2702✗0.9475k2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.125378-1.43%0.1249-1.81%0.0386✗1.031.7M2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.461814-1.43%0.4736+1.09%0.0722✗1.14384k2022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.098197-1.41%0.0993-0.30%0.0406✗0.722,5272022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,564.00-1.40%1,635.73+3.12%0.1015✗1.38660.9M2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.319.0333-1.38%19.14-0.83%0.0586✗1.2921.2M2022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash58.9858.1865-1.35%61.13+3.65%0.0970✗1.161.7M2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.146999-1.34%0.1562+4.83%0.1064✗1.111,6102022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081003-1.34%0.0926+12.79%0.1721✗0.9310k2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.0471.0331-1.33%1.0517+0.45%0.0530✗0.8540k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44751.7564-1.32%53.27+1.57%0.0597✗0.75287k2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.223526-1.31%0.2042-9.85%0.0365✓1.31139k2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana31.6231.2077-1.30%33.62+6.33%0.1220✗1.1665.9M2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.888476-1.29%0.875349-2.75%0.0192✗0.8360k2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157312.0011-1.28%12.7985+5.27%0.1040✗0.9630k2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73115.2504-1.27%126.62+8.47%0.1411✗1.144.6M2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.154951-1.27%0.15778+0.54%0.1018✗2.035152022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.091333-1.26%0.0972+5.08%0.1016✗0.96376k2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.67409-1.26%0.6533-4.31%0.0258✗1.39214k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005735-1.26%0.005905+1.68%0.0573✗0.682,1822022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.930567-1.26%0.9148-2.93%0.0324✗1.20846k2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.006083-1.25%0.00567-7.95%0.0441✓0.641.0M2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.9655-1.23%9.92-1.68%0.0458✗1.23305k2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.100064-1.22%0.1109+9.48%0.1379✗0.85169k2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.055023-1.22%0.0517-7.18%0.0161✓1.12249k2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.341879-1.19%0.4045+16.91%0.2194✗1.24166k2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034884-1.18%0.0382+8.22%0.1283✗0.9184k2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.5219-1.16%1.5877+3.11%0.0885✗1.12279k2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.70e-7-1.16%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0557✗0.7915k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.07364-1.14%0.07073-5.05%0.0076✓1.1626k2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.542502-1.13%0.52967-3.47%0.0300✗1.3137k2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.294097-1.13%0.305298+2.63%0.0819✗1.08545k2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.1439.0437-1.09%9.277+1.47%0.0645✗0.951.3M2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.94756-1.03%0.9741+1.74%0.0477✗0.493.5M2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.484184-0.98%0.469-4.09%0.0175✗1.202,7102022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.001477-0.90%0.001463-1.81%0.0306✗0.97417k2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.062775-0.81%0.061193-3.31%0.0007✓0.60142k2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.668783-0.77%0.643-4.60%0.0132✗1.284.1M2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.229251-0.71%0.2268-1.78%0.0263✗0.9071k2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.30834.2792-0.67%4.0459-6.09%0.0242✓0.78766k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4285.9534-0.54%88.29+2.16%0.0894✗1.525.6M2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9621-0.40%1.84-6.60%0.0435✓0.5093k2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.013228-0.17%0.01167-11.92%0.0977✓0.67223k2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4721.9684+2.32%15.9-25.94%0.2941✗0.711.6M2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.