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2022-08-30 · +7d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0431
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.8%
in alpha space · 81.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.9332+2.79%15.93-28.60%0.3260✗0.721.5M2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0641-0.28%1.96-5.31%0.0248✓0.5197k2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014178-0.30%0.01183-16.81%0.1455✓0.67174k2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.0293-0.42%83.58-0.95%0.0754✗1.526.3M2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2316-0.55%3.9648-6.82%0.0242✓0.77775k2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.664514-0.67%0.614-8.22%0.0156✓1.204.3M2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.493345-0.74%0.439-11.67%0.0521✓1.222,7102022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.651699-0.75%0.6322-3.72%0.0432✗1.39226k2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.331534-0.77%0.431+29.00%0.3283✗1.24176k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001535-0.81%0.001603+3.55%0.0950✗0.98433k2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.244081-0.82%0.2418-1.75%0.0388✗0.9176k2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.070458-0.89%0.06801-4.33%0.0266✗1.1726k2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064103-0.93%0.060766-6.09%0.0211✓0.61129k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.888-0.95%9.033+0.67%0.0668✗0.961.5M2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4828-0.97%1.433-4.29%0.0254✗1.12296k2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.534949-0.97%0.5036-6.78%0.0094✓1.3237k2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088025-0.98%0.0892+0.34%0.0638✗0.95393k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.4802-1.00%54.12+2.09%0.0827✗0.9812.7M2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.953413-1.03%0.938-2.63%0.0103✓0.503.6M2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.295837-1.05%0.272462-8.87%0.0244✓1.09549k2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69113.476-1.06%112.17-2.20%0.0488✗1.144.6M2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.147106-1.07%0.1524+2.49%0.0939✗1.111,5282022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.1688-1.09%18.21-6.04%0.0176✗1.3023.0M2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034909-1.11%0.0348-1.42%0.0455✗0.9287k2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.1288-1.12%30.87-1.94%0.0532✗1.1665.9M2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.00613-1.13%0.00551-11.13%0.0731✓0.631.0M2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.095888-1.15%0.0961-0.93%0.0404✗0.722,7842022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.940296-1.16%0.8793-7.57%0.0029✓1.21963k2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.101509-1.16%0.1014-1.27%0.0445✗0.86192k2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.1742-1.16%57.93-3.24%0.0400✗1.161.7M2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.441823-1.18%0.4434-0.83%0.0638✗1.14364k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005719-1.18%0.005724-1.09%0.0375✗0.692,3002022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.080527-1.19%0.0785-3.68%0.0246✗0.9513k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0332-1.20%0.977259-6.56%0.0097✓0.8748k2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.69e-7-1.21%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0430✗0.8016k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8011-1.21%4.52-7.00%0.0150✓0.861.5M2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020133-1.21%0.01917-5.94%0.0047✓0.8411.4M2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.056901-1.21%0.052-9.72%0.0301✓1.13258k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.218415-1.21%0.2009-9.14%0.0144✓1.31135k2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58250.9553-1.22%49.549-3.94%0.0117✓0.75322k2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.9663-1.23%9.48-6.05%0.0148✗1.22318k2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3247-1.24%5.1426-4.62%0.0297✓0.10115k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.889281-1.25%0.84826-5.80%0.0033✓0.8363k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0336-1.28%2.26+9.71%0.1457✗0.76329k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.125945-1.30%0.1191-6.66%0.0014✓1.031.7M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,504.98-1.30%1,559.28+2.26%0.1081✗1.37628.3M2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.151786-1.30%0.15332-0.31%0.1179✗2.046042022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.1544-1.32%12.1746-1.15%0.0529✗0.9732k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero148.87146.8968-1.33%144.79-2.74%0.0394✗1.021.3M2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,547.09-1.34%18,790.91-5.16%0.0135✗1.00490.8M2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.315415-1.38%0.31667-0.98%0.0491✗0.85350k2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.240789-1.40%0.2232-8.60%0.0238✓0.9881k2022-09-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.192812-1.43%0.1894-3.17%0.0351✗1.00121k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.327-1.43%45.35-3.51%0.0445✗1.2411k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.642602-1.44%0.608-6.75%0.0042✓0.97207k2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.331502-1.48%0.31421-6.62%0.0008✓1.0046k2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.320332-1.50%0.3016-7.26%0.0018✓1.17138k2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.012951-1.50%0.012145-7.63%0.0311✓0.631.0M2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.370746-1.51%0.36615-2.73%0.0384✗0.9640k2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0347-1.52%1.1464+9.12%0.1675✗1.23973k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.283495-1.53%0.2593-9.93%0.0381✓0.963.1M2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008508-1.53%0.00852-1.39%0.0400✗0.735.6M2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.205693-1.53%0.1963-6.03%0.0083✓1.0459k2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.510997-1.54%0.475-8.48%0.0168✓1.0677k2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.734-1.56%4.301-10.56%0.0247✓1.348.7M2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,558.99-1.56%18,917.90-4.79%0.0165✗0.9413k2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037392-1.57%0.03561-6.26%0.0057✓0.812,8422022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase15.815.5474-1.60%14.54-7.97%0.0081✓1.1193k2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0026-1.61%0.907-10.99%0.0338✓1.251.4M2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.407-1.61%1.395-2.45%0.0537✗1.17123k2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000011984-1.61%0.00001199-1.56%0.0509✗0.95828k2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024339-1.62%0.02333-5.70%0.0255✗1.283,3752022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.035415-1.62%0.0358-0.56%0.0529✗0.809,5472022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.222316-1.63%0.2072-8.32%0.0223✓0.91501k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.061475-1.64%0.0592-5.28%0.0086✓0.87105k2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.120683-1.64%0.116-5.46%0.0164✓1.0625k2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.065423-1.65%0.06355-4.46%0.0142✓0.829142022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.14395-1.67%0.1322-9.70%0.0304✓1.03138k2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8582-1.68%1.774-6.14%0.0425✗1.6890k2022-09-06
DASHDashDash45.5144.7301-1.71%42.68-6.22%0.0044✓0.97438k2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.6512-1.73%5.919+2.92%0.0711✗0.474.4M2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7-1.74%1.6782-3.00%0.0383✗0.971.2M2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0405-1.75%2.136+2.85%0.1047✗1.1113k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.65e-7-1.75%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0482✗0.792.0M2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.132817-1.76%0.13097-3.13%0.0497✗1.20200k2022-09-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023625-1.77%0.02171-9.73%0.0417✓0.81459k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.166016-1.77%0.15955-5.59%0.0123✓0.98340k2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.1463-1.77%6.22-0.59%0.0595✗0.905.0M2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.756833-1.79%0.73689-4.38%0.0202✗0.88509k2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.0362-1.80%4.174+1.56%0.0455✗0.232.3M2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.05686-1.80%0.0558-3.63%0.0304✗0.9398k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.002920.002867-1.83%0.00295+1.03%0.0816✗1.00486k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1662-1.83%1.103-7.15%0.0031✓0.991.7M2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.177777-1.83%0.1824+0.72%0.0988✗1.382,2912022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.047506-1.85%0.0453-6.40%0.0052✓0.99796k2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.50539-1.87%0.482-6.41%0.0131✓1.1483k2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7231-1.87%2.544-8.32%0.0215✓0.88706k2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.444513-1.87%0.4626+2.12%0.0901✗0.9537.8M2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.28621-1.88%0.2855-2.13%0.0455✗0.916.5M2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.100471-1.89%0.099872-2.48%0.0370✗0.817.0M2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0102-1.90%1.947-4.98%0.0284✗1.1444k2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.740.725974-1.90%0.71-4.05%0.0067✓0.2979k2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042084-1.90%0.0433+0.93%0.0796✗0.97156k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.060251-1.90%0.058897-4.11%0.0333✗1.061.6M2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.7881-1.91%1.727-5.27%0.0136✓0.91121k2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.339179-1.92%0.33208-3.97%0.0283✗0.93347k2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum95.6393.7723-1.94%90.03-5.86%0.0048✓0.863.5M2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.3827-1.95%4.37-2.24%0.0250✗0.531.1M2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.54890.538127-1.96%0.5213-5.03%0.0136✓0.861.3M2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.6924-1.98%11.775-1.28%0.0661✗1.1110.8M2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006407-1.98%0.006199-5.17%0.0109✓0.4258k2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.9099-1.99%6.09+1.00%0.0556✗0.482.1M2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0421-2.01%1.0359-2.60%0.0743✗1.514.5M2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.7802-2.01%1.6996-6.45%0.0111✓1.0833k2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.5984-2.06%1.597-2.14%0.0482✗0.93579k2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.211.947-2.07%14.19+16.31%0.2284✗1.061.9M2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.416141-2.08%0.399-6.12%0.0120✓1.028,1172022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001455-2.09%0.001469-1.14%0.0464✗0.699,0932022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.277962-2.13%0.25-11.97%0.0677✓0.72686k2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0115-2.14%3.962-3.34%0.0119✓0.462.0M2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042043-2.15%0.040185-6.47%0.0178✓0.5228k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.0225-2.17%25.64-3.61%0.0366✗0.977.3M2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.420758-2.17%0.3885-9.67%0.0187✓1.1596k2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.045596-2.17%0.04195-10.00%0.0456✓0.7116k2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.348243-2.21%0.3263-8.37%0.0076✓1.09131k2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.255003-2.22%0.1539-40.99%0.5044✓0.0191k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.192312-2.23%0.185-5.95%0.0055✓0.843.1M2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.042444-2.24%0.041181-5.15%0.0147✓0.8530k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001318-2.26%0.001265-6.13%0.0015✓0.792.1M2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.0335-2.28%5.829-5.59%0.0346✗1.309.5M2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.0432-2.33%2.9851-4.19%0.0343✗1.0125k2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.9959-2.35%6.26+1.95%0.0680✗0.471.7M2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003925-2.36%0.00379-5.72%0.0179✓1.00152k2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.4024-2.37%6.659+1.54%0.0952✗1.0617.7M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.061758-2.39%0.05773-8.76%0.0107✓1.072.1M2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002921-2.39%0.002767-7.55%0.0056✓0.921.1M2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.861999-2.41%0.80255-9.14%0.0175✓1.0214k2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.36130.352539-2.42%0.3401-5.87%0.0260✗1.17393k2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.135527-2.43%0.1307-5.90%0.0175✓1.01510k2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.0639-2.43%5.2+0.19%0.0501✗0.442.0M2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.049462-2.44%0.0473-6.71%0.0073✓0.98237k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration47.4746.2892-2.49%45.56-4.02%0.0364✗0.99543k2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2871-2.49%1.23-6.82%0.0030✓0.91121k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.12918-2.51%0.1271-4.08%0.0118✓0.533.6M2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.034391-2.55%0.03333-5.55%0.0225✓1.0240k2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.02091-2.57%0.019706-8.18%0.0161✓0.8114k2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022196-2.59%0.025115+10.23%0.1290✗0.10266k2022-09-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.2068-2.59%4.3813+1.45%0.0936✗1.00147k2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.6961-2.61%3.885+2.37%0.1018✗0.98252k2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.8971-2.68%2.791-6.25%0.0445✗1.543.8M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.080124-2.73%0.07402-10.14%0.0765✓0.05478k2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.00784-2.73%0.00747-7.32%0.0113✓1.12477k2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.100181-2.74%0.0977-5.15%0.0320✗1.083.3M2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.478-2.76%13.11-5.41%0.0306✗1.10909k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.0799-2.77%8.6+3.49%0.0879✗0.481.9M2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.108402-2.78%0.1124+0.81%0.0741✗0.71220k2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.284984-2.84%0.26857-8.44%0.0041✓1.0412k2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0107-2.86%2.1+1.45%0.1040✗1.14232k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.497471-2.89%0.5082-0.80%0.0616✗0.76579k2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.808247-2.90%0.7744-6.97%0.0124✓1.041.8M2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.30065-2.95%0.296-4.45%0.0411✗1.07111k2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.5415-2.97%5.599-1.96%0.0560✗0.869.5M2022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5621-2.97%1.47-8.70%0.0666✓-0.11116k2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.0391-3.00%2.889-7.79%0.0235✓0.51650k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3131.3361-3.01%34.44+6.59%0.1742✗1.5012.9M2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.1957-3.03%1.182-4.14%0.0513✗1.19460k2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.7253-3.06%4.417+14.94%0.2019✗0.603.8M2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5075-3.12%1.457-6.36%0.0283✓1.1877k2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.649998-3.13%0.624-7.00%0.0049✓0.86228k2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.4416-3.16%6.6193+17.80%0.2070✗0.215.4M2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1503-3.18%1.0186-14.27%0.0744✓0.891.3M2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0463-3.39%1.095+1.11%0.1382✗1.753.2M2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum31.0529.9966-3.39%28.84-7.12%0.0615✗1.90288k2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.7698-3.40%6.874-1.91%0.0704✗1.0411.6M2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.059566-3.46%0.0605-1.94%0.0829✗1.27908k2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.885326-3.69%0.8135-11.50%0.0078✓1.45167k2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3316.6886-3.70%16.78-3.17%0.0422✗0.69880k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.0121.9329-3.93%1.772-11.93%0.0154✓1.351.3M2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000044046-4.02%0.00004054-11.66%0.0368✓0.871.7M2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.6372-4.30%6.8-14.79%0.0584✓1.09462k2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48111.9285-4.43%11.915-4.53%0.0266✓0.528.9M2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,467.82-4.58%8,612.34-2.95%0.0897✗1.376.2M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.944827-4.95%0.94-5.43%0.0152✓0.384.2M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000150258-5.12%0.00037885+139.22%0.9620✗0.70429k2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.6889-5.22%7.2344+20.53%0.2570✗0.326.5M2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001018-6.51%7.89e-7-27.48%0.2088✓0.851.1M2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.